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El Nacional v Emelec : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Nov, 20:30 BST, Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito

Emelec, led by manager Guillermo Duró, visit Juan Carlos Pérez and his El Nacional side at the Olimpico Atahualpa on Sunday night in the Liga Pro. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this fixture will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. El Nacional and Emelec have seldom served up thrillers of late, whether that be in Liga Pro individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite WDW or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
El Nacional
31%
6/4
15%
-
Draw
27%
41/20-
Emelec
42%
33/20
18%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Emelec 1-0
12%
15/2
13%
-
El Nacional 1-0
10%
7/1
11%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
Emelec 2-1
9%
10/1
16%
-
Emelec 2-0
8%
12/1
18%
-
El Nacional 2-1
7%
9/1
17%
-
El Nacional 2-0
5%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Emelec 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
-
Emelec 3-0
3%
28/1
38%
-
El Nacional 3-1
3%
20/1
19%
-
Emelec 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
El Nacional 3-0
2%
25/1
24%
-
El Nacional 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
43/40
1%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
20/21
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
21/20
12%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/5
2%
-
BTTS - No
51%
10/11
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/2
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/1
20%
-
Home/draw
58%
4/9
8%
-
Away/draw
69%
1/2
10%
-
Home/away
73%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1
6%
-
Home DNB
50%
4/5
18%
-
Away DNB
61%
10/11
18%
-
El Nacional win to nil
18%
10/3
13%
-
Emelec win to nil
24%
7/2
20%
-
El Nacional / El Nacional
20%
10/3
13%
-
El Nacional / Emelec
3%
28/1
12%
-
El Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / El Nacional
14%
5/1
8%
-
Draw / Emelec
13%
11/2
18%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Emelec / El Nacional
3%
28/1-
Emelec / Emelec
19%
7/2
20%
-
Emelec / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win form
El Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
El Nacional2 - 0Macara
El Nacional0 - 2Cuenca
El Nacional0 - 5Mushuc
El Nacional0 - 2Macara
El Nacional1 - 0LDU Quito
El Nacional1 - 2Guayaquil
El Nacional2 - 2Libertad
El Nacional1 - 0Manta
El Nacional0 - 3Catolica
El Nacional2 - 0Emelec
El Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
El Nacional3 - 2Delfin
El Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional0 - 1Aucas
El Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
El Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEl Nacional3 - 3Aucas
HEl Nacional2 - 0Macara
HEl Nacional0 - 2Cuenca
AEl Nacional2 - 2Delfin
HEl Nacional0 - 5Mushuc
AEl Nacional0 - 4Emelec
HEl Nacional0 - 2Macara
AEl Nacional1 - 0Cuniburo
HEl Nacional1 - 0LDU Quito
AEl Nacional3 - 0Delfin
HEl Nacional1 - 2Guayaquil
AEl Nacional0 - 1I. Valle
HEl Nacional2 - 2Libertad
AEl Nacional1 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
HEl Nacional1 - 0Manta
AEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
HEl Nacional0 - 3Catolica
AEl Nacional1 - 4Cuenca
AEl Nacional3 - 2Mushuc
Emelec 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Macara3 - 0Emelec
Aucas0 - 0Emelec
Orense0 - 0Emelec
Aucas1 - 2Emelec
Tecnico0 - 1Emelec
Libertad1 - 2Emelec
Manta2 - 4Emelec
LDU Quito2 - 0Emelec
Macara1 - 1Emelec
Catolica1 - 1Emelec
El Nacional2 - 0Emelec
Guayaquil2 - 0Emelec
I. Valle1 - 2Emelec
Cuenca0 - 1Emelec
Mushuc1 - 1Emelec
Cuniburo2 - 1Emelec
Delfin2 - 0Emelec
Libertad2 - 1Emelec
Macara1 - 1Emelec
Catolica2 - 0Emelec
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEmelec0 - 3Macara
HEmelec1 - 0Delfin
AEmelec0 - 0Aucas
HEmelec3 - 1Cuenca
AEmelec0 - 0Orense
HEmelec4 - 0El Nacional
HEmelec0 - 4Guayaquil
AEmelec2 - 1Aucas
HEmelec0 - 1I. Valle
AEmelec1 - 0Tecnico
HEmelec1 - 1Cuenca
AEmelec2 - 1Libertad
AEmelec4 - 2Manta
HEmelec1 - 0Mushuc
AEmelec0 - 2LDU Quito
HEmelec2 - 0Cuniburo
AEmelec1 - 1Macara
AEmelec1 - 1Catolica
HEmelec2 - 2Delfin
HEmelec1 - 0Orense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Emelec
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
3
D
2
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
El Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Emelec
Draw1 - 1Draw
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Emelec
League games at Emelec since 2018
Emelec
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
2
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Emelec
Emelec4 - 0
0 - 1El Nacional
1 - 2El Nacional
Emelec3 - 0
Emelec2 - 1
Emelec3 - 1
Emelec1 - 0
Goal Statistics
El Nacional 11th Emelec 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that El Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Emelec will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
El Nacional have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Emelec’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
El Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Emelec
1.1
1.3
Attack rating
1%
better
view stats
Games scored21
21
Failed to score13
13
Scored first15
17
Goals scored39
34
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
23
Clean sheets8
11
Conceded first17
14
Goals conceded53
38
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+21%

El Nacional v Emelec Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291549
A RecaldeD ReascoD ReascoA Bedoya
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vélez MID31
5
-
A Recalde MID3033
4
1
D Reasco FWD29154
1
R Briones DEF271
6
2
D Cabezas GLK26
4
-
B Rivera DEF24
3
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID241
1
-
F Carabalí DEF232
7
1
J Blanco DEF231
7
-
J Chalá FWD2322
2
-
J. Mejía Moreira FWD201
4
-
M Montaño DEF17
1
1
J Colorado MID1721
2
-
B Porozo DEF16
2
-
A Bedoya DEF1611
7
2
J Cifuente FWD162
1
-
V Branda FWD142
1
-
F Mora DEF111
1
-
F Meneses FWD111
-
A Montenegro MID104
1
-
B Jesús FWD7
-
L. Benalcazar Veintimilla FWD6
-
J Delgado GLK4
-
L Chalá GLK4
-
S. Mazamba Sabando DEF4
-
Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32558
R CaicedoF CastelliR CaicedoJ Quiñónez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Caicedo DEF3315
1
1
P Ortíz GLK32
2
-
A González DEF3013
7
-
D Tobar DEF29
3
1
M Solís FWD2823
3
-
J Gómez FWD273
1
J Ayoví FWD234
5
-
W Corozo FWD2022
3
-
F Castelli FWD195
5
1
L Castillo DEF182
3
-
A Barco MID181
4
-
J Rodríguez DEF17
4
-
J Cevallos MID1741
2
-
F León DEF1621
3
-
E. Muñoz Calderón MID16
-
S Quintero MID161
3
-
J Palacio FWD141
1
-
C Cueva MID1323
2
-
R Garcés MID12
1
J Quiñónez DEF111
5
3
J Quiñónez DEF11
-
J Angulo FWD101
3
-
L Caicedo DEF8
1
-
R. Borja Robalino MID7
-
E Álvarez DEF6
-
T Chamba MID6
1
-
L. Fragozo Castrillon FWD3
-
G Napa GLK1
-