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Emelec v El Nacional : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, Estadio Banco del Pacífico, Guayaquil

Emelec and El Nacional clash at the Estadio Banco del Pacífico on Sunday afternoon, with both Omar Santiago Andrade Terán and Juan Carlos Bazalar Cruzado seeking a win in the Liga Pro. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Liga Pro matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Emelec and El Nacional go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver exactly that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Emelec
38%
79/100-
Draw
28%
5/2-
El Nacional
33%
16/5-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Emelec 1-0
12%
11/2-
El Nacional 1-0
11%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
8/1-
Emelec 2-1
8%
8/1-
Emelec 2-0
7%
7/1-
El Nacional 2-1
7%
14/1-
El Nacional 2-0
6%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Emelec 3-1
3%
16/1-
Emelec 3-0
3%
14/1-
El Nacional 3-1
3%
40/1-
El Nacional 3-0
2%
40/1-
Emelec 3-2
2%
28/1-
El Nacional 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
21/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
3/4-
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
46%
8/5-
No 1st Goal
7%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
10/11-
BTTS - No
54%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
8/1-
Home/draw
67%
2/9-
Away/draw
62%
10/11-
Home/away
72%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/1-
Home DNB
58%
4/11-
Away DNB
53%
2/1-
Emelec win to nil
24%
2/1-
El Nacional win to nil
20%
6/1-
Emelec / Emelec
29%
15/8-
Emelec / El Nacional
2%
33/1-
Emelec / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Emelec
17%
15/4-
Draw / El Nacional
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
El Nacional / Emelec
4%
22/1-
El Nacional / El Nacional
12%
6/1-
El Nacional / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Emelec 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Emelec0 - 4Guayaquil
Emelec0 - 1I. Valle
Emelec1 - 1Cuenca
Emelec1 - 0Mushuc
Emelec2 - 0Cuniburo
Emelec2 - 2Delfin
Emelec1 - 0Orense
Emelec0 - 1Aucas
Emelec0 - 1Tecnico
Emelec1 - 1Libertad
Emelec1 - 1Manta
Emelec1 - 0LDU Quito
Emelec0 - 0Macara
Emelec0 - 4Catolica
Emelec2 - 2Imbabura
Emelec0 - 1LDU Quito
Emelec0 - 0Aucas
Emelec3 - 1Tecnico
Emelec2 - 1Orense
Emelec0 - 1El Nacional
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEmelec0 - 4Guayaquil
AEmelec2 - 1Aucas
HEmelec0 - 1I. Valle
AEmelec1 - 0Tecnico
HEmelec1 - 1Cuenca
AEmelec2 - 1Libertad
AEmelec4 - 2Manta
HEmelec1 - 0Mushuc
AEmelec0 - 2LDU Quito
HEmelec2 - 0Cuniburo
AEmelec1 - 1Macara
AEmelec1 - 1Catolica
HEmelec2 - 2Delfin
HEmelec1 - 0Orense
AEmelec0 - 2El Nacional
AEmelec0 - 2Guayaquil
HEmelec0 - 1Aucas
AEmelec2 - 1I. Valle
HEmelec0 - 1Tecnico
AEmelec1 - 0Cuenca
El Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cuniburo0 - 1El Nacional
Delfin0 - 3El Nacional
I. Valle1 - 0El Nacional
Orense1 - 1El Nacional
Aucas1 - 0El Nacional
Tecnico0 - 0El Nacional
Cuenca4 - 1El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 3El Nacional
Macara1 - 1El Nacional
LDU Quito2 - 2El Nacional
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Libertad1 - 3El Nacional
Manta4 - 3El Nacional
Catolica1 - 1El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 2El Nacional
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
Delfin1 - 1El Nacional
Imbabura1 - 0El Nacional
LDU Quito1 - 1El Nacional
Cuenca1 - 2El Nacional
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEl Nacional0 - 2Macara
AEl Nacional1 - 0Cuniburo
HEl Nacional1 - 0LDU Quito
AEl Nacional3 - 0Delfin
HEl Nacional1 - 2Guayaquil
AEl Nacional0 - 1I. Valle
HEl Nacional2 - 2Libertad
AEl Nacional1 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
HEl Nacional1 - 0Manta
AEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
HEl Nacional0 - 3Catolica
AEl Nacional1 - 4Cuenca
AEl Nacional3 - 2Mushuc
HEl Nacional2 - 0Emelec
AEl Nacional1 - 1Macara
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
AEl Nacional2 - 2LDU Quito
HEl Nacional3 - 2Delfin
AEl Nacional0 - 1Guayaquil
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Emelec since 2018
Emelec
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
4
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Emelec
0 - 1El Nacional
1 - 2El Nacional
Emelec3 - 0
Emelec2 - 1
Emelec3 - 1
Emelec1 - 0
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Emelec
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
2
D
2
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
El Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Emelec
Draw1 - 1Draw
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Emelec
Goal Statistics

Emelec's defensive record is to be admired, O. Andrade Terán's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga Pro matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for El Nacional makes sense in this context.

Emelec 9th El Nacional 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Emelec will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that El Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Emelec have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
+9
El Nacional’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
Emelec
PG (predicted goals)
El Nacional
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
2%
better
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score10
10
Scored first14
13
Goals scored26
32
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
21
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first13
13
Goals conceded34
37
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+3%

Emelec v El Nacional Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26548
R CaicedoF CastelliR CaicedoJ Quiñónez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Caicedo DEF2714
1
P Ortíz GLK26
2
-
A González DEF2511
7
-
D Tobar DEF23
2
-
M Solís FWD2211
3
-
J Gómez FWD211
1
F Castelli FWD195
5
1
J Ayoví FWD193
5
-
M Meli MID171
5
1
J Rodríguez DEF15
3
-
J Sánchez FWD152
1
-
W Corozo FWD1422
2
-
L Castillo DEF132
3
-
E. Muñoz Calderón MID13
-
A Barco MID121
3
-
J Quiñónez DEF111
5
3
J Cevallos MID1111
1
-
C Cueva MID1123
2
-
R Garcés MID11
1
F León DEF102
2
-
C Valencia MID101
-
S Quintero MID101
1
-
J Quiñónez DEF9
-
J Palacio FWD9
1
-
L Caicedo DEF8
1
-
J Angulo FWD81
3
-
E Álvarez DEF6
-
T Chamba MID6
1
-
R. Borja Robalino MID5
-
J. Valverde Rodríguez MID4
1
-
K. Mina Rangel FWD3
-
J. Gonzaga Yazbek FWD2
-
L. Fragozo Castrillon FWD2
-
G Napa GLK1
-
E. Arroyo Castillo MID1
-
El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261039
A RecaldeD ReascoA RecaldeA Bedoya
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Recalde MID2733
4
-
D Cabezas GLK25
3
-
C Vélez MID25
3
-
D Reasco FWD23103
1
R Briones DEF221
5
1
J. Guisamano Camacho MID221
1
-
F Carabalí DEF192
6
-
B Rivera DEF19
1
-
J Blanco DEF181
7
-
J Chalá FWD1712
1
-
J Cifuente FWD162
1
-
M Montaño DEF15
1
-
A Bedoya DEF1511
7
2
B Porozo DEF14
2
-
V Branda FWD142
1
-
J. Mejía Moreira FWD14
3
-
J Colorado MID1321
2
-
F Meneses FWD81
-
B Jesús FWD6
-
F Mora DEF51
-
A Montenegro MID4
-
L Chalá GLK3
-
S. Mazamba Sabando DEF2
-