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Emelec v El Nacional : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 16th Dec, 00:00 BST, Estadio Banco del Pacífico, Guayaquil

Guillermo Duró welcomes Juan Carlos Pérez to the Estadio Banco del Pacífico on Tuesday morning, as their Emelec and El Nacional charges go head to head in the Liga Pro. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Emelec are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Emelec
39%
11/5
36%
-
Draw
25%
4/1
15%
-
El Nacional
36%
4/6
23%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
10/1
22%
-
Emelec 2-1
9%
11/1
20%
-
Emelec 1-0
8%
14/1
25%
-
El Nacional 2-1
8%
8/1
5%
-
El Nacional 1-0
8%
11/1-
Emelec 2-0
6%
20/1
40%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
25/1
24%
-
El Nacional 2-0
5%
10/1
27%
-
Emelec 3-1
4%
22/1
35%
-
El Nacional 3-1
4%
11/1
29%
-
Emelec 3-0
3%
40/1
58%
-
Emelec 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
El Nacional 3-2
3%
18/1
10%
-
El Nacional 3-0
3%
14/1
35%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/9
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
17/10
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/4
18%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
4/7
14%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
25/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
64%
1/1
27%
-
Away/draw
61%
1/3
11%
-
Home/away
75%
1/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
57%
7/4
44%
-
Away DNB
53%
2/5
22%
-
Emelec win to nil
19%
--
El Nacional win to nil
17%
--
Emelec / Emelec
14%
5/1
39%
-
Emelec / El Nacional
4%
18/1
10%
-
Emelec / Draw
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Emelec
9%
8/1
29%
-
Draw / El Nacional
16%
4/1
17%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
15%
-
El Nacional / Emelec
3%
25/1
13%
-
El Nacional / El Nacional
31%
13/8
30%
-
El Nacional / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win form
5
El Nacional have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Emelec 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Emelec0 - 2Macara
Emelec0 - 2Aucas
Emelec1 - 0Delfin
Emelec3 - 1Cuenca
Emelec4 - 0El Nacional
Emelec0 - 4Guayaquil
Emelec0 - 1I. Valle
Emelec1 - 1Cuenca
Emelec1 - 0Mushuc
Emelec2 - 0Cuniburo
Emelec2 - 2Delfin
Emelec1 - 0Orense
Emelec0 - 1Aucas
Emelec0 - 1Tecnico
Emelec1 - 1Libertad
Emelec1 - 1Manta
Emelec1 - 0LDU Quito
Emelec0 - 0Macara
Emelec0 - 4Catolica
Emelec2 - 2Imbabura
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEmelec0 - 2Macara
AEmelec1 - 0Delfin
HEmelec0 - 2Aucas
AEmelec1 - 2El Nacional
AEmelec0 - 3Macara
HEmelec1 - 0Delfin
AEmelec0 - 0Aucas
HEmelec3 - 1Cuenca
AEmelec0 - 0Orense
HEmelec4 - 0El Nacional
HEmelec0 - 4Guayaquil
AEmelec2 - 1Aucas
HEmelec0 - 1I. Valle
AEmelec1 - 0Tecnico
HEmelec1 - 1Cuenca
AEmelec2 - 1Libertad
AEmelec4 - 2Manta
HEmelec1 - 0Mushuc
AEmelec0 - 2LDU Quito
HEmelec2 - 0Cuniburo
El Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Macara2 - 0El Nacional
Cuenca5 - 0El Nacional
Aucas3 - 3El Nacional
Delfin2 - 2El Nacional
Emelec4 - 0El Nacional
Cuniburo0 - 1El Nacional
Delfin0 - 3El Nacional
I. Valle1 - 0El Nacional
Orense1 - 1El Nacional
Aucas1 - 0El Nacional
Tecnico0 - 0El Nacional
Cuenca4 - 1El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 3El Nacional
Macara1 - 1El Nacional
LDU Quito2 - 2El Nacional
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Libertad1 - 3El Nacional
Manta4 - 3El Nacional
Catolica1 - 1El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 2El Nacional
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEl Nacional3 - 1Aucas
AEl Nacional0 - 2Macara
AEl Nacional0 - 5Cuenca
HEl Nacional2 - 1Emelec
AEl Nacional3 - 3Aucas
HEl Nacional2 - 0Macara
HEl Nacional0 - 2Cuenca
AEl Nacional2 - 2Delfin
HEl Nacional0 - 5Mushuc
AEl Nacional0 - 4Emelec
HEl Nacional0 - 2Macara
AEl Nacional1 - 0Cuniburo
HEl Nacional1 - 0LDU Quito
AEl Nacional3 - 0Delfin
HEl Nacional1 - 2Guayaquil
AEl Nacional0 - 1I. Valle
HEl Nacional2 - 2Libertad
AEl Nacional1 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
HEl Nacional1 - 0Manta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Emelec since 2018
Emelec
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
5
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Emelec
Emelec4 - 0
0 - 1El Nacional
1 - 2El Nacional
Emelec3 - 0
Emelec2 - 1
Emelec3 - 1
Emelec1 - 0
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Emelec
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
2
D
2
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Emelec
Draw1 - 1Draw
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Emelec
Goal Statistics

Emelec's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday morning, not least because El Nacional have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga Pro games. A PG of 1.5 for G. Duró's side suggests that run should continue.

Emelec 8th El Nacional 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Emelec will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that El Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
Emelec have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
El Nacional have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
Emelec
PG (predicted goals)
El Nacional
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
0%
better
view stats
Games scored23
23
Failed to score15
15
Scored first19
16
Goals scored36
44
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
30
Clean sheets12
8
Conceded first16
20
Goals conceded44
62
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+20%

Emelec v El Nacional Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36558
R CaicedoJ AyovíR CaicedoJ Quiñónez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Caicedo DEF3715
1
1
P Ortíz GLK36
2
-
A González DEF3414
7
-
D Tobar DEF32
3
1
M Solís FWD3223
3
-
J Gómez FWD313
1
J Ayoví FWD275
5
-
A Barco MID221
5
-
L Castillo DEF213
3
-
W Corozo FWD2122
3
-
F Castelli FWD205
5
2
J Cevallos MID1941
2
-
S Quintero MID191
5
-
J Rodríguez DEF18
4
-
F León DEF1721
3
-
J Palacio FWD171
1
-
R Garcés MID16
1
E. Muñoz Calderón MID16
-
C Cueva MID1523
2
-
J Angulo FWD141
3
-
J Quiñónez DEF12
-
J Quiñónez DEF111
5
3
L Caicedo DEF10
2
-
R. Borja Robalino MID7
-
E Álvarez DEF6
-
T Chamba MID6
1
-
L. Fragozo Castrillon FWD6
2
-
J. Palma Caicedo FWD2
-
G Napa GLK1
-
El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331759
A RecaldeD ReascoD ReascoR Briones
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vélez MID351
5
-
A Recalde MID3434
5
1
D Reasco FWD33175
1
1
R Briones DEF311
7
2
J. Guisamano Camacho MID281
1
-
B Rivera DEF27
4
1
J Chalá FWD2732
2
-
D Cabezas GLK26
4
-
J Blanco DEF261
7
-
F Carabalí DEF252
7
1
J. Mejía Moreira FWD241
5
-
M Montaño DEF20
4
1
B Porozo DEF19
2
-
J Colorado MID1921
2
-
A Bedoya DEF1611
7
2
J Cifuente FWD162
1
-
A Montenegro MID1414
1
-
V Branda FWD142
1
-
F Meneses FWD131
-
F Mora DEF111
1
-
L. Benalcazar Veintimilla FWD9
-
J Delgado GLK7
1
B Jesús FWD7
-
L Chalá GLK5
-
S. Mazamba Sabando DEF5
1
-