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El Nacional v Deportivo Cuenca : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Oct, 01:00 BST, Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito

It's an away trip for Norberto Carlos Araujo's Deportivo Cuenca side on Tuesday morning, as they make their way to the Olimpico Atahualpa for a Liga Pro tie with Juan Carlos Bazalar Cruzado's El Nacional. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Liga Pro clash.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. El Nacional and Cuenca have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Tuesday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
El Nacional
31%
3.25-
Draw
26%
3.20-
Cuenca
43%
2.15-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.00-
Cuenca 1-0
11%
7.00-
Cuenca 2-1
9%
9.50-
El Nacional 1-0
9%
9.00-
Cuenca 2-0
8%
10.00-
Draw 0-0
8%
8.00-
El Nacional 2-1
7%
12.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00-
El Nacional 2-0
5%
15.00-
Cuenca 3-1
4%
19.00-
Cuenca 3-0
4%
21.00-
El Nacional 3-1
3%
29.00-
Cuenca 3-2
2%
34.00-
El Nacional 3-2
2%
41.00-
El Nacional 3-0
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
2.35-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.57-
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.25-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.80-
No 1st Goal
5%
8.00-
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.91-
BTTS - No
48%
1.80-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5.00-
Home/draw
57%
1.67-
Away/draw
69%
1.33-
Home/away
74%
1.36-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.40-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
2.75-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
4.33-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.20-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
10.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.06-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
21.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.02-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.08-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8.00-
Home DNB
50%
2.25-
Away DNB
61%
1.57-
El Nacional win to nil
17%
5.50-
Cuenca win to nil
23%
3.50-
El Nacional / El Nacional
15%
5.50-
El Nacional / Cuenca
3%
26.00-
El Nacional / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / El Nacional
12%
7.00-
Draw / Cuenca
15%
5.50-
Draw / Draw
18%
4.75-
Cuenca / El Nacional
2%
34.00-
Cuenca / Cuenca
23%
3.60-
Cuenca / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win form
3
Cuenca have lost 3 consecutive league games
El Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
El Nacional0 - 5Mushuc
El Nacional0 - 2Macara
El Nacional1 - 0LDU Quito
El Nacional1 - 2Guayaquil
El Nacional2 - 2Libertad
El Nacional1 - 0Manta
El Nacional0 - 3Catolica
El Nacional2 - 0Emelec
El Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
El Nacional3 - 2Delfin
El Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional0 - 1Aucas
El Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
El Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
El Nacional2 - 1Cumbaya
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEl Nacional2 - 2Delfin
HEl Nacional0 - 5Mushuc
AEl Nacional0 - 4Emelec
HEl Nacional0 - 2Macara
AEl Nacional1 - 0Cuniburo
HEl Nacional1 - 0LDU Quito
AEl Nacional3 - 0Delfin
HEl Nacional1 - 2Guayaquil
AEl Nacional0 - 1I. Valle
HEl Nacional2 - 2Libertad
AEl Nacional1 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
HEl Nacional1 - 0Manta
AEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
HEl Nacional0 - 3Catolica
AEl Nacional1 - 4Cuenca
AEl Nacional3 - 2Mushuc
HEl Nacional2 - 0Emelec
AEl Nacional1 - 1Macara
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
Cuenca 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Emelec3 - 1Cuenca
Catolica2 - 1Cuenca
Tecnico0 - 2Cuenca
Manta0 - 1Cuenca
Emelec1 - 1Cuenca
LDU Quito2 - 2Cuenca
Libertad2 - 1Cuenca
Aucas1 - 3Cuenca
Guayaquil0 - 0Cuenca
Orense1 - 0Cuenca
Cuniburo0 - 1Cuenca
Macara0 - 1Cuenca
I. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
Delfin0 - 0Cuenca
Mushuc3 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
LDU Quito5 - 0Cuenca
Imbabura0 - 2Cuenca
Cumbaya1 - 0Cuenca
Mushuc1 - 1Cuenca
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACuenca1 - 3Emelec
ACuenca1 - 2Catolica
HCuenca0 - 1Guayaquil
ACuenca2 - 0Tecnico
HCuenca1 - 1Orense
ACuenca1 - 0Manta
HCuenca2 - 0Cuniburo
ACuenca1 - 1Emelec
HCuenca1 - 1Macara
HCuenca0 - 3I. Valle
ACuenca2 - 2LDU Quito
HCuenca1 - 1Delfin
ACuenca1 - 2Libertad
HCuenca1 - 0Mushuc
ACuenca3 - 1Aucas
HCuenca4 - 1El Nacional
HCuenca3 - 1Catolica
ACuenca0 - 0Guayaquil
HCuenca2 - 0Tecnico
ACuenca0 - 1Orense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Cuenca
Goals: Scored
11
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
4
D
2
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
0 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
El Nacional3 - 1
El Nacional1 - 0
League games at Cuenca since 2018
Cuenca
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
1
D
3
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cuenca
Cuenca4 - 1
1 - 2El Nacional
Cuenca1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Cuenca2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
El Nacional 11th Cuenca 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that El Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Cuenca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
El Nacional have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Cuenca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
El Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Cuenca
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
13%
better
view stats
Games scored19
23
Failed to score12
8
Scored first14
16
Goals scored34
36
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
19
Clean sheets7
12
Conceded first15
13
Goals conceded48
32
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+23%

El Nacional v Cuenca Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251037
D ReascoD ReascoD ReascoJ Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Delgado GLK
-
J Blanco DEF191
7
-
R Briones DEF241
5
1
B Rivera DEF20
1
-
J Chalá MID1912
1
-
A Montenegro MID6
-
C Vélez MID27
3
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID221
1
-
J. Mejía Moreira FWD16
3
-
M Montaño FWD15
1
-
D Reasco FWD25103
1
Subs
L Chalá GLK4
-
S. Mazamba Sabando DEF3
-
J. Puente Montesinos DEF3
-
F Mora MID71
-
L. Benalcazar Veintimilla MID3
-
F Meneses MID91
-
B Jesús FWD7
-
J Cifuente FWD162
1
-
Cuenca Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30785
B. BustosC TobarC TobarA Gómez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B. Bustos GLK30
1
-
L Chila DEF262
2
-
A Gómez DEF283
5
-
E Raggio DEF281
1
1
R Calderón DEF7
3
-
K Moreno MID2712
2
-
J Ordóñez MID103
2
-
C Tobar MID3078
3
-
A López MID23
3
-
A Rodríguez FWD225
5
-
L Mancinelli  FWD2343
1
-
Subs
J. Méndez Olivares GLK
-
M Piedra DEF201
4
-
E Guevara DEF14
2
-
F. Anguisaca García DEF
-
B Morcillo DEF61
-
J. Chacón Murillo MID23
2
1
M Maccari MID12
4
-
N Leguizamón FWD911
-
M Solís FWD12
1
-
Ecuadorian Liga Pro match betting previews, predictions and odds
El Nacional v Cuenca
Tue 21st Oct, 01:00