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El Nacional v Mushuc Runa : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Sep, 16:00 BST, Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

El Nacional and Mushuc Runa meet at the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa on Saturday night, with both Juan Carlos Bazalar Cruzado and Angel Paúl Vélez Ordoñez seeking a win in the Liga Pro. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
El Nacional
48%
--
Draw
25%
--
Mushuc
27%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
El Nacional 1-0
11%
--
El Nacional 2-1
9%
--
El Nacional 2-0
8%
--
Mushuc 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Mushuc 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
El Nacional 3-1
5%
--
El Nacional 3-0
4%
--
Mushuc 2-0
4%
--
El Nacional 3-2
3%
--
Mushuc 3-1
2%
--
Mushuc 3-2
2%
--
El Nacional 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
45%
--
El Nacional win to nil
26%
--
Mushuc win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win form
El Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
El Nacional0 - 2Macara
El Nacional1 - 0LDU Quito
El Nacional1 - 2Guayaquil
El Nacional2 - 2Libertad
El Nacional1 - 0Manta
El Nacional0 - 3Catolica
El Nacional2 - 0Emelec
El Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
El Nacional3 - 2Delfin
El Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional0 - 1Aucas
El Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
El Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
El Nacional2 - 1Cumbaya
El Nacional0 - 0Aucas
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEl Nacional0 - 2Macara
AEl Nacional1 - 0Cuniburo
HEl Nacional1 - 0LDU Quito
AEl Nacional3 - 0Delfin
HEl Nacional1 - 2Guayaquil
AEl Nacional0 - 1I. Valle
HEl Nacional2 - 2Libertad
AEl Nacional1 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
HEl Nacional1 - 0Manta
AEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
HEl Nacional0 - 3Catolica
AEl Nacional1 - 4Cuenca
AEl Nacional3 - 2Mushuc
HEl Nacional2 - 0Emelec
AEl Nacional1 - 1Macara
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
AEl Nacional2 - 2LDU Quito
HEl Nacional3 - 2Delfin
AEl Nacional0 - 1Guayaquil
Mushuc 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orense3 - 1Mushuc
Macara2 - 1Mushuc
LDU Quito2 - 1Mushuc
Emelec1 - 0Mushuc
Cuniburo1 - 1Mushuc
Cuenca1 - 0Mushuc
Delfin3 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
Manta2 - 1Mushuc
Aucas2 - 0Mushuc
Libertad2 - 1Mushuc
Tecnico1 - 1Mushuc
Catolica1 - 1Mushuc
Guayaquil1 - 0Mushuc
Guayaquil2 - 2Mushuc
Delfin4 - 2Mushuc
LDU Quito1 - 1Mushuc
Tecnico2 - 2Mushuc
Aucas1 - 2Mushuc
Catolica5 - 1Mushuc
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMushuc1 - 3Orense
HMushuc2 - 0Manta
AMushuc1 - 2Macara
HMushuc1 - 0Aucas
HMushuc1 - 2Libertad
AMushuc1 - 2LDU Quito
HMushuc0 - 1Tecnico
AMushuc0 - 1Emelec
AMushuc1 - 1Cuniburo
HMushuc1 - 1Catolica
AMushuc0 - 1Cuenca
HMushuc0 - 5Guayaquil
AMushuc1 - 3Delfin
HMushuc2 - 3El Nacional
AMushuc1 - 2I. Valle
HMushuc2 - 5Orense
AMushuc1 - 2Manta
HMushuc4 - 3Macara
AMushuc0 - 2Aucas
AMushuc1 - 2Libertad
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
El Nacional have beaten Mushuc in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
El Nacional have not lost to Mushuc in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at El Nacional since 2019
El Nacional
Mushuc
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
El Nacional1 - 0
El Nacional2 - 0
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional2 - 0
League games at Mushuc since 2019
Mushuc
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mushuc
2 - 3El Nacional
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1El Nacional
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1El Nacional
Goal Statistics
El Nacional 11th Mushuc 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that El Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Mushuc will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
El Nacional have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Mushuc’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
El Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Mushuc
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
5%
better
view stats
Games scored18
22
Failed to score10
6
Scored first13
10
Goals scored32
31
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
24
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first13
18
Goals conceded37
48
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+22%

El Nacional v Mushuc Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261039
A RecaldeD ReascoA RecaldeA Bedoya
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Recalde MID2733
4
-
D Cabezas GLK25
3
-
C Vélez MID25
3
-
D Reasco FWD23103
1
R Briones DEF221
5
1
J. Guisamano Camacho MID221
1
-
F Carabalí DEF192
6
-
B Rivera DEF19
1
-
J Blanco DEF181
7
-
J Chalá FWD1712
1
-
J Cifuente FWD162
1
-
M Montaño DEF15
1
-
A Bedoya DEF1511
7
2
B Porozo DEF14
2
-
J. Mejía Moreira FWD14
3
-
V Branda FWD142
1
-
J Colorado MID1321
2
-
F Meneses FWD81
-
B Jesús FWD6
-
F Mora DEF51
-
A Montenegro MID4
-
L Chalá GLK3
-
S. Mazamba Sabando DEF2
-
Mushuc Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
244410
D QuinteroC PenillaÁngel GraciaB Bentaberry
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arce MID2622
3
-
C Penilla FWD2643
3
-
D Quintero DEF251
5
-
G Mina DEF241
3
-
B Bentaberry DEF22
8
2
K Peralta DEF2211
7
-
S Tapiero MID222
5
-
R Formento GLK202
2
-
N Davila MID20
4
1
C Orejuela FWD193
2
1
Ángel Gracia DEF1834
2
1
E. Caicedo López FWD1834
-
B Delgado FWD131
-
J Chala DEF9
4
-
J Santos FWD93
1
R Burbano FWD9
-
J Cabezas FWD91
-
A Pabón GLK8
-
J. Quiñones Mesías DEF8
1
1
J Vergés MID81
1
-
J Mina MID7
1
-
A Zambrano MID6
-
S Palma DEF1
-