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Ñublense v Unión La Calera : Primera Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 5th May, 01:00 BST, Estadio Bicentenario Municipal N, Chillán

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Primera Division, and Francisco Esteban Arrué Pardo’s Ñublense will have the luxury of it on Monday morning. Walter Oscar Lemma’s Unión La Calera are their visitors to the Estadio Bicentenario Municipal N. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Francisco Esteban Arrué Pardo and Walter Oscar Lemma to got all-out defensive here, but we certainly don't expect to see a flood of goals as Nublense and U. La Calera go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.65 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we recommend.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nublense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Nublense 48%	21/20 3%	-
Draw 32%	11/5 2%	-
U. La Calera 20%	13/5 3%	-
Nublense 1-0 20%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 17%	13/2 6%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Nublense 2-0 11%	8/1	-
U. La Calera 1-0 11%	8/1 5%	-
Nublense 2-1 7%	17/2 6%	-
Nublense 3-0 4%	18/1 12%	-
U. La Calera 2-1 4%	12/1	-
U. La Calera 2-0 3%	16/1	-
Nublense 3-1 3%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 2%	16/1	-
Nublense 4-0 1%	40/1	-
Nublense 3-2 1%	33/1	-
U. La Calera 3-1 1%	33/1	-
Nublense 4-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 26%	13/10 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 74%	3/5 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6	-
Away 1st Goal 35%	8/5	-
No 1st Goal 13%	13/2 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 31%	1/1 5%	-
BTTS - No 69%	8/11 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 12%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 5%	7/1	-
Home/draw 80%	2/7	-
Away/draw 52%	8/11 4%	-
Home/away 68%	4/11 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 53%	2/5 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 47%	7/4 8%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 10%	10/3 8%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 90%	1/5 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 3%	9/1 11%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 97%	1/16 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	20/1 11%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/66 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 83%	1/12	-
Under 0.5 Goals 17%	13/2 6%	-
Home DNB 70%	1/2 4%	-
Away DNB 42%	6/4 5%	-
Nublense win to nil 37%	9/4	-
U. La Calera win to nil 15%	9/2 8%	-
Nublense / Nublense 24%	12/5 5%	-
Nublense / U. La Calera 2%	33/1	-
Nublense / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Nublense 17%	4/1	-
Draw / U. La Calera 11%	13/2 6%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	-
U. La Calera / Nublense 3%	25/1	-
U. La Calera / U. La Calera 14%	5/1	-
U. La Calera / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

U. La Calera have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nublense	2 - 0	La Serena
Nublense	0 - 0	Coquimbo
Nublense	1 - 1	Iquique
Nublense	1 - 1	U. Catolica
Nublense	1 - 1	Deportes Limache
Nublense	1 - 4	Universidad
Nublense	2 - 0	Iquique
Nublense	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Nublense	1 - 0	Cobresal
Nublense	0 - 0	U. Espanola
Nublense	1 - 1	Everton (CHI)
Nublense	1 - 2	U. Catolica
Nublense	3 - 0	Huachipato
Nublense	2 - 2	O'Higgins
Nublense	6 - 0	Cobreloa
Nublense	0 - 2	Palestino
Nublense	3 - 0	Colo-Colo
Nublense	1 - 0	Copiapo
Nublense	1 - 2	Audax
Nublense	0 - 0	Coquimbo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nublense	2 - 0	La Serena
H	Nublense	0 - 0	Coquimbo
A	Nublense	0 - 3	U. Espanola
H	Nublense	1 - 1	Iquique
A	Nublense	0 - 2	Palestino
H	Nublense	1 - 1	U. Catolica
A	Nublense	2 - 1	Everton (CHI)
H	Nublense	1 - 1	Deportes Limache
A	Nublense	0 - 5	Universidad
A	Nublense	0 - 1	Huachipato
H	Nublense	1 - 4	Universidad
A	Nublense	3 - 1	O'Higgins
H	Nublense	2 - 0	Iquique
H	Nublense	0 - 1	U. La Calera
A	Nublense	1 - 0	Cobreloa
H	Nublense	1 - 0	Cobresal
A	Nublense	1 - 1	Palestino
A	Nublense	1 - 2	Colo-Colo
H	Nublense	0 - 0	U. Espanola
H	Nublense	1 - 1	Everton (CHI)

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Everton (CHI)	1 - 1	U. La Calera
Palestino	1 - 0	U. La Calera
La Serena	1 - 0	U. La Calera
Universidad	1 - 0	U. La Calera
Coquimbo	0 - 0	U. La Calera
Everton (CHI)	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Universidad	1 - 0	U. La Calera
Nublense	0 - 1	U. La Calera
O'Higgins	1 - 1	U. La Calera
Cobreloa	2 - 0	U. La Calera
Iquique	1 - 1	U. La Calera
U. Catolica	2 - 0	U. La Calera
U. Espanola	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Cobresal	2 - 1	U. La Calera
Colo-Colo	3 - 1	U. La Calera
Audax	2 - 2	U. La Calera
Copiapo	2 - 0	U. La Calera
Palestino	0 - 0	U. La Calera
Huachipato	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Coquimbo	1 - 2	U. La Calera

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	U. La Calera	1 - 0	Audax
A	U. La Calera	1 - 1	Everton (CHI)
A	U. La Calera	0 - 1	Palestino
H	U. La Calera	2 - 1	Cobresal
A	U. La Calera	0 - 1	La Serena
H	U. La Calera	1 - 0	Huachipato
H	U. La Calera	2 - 2	O'Higgins
A	U. La Calera	0 - 1	Universidad
H	U. La Calera	4 - 0	U. Espanola
H	U. La Calera	3 - 0	Cobresal
A	U. La Calera	0 - 0	Coquimbo
H	U. La Calera	0 - 2	U. Espanola
H	U. La Calera	0 - 1	Colo-Colo
A	U. La Calera	1 - 0	Everton (CHI)
A	U. La Calera	0 - 1	Universidad
A	U. La Calera	1 - 0	Nublense
H	U. La Calera	2 - 1	Audax
A	U. La Calera	1 - 1	O'Higgins
H	U. La Calera	3 - 3	Copiapo
H	U. La Calera	2 - 1	Palestino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

U. La Calera have not lost to Nublense in 8 consecutive league meetings

Nublense

U. La Calera

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

3 / 4

CAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nublense
	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	U. La Calera

U. La Calera

Nublense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

0 / 4

CAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT U. La Calera
U. La Calera	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
U. La Calera	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Ñublense of late. It has been 5 Primera Division matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday morning against Unión La Calera.

	Nublense 12th	U. La Calera 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	0.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 4+ There is a 68% probability that Nublense will score no more than 1 goal	0 54% 1 33% 2 3 4+ There is a 54% probability that U. La Calera will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Nublense have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-39 U. La Calera have scored 39% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera Division - 2025/2025 season

NUB

CAL

27%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		6
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	3		4
Goals scored	7		11
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.2
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	11		7
Conversion rate for	9		14
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+27%

NUB

CAL

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		6
Clean sheets	2		3
Conceded first	5		5
Goals conceded	14		7
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		11
Conversion rate against	13%		9%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+27%

Nublense v U. La Calera Primera Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Nublense Primera Division squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	1	1	3
N Pérez	L Reyes	O Bosso	O Bosso

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Pérez GLK	9			-
L Reyes MID	9	1		1 -
G Sosa FWD	9	1		1 -
O Bosso DEF	8		1	3 -
G Graciani MID	8	1	1	-
F Mateos MID	8	1	1	1 -
L Molina FWD	8	1		-
P Sánchez FWD	8	1	1	2 -
B Cerezo DEF	7		1	1 -
J Campusano DEF	7			2 -
E Valencia MID	7			1
P Rubio FWD	7	1		2 -
D. Sanhueza DEF	6			1 -
I Agüero MID	6			1 1
M. Plaza Berrios MID	6			1 1
B Oyarzo FWD	6			-
P Calderón DEF	5		1	3 -
M Rodríguez FWD	5			1 -
R González DEF	3			-
F Borowsky DEF	2			2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	6	1	2
L Reyes	G Sosa	O Bosso	B Oyarzo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Sosa FWD	1	6
G Graciani MID	1	5	1	1
F Mateos MID	1	2	1	1
L Molina FWD	1	1
P Sánchez FWD	1	2	1
L Reyes MID	1	2
P Rubio FWD	1	2
M Rodríguez FWD				1
P Calderón DEF			1
B Oyarzo FWD		2		2
I Agüero MID		1
B Cerezo DEF		1	1	1
O Bosso DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
471	17	46
L Reyes	L Reyes	L Reyes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Reyes MID	471	17	46
O Bosso DEF	270	8	32
B Cerezo DEF	261	16	27
J Campusano DEF	254	8	25
F Mateos MID	243	13	34
N Pérez GLK	204	1	5
G Graciani MID	163	8	34
I Agüero MID	157	6	15
P Rubio FWD	148		19
D. Sanhueza DEF	129	9	16
E Valencia MID	124	4	11
P Calderón DEF	120	5	22
M. Plaza Berrios MID	113	3	25
M Rodríguez FWD	105	4	19
B Oyarzo FWD	94	5	24
P Sánchez FWD	94	6	16
L Molina FWD	73	5	8
F Borowsky DEF	72	9	13
G Sosa FWD	66	3	22
R González DEF	26		2

U. La Calera Primera Division squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	5	2	5
J Peña	S Sáez	C Insaurralde	D Ulloa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Peña GLK	9			-
N Brunet DEF	9			2 -
F Campos DEF	9			3 -
D Ulloa DEF	9			5 -
C Peña DEF	9	1	1	2 -
G. De Los Santos Olivera MID	9	1	1	2 -
A Álvarez MID	9			-
S Sáez FWD	9	5	1	1 -
C Insaurralde FWD	9	2	2	-
C Moya MID	8			1 -
J. Saldías DEF	7			1 -
F Taborda FWD	7		1	-
F Yañez DEF	6			1 -
J. Méndez Gonzalez MID	6	1		-
F Lobos FWD	6		1	1 -
A. Encinas MID	5			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	7	2	2
S Sáez	S Sáez	C Insaurralde	A. Encinas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Sáez FWD	5	7	1	1
C Insaurralde FWD	2	5	2
C Peña DEF	1	2	1	1
G. De Los Santos Olivera MID	1	3	1	1
J. Méndez Gonzalez MID	1	1
D Ulloa DEF		1		1
A Álvarez MID		1
C Moya MID		3		1
F Taborda FWD		2	1
F Yañez DEF		1		1
F Lobos FWD			1
A. Encinas MID				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
574	18	46
A Álvarez	A Álvarez	D Ulloa

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Álvarez MID	574	18	34
N Brunet DEF	509	15	34
F Campos DEF	475	10	28
C Peña DEF	327	12	37
C Moya MID	318	13	32
G. De Los Santos Olivera MID	296	16	42
J Peña GLK	291	1	8
D Ulloa DEF	252	16	46
S Sáez FWD	245	6	33
C Insaurralde FWD	143	14	31
F Yañez DEF	123	11	18
J. Méndez Gonzalez MID	101	1	5
J. Saldías DEF	89	9	16
F Taborda FWD	62	4	13
A. Encinas MID	31	3	6
F Lobos FWD	30	2	11

Chilean Primera Division match betting previews, predictions and odds

Deportes Limache v Colo-Colo

Fri 2nd May, 21:00

U. Espanola v Cobresal

Sat 3rd May, 01:30

Everton (CHI) v Palestino

Sat 3rd May, 17:30

Universidad v U. Catolica

Nublense v U. La Calera

Mon 5th May, 01:00

Ñublense v Unión La Calera : Primera Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Nublense v U. La Calera Primera Division lLine ups will show here when available.

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