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Gremio v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Feb, 00:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

We’ve Serie A action to enjoy on Thursday morning, as Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro and his Gremio side host Jorge Luis Sampaoli Moya’s Atlético Mineiro at the Arena do Grêmio. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Gremio or A Mineiro are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
44%
6/55/4
Draw
25%
5/212/5
A Mineiro
31%
2/111/5
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Gremio 1-0
10%
7/16/1
Gremio 2-1
9%
8/17/1
A Mineiro 1-0
8%
9/18/1
A Mineiro 2-1
7%
10/19/1
Gremio 2-0
7%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
6%
10/115/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/110/1
A Mineiro 2-0
5%
14/112/1
Gremio 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Gremio 3-0
4%
20/114/1
A Mineiro 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Gremio 3-2
3%
25/120/1
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
28/120/1
A Mineiro 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/2010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/105/4
No 1st Goal
4%
10/115/2
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
44%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/210/3
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/19/2
Home/draw
69%
4/117/20
Away/draw
56%
8/138/13
Home/away
75%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/223/10
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/59/4
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/15/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/81/10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/66
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/18/1
Home DNB
61%
8/133/5
Away DNB
49%
6/56/5
Gremio win to nil
23%
3/1-
A Mineiro win to nil
16%
9/2-
Gremio / Gremio
23%
13/512/5
Gremio / A Mineiro
3%
28/122/1
Gremio / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Gremio
15%
9/29/2
Draw / A Mineiro
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
A Mineiro / Gremio
4%
22/118/1
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
16%
4/119/5
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
3
A Mineiro have lost 3 consecutive away league games
3
A Mineiro have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Gremio 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Santos
Gremio1 - 1Internacional
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Botafogo
AGremio3 - 2Internacional
HGremio0 - 1Mirassol
A Mineiro 15TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bragantino1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 0A Mineiro
Bragantino2 - 0A Mineiro
S. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
Internacional0 - 0A Mineiro
Corinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
Botafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
Palmeiras3 - 2A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Ceara0 - 1A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Juventude0 - 1A Mineiro
Mirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
Santos2 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro3 - 3Remo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Bragantino
HA Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Bragantino
HA Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
AA Mineiro4 - 2S. Recife
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
AA Mineiro0 - 0Internacional
HA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
AA Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
AA Mineiro0 - 3Fluminense
HA Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
HA Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
AA Mineiro0 - 1Botafogo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
GRE
5
D
1
AMN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 1
2 - 3A Mineiro
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio4 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio2 - 0
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Gremio
Goals: Scored
12
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
GRE
3
AMN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
1 - 3Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro3 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro3 - 1
1 - 4Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
Goal Statistics
Gremio 13th A Mineiro 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Gremio have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-33
A Mineiro have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
GRE
AMN
5%
better
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first0
1
Goals scored6
5
Avg. goals scored2
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for25
16
Avg. XG for1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
GRE
AMN
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded7
6
Avg. goals conceded2.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against20%
18%
Avg. XG against2.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%

Gremio v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE