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Libertad v LDU Quito : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Sep, 23:00 BST, ,

Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 major markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Libertad and LDU Quito no more than 3 goals combined during this Liga Pro clash according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Libertad 32%	15/4 14%	-
Draw 26%	31/10 5%	-
LDU Quito 41%	13/20 8%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2 12%	-
LDU Quito 1-0 10%	11/2	-
Libertad 1-0 9%	11/1 8%	-
LDU Quito 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Libertad 2-1 8%	14/1 12%	-
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1	-
LDU Quito 2-0 7%	13/2 7%	-
Libertad 2-0 5%	22/1 21%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	18/1 10%	-
LDU Quito 3-1 4%	12/1	-
LDU Quito 3-0 3%	11/1 9%	-
Libertad 3-1 3%	40/1	-
LDU Quito 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Libertad 3-0 2%	50/1 24%	-
Libertad 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	19/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	17/20	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	13/8 9%	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	8/15 6%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	10/11 5%	-
BTTS - No 47%	4/5 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	8/1 18%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	9/2 8%	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	11/4	-
Home/draw 59%	6/5 8%	-
Away/draw 68%	2/11 4%	-
Home/away 74%	2/9 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	5/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	12/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	3/10	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1	-
Home DNB 51%	5/2 13%	-
Away DNB 60%	2/7 6%	-
Libertad win to nil 17%	7/1 11%	-
LDU Quito win to nil 23%	13/8 11%	-
Libertad / Libertad 10%	15/2 15%	-
Libertad / LDU Quito 4%	22/1	-
Libertad / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Libertad 8%	9/1 17%	-
Draw / LDU Quito 19%	7/2 4%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 8%	-
LDU Quito / Libertad 2%	40/1	-
LDU Quito / LDU Quito 32%	8/5 9%	-
LDU Quito / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Libertad	3 - 2	Aucas
Libertad	1 - 2	Emelec
Libertad	1 - 0	Manta
Libertad	2 - 1	Cuenca
Libertad	4 - 1	Tecnico
Libertad	0 - 1	Macara
Libertad	0 - 1	Delfin
Libertad	3 - 1	Catolica
Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
Libertad	1 - 3	El Nacional
Libertad	4 - 1	Orense
Libertad	1 - 4	Guayaquil
Libertad	2 - 0	I. Valle
Libertad	2 - 1	Emelec
Libertad	3 - 1	Imbabura
Libertad	1 - 1	Aucas
Libertad	2 - 1	Cumbaya
Libertad	1 - 1	I. Valle
Libertad	2 - 0	Delfin
Libertad	0 - 1	Macara

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Libertad	0 - 0	Delfin
H	Libertad	3 - 2	Aucas
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Catolica
A	Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
H	Libertad	1 - 2	Emelec
A	Libertad	2 - 2	El Nacional
H	Libertad	1 - 0	Manta
A	Libertad	1 - 0	Orense
H	Libertad	2 - 1	Cuenca
A	Libertad	3 - 3	Guayaquil
H	Libertad	4 - 1	Tecnico
A	Libertad	1 - 1	I. Valle
A	Libertad	0 - 1	Cuniburo
H	Libertad	0 - 1	Macara
A	Libertad	1 - 1	LDU Quito
H	Libertad	0 - 1	Delfin
A	Libertad	0 - 2	Aucas
H	Libertad	3 - 1	Catolica
H	Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Emelec

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
El Nacional	1 - 0	LDU Quito
Aucas	1 - 0	LDU Quito
Guayaquil	0 - 1	LDU Quito
Delfin	0 - 4	LDU Quito
Orense	2 - 1	LDU Quito
Cuniburo	1 - 2	LDU Quito
Catolica	3 - 1	LDU Quito
Macara	0 - 1	LDU Quito
Manta	1 - 1	LDU Quito
Mushuc	1 - 0	LDU Quito
Cuenca	1 - 2	LDU Quito
Emelec	1 - 0	LDU Quito
I. Valle	1 - 1	LDU Quito
I. Valle	1 - 0	LDU Quito
Catolica	2 - 4	LDU Quito
Emelec	0 - 1	LDU Quito
Tecnico	1 - 2	LDU Quito
Delfin	3 - 2	LDU Quito
Imbabura	4 - 0	LDU Quito
Aucas	0 - 1	LDU Quito

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	LDU Quito	1 - 1	Macara
A	LDU Quito	0 - 1	El Nacional
H	LDU Quito	1 - 1	Manta
A	LDU Quito	0 - 1	Aucas
H	LDU Quito	2 - 1	Mushuc
A	LDU Quito	1 - 0	Guayaquil
H	LDU Quito	2 - 2	Cuenca
H	LDU Quito	2 - 0	Emelec
A	LDU Quito	4 - 0	Delfin
A	LDU Quito	1 - 2	Orense
H	LDU Quito	1 - 1	I. Valle
H	LDU Quito	3 - 1	Guayaquil
A	LDU Quito	2 - 1	Cuniburo
H	LDU Quito	3 - 2	Tecnico
A	LDU Quito	1 - 3	Catolica
H	LDU Quito	1 - 1	Libertad
A	LDU Quito	1 - 0	Macara
H	LDU Quito	2 - 2	El Nacional
A	LDU Quito	1 - 1	Manta
H	LDU Quito	3 - 1	Aucas

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

LDU Quito have not lost to Libertad in 5 consecutive league meetings

Libertad

LDU Quito

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 2

2 / 2

Clean sheets

0 / 2

1 / 2

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Libertad
		2 - 3		LDU Quito
		0 - 2		LDU Quito

LDU Quito

Libertad

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

FIXTURE HISTORY AT LDU Quito
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
LDU Quito	3 - 0
LDU Quito	4 - 2

Goal Statistics

LDU Quito's defensive record is very strong, T. Retzalff Nunes's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga Pro matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Libertad makes sense in this context.

	Libertad 6th	LDU Quito 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Libertad will score no more than 1 goal	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that LDU Quito will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+23 Libertad have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted	-5 LDU Quito’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season

11%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		11
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	5		7
Goals scored	19		22
Avg. goals scored	0.7		0.8
Avg. shots per game	5		5
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	15		16
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+11%

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		10
Clean sheets	2		4
Conceded first	10		6
Goals conceded	20		14
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		5
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	15%		11%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+27%

Libertad v LDU Quito Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	14	6	8
R Biojó	E Caicedo	C Arboleda	D Bolaños

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Biojó DEF	26			5 -
I Zambrano MID	26	2	4	3 -
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	25	5	1	3 -
K Becerra DEF	24	1		4 -
C Arboleda FWD	24	3	6	1 1
W Ayoví FWD	24	4	3	3 -
E Caicedo FWD	23	14	1	3 1
D Bolaños DEF	22		2	7 1
Y Nazareno FWD	21	1	4	2 -
J Monaga DEF	19	1		3 -
J Humanante MID	18			3 -
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	18	1		1 -
O Quiñónez DEF	17	1		3 -
D Ávila FWD	14	4	1	3 1
L Nazareno GLK	11			1 -
C Chamorro DEF	10			1 -
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF	10		1	1 1
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	10			1 -
A García DEF	8			-
B Zapatier FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	23	6	11
E Caicedo	E Caicedo	C Arboleda	C Arboleda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Caicedo FWD	14	23	1	1
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	5	12	1	1
W Ayoví FWD	4	16	3	3
D Ávila FWD	4	10	1	1
C Arboleda FWD	3	6	6	11
I Zambrano MID	2	9	4	3
K Becerra DEF	1	1		1
Y Nazareno FWD	1	7	4	4
J Monaga DEF	1	2		1
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	1	4
O Quiñónez DEF	1	2
R Biojó DEF		2
D Bolaños DEF		1	2	3
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF			1	1
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID		2
A García DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1134	60	132
R Biojó	D Bolaños	I Zambrano

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Biojó DEF	1134	31	98
I Zambrano MID	813	46	132
K Becerra DEF	760	38	128
D Bolaños DEF	571	60	100
O Quiñónez DEF	559	28	46
W Ayoví FWD	553	20	98
C Arboleda FWD	546	16	54
E Caicedo FWD	295	14	101
L Nazareno GLK	293		5
Y Nazareno FWD	290	27	90
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	281	16	38
J Monaga DEF	243	15	36
A García DEF	193	10	27
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	182	12	42
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	163	17	66
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF	131	9	26
D Ávila FWD	85	1	12
J Humanante MID	72	6	18
C Chamorro DEF	72	3	8

LDU Quito Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	8	7	10
B Ramírez	M Estrada	A Alvarado	C Gruezo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Alvarado FWD	26	2	7	2 -
F Cornejo MID	25	3	2	1 -
B Ramírez FWD	25	5	3	6 1
L Alzugaray FWD	25	6	4	3 -
C Gruezo MID	24	1	2	10 -
G Villamil MID	23	4	1	5 -
M Estrada FWD	22	8	2	-
L Pastrán FWD	22			3 -
D. de la Cruz DEF	21	1	2	1
L Quiñónez DEF	21		1	1 -
G Allala DEF	19		1	5 -
K Minda MID	19		1	2 -
R Ade DEF	18	1		3 -
A Domínguez GLK	17			1 -
J Quintero DEF	17		2	1 -
A Cabeza FWD	16	4	1	1 -
R Caicedo DEF	13			5 3
M Díaz FWD	12		1	1 -
G Valle GLK	11			-
Y Villigua DEF	11			-
J Medina FWD	8	2		3 -
D Aimar DEF	7	1		-
E. Castillo Ayoví MID	3			-
J Cuero DEF	2			-
F Mina FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	16	7	6
M Estrada	M Estrada	A Alvarado	L Alzugaray

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Estrada FWD	8	16	2	2
L Alzugaray FWD	6	11	4	6
B Ramírez FWD	5	15	3	5
G Villamil MID	4	9	1	2
A Cabeza FWD	4	7	1	1
F Cornejo MID	3	6	2	2
A Alvarado FWD	2	13	7	5
J Medina FWD	2	4
C Gruezo MID	1	4	2	2
D. de la Cruz DEF	1	3	2	3
R Ade DEF	1	2
D Aimar DEF	1	1
L Pastrán FWD		8		2
L Quiñónez DEF		8	1	1
G Allala DEF		2	1	1
K Minda MID		3	1	1
J Quintero DEF		2	2	3
M Díaz FWD		3	1	1
Y Villigua DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1172	49	159
L Quiñónez	F Cornejo	B Ramírez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Quiñónez DEF	1172	31	79
B Ramírez FWD	948	40	159
C Gruezo MID	915	33	67
F Cornejo MID	889	49	91
R Ade DEF	885	17	97
G Allala DEF	816	18	59
A Alvarado FWD	807	29	91
L Alzugaray FWD	568	25	58
K Minda MID	516	12	28
R Caicedo DEF	503	11	31
A Domínguez GLK	490	1	7
G Villamil MID	478	17	42
D. de la Cruz DEF	463	25	66
J Quintero DEF	438	37	54
L Pastrán FWD	317	24	59
G Valle GLK	281		1
Y Villigua DEF	272	10	28
D Aimar DEF	227	3	15
M Estrada FWD	194	5	70
M Díaz FWD	181	7	35
A Cabeza FWD	93	4	28
J Medina FWD	87	1	17
E. Castillo Ayoví MID	18	1	4
J Cuero DEF	9		1
F Mina FWD	9		1