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Fluminense v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 19:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho faithful welcome Corinthians's travelling contingent on Sunday evening, as Renato Arapi's Fluminense go head to head with Dorival Silvestre Júnior's side in the Serie A. Serie A stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this match will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Fluminense and Corinthians have seldom treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
49%
-21/20
2%
Draw
27%
-21/10
6%
Corinthians
24%
-3/1
11%
Fluminense 1-0
13%
-17/4
13%
Draw 1-1
12%
-5/1
Fluminense 2-0
10%
-13/2
12%
Draw 0-0
9%
-19/4
18%
Fluminense 2-1
9%
-15/2
Corinthians 1-0
9%
-13/2
6%
Corinthians 2-1
6%
-12/1
18%
Fluminense 3-0
5%
-14/1
Fluminense 3-1
4%
-16/1
13%
Draw 2-2
4%
-16/1
13%
Corinthians 2-0
4%
-14/1
Fluminense 3-2
2%
-28/1
26%
Corinthians 3-1
2%
-28/1
26%
Fluminense 4-0
2%
-28/1
Fluminense 4-1
2%
-33/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
-8/5
16%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
-4/9
10%
Home 1st Goal
52%
-3/4
Away 1st Goal
41%
-17/10
10%
No 1st Goal
6%
-19/4
18%
BTTS - Yes
46%
-13/10
15%
BTTS - No
54%
-4/7
9%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
-17/4
14%
BTTS - Draw
17%
-4/1
9%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
-8/1
29%
Home/draw
76%
-1/4
3%
Away/draw
51%
-3/4
1%
Home/away
73%
-7/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
-11/20
11%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
-11/8
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
-4/1
25%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
-1/7
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
-10/1
38%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
-1/33
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
-22/1
35%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
-1/200
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
-1/9
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
-5/1
14%
Home DNB
68%
-2/5
5%
Away DNB
43%
-17/10
8%
Fluminense win to nil
30%
--
Corinthians win to nil
14%
--
Fluminense / Fluminense
24%
-11/5
2%
Fluminense / Corinthians
2%
-33/1
17%
Fluminense / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / Fluminense
17%
-18/5
4%
Draw / Corinthians
10%
-13/2
Draw / Draw
19%
-3/1
9%
Corinthians / Fluminense
3%
-22/1
10%
Corinthians / Corinthians
13%
-5/1
9%
Corinthians / Draw
6%
-12/1
Win / draw / win form
Fluminense 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Corinthians 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Fluminense have not lost to Corinthians in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
FLU
4
D
3
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
6 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
2 / 8
FLU
3
CTH
5
Goal Statistics

Fluminense have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Corinthians on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Fluminense 9th Corinthians 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Corinthians scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Fluminense have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
+26
Corinthians have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
18%
better
FLU
CTH
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score4
7
Scored first8
5
Goals scored18
17
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
FLU
CTH
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded20
21
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%

Fluminense v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20525
F FábioG CanoK SernaF Cruz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK20
1
-
Martinelli MID1911
4
-
J Freytes DEF18
3
1
H Hércules MID172
1
-
Everaldo FWD172
1
-
K Serna FWD1732
1
-
S Xavier DEF1421
3
-
Lima MID141
2
-
A Canobbio FWD1422
3
-
T Silva DEF13
-
Renê DEF131
-
Ganso MID13
1
-
G Cano FWD135
1
-
Nonato MID121
3
-
Guga DEF1111
1
-
F Cruz MID11
5
-
Ignacio DEF9
-
Keno FWD92
-
T Santos DEF7
2
-
G Fuentes DEF6
3
-
Y Soteldo FWD6
-
Manoel DEF4
-
R Lezcano MID3
-
J Kennedy FWD3
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD3
-
L Acosta MID21
1
-
S Moreno FWD2
1
-
I Rabello  DEF1
-
O Otávio MID1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18537
B BidonY AlbertoM DepayJ Martínez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Bidon MID2011
6
-
Ángel Romero FWD191
3
1
Raniele MID181
4
-
T Magno FWD1811
1
-
H Souza GLK17
1
-
Matheuzinho DEF1711
6
-
A Ramalho DEF16
4
-
A Carrillo MID1511
1
-
F Angileri DEF14
3
-
Cacá DEF142
3
-
J Martínez MID141
7
-
M Depay FWD1443
4
-
M Bidu DEF132
3
-
Maycon MID131
-
Y Alberto FWD1351
2
-
Charles MID11
2
-
R Garro MID111
3
-
R Lima MID10
1
-
G Henrique DEF91
-
F Torres DEF9
1
-
H Hernández FWD91
-
G. Silva Inácio FWD82
2
-
M Donelli GLK5
1
-
J Rodrigues DEF51
3
-
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD5
-
K Guimarães FWD4
-
Hugo DEF3
-
Vitinho FWD3
-
L. Lemos Carvalho MID2
-