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Santos v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Feb, 22:00 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Thursday night at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira, and it’s a Serie A clash between Santos and Vasco da Gama. Juan Pablo Vojvoda and Fernando Diniz Silva going all-out to claim victory. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Santos and Vasco d Gama have rarely served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite WDW or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Santos are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santos
44%
23/206/5
Draw
26%
11/512/5
Vasco d Gama
30%
5/29/4
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Santos 1-0
11%
13/211/2
Santos 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Vasco d Gama 1-0
9%
9/17/1
Santos 2-0
8%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
8%
8/17/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Santos 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Santos 3-0
4%
20/114/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Santos 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Vasco d Gama 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
43/4021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/117/10
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/413/10
No 1st Goal
5%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/517/20
BTTS - No
48%
19/2017/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/418/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/317/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/15/1
Home/draw
70%
2/71/3
Away/draw
56%
4/613/20
Home/away
74%
4/113/10
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/37/20
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/427/10
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/80
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/17/1
Home DNB
62%
8/154/7
Away DNB
49%
11/85/4
Santos win to nil
24%
11/4-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
16%
5/1-
Santos / Santos
23%
13/512/5
Santos / Vasco d Gama
3%
28/125/1
Santos / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Santos
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Vasco d Gama
12%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
Vasco d Gama / Santos
3%
25/120/1
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
15%
9/24/1
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Vasco d Gama have lost 5 consecutive away league games
6
Santos have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
5
Vasco d Gama have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Santos 18TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos3 - 0Cruzeiro
Santos3 - 0S. Recife
Santos1 - 1Mirassol
Santos1 - 0Palmeiras
Santos1 - 1Fortaleza
Santos0 - 1Vitoria
Santos3 - 1Corinthians
Santos1 - 1Gremio
Santos1 - 0Sao Paulo
Santos0 - 0Fluminense
Santos0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Santos3 - 1Juventude
Santos1 - 2Internacional
Santos1 - 0Flamengo
Santos0 - 1Botafogo
Santos0 - 0Ceara
Santos1 - 2Bragantino
Santos2 - 0A Mineiro
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASantos1 - 2Athletico PR
HSantos1 - 1Sao Paulo
ASantos2 - 4Chapecoense
HSantos3 - 0Cruzeiro
ASantos3 - 0Juventude
HSantos3 - 0S. Recife
ASantos1 - 1Internacional
HSantos1 - 1Mirassol
HSantos1 - 0Palmeiras
ASantos2 - 3Flamengo
ASantos0 - 2Palmeiras
HSantos1 - 1Fortaleza
ASantos2 - 2Botafogo
HSantos0 - 1Vitoria
HSantos3 - 1Corinthians
ASantos0 - 3Ceara
HSantos1 - 1Gremio
ASantos2 - 2Bragantino
HSantos1 - 0Sao Paulo
ASantos1 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama 17TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza0 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Santos0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Mirassol3 - 2Vasco d Gama
Internacional1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Ceara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
AVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
10
10
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
STS
2
D
2
VDG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Santos4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Santos3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Santos
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
STS
3
VDG
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
0 - 1Santos
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
0 - 1Santos
0 - 3Santos
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Vasco da Gama of late. It has been 5 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against Santos.

Santos 18th Vasco d Gama 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Santos will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Vasco d Gama have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Santos
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
33%
better
STS
VDG
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
2
Goals scored4
2
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
17
Avg. shots per goal8
26
Conversion rate for13
4
Avg. XG for1.1
2.6
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
STS
VDG
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded7
4
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded3
6
Conversion rate against37%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.5
KickOff rating
+25%

Santos v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE