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Gremio v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 19:00 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Serie A, and Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes’s Gremio will have the blessing of it on Sunday evening. Rafael Escobar Obrero’s Mirassol are their opponents at the Arena do Grêmio. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Gremio 34%	-	-
Draw 30%	-	-
Mirassol 36%	-	-
Draw 1-1 14%	-	-
Mirassol 1-0 13%	-	-
Gremio 1-0 13%	-	-
Draw 0-0 13%	-	-
Mirassol 2-1 7%	-	-
Mirassol 2-0 7%	-	-
Gremio 2-1 7%	-	-
Gremio 2-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Mirassol 3-1 3%	-	-
Mirassol 3-0 3%	-	-
Gremio 3-1 2%	-	-
Gremio 3-0 2%	-	-
Mirassol 3-2 1%	-	-
Gremio 3-2 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	-
No 1st Goal 9%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 41%	-	-
BTTS - No 59%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 12%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	-	-
Home/draw 64%	-	-
Away/draw 66%	-	-
Home/away 70%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	-	-
Home DNB 55%	-	-
Away DNB 57%	-	-
Gremio win to nil 22%	-	-
Mirassol win to nil 24%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Gremio	1 - 1	Corinthians
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
Gremio	1 - 0	Santos
Gremio	1 - 1	Internacional
Gremio	0 - 2	Flamengo
Gremio	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Gremio	0 - 3	Corinthians
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 2	Juventude
Gremio	3 - 1	Atletico Go
Gremio	3 - 1	Fortaleza
Gremio	1 - 2	Criciuma
Gremio	3 - 2	Flamengo
Gremio	2 - 3	A Mineiro
Gremio	0 - 2	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Gremio	3 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Fluminense
H	Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Gremio	1 - 4	Cruzeiro
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Gremio	2 - 0	Juventude
H	Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
H	Gremio	1 - 0	Santos
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Vitoria
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Internacional
A	Gremio	1 - 4	Mirassol
H	Gremio	0 - 2	Flamengo
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Ceara

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fortaleza	0 - 1	Mirassol
Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Mirassol
Internacional	1 - 1	Mirassol
Bragantino	1 - 0	Mirassol
Juventude	2 - 2	Mirassol
Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol
Operario	1 - 1	Mirassol
Avai	0 - 0	Mirassol
CRB	0 - 1	Mirassol
Santos	3 - 2	Mirassol
Goias	0 - 1	Mirassol
Guarani	1 - 0	Mirassol
Ituano	3 - 2	Mirassol
Paysandu	0 - 0	Mirassol
Ceara	1 - 2	Mirassol
Chapecoense	0 - 1	Mirassol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
A	Mirassol	1 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Mirassol	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Ceara
H	Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Mirassol	2 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Mirassol	2 - 2	Juventude
H	Mirassol	4 - 1	Gremio
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Mirassol	1 - 2	Cruzeiro

Goal Statistics

Gremio's defensive record is very strong, L. Venker de Menezes's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Mirassol makes sense in this context.

	Gremio 13th	Mirassol 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Mirassol will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+15 Mirassol have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

GRE

32%

better

view stats

Games scored	13		15
Failed to score	4		1
Scored first	10		10
Goals scored	16		27
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.4
Avg. shots per game	6		7
Avg. shots per goal	9		5
Conversion rate for	12		20
Avg. XG for	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+32%

GRE

19%

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		12
Clean sheets	3		4
Conceded first	7		6
Goals conceded	23		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		10
Conversion rate against	13%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+19%

Gremio v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	1	5
T Volpi	M Braithwaite	Wagner	Dodi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Volpi GLK	21	1		2 -
Wagner DEF	20		1	2 -
Dodi MID	17			4 1
M Braithwaite FWD	17	6	1	3 -
M Villasanti MID	16			5 -
Edenilson MID	16	2	1	4 -
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	16		1	2 -
Marlon DEF	15		1	3 -
C Olivera FWD	15	2		3 -
F Cristaldo MID	14		1	1 -
A Guzmán FWD	13	2		1 -
Camilo MID	12			-
C Pavón FWD	12		1	4 -
W Kannemann DEF	11			5 -
André FWD	11	1	1	1 -
F Amuzu FWD	10	1		2 -
Jemerson DEF	9	1		3 -
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	9			-
M Monsalve MID	8		1	2 -
G Martins DEF	7	1		2 -
L Esteves DEF	6			1 -
J Pedro DEF	6			-
A Santana MID	5			3 -
G Cuéllar MID	5			-
F Balbuena DEF	3	1		-
C Vinícius FWD	3			1 1
V Lopes DEF	2			-
J Lucas DEF	2			1 -
R Ely DEF	2			-
M Rocha DEF	2			-
G Grando GLK	1			1 1
E Mola MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	1	4
M Braithwaite	M Braithwaite	Wagner	Edenilson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Braithwaite FWD	6	16	1	1
Edenilson MID	2	5	1	4
C Olivera FWD	2	9		1
A Guzmán FWD	2	3		2
T Volpi GLK	1	1
André FWD	1	6	1	1
F Amuzu FWD	1	6		1
Jemerson DEF	1	2
G Martins DEF	1	4
F Balbuena DEF	1	1
Wagner DEF		4	1	2
Dodi MID				1
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD		6	1	4
Marlon DEF		1	1	2
F Cristaldo MID		2	1	2
Camilo MID				1
C Pavón FWD		4	1	1
W Kannemann DEF		1
R. Freitas dos Santos MID		1		2
M Monsalve MID		1	1
L Esteves DEF		1
J Pedro DEF		1
A Santana MID		1
C Vinícius FWD		2		1
M Rocha DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
849	43	112
Wagner	M Villasanti	A. da Rocha dos Santos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Wagner DEF	849	19	71
T Volpi GLK	577		13
Marlon DEF	554	38	78
M Villasanti MID	535	43	81
Dodi MID	456	28	66
W Kannemann DEF	374	16	62
Jemerson DEF	336	18	43
Edenilson MID	272	11	40
M Braithwaite FWD	255	9	64
F Cristaldo MID	249	12	44
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	245	29	112
L Esteves DEF	245	9	30
C Pavón FWD	227	12	40
C Olivera FWD	219	24	76
G Martins DEF	204	12	30
G Cuéllar MID	196	12	22
Camilo MID	182	21	34
J Pedro DEF	171	6	18
F Balbuena DEF	166	3	12
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	162	6	31
A Santana MID	135	3	15
F Amuzu FWD	128	4	24
A Guzmán FWD	111	7	17
M Monsalve MID	103	5	24
M Rocha DEF	93	7	12
André FWD	76	1	17
C Vinícius FWD	29	1	18
E Mola MID	29	2	3
J Lucas DEF	18	4	4
R Ely DEF	13	1	3
V Lopes DEF	7

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	7	3	5
J. Ribeiro da Silva	Reinaldo	Reinaldo	L Ramon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	20	1		2 -
Reinaldo DEF	19	7	3	3 -
Danielzinho MID	19		2	3 -
Edson FWD	19	4	2	1 -
L Ramon DEF	18	1	2	5 -
N Moura MID	18			4 -
J Victor DEF	17	1	1	4 1
J Aldo MID	17		1	2 -
Negueba FWD	16	3	1	2 -
C Renato FWD	16	3	1	2 -
Gabriel MID	15	3	1	2 -
Walter GLK	14			2 -
Y Felipe MID	13		1	1 -
M Bianqui MID	9			1 -
Chico MID	9			1 -
Chico FWD	9	5		-
D Borges DEF	8	2		2 -
Alesson FWD	8	2	2	-
C Eduardo FWD	7		3	1 -
A Muralha GLK	6			2 -
Roni MID	6			1 -
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	5			1 -
Gabriel DEF	3			-
F Jonatan DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	14	3	6
Reinaldo	Reinaldo	Reinaldo	Reinaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Reinaldo DEF	7	14	3	6
Chico FWD	5	6
Edson FWD	4	12	2	4
Negueba FWD	3	8	1	4
C Renato FWD	3	12	1	1
Gabriel MID	3	8	1	3
D Borges DEF	2	2
Alesson FWD	2	2	2	1
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	1	3
L Ramon DEF	1	9	2	1
J Victor DEF	1	2	1	1
Danielzinho MID		3	2	3
J Aldo MID		4	1	2
Y Felipe MID			1	2
M Bianqui MID		1
Chico MID		1
C Eduardo FWD		2	3	4
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD		1		1
Gabriel DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1022	44	107
Danielzinho	L Ramon	L Ramon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danielzinho MID	1022	31	85
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	879	32	78
N Moura MID	801	42	72
J Victor DEF	760	14	52
Reinaldo DEF	710	21	61
L Ramon DEF	545	44	107
J Aldo MID	427	24	53
Gabriel MID	419	6	37
Walter GLK	356		15
Negueba FWD	272	15	62
Y Felipe MID	240	15	39
Edson FWD	198	24	68
A Muralha GLK	140		2
D Borges DEF	139	7	16
Chico FWD	118	2	26
Gabriel DEF	97	2	12
C Renato FWD	91	6	34
Chico MID	89	10	24
Alesson FWD	68	5	26
Roni MID	54	4	5
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	41	1	8
C Eduardo FWD	35	1	12
F Jonatan DEF	32	1	3
M Bianqui MID	20	2	10