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Macará v Libertad : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 16:00 BST, Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, Ambato

Libertad, led by manager Juan Carlos León Zambrano, visit Guillermo Óscar Sanguinetti Giordano and his Macará side at the Estadio Bellavista de Ambato on Sunday afternoon in the Liga Pro. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a sound selection is published below. Flip between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for it all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Macara and Libertad have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Macara
38%
43/50-
Draw
28%
12/5-
Libertad
34%
31/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Macara 1-0
11%
6/1-
Libertad 1-0
11%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
17/2-
Macara 2-1
8%
8/1-
Libertad 2-1
8%
12/1-
Macara 2-0
7%
8/1-
Libertad 2-0
6%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Macara 3-1
3%
14/1-
Libertad 3-1
3%
33/1-
Macara 3-0
3%
16/1-
Libertad 3-0
2%
40/1-
Macara 3-2
2%
28/1-
Libertad 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
46%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
6%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
48%
5/6-
BTTS - No
52%
5/6-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7/1-
Home/draw
66%
2/9-
Away/draw
62%
10/11-
Home/away
72%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
17/2-
Home DNB
58%
2/5-
Away DNB
54%
7/4-
Macara win to nil
22%
9/4-
Libertad win to nil
20%
6/1-
Macara / Macara
27%
21/10-
Macara / Libertad
2%
33/1-
Macara / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Macara
17%
4/1-
Draw / Libertad
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Libertad / Macara
4%
22/1-
Libertad / Libertad
13%
11/2-
Libertad / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Libertad have not lost in 7 consecutive away league games
Macara 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Macara2 - 1Mushuc
Macara0 - 0Delfin
Macara1 - 4Catolica
Macara1 - 2I. Valle
Macara1 - 1Emelec
Macara1 - 0Cuniburo
Macara2 - 2Manta
Macara1 - 1El Nacional
Macara0 - 1LDU Quito
Macara0 - 1Guayaquil
Macara0 - 1Cuenca
Macara0 - 1Tecnico
Macara1 - 1Aucas
Macara1 - 0Orense
Macara1 - 2Catolica
Macara1 - 1Emelec
Macara1 - 1Cumbaya
Macara0 - 2Delfin
Macara2 - 0Imbabura
Macara0 - 0Tecnico
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMacara2 - 0El Nacional
AMacara1 - 1LDU Quito
HMacara2 - 1Mushuc
AMacara2 - 0Guayaquil
HMacara0 - 0Delfin
AMacara1 - 1Cuenca
HMacara1 - 4Catolica
AMacara0 - 1Tecnico
HMacara1 - 2I. Valle
AMacara4 - 1Aucas
HMacara1 - 1Emelec
HMacara1 - 0Cuniburo
AMacara0 - 1Orense
HMacara2 - 2Manta
AMacara1 - 0Libertad
HMacara1 - 1El Nacional
HMacara0 - 1LDU Quito
AMacara3 - 4Mushuc
HMacara0 - 1Guayaquil
AMacara0 - 0Delfin
Libertad 7TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
11
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Delfin0 - 0Libertad
Catolica1 - 1Libertad
Mushuc1 - 2Libertad
El Nacional2 - 2Libertad
Orense0 - 1Libertad
Guayaquil3 - 3Libertad
I. Valle1 - 1Libertad
Cuniburo1 - 0Libertad
LDU Quito1 - 1Libertad
Aucas2 - 0Libertad
Emelec1 - 1Libertad
Manta1 - 1Libertad
Cuenca0 - 1Libertad
Tecnico2 - 2Libertad
Cuenca1 - 1Libertad
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
Orense1 - 0Libertad
Guayaquil0 - 0Libertad
Tecnico3 - 0Libertad
LDU Quito3 - 0Libertad
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLibertad0 - 1LDU Quito
ALibertad0 - 0Delfin
HLibertad3 - 2Aucas
ALibertad1 - 1Catolica
ALibertad2 - 1Mushuc
HLibertad1 - 2Emelec
ALibertad2 - 2El Nacional
HLibertad1 - 0Manta
ALibertad1 - 0Orense
HLibertad2 - 1Cuenca
ALibertad3 - 3Guayaquil
HLibertad4 - 1Tecnico
ALibertad1 - 1I. Valle
ALibertad0 - 1Cuniburo
HLibertad0 - 1Macara
ALibertad1 - 1LDU Quito
HLibertad0 - 1Delfin
ALibertad0 - 2Aucas
HLibertad3 - 1Catolica
HLibertad2 - 1Mushuc
Goal Statistics

Macará's defensive record is very strong, G. Sanguinetti Giordano's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga Pro games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Libertad makes sense in this context.

Macara 10th Libertad 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Macara will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Libertad will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-35
Macara have scored 35% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Libertad’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
Macara
PG (predicted goals)
Libertad
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
20%
better
view stats
Games scored18
22
Failed to score10
6
Scored first13
11
Goals scored28
40
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
23
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first12
16
Goals conceded28
35
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+19%

Macara v Libertad Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Macara Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
266510
J JiménezF. PazS. Viera GalloJ Cazares
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Jiménez DEF2731
7
-
L. Espinoza Lema DEF271
6
-
J Cazares MID262
10
-
S. Viera Gallo FWD2515
1
-
N Arena DEF2411
5
1
J Morales MID241
8
-
M. Tello Escobar MID241
-
L Álvarez MID2412
3
-
F. Paz FWD226
1
-
A. Chére Ayoví FWD21
-
L Ayala DEF20
3
-
B Caicedo DEF17
6
-
G. Blanc MID1721
3
-
A Muñoz FWD1635
2
-
C. Correa GLK15
5
1
J Cevallos GLK14
1
-
J Mohor MID13
2
-
P Maciel MID1231
1
-
M Fernández FWD1231
-
E Mesa DEF10
1
-
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix FWD102
1
-
J Jiménez DEF71
-
R Zambrano DEF5
-
S Zamora MID4
-
Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281468
I ZambranoE CaicedoC ArboledaD Bolaños
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Zambrano MID2824
3
-
R Biojó DEF27
6
-
N. Caicedo Mina FWD2751
3
-
K Becerra DEF261
4
1
C Arboleda FWD2636
1
1
W Ayoví FWD2643
3
-
E Caicedo FWD25141
3
1
D Bolaños DEF242
7
1
Y Nazareno FWD2314
2
-
J Monaga DEF211
3
-
J Humanante MID20
3
-
O Quiñónez DEF191
4
-
Ángel Quiñónez FWD181
1
-
D Ávila FWD1541
3
1
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID12
1
-
L Nazareno GLK11
1
-
C Chamorro DEF11
1
-
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF101
1
1
A García DEF8
-
F Mina GLK2
-
B Zapatier FWD1
-