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La Serena v Concepcion : Primera Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Oct, 16:30 BST, Estadio La Portada de La Serena, La Serena

Concepcion are on the road on Saturday afternoon, as manager Fernando Díaz Burgo takes his side to visit La Serena and Mario Sciacqua at the Estadio La Portada de La Serena in the Primera Division. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of La Serena and Concepcion scoring at least two goals in this Primera Division match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think La Serena are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
La Serena 42%	5/4 2%	-
Draw 26%	12/5 5%	-
Concepcion 32%	15/8	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
La Serena 1-0 10%	15/2 6%	-
La Serena 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Concepcion 1-0 9%	9/1 5%	-
Concepcion 2-1 7%	10/1	-
La Serena 2-0 7%	11/1 9%	-
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1 10%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1 13%	-
Concepcion 2-0 5%	14/1	-
La Serena 3-1 4%	18/1	-
La Serena 3-0 3%	20/1	-
Concepcion 3-1 3%	22/1	-
La Serena 3-2 3%	25/1 10%	-
Concepcion 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	-
Concepcion 3-0 2%	28/1 15%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	17/20 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	19/20 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	5/6	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1 10%	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	4/6 7%	-
BTTS - No 47%	11/10 10%	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	7/2 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	9/2 8%	-
Home/draw 68%	4/11	-
Away/draw 58%	8/13	-
Home/away 74%	3/10 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1/4 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	11/4 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	9/4 4%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1/3 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	5/1 14%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/8 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1	-
Home DNB 60%	4/6 3%	-
Away DNB 50%	11/10 5%	-
La Serena win to nil 23%	3/1 7%	-
Concepcion win to nil 17%	9/2	-
La Serena / La Serena 22%	11/4	-
La Serena / Concepcion 3%	28/1	-
La Serena / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / La Serena 14%	5/1 9%	-
Draw / Concepcion 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 10%	-
Concepcion / La Serena 4%	22/1 12%	-
Concepcion / Concepcion 18%	15/4 5%	-
Concepcion / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
La Serena	0 - 3	Universidad
La Serena	2 - 1	Nublense
La Serena	3 - 3	Cobresal
La Serena	1 - 2	O'Higgins
La Serena	2 - 4	Colo-Colo
La Serena	4 - 1	Deportes Limache
La Serena	0 - 0	Huachipato
La Serena	1 - 0	Everton (CHI)
La Serena	3 - 0	U. La Calera
La Serena	1 - 1	U. Concepcion
La Serena	0 - 1	Coquimbo
La Serena	2 - 2	U. Catolica
La Serena	0 - 3	Palestino
La Serena	0 - 1	U. Catolica
La Serena	2 - 1	Audax
La Serena	1 - 1	Nublense
La Serena	1 - 1	Universidad
La Serena	0 - 2	Huachipato
La Serena	3 - 3	O'Higgins
La Serena	0 - 2	Cobresal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	La Serena	2 - 3	Everton (CHI)
H	La Serena	0 - 3	Universidad
H	La Serena	2 - 1	Nublense
A	La Serena	1 - 0	U. La Calera
H	La Serena	3 - 3	Cobresal
A	La Serena	2 - 0	U. Concepcion
A	La Serena	1 - 1	Coquimbo
H	La Serena	1 - 2	O'Higgins
A	La Serena	3 - 3	U. Catolica
A	La Serena	1 - 1	Audax
H	La Serena	2 - 4	Colo-Colo
H	La Serena	4 - 1	Deportes Limache
A	La Serena	1 - 5	Palestino
H	La Serena	0 - 0	Huachipato
A	La Serena	3 - 3	Concepcion
H	La Serena	1 - 0	Everton (CHI)
A	La Serena	0 - 4	Universidad
A	La Serena	2 - 2	Nublense
H	La Serena	3 - 0	U. La Calera
A	La Serena	1 - 0	Cobresal

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 11

Conceded

7 / 11

Clean sheets

4 / 11

Failed to score

3 / 11

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Colo-Colo	1 - 1	Concepcion
Nublense	0 - 1	Concepcion
Cobresal	0 - 2	Concepcion
Universidad	2 - 1	Concepcion
Palestino	0 - 1	Concepcion
U. La Calera	1 - 0	Concepcion
Audax	3 - 0	Concepcion
Coquimbo	0 - 1	Concepcion
U. Concepcion	2 - 1	Concepcion
U. Catolica	2 - 0	Concepcion
O'Higgins	2 - 1	Concepcion

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Concepcion	1 - 1	U. La Calera
A	Concepcion	1 - 1	Colo-Colo
H	Concepcion	0 - 1	Audax
A	Concepcion	1 - 0	Nublense
H	Concepcion	1 - 1	Coquimbo
A	Concepcion	2 - 0	Cobresal
H	Concepcion	1 - 0	U. Concepcion
H	Concepcion	3 - 0	U. Catolica
H	Concepcion	2 - 0	O'Higgins
H	Concepcion	3 - 2	Deportes Limache
A	Concepcion	1 - 2	Universidad
H	Concepcion	2 - 0	Huachipato
H	Concepcion	0 - 2	Everton (CHI)
A	Concepcion	1 - 0	Palestino
H	Concepcion	3 - 3	La Serena
A	Concepcion	0 - 1	U. La Calera
H	Concepcion	0 - 1	Colo-Colo
A	Concepcion	0 - 3	Audax
H	Concepcion	0 - 2	Nublense
A	Concepcion	1 - 0	Coquimbo

Goal Statistics

Concepcion's defensive record is very strong, F. Díaz Burgo's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Primera Division outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for La Serena makes sense in this context.

	La Serena 11th	Concepcion 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that La Serena will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Concepcion will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-25 La Serena have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted	=0 Concepcion’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera Division - 2026/2026 season

19%

better

SER

view stats

Games scored	19		17
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	13		13
Goals scored	36		26
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		11
Conversion rate for	16		10
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+19%

SER

18%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		16
Clean sheets	6		8
Conceded first	10		11
Goals conceded	41		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		9
Conversion rate against	17%		11%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+18%

La Serena v Concepcion Primera Division lLine ups will show here when available.

La Serena Primera Division squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	7	7	9
J Vargas	F Chamorro	J Vargas	F Chamorro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Tapia GLK	10			-
J Gutiérrez DEF	20		1	2 -
I Rasso DEF	9			3 -
L Alarcón DEF	15	1	1	2 1
R Delgado DEF	21	1		3 -
F. Dinamarca Tapia DEF	14			5 -
F Chamorro MID	23	7	3	9 -
F Allister MID	21			7 1
J Vargas MID	24	7	7	-
M Marín MID	20	4		5 -
G. Figueroa FWD	5	2	2	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	23	7	7
F Chamorro	F Chamorro	J Vargas	J Vargas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Chamorro MID	7	23	3	5
J Vargas MID	7	21	7	7
M Marín MID	4	11		2
G. Figueroa FWD	2	4	2	2
L Alarcón DEF	1	1	1	1
R Delgado DEF	1	4
J Gutiérrez DEF		4	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
836	59	156
F Allister	F Allister	F Chamorro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Allister MID	836	59	118
J Vargas MID	784	16	81
R Delgado DEF	745	34	105
L Alarcón DEF	527	19	69
F Chamorro MID	499	29	156
M Marín MID	354	25	49
I Rasso DEF	283	13	29
J Gutiérrez DEF	258	9	25
J Tapia GLK	253		7
F. Dinamarca Tapia DEF	179	31	50
G. Figueroa FWD	50	3	22

Concepcion Primera Division squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	7	3	6
N Olivera	J Larrivey	J Henríquez	F Grillo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Bruna GLK	17			-
A Cáceres DEF	18	2		4 -
N Olivera DEF	21	3	1	3 -
F Grillo DEF	18	1		5 1
D. Varas Araneda DEF	9			-
C Riquelme DEF	9		1	3 -
M Sandoval MID	18	2		4 -
Y Rodríguez MID	16			3 -
J Henríquez MID	21	3	3	3 -
E Espinoza MID	21	2		2 -
J Larrivey FWD	20	7	2	2 2

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	16	3	4
J Larrivey	J Larrivey	J Henríquez	J Larrivey

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Larrivey FWD	7	16	2	4
N Olivera DEF	3	5	1
J Henríquez MID	3	11	3	3
A Cáceres DEF	2	2		1
M Sandoval MID	2	6
E Espinoza MID	2	13
F Grillo DEF	1	4
C Riquelme DEF		1	1	1
Y Rodríguez MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
855	42	108
J Henríquez	A Cáceres	E Espinoza

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Henríquez MID	855	25	75
N Olivera DEF	742	36	101
M Sandoval MID	682	42	69
A Cáceres DEF	544	42	84
F Grillo DEF	534	27	84
E Espinoza MID	456	24	108
Y Rodríguez MID	432	37	83
J Larrivey FWD	363	12	84
N Bruna GLK	340	1	21
D. Varas Araneda DEF	208	14	34
C Riquelme DEF	204	10	23