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Santos v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th Aug, 20:00 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Santos are in Serie A action on Sunday night, as Cléber Márcio Serpa Xavier aims to beat Fernando Santos and his Vasco da Gama side at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Santos and Vasco d Gama combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 75% chance of it being right on the money. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Santos 47%	6/5	-
Draw 26%	11/5	-
Vasco d Gama 27%	12/5	-
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	-
Santos 1-0 12%	5/1	-
Santos 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Santos 2-0 9%	17/2	-
Vasco d Gama 1-0 8%	7/1	-
Draw 0-0 8%	6/1	-
Vasco d Gama 2-1 6%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	18/1	-
Santos 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Vasco d Gama 2-0 4%	14/1	-
Santos 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Santos 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-1 2%	33/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Santos 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	7/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	8/15	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	5/6	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	13/10	-
No 1st Goal 5%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	21/20	-
BTTS - No 50%	7/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	9/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1	-
Home/draw 73%	3/10	-
Away/draw 53%	4/6	-
Home/away 74%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1/2	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	13/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	7/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	22/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	6/1	-
Home DNB 65%	4/7	-
Away DNB 45%	5/4	-
Santos win to nil 27%	12/5	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 15%	4/1	-
Santos / Santos 22%	11/4	-
Santos / Vasco d Gama 2%	33/1	-
Santos / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Santos 16%	4/1	-
Draw / Vasco d Gama 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Vasco d Gama / Santos 3%	28/1	-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 15%	9/2	-
Vasco d Gama / Draw 5%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	3 - 1	Juventude
Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
Santos	1 - 0	Flamengo
Santos	0 - 1	Botafogo
Santos	0 - 0	Ceara
Santos	1 - 2	Bragantino
Santos	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
Santos	0 - 2	CRB
Santos	3 - 0	Vila Nova
Santos	1 - 0	Ceara
Santos	3 - 2	Mirassol
Santos	1 - 0	Operario
Santos	1 - 1	Novorizontin
Santos	2 - 1	America
Santos	2 - 2	Ponte Preta
Santos	0 - 0	Amazonas
Santos	0 - 1	Avai
Santos	1 - 1	S. Recife
Santos	4 - 0	Cortiba

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Santos	3 - 1	Juventude
A	Santos	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
A	Santos	0 - 3	Mirassol
H	Santos	1 - 0	Flamengo
A	Santos	3 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Santos	0 - 1	Botafogo
A	Santos	1 - 0	Vitoria
A	Santos	0 - 1	Corinthians
H	Santos	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Santos	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Santos	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Santos	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Santos	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Santos	0 - 1	Fluminense
H	Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
A	Santos	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Santos	1 - 2	S. Recife
H	Santos	0 - 2	CRB
A	Santos	2 - 0	Cortiba

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Criciuma	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Gremio	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Atletico Go	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Flamengo
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Ceara
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	S. Recife
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Corinthians
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Santos
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Cuiaba
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Atletico Go
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 3	Corinthians

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Santos

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

0 / 4

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Santos	4 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Santos	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Vasco d Gama

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

3 / 5

STS

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Santos
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Santos
	0 - 3	Santos

Goal Statistics

Santos's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Vasco da Gama have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.5 for C. Serpa Xavier's side suggests that run should continue.

	Santos 15th	Vasco d Gama 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Santos will score 1 or more goals	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-1 Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

STS

VDG

better

view stats

Games scored	10		10
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	5		7
Goals scored	15		18
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		11
Avg. XG for	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+9%

11%

better

STS

VDG

view stats

Games conceded	12		14
Clean sheets	4		2
Conceded first	10		8
Goals conceded	21		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+11%

Santos v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	5	3	4
G Brazão	Álvaro Barreal	T Soares	B Rollheiser

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	17			-
B Rollheiser FWD	16		2	4 -
G Escobar DEF	15			2 1
G. Silva Bontempo MID	15	1	1	1 -
D Eugênio FWD	15	1		-
Álvaro Barreal FWD	14	5		1 -
T Soares FWD	13	1	3	2 -
Z Ivaldo DEF	12	1		4 -
J Schmidt MID	12		1	3 -
G Augusto FWD	12	2	1	-
Thaciano MID	11	1		-
L Peres DEF	10			4 -
D Pituca MID	10	1		2 -
Neymar MID	9	3		3 1
Z Rafael MID	9			1 -
T Rincón MID	9			3 1
J. de Souza Menezes DEF	8		1	1 -
Gil DEF	7			3 -
J Basso DEF	6	1		2 -
L. Oliveira Meirelles FWD	6			-
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF	5			2 -
I Vinícius DEF	4			1 -
L Doria DEF	3			1 -
M. de Sousa FWD	3			-
Aderlan DEF	2			-
G Caballero FWD	2			-
Mayke DEF	1			-
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID	1			-
W Arão MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	3	4
Álvaro Barreal	Álvaro Barreal	T Soares	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Álvaro Barreal FWD	5	11		2
Neymar MID	3	10		2
G Augusto FWD	2	7	1	1
G. Silva Bontempo MID	1	1	1	1
D Eugênio FWD	1	4		1
T Soares FWD	1	5	3	3
Z Ivaldo DEF	1	1
Thaciano MID	1	2
D Pituca MID	1	2
J Basso DEF	1	1
G Brazão GLK				1
B Rollheiser FWD		2	2	4
G Escobar DEF		1
J Schmidt MID		1	1	1
L Peres DEF		1
J. de Souza Menezes DEF			1	3
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF		1		1
I Vinícius DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
542	54	93
B Rollheiser	G Escobar	G Escobar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Rollheiser FWD	542	12	55
G Escobar DEF	540	54	93
Z Ivaldo DEF	534	18	59
J Schmidt MID	493	13	39
L Peres DEF	467	9	40
G Brazão GLK	376	1	8
Álvaro Barreal FWD	347	17	45
G Augusto FWD	327	24	82
T Rincón MID	318	9	26
G. Silva Bontempo MID	308	19	50
Neymar MID	289	2	43
Gil DEF	259	14	30
J Basso DEF	253	7	29
J. de Souza Menezes DEF	240	16	39
Z Rafael MID	205	26	49
D Pituca MID	169	8	16
T Soares FWD	155	6	52
I Vinícius DEF	107	9	15
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF	92	10	17
D Eugênio FWD	83	3	27
Thaciano MID	72	8	25
Aderlan DEF	40	1	3
L Doria DEF	39	4	9
L. Oliveira Meirelles FWD	18	1	3
Mayke DEF	18	1	2
G Caballero FWD	10		3
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID	10		1
M. de Sousa FWD	4	1	3
W Arão MID			1

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	9	4	5
N Moreira	P Vegetti	L Piton	P Henrique

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Moreira FWD	16	3	1	1 -
L Jardim GLK	15			1 1
L Piton DEF	15		4	3 -
J Victor DEF	15	1		3 -
H Moura MID	15		1	4 -
P Vegetti FWD	15	9	1	2 -
R Rocha FWD	15	3	1	-
P Henrique DEF	13		3	5 -
T Tchê MID	13			-
L Freitas DEF	12	1		1 -
P Coutinho MID	10		1	1
L Augusto FWD	10			1 -
Adson FWD	10			-
A Teixeira FWD	9			1 -
Jair MID	8			2 -
Paulinho MID	8			2 -
B Garré FWD	8			1 -
J Bebanz DEF	6	1	1	-
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF	5			3 -
M Lemos DEF	4			-
David FWD	4		1	-
D Fuzato GLK	2			-
V Luis DEF	2			-
J Sforza MID	2			-
T Mendes MID	2			1 -
J Meneses MID	1			-
G. Souza da Silva FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	16	4	5
P Vegetti	R Rocha	L Piton	L Piton

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Vegetti FWD	9	15	1	2
N Moreira FWD	3	11	1	4
R Rocha FWD	3	16	1	3
J Victor DEF	1	4
L Freitas DEF	1	1
J Bebanz DEF	1	1	1	1
L Piton DEF			4	5
H Moura MID		5	1	2
P Henrique DEF		5	3	3
T Tchê MID		1
P Coutinho MID		11	1	2
L Augusto FWD		2
Adson FWD		2		1
A Teixeira FWD		2
Jair MID		1
B Garré FWD		1		1
David FWD		2	1	2
V Luis DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
922	48	112
J Victor	P Henrique	P Henrique

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Victor DEF	922	27	80
L Piton DEF	798	15	40
H Moura MID	736	26	45
L Freitas DEF	621	11	36
P Henrique DEF	520	48	112
T Tchê MID	517	10	44
N Moreira FWD	468	18	63
P Coutinho MID	429	7	40
L Jardim GLK	390		7
R Rocha FWD	283	16	71
Jair MID	277	9	26
P Vegetti FWD	170	8	65
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF	167	4	12
J Bebanz DEF	160	4	13
Paulinho MID	154	6	19
M Lemos DEF	138	1	5
Adson FWD	136	6	13
B Garré FWD	130	5	8
J Sforza MID	91	1	2
L Augusto FWD	73	2	10
David FWD	68	1	10
A Teixeira FWD	53	4	7
D Fuzato GLK	52		1
V Luis DEF	50		3
T Mendes MID	47		2
J Meneses MID	3	1	2
G. Souza da Silva FWD	3		1