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Independiente del Valle v Barcelona Guayaquil : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Jul, 23:00 BST, Estadio General Rumiñahui del Va, Sangolquí

Javier Sanguinetti welcomes Segundo Alejandro Castillo Nazareno to the Estadio General Rumiñahui del Va on Saturday night, as their Independiente del Valle and Barcelona Guayaquil sides go head to head in the Liga Pro. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Flip between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for each one.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
I. Valle
44%
--
Draw
24%
--
Guayaquil
32%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
I. Valle 2-1
9%
--
I. Valle 1-0
8%
--
Guayaquil 2-1
8%
--
Guayaquil 1-0
7%
--
I. Valle 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
I. Valle 3-1
5%
--
Guayaquil 2-0
5%
--
I. Valle 3-0
4%
--
Guayaquil 3-1
3%
--
I. Valle 3-2
3%
--
Guayaquil 3-2
3%
--
Guayaquil 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
57%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
61%
--
Away DNB
49%
--
I. Valle win to nil
21%
--
Guayaquil win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win form
I. Valle 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
I. Valle1 - 1Libertad
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle1 - 2Emelec
I. Valle2 - 0Manta
I. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle1 - 1Macara
I. Valle1 - 1Catolica
I. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
I. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
I. Valle7 - 0Macara
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
I. Valle3 - 1Imbabura
I. Valle5 - 2Catolica
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
I. Valle1 - 0Tecnico
I. Valle1 - 2Delfin
I. Valle1 - 0Orense
I. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
I. Valle1 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AI. Valle3 - 0Catolica
AI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
HI. Valle1 - 1Libertad
AI. Valle1 - 1Delfin
HI. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
AI. Valle3 - 1Cuniburo
AI. Valle2 - 1Tecnico
HI. Valle1 - 2Emelec
AI. Valle2 - 1Orense
HI. Valle2 - 0Manta
AI. Valle3 - 1El Nacional
HI. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
AI. Valle2 - 1Aucas
HI. Valle1 - 1Macara
AI. Valle4 - 0Guayaquil
HI. Valle1 - 1Catolica
HI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 2Libertad
HI. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 3LDU Quito
Guayaquil 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mushuc0 - 5Guayaquil
LDU Quito3 - 1Guayaquil
Aucas2 - 0Guayaquil
Catolica2 - 2Guayaquil
Macara0 - 1Guayaquil
Orense3 - 1Guayaquil
Tecnico0 - 1Guayaquil
Libertad1 - 4Guayaquil
Manta2 - 3Guayaquil
Tecnico2 - 2Guayaquil
Aucas1 - 1Guayaquil
El Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
Cuenca1 - 0Guayaquil
LDU Quito3 - 0Guayaquil
Orense3 - 2Guayaquil
Imbabura1 - 3Guayaquil
Mushuc1 - 0Guayaquil
Cumbaya0 - 1Guayaquil
Delfin1 - 3Guayaquil
Catolica0 - 1Guayaquil
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGuayaquil3 - 3Libertad
AGuayaquil5 - 0Mushuc
AGuayaquil1 - 3LDU Quito
HGuayaquil1 - 2Manta
AGuayaquil0 - 2Aucas
HGuayaquil0 - 0Cuenca
HGuayaquil2 - 0Emelec
AGuayaquil2 - 2Catolica
HGuayaquil2 - 1Cuniburo
AGuayaquil1 - 0Macara
HGuayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
AGuayaquil1 - 3Orense
HGuayaquil2 - 0Delfin
AGuayaquil1 - 0Tecnico
HGuayaquil0 - 4I. Valle
AGuayaquil4 - 1Libertad
HGuayaquil1 - 0Mushuc
AGuayaquil3 - 2Manta
HGuayaquil2 - 2Mushuc
AGuayaquil2 - 2Tecnico
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
I. Valle have not lost to Guayaquil in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at I. Valle since 2018
I. Valle
Guayaquil
Goals: Scored
13
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
5
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
I. Valle3 - 1
I. Valle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
I. Valle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
I. Valle3 - 0
I. Valle1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Guayaquil since 2018
Guayaquil
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
16
10
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
1
D
3
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guayaquil
0 - 4I. Valle
Guayaquil3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Guayaquil2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Guayaquil2 - 0
Guayaquil4 - 1
Guayaquil2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 16 consecutive Liga Pro matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Barcelona Guayaquil on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Independiente del Valle's defensive record is very strong, Javier Sanguinetti's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Liga Pro games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Barcelona Guayaquil makes sense in this context.

I. Valle 1st Guayaquil 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Guayaquil will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
I. Valle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Guayaquil have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293093/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
I. Valle
PG (predicted goals)
Guayaquil
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
24%
better
view stats
Games scored14
11
Failed to score1
3
Scored first10
10
Goals scored29
20
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
7
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded14
15
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
11
Conversion rate against12%
9%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+22%

I. Valle v Guayaquil Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15784
M CarabajalC SpinelliP AltamiranoM Carabajal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Altamirano MID1828
-
C Spinelli FWD1871
3
-
M Carabajal DEF15
4
-
M Fernández MID151
3
-
M Hoyos FWD1571
1
-
J Méndez MID14
1
-
L Loor DEF134
1
-
J Macías MID131
-
G Villar GLK12
1
-
R Schunke DEF12
1
-
J Cazares MID1222
1
-
C Zabala MID12
3
-
J Medina FWD123
3
-
L Zárate DEF1131
1
-
J Sornoza MID1112
1
-
G Cortez DEF101
1
-
E Rodriguez FWD1022
1
-
R Ibarra FWD10
1
-
A Rodríguez FWD93
1
-
J Arroyo MID711
-
T Santamaría DEF6
3
-
Óscar Quiñónez DEF5
-
B García MID2
1
-
A Velasco DEF1
-
Guayaquil Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14835
D ArroyoJ CorozoB OyolaD Arroyo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Arroyo MID171
5
-
J Valiente MID1712
1
-
J Corozo FWD1781
1
-
G Cortez MID1662
1
-
B Carabalí DEF1512
1
-
Leonai MID141
3
-
G Campi DEF1312
2
-
E Vallecilla DEF13
5
-
B Oyola FWD133
3
-
J Quiñónez MID12
2
1
O Rivero  FWD126
3
-
M Pineida  DEF11
4
-
C Solano FWD1112
-
J Contreras GLK10
-
X Arreaga DEF101
2
-
J. Gómez Cuero MID102
1
-
I Arruabarrena GLK9
1
-
A Chalá DEF91
-
J Trindade MID91
-
W Vargas DEF7
-
F Caicedo FWD62
-
A Rangel DEF5
-
J Chala DEF4
-
M Parrales FWD421
-
F Guerra DEF1
-