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Ñublense v Unión La Calera : Primera Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Aug, 17:30 BST, Estadio Bicentenario Municipal N, Chillán

It's an away match for Martín Cicotello's Unión La Calera side on Sunday evening, as they head to the Estadio Bicentenario Municipal N for a Primera Division tie with Juan José Ribera's Ñublense. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Nublense and U. La Calera will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookmakers have it at 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nublense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.79.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Nublense 59%	79/100	-
Draw 23%	23/10	-
U. La Calera 18%	31/10	-
Nublense 1-0 13%	11/2	-
Nublense 2-0 11%	7/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
Nublense 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	15/2	-
Nublense 3-0 7%	14/1	-
U. La Calera 1-0 6%	10/1	-
Nublense 3-1 6%	16/1	-
U. La Calera 2-1 5%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Nublense 4-0 3%	33/1	-
U. La Calera 2-0 3%	20/1	-
Nublense 4-1 3%	33/1	-
Nublense 3-2 2%	28/1	-
U. La Calera 3-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	11/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	7/10	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	4/6	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	8/5	-
No 1st Goal 5%	15/2	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	10/11	-
BTTS - No 53%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	8/1	-
Home/draw 82%	2/9	-
Away/draw 41%	10/11	-
Home/away 77%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	9/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1/4	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	7/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/12	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	15/2	-
Home DNB 75%	4/11	-
Away DNB 34%	2/1	-
Nublense win to nil 35%	2/1	-
U. La Calera win to nil 10%	6/1	-
Nublense / Nublense 28%	2/1	-
Nublense / U. La Calera 2%	33/1	-
Nublense / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Nublense 17%	15/4	-
Draw / U. La Calera 10%	15/2	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	-
U. La Calera / Nublense 4%	22/1	-
U. La Calera / U. La Calera 12%	6/1	-
U. La Calera / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nublense	2 - 0	Palestino
Nublense	2 - 2	Huachipato
Nublense	2 - 2	U. Concepcion
Nublense	0 - 2	O'Higgins
Nublense	1 - 0	Universidad
Nublense	2 - 2	La Serena
Nublense	1 - 2	U. Catolica
Nublense	1 - 0	Audax
Nublense	1 - 1	Deportes Limache
Nublense	5 - 0	Cobresal
Nublense	0 - 1	Huachipato
Nublense	0 - 1	Colo-Colo
Nublense	1 - 2	U. Espanola
Nublense	1 - 0	Palestino
Nublense	1 - 0	Everton (CHI)
Nublense	2 - 2	Universidad
Nublense	2 - 3	Audax
Nublense	0 - 1	O'Higgins
Nublense	1 - 1	U. La Calera
Nublense	2 - 0	La Serena

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nublense	2 - 0	Palestino
H	Nublense	2 - 2	Huachipato
A	Nublense	1 - 0	Cobresal
H	Nublense	2 - 2	U. Concepcion
A	Nublense	2 - 6	Colo-Colo
H	Nublense	0 - 2	O'Higgins
A	Nublense	1 - 1	Coquimbo
H	Nublense	1 - 0	Universidad
A	Nublense	0 - 0	Everton (CHI)
H	Nublense	2 - 2	La Serena
A	Nublense	2 - 0	Concepcion
H	Nublense	1 - 2	U. Catolica
A	Nublense	1 - 0	U. La Calera
H	Nublense	1 - 0	Audax
H	Nublense	1 - 1	Deportes Limache
A	Nublense	1 - 1	Palestino
H	Nublense	5 - 0	Cobresal
A	Nublense	0 - 1	Audax
H	Nublense	0 - 1	Huachipato
A	Nublense	2 - 4	O'Higgins

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cobresal	4 - 0	U. La Calera
U. Concepcion	0 - 0	U. La Calera
Huachipato	3 - 1	U. La Calera
U. Catolica	1 - 2	U. La Calera
Deportes Limache	4 - 0	U. La Calera
La Serena	3 - 0	U. La Calera
Colo-Colo	1 - 0	U. La Calera
Everton (CHI)	3 - 0	U. La Calera
U. Catolica	2 - 1	U. La Calera
Colo-Colo	4 - 1	U. La Calera
Coquimbo	2 - 0	U. La Calera
Audax	4 - 3	U. La Calera
Cobresal	1 - 0	U. La Calera
Huachipato	1 - 0	U. La Calera
O'Higgins	1 - 0	U. La Calera
U. Espanola	3 - 1	U. La Calera
Deportes Limache	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Iquique	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Nublense	1 - 1	U. La Calera
Everton (CHI)	1 - 1	U. La Calera

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	U. La Calera	0 - 4	Cobresal
H	U. La Calera	1 - 1	Everton (CHI)
H	U. La Calera	2 - 2	Universidad
A	U. La Calera	0 - 0	U. Concepcion
H	U. La Calera	1 - 2	Palestino
A	U. La Calera	1 - 3	Huachipato
H	U. La Calera	1 - 2	Coquimbo
A	U. La Calera	2 - 1	U. Catolica
H	U. La Calera	1 - 0	Concepcion
A	U. La Calera	0 - 4	Deportes Limache
H	U. La Calera	3 - 3	O'Higgins
A	U. La Calera	0 - 3	La Serena
H	U. La Calera	3 - 0	Audax
H	U. La Calera	0 - 1	Nublense
A	U. La Calera	0 - 1	Colo-Colo
H	U. La Calera	3 - 1	Cobresal
A	U. La Calera	0 - 3	Everton (CHI)
A	U. La Calera	1 - 2	U. Catolica
H	U. La Calera	0 - 1	Deportes Limache
A	U. La Calera	1 - 4	Colo-Colo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

U. La Calera have not lost to Nublense in 5 consecutive away league meetings

Nublense

U. La Calera

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

3 / 5

CAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nublense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	U. La Calera

U. La Calera

Nublense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

NUB

CAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT U. La Calera
	0 - 1	Nublense
U. La Calera	3 - 0
U. La Calera	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
U. La Calera	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Ñublense have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Primera Division outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Unión La Calera on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Nublense 7th	U. La Calera 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Nublense will score 1 or more goals	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of U. La Calera scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+8 Nublense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-18 U. La Calera have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera Division - 2026/2026 season

23%

better

NUB

CAL

view stats

Games scored	14		10
Failed to score	2		7
Scored first	9		5
Goals scored	20		18
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	12		13
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+23%

34%

better

NUB

CAL

view stats

Games conceded	9		14
Clean sheets	7		3
Conceded first	6		11
Goals conceded	19		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	13%		16%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+34%

Nublense v U. La Calera Primera Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Nublense Primera Division squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	4	3	6
N Pérez	I Jul	M. Plaza Berrios	J Campusano

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Pérez GLK	16			1 -
O Bosso DEF	16			1 -
M Rivera MID	16			3 -
J Campusano DEF	15			6 -
M. Plaza Berrios MID	15	1	3	3 -
L Reyes MID	15	1		3 -
G Graciani FWD	15	2	2	4 -
I Jul FWD	15	4		1 -
F. Rami FWD	15	3		3 -
D. Sanhueza DEF	14	2		3 -
F Martínez FWD	14			1 -
S. Valencia Cisternas DEF	12	1		4 1
F Campos DEF	12			-
D Céspedes MID	12	1		2 1
A Valdés FWD	11		1	-
I Tapia MID	10	1	1	3 -
P Calderón DEF	8			2 2
G. Ávalos Ovelar FWD	8	1		-
L Molina FWD	5	2		1 -
C Salomón DEF	4			-
C. Mansilla Rocamora MID	2			-
J González DEF	1			-
D. Saavedra Yáñez MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	13	3	3
I Jul	I Jul	M. Plaza Berrios	M. Plaza Berrios

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Jul FWD	4	13		1
F. Rami FWD	3	6		1
G Graciani FWD	2	9	2	1
D. Sanhueza DEF	2	5		2
L Molina FWD	2	5
M. Plaza Berrios MID	1	6	3	3
L Reyes MID	1	2		1
S. Valencia Cisternas DEF	1	1
D Céspedes MID	1	1
I Tapia MID	1	4	1	1
G. Ávalos Ovelar FWD	1	1
N Pérez GLK				1
O Bosso DEF		2
M Rivera MID		5
J Campusano DEF		1		1
F Martínez FWD		3		1
A Valdés FWD		4	1	2
P Calderón DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
789	32	86
L Reyes	M. Plaza Berrios	G Graciani

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Reyes MID	789	23	70
M Rivera MID	556	30	57
O Bosso DEF	476	14	50
J Campusano DEF	457	31	53
S. Valencia Cisternas DEF	427	14	42
M. Plaza Berrios MID	371	32	73
N Pérez GLK	364	1	13
G Graciani FWD	361	15	86
F Campos DEF	305	25	47
D. Sanhueza DEF	229	14	35
D Céspedes MID	222	6	26
I Tapia MID	198	10	21
I Jul FWD	194	8	64
P Calderón DEF	173	9	32
A Valdés FWD	139	9	30
F Martínez FWD	125	11	32
F. Rami FWD	101	3	52
G. Ávalos Ovelar FWD	86	5	20
L Molina FWD	68	3	9
C Salomón DEF	26	2	3
C. Mansilla Rocamora MID	17	3	4
J González DEF	10		2
D. Saavedra Yáñez MID	2		1

U. La Calera Primera Division squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	8	6	6
N Avellaneda	S Sáez	K Méndez	D Gutiérrez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Avellaneda GLK	16		1	1 -
C Peña DEF	15		2	4 -
Moso MID	15		1	-
B Oyarzo FWD	15	1		2 -
S Sáez FWD	15	8	1	1 -
F. Pozzo FWD	15	2		-
C Zúñiga DEF	14			1 -
D Gutiérrez DEF	14		1	6 -
K Méndez FWD	14	4	6	2 -
M López FWD	14	2		-
N. Palma DEF	12			2 -
C Moya MID	12			3 1
R Cáseres DEF	11	2		3 -
Y Leiva MID	11			4 -
C Villanueva MID	8			2 -
A. Encinas MID	7			-
Y Andía MID	5			1 -
J Cruz MID	5		1	2 -
J. Saldías DEF	4			1 -
M. Hiriart Espinoza FWD	3			-
A Latorre DEF	1			-
M. Maturana Fredes DEF	1			-
B. Caffaratti MID	1			-
R Casada MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	15	6	9
S Sáez	S Sáez	K Méndez	K Méndez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Sáez FWD	8	15	1	1
K Méndez FWD	4	7	6	9
F. Pozzo FWD	2	7		1
M López FWD	2	4
R Cáseres DEF	2	5
B Oyarzo FWD	1	7
N Avellaneda GLK			1	1
C Peña DEF			2	5
Moso MID		1	1	1
C Zúñiga DEF		2
D Gutiérrez DEF			1	1
C Moya MID		1
C Villanueva MID		2
A. Encinas MID		2
Y Andía MID		1
J Cruz MID		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
606	34	87
R Cáseres	K Méndez	K Méndez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Cáseres DEF	606	10	45
D Gutiérrez DEF	570	24	69
C Peña DEF	560	18	54
N Avellaneda GLK	529		11
N. Palma DEF	508	13	37
Moso MID	406	17	26
S Sáez FWD	398	21	82
K Méndez FWD	392	34	87
C Zúñiga DEF	373	11	34
Y Leiva MID	278	14	24
C Moya MID	258	8	21
B Oyarzo FWD	222	17	55
Y Andía MID	192	7	16
C Villanueva MID	136	8	16
F. Pozzo FWD	131	3	25
A. Encinas MID	95	5	13
M López FWD	83	4	16
J Cruz MID	77	5	7
J. Saldías DEF	58	7	11
A Latorre DEF	39	1	5
M. Maturana Fredes DEF	33		2
M. Hiriart Espinoza FWD	19	1	3
R Casada MID	16	1	1
B. Caffaratti MID	6