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Palmeiras v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 00:30 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Luis Francisco Zubeldía guides his Fluminense side to the Allianz Parque in the Serie A on Sunday morning, with Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras the opponent. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 markets are included in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make the most well-informed bet possible.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Palmeiras 68%	-	-
Draw 19%	-	-
Fluminense 13%	-	-
Palmeiras 2-0 12%	-	-
Palmeiras 1-0 12%	-	-
Palmeiras 2-1 10%	-	-
Draw 1-1 9%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-0 9%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-1 7%	-	-
Draw 0-0 6%	-	-
Palmeiras 4-0 5%	-	-
Fluminense 1-0 4%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Fluminense 2-1 4%	-	-
Palmeiras 4-1 4%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-2 3%	-	-
Palmeiras 5-0 2%	-	-
Fluminense 2-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 60%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 37%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	-	-
BTTS - No 52%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	-	-
Home/draw 87%	-	-
Away/draw 32%	-	-
Home/away 81%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Home DNB 81%	-	-
Away DNB 26%	-	-
Palmeiras win to nil 40%	-	-
Fluminense win to nil 7%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Fluminense have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Fluminense have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Bragantino
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Juventude
Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Internacional
Palmeiras	3 - 0	S. Recife
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Ceara
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Corinthians
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	1 - 3	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
A	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Juventude
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	2 - 3	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	5 - 1	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Juventude
A	Palmeiras	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	S. Recife
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Ceara
A	Palmeiras	2 - 2	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Fluminense
Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
S. Recife	2 - 2	Fluminense
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense
Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense
Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Internacional	0 - 2	Fluminense
Juventude	1 - 1	Fluminense
A Mineiro	3 - 2	Fluminense
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Fluminense
Internacional	2 - 0	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Bahia
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

2 / 7

Clean sheets

5 / 7

1 / 7

PAL

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
	0 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 0
Palmeiras	3 - 0
Palmeiras	3 - 0

Fluminense

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

0 / 8

PAL

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminense	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Fluminense fans, as should a 8 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Palmeiras 1st	Fluminense 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that Palmeiras will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Fluminense scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

22%

better

PAL

FLU

view stats

Games scored	27		24
Failed to score	5		9
Scored first	18		18
Goals scored	58		38
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.2
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		13
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+22%

better

PAL

FLU

view stats

Games conceded	20		20
Clean sheets	12		13
Conceded first	12		13
Goals conceded	28		37
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	12%		15%
Avg. XG against	0.9		0.9
KickOff rating		+8%

Palmeiras v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	16	7	7
J Piquerez	V Roque	M Maurício	G Portillo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Roque FWD	30	16	3	3 -
J Piquerez DEF	28	3	1	2 1
J López FWD	28	10	2	5 -
F Anderson FWD	27	4	2	-
Weverton GLK	26			2 -
A Giay DEF	25			1 -
M Maurício MID	25	3	7	1 -
F Torres FWD	25	4	3	2 -
G Portillo DEF	24	2	1	7 -
A Moreno MID	23		1	6 -
A. Andrade Elias MID	23	1	3	1 1
B Fuchs DEF	22	2		5 -
E Martínez MID	22	1		3 -
R Veiga MID	21	2	4	1 -
L Evangelista MID	19	2	1	2 -
R Sosa FWD	19	2	2	-
Murilo DEF	16	1	1	5 -
Micael DEF	13		1	4 -
A Pereira MID	12	2		3 -
Khellven DEF	10		2	1 -
J Dias DEF	7		1	-
L. Sousa Santos FWD	7			-
Paulinho FWD	7			-
B Rodrigues FWD	6	2		-
C Miguel GLK	5			-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			-
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	38	7	6
V Roque	V Roque	M Maurício	F Torres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Roque FWD	16	38	3	4
J López FWD	10	30	2	4
F Anderson FWD	4	10	2	2
F Torres FWD	4	12	3	6
J Piquerez DEF	3	11	1	5
M Maurício MID	3	12	7	5
G Portillo DEF	2	5	1	4
B Fuchs DEF	2	4		1
R Veiga MID	2	7	4	5
L Evangelista MID	2	7	1	1
R Sosa FWD	2	6	2	3
A Pereira MID	2	6
B Rodrigues FWD	2	3		1
A. Andrade Elias MID	1	6	3	1
E Martínez MID	1	6		4
Murilo DEF	1	3	1	1
A Giay DEF		1		3
A Moreno MID		5	1	4
Micael DEF		1	1	1
Khellven DEF		1	2	2
J Dias DEF			1
L. Sousa Santos FWD		1		1
Paulinho FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1159	54	183
J Piquerez	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Piquerez DEF	1159	48	95
G Portillo DEF	1010	48	143
A Giay DEF	863	54	112
A Moreno MID	828	40	74
B Fuchs DEF	806	36	87
Murilo DEF	704	23	70
F Anderson FWD	693	49	102
Weverton GLK	680	1	11
E Martínez MID	671	35	67
Micael DEF	581	24	62
F Torres FWD	528	13	68
L Evangelista MID	525	30	72
M Maurício MID	486	14	44
A Pereira MID	406	9	26
J López FWD	368	27	183
R Veiga MID	348	14	53
V Roque FWD	260	16	146
Khellven DEF	240	15	30
R Sosa FWD	224	6	47
A. Andrade Elias MID	201	27	65
J Dias DEF	144	6	22
C Miguel GLK	133		1
Paulinho FWD	101	1	13
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	86	2	7
L. Sousa Santos FWD	67	4	17
B Rodrigues FWD	39		4
M Lomba GLK	23

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	6	3	8
F Fábio	G Cano	K Serna	J Freytes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	33			2 -
H Hércules MID	29	3		1 -
J Freytes DEF	28		1	7 1
Martinelli MID	28	2	2	6 -
K Serna FWD	28	5	3	3 -
Lima MID	26	2	1	2 -
A Canobbio FWD	26	2	2	5 -
S Xavier DEF	24	4	1	3 -
Renê DEF	24	2		2 -
Everaldo FWD	23	2		1 -
T Silva DEF	22	1		1 -
G Cano FWD	22	6		1 -
F Cruz MID	19			6 -
Guga DEF	17	1	1	1 -
Keno FWD	17	1	2	1 -
Ignacio DEF	15			2 1
Nonato MID	15	1		3 -
Ganso MID	14			2 -
J Kennedy FWD	14	1	2	1 -
Y Soteldo FWD	13			-
L Acosta MID	12	2	1	4 -
G Fuentes DEF	10			3 -
T Santos DEF	8			2 -
O Otávio MID	6			-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	6		1	1 -
Manoel DEF	5			-
S Moreno FWD	5			2 -
R Lezcano MID	4			-
I Rabello DEF	3			1 1
J Lavega FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	3	4
G Cano	K Serna	K Serna	K Serna

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Cano FWD	6	13		1
K Serna FWD	5	16	3	4
S Xavier DEF	4	5	1	1
H Hércules MID	3	9
Martinelli MID	2	5	2	3
Lima MID	2	6	1	2
A Canobbio FWD	2	11	2	2
Renê DEF	2	2		2
Everaldo FWD	2	8		3
L Acosta MID	2	7	1	4
T Silva DEF	1	4
Guga DEF	1	2	1	3
Keno FWD	1	6	2	2
Nonato MID	1	3
J Kennedy FWD	1	7	2	1
J Freytes DEF		5	1	1
F Cruz MID		4		1
Ignacio DEF		3		1
Ganso MID				2
Y Soteldo FWD				2
G Fuentes DEF		2
R. Silva de Almeida FWD		1	1	1
J Lavega FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1898	50	126
J Freytes	H Hércules	K Serna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1898	19	97
T Silva DEF	1380	10	59
Martinelli MID	1344	42	110
S Xavier DEF	1116	33	72
Renê DEF	1116	45	114
H Hércules MID	999	50	101
F Fábio GLK	602		7
Ignacio DEF	580	21	62
A Canobbio FWD	575	46	122
Guga DEF	568	30	64
F Cruz MID	562	27	57
K Serna FWD	502	31	126
Lima MID	461	15	62
Ganso MID	443	10	34
L Acosta MID	419	15	53
G Fuentes DEF	416	20	47
G Cano FWD	341	6	43
Nonato MID	337	14	29
Everaldo FWD	206	7	71
O Otávio MID	179	5	16
Manoel DEF	178		6
Keno FWD	133	9	46
Y Soteldo FWD	129	5	29
I Rabello DEF	117	2	7
J Kennedy FWD	115		22
T Santos DEF	108	9	19
S Moreno FWD	74	2	6
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	49	9	17
R Lezcano MID	36	1	5
J Lavega FWD	22	1	6