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Palmeiras v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Feb, 00:30 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Luis Francisco Zubeldía is aiming for a vital away win in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as he takes his Fluminense side to the Allianz Parque to visit Palmeiras and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Palmeiras and Fluminense will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira or Luis Francisco Zubeldía has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.33 equating to about a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
50%
43/5010/11
Draw
25%
12/55/2
Fluminense
25%
3/13/1
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Palmeiras 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Palmeiras 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Palmeiras 2-0
9%
8/17/1
Fluminense 1-0
7%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
7%
9/115/2
Fluminense 2-1
6%
12/111/1
Palmeiras 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Palmeiras 3-0
5%
16/112/1
Fluminense 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Fluminense 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Palmeiras 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Palmeiras 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/613/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/58/5
No 1st Goal
5%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/517/20
BTTS - No
48%
19/2017/20
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/16/1
Home/draw
75%
2/92/9
Away/draw
50%
10/1117/20
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/211/5
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/223/10
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/211/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/115/2
Home DNB
68%
2/54/11
Away DNB
42%
7/415/8
Palmeiras win to nil
28%
9/4-
Fluminense win to nil
13%
6/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
27%
2/115/8
Palmeiras / Fluminense
3%
33/128/1
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Palmeiras
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Fluminense
9%
15/215/2
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
Fluminense / Palmeiras
4%
22/118/1
Fluminense / Fluminense
13%
11/25/1
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
15
Palmeiras have not lost in 15 consecutive home league games
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Home
15
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras5 - 1Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 0Vitoria
Palmeiras2 - 0Santos
Palmeiras0 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras5 - 1Bragantino
Palmeiras4 - 1Juventude
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras4 - 1Fortaleza
Palmeiras4 - 1Internacional
Palmeiras3 - 0S. Recife
Palmeiras2 - 1Ceara
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras3 - 2A Mineiro
Palmeiras1 - 1Mirassol
Palmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
Palmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 1Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras3 - 1Internacional
HPalmeiras5 - 1Vitoria
APalmeiras2 - 2A Mineiro
APalmeiras3 - 1Ceara
APalmeiras3 - 0A Mineiro
APalmeiras2 - 3Gremio
HPalmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
HPalmeiras0 - 0Vitoria
APalmeiras0 - 1Santos
APalmeiras1 - 2Mirassol
HPalmeiras2 - 0Santos
APalmeiras2 - 0Juventude
HPalmeiras0 - 0Cruzeiro
APalmeiras2 - 3Flamengo
HPalmeiras5 - 1Bragantino
HPalmeiras4 - 1Juventude
APalmeiras3 - 2Sao Paulo
HPalmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras0 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras4 - 1Fortaleza
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Ceara2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Mirassol2 - 1Fluminense
S. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
Vitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Santos0 - 0Fluminense
Bragantino4 - 2Fluminense
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Fluminense
Internacional0 - 2Fluminense
Juventude1 - 1Fluminense
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
Botafogo2 - 0Fluminense
Corinthians0 - 2Fluminense
Fortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense1 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 1Bahia
HFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense2 - 0Bahia
AFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminense0 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense2 - 1Flamengo
AFluminense0 - 0Cruzeiro
HFluminense1 - 0Mirassol
AFluminense0 - 2Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Internacional
AFluminense0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HFluminense1 - 0Juventude
AFluminense1 - 2Mirassol
HFluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
AFluminense2 - 2S. Recife
HFluminense2 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 0Vitoria
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
11
2
Games: Scored
6 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
2 / 8
PAL
5
D
2
FLU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Fluminense
Palmeiras1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras2 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 0
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
PAL
1
D
2
FLU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
1 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Fluminense on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Palmeiras 1st Fluminense 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Palmeiras have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-4
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
27%
better
PAL
FLU
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first3
3
Goals scored10
4
Avg. goals scored3.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal3
8
Conversion rate for30
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
PAL
FLU
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded4
2
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
14
Conversion rate against14%
7%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+42%

Palmeiras v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE