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El Nacional v Emelec : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Omar Andrés Asad welcomes Jorge César Fortunato Célico to the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa on Monday morning, as their El Nacional and Emelec charges go head to head in the Liga Pro. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Flip between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for it all.

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El Nacional's next match is v Mushuc at 19:00 on Sunday 1st June
Emelec's next match is v Orense at 01:00 on Sunday 1st June
The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between El Nacional and Emelec was on Monday 26th May 2025
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
May 26th 2025
2
0 Emelec
 
D. Reascos González 3'
A. Cela Recalde 30'
 
Shots On
5
1
Shots Off
13
2
Corners
8
1
Possession
68%
32%
Fouls
15
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/2
 
Emelec
 
D. Cabezas Medina
R. Cabezas
A. Bedoya Caicedo
J. Flor Blanco (B. Hernández Porozo 63')
J. Cevallos Enríquez (J. Maya Zambrano 78')
J. Guisamano Camacho (J. Cifuente Vergara 62')
C. Vélez Plaza
A. Cela Recaldefootball icon
D. Pazmiño Daza
D. Reascos Gonzálezfootball icon (F. Martínez Tenorio 84')
F. Borja Meneses (J. Chala Vásquez 78')
P. Ortíz Angulo
J. Rodríguez
D. Bagüí Tobar
R. Caicedo Ante
J. Quiñonez Araujo
R. Garcés Salazar
C. Valencia Sánchez
(E. Arroyo Castillo 35') J. Sánchez Enríquez
F. Castelli
(L. Fragozo Castrillon 78') J. Ruiz Gómez
(M. Solís Arroyo 46') W. Corozo Becerra

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Omar Andrés Asad and Jorge César Fortunato Célico to park the bus here, but we certainly don't expect to see a flood of goals as El Nacional and Emelec go head-to-head. The stats belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.67 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think El Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
El Nacional
40%
11/10
10%
-
Draw
29%
11/5
2%
-
Emelec
32%
12/5
13%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
El Nacional 1-0
13%
11/2-
Emelec 1-0
11%
8/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
7/1
6%
-
El Nacional 2-1
8%
17/2
6%
-
El Nacional 2-0
8%
17/2
12%
-
Emelec 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
-
Emelec 2-0
6%
16/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
El Nacional 3-1
3%
18/1
12%
-
El Nacional 3-0
3%
18/1
12%
-
Emelec 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Emelec 3-0
2%
40/1-
El Nacional 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Emelec 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
5/4
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/13
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/4
9%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
10/11-
BTTS - No
54%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
12%
-
Home/draw
68%
3/10
4%
-
Away/draw
60%
7/10
7%
-
Home/away
71%
4/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
7/4
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/1
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/9
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1
6%
-
Home DNB
60%
1/2
7%
-
Away DNB
52%
6/4
9%
-
El Nacional win to nil
25%
12/5
5%
-
Emelec win to nil
19%
9/2
15%
-
El Nacional / El Nacional
24%
5/2
13%
-
El Nacional / Emelec
2%
33/1-
El Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / El Nacional
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Emelec
11%
13/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
-
Emelec / El Nacional
3%
25/1-
Emelec / Emelec
14%
5/1
8%
-
Emelec / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
El Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
El Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
El Nacional3 - 2Delfin
El Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional0 - 1Aucas
El Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
El Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
El Nacional2 - 1Cumbaya
El Nacional0 - 0Aucas
El Nacional1 - 3Macara
El Nacional0 - 2Catolica
El Nacional1 - 0Mushuc
El Nacional1 - 2I. Valle
El Nacional1 - 0Delfin
El Nacional2 - 0Imbabura
El Nacional1 - 2LDU Quito
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEl Nacional1 - 1Macara
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
AEl Nacional2 - 2LDU Quito
HEl Nacional3 - 2Delfin
AEl Nacional0 - 1Guayaquil
HEl Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
AEl Nacional3 - 1Libertad
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
HEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
AEl Nacional3 - 4Manta
HEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
AEl Nacional1 - 1Catolica
HEl Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
HEl Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
AEl Nacional2 - 2Mushuc
HEl Nacional1 - 4Libertad
AEl Nacional0 - 2I. Valle
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional1 - 1Delfin
HEl Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
Emelec 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guayaquil2 - 0Emelec
I. Valle1 - 2Emelec
Cuenca0 - 1Emelec
Mushuc1 - 1Emelec
Cuniburo2 - 1Emelec
Delfin2 - 0Emelec
Libertad2 - 1Emelec
Macara1 - 1Emelec
Catolica2 - 0Emelec
Guayaquil2 - 1Emelec
Cumbaya1 - 0Emelec
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
Delfin0 - 1Emelec
Mushuc3 - 0Emelec
Imbabura1 - 2Emelec
LDU Quito2 - 2Emelec
Aucas3 - 1Emelec
Tecnico1 - 1Emelec
Orense1 - 1Emelec
El Nacional0 - 1Emelec
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEmelec0 - 2Guayaquil
HEmelec0 - 1Aucas
AEmelec2 - 1I. Valle
HEmelec0 - 1Tecnico
AEmelec1 - 0Cuenca
HEmelec1 - 1Libertad
HEmelec1 - 1Manta
AEmelec1 - 1Mushuc
HEmelec1 - 0LDU Quito
AEmelec1 - 2Cuniburo
HEmelec0 - 0Macara
AEmelec0 - 2Delfin
HEmelec0 - 4Catolica
AEmelec1 - 2Libertad
HEmelec2 - 2Imbabura
AEmelec1 - 1Macara
HEmelec0 - 1LDU Quito
AEmelec0 - 2Catolica
AEmelec1 - 2Guayaquil
HEmelec0 - 0Aucas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Emelec
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
2
D
2
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
0 - 1Emelec
Draw1 - 1Draw
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Emelec
League games at Emelec since 2018
Emelec
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
2
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Emelec
0 - 1El Nacional
1 - 2El Nacional
Emelec3 - 0
Emelec2 - 1
Emelec3 - 1
Emelec1 - 0
Goal Statistics
El Nacional 11th Emelec 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that El Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Emelec will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
El Nacional have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Emelec have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293059/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
El Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Emelec
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
3%
better
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score5
4
Scored first3
5
Goals scored13
8
Avg. goals scored1
0.6
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal9
10
Conversion rate for12
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
8
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded17
13
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+27%

El Nacional v Emelec Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12334
D CabezasA RecaldeA RecaldeJ Blanco
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Cabezas GLK12
2
-
A Bedoya DEF4
2
-
R Briones DEF121
1
-
J Blanco DEF8
4
-
A Recalde DEF1333
1
-
D Pazmino MID1023
2
-
C Vélez MID11
2
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID9
1
-
J Cevallos MID122
-
F Meneses MID2
-
D Reasco FWD922
1
Subs
J Delgado GLK
-
B Rivera DEF8
-
W. Estupiñan Ortíz DEF
-
B Porozo DEF5
1
-
A Montenegro MID2
-
J. Mejía Moreira MID5
1
-
J. Maya Zambrano MID2
-
F Martínez MID5
-
M Montaño MID10
-
J Chalá FWD71
1
-
V Branda FWD5
-
J Cifuente FWD102
1
-
Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13228
R CaicedoW CorozoW CorozoJ Quiñónez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Ortíz GLK12
2
-
R Caicedo DEF13
1
D Tobar DEF10
1
-
J Quiñónez DEF111
5
3
J Rodríguez DEF13
3
-
W Corozo MID1322
2
-
C Valencia MID101
-
R Garcés MID9
-
J Gómez MID11
-
J Sánchez FWD132
1
-
F Castelli FWD112
4
1
Subs
G Napa GLK1
-
E. Arroyo Castillo MID1
-
O. Porro Alvarado MID
-
J. Valverde Rodríguez MID3
1
-
E. Muñoz Calderón MID10
-
L. Fragozo Castrillon FWD1
-
J Ayoví FWD10
3
-
M Solís FWD12
2
-