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Mushuc Runa v El Nacional : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Jun, 19:00 BST, Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting, Ambato

Sunday evening sees Ever Hugo Almeida’s Mushuc Runa and Omar Andrés Asad’s El Nacional go up against one another in a Liga Pro clash at the Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting. All the odds are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Liga Pro match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both happiness and misery to both home and away fans. We expect both Mushuc and El Nacional to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the game seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's our recommendation.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mushuc are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mushuc
44%
19/20
2%
-
Draw
23%
23/10-
El Nacional
33%
14/5
3%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2-
Mushuc 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
El Nacional 2-1
8%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
7%
12/1-
Mushuc 1-0
7%
13/2
6%
-
Mushuc 2-0
6%
17/2-
El Nacional 1-0
6%
11/1-
Mushuc 3-1
5%
14/1-
El Nacional 2-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Mushuc 3-2
4%
25/1-
El Nacional 3-1
4%
28/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
9/1-
Mushuc 3-0
3%
16/1-
El Nacional 3-2
3%
33/1-
Mushuc 4-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
19/20
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
17/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
65%
8/11-
BTTS - No
35%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
13/2-
Home/draw
67%
1/4-
Away/draw
56%
4/5
2%
-
Home/away
77%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
9/1-
Home DNB
60%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
49%
13/8
5%
-
Mushuc win to nil
18%
5/2
3%
-
El Nacional win to nil
13%
6/1-
Mushuc / Mushuc
26%
11/5
3%
-
Mushuc / El Nacional
2%
33/1-
Mushuc / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Mushuc
17%
4/1-
Draw / El Nacional
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
El Nacional / Mushuc
4%
22/1-
El Nacional / El Nacional
14%
5/1-
El Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Mushuc 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mushuc2 - 5Orense
Mushuc4 - 3Macara
Mushuc1 - 0LDU Quito
Mushuc1 - 1Emelec
Mushuc1 - 2Cuniburo
Mushuc3 - 1Cuenca
Mushuc2 - 0Delfin
Mushuc2 - 2El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 1Macara
Mushuc1 - 1Cuenca
Mushuc1 - 1I. Valle
Mushuc3 - 0Orense
Mushuc0 - 0Cumbaya
Mushuc3 - 0Emelec
Mushuc1 - 0Guayaquil
Mushuc2 - 1Catolica
Mushuc5 - 0Delfin
Mushuc0 - 1LDU Quito
Mushuc1 - 2Tecnico
Mushuc0 - 2Aucas
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMushuc1 - 2I. Valle
HMushuc2 - 5Orense
AMushuc1 - 2Manta
HMushuc4 - 3Macara
AMushuc0 - 2Aucas
AMushuc1 - 2Libertad
HMushuc1 - 0LDU Quito
AMushuc1 - 1Tecnico
HMushuc1 - 1Emelec
HMushuc1 - 2Cuniburo
AMushuc1 - 1Catolica
HMushuc3 - 1Cuenca
AMushuc0 - 1Guayaquil
HMushuc2 - 0Delfin
AMushuc2 - 2Guayaquil
HMushuc2 - 2El Nacional
AMushuc2 - 4Delfin
HMushuc2 - 1Macara
AMushuc1 - 1LDU Quito
HMushuc1 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Macara1 - 1El Nacional
LDU Quito2 - 2El Nacional
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Libertad1 - 3El Nacional
Manta4 - 3El Nacional
Catolica1 - 1El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 2El Nacional
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
Delfin1 - 1El Nacional
Imbabura1 - 0El Nacional
LDU Quito1 - 1El Nacional
Cuenca1 - 2El Nacional
Emelec0 - 1El Nacional
Tecnico1 - 2El Nacional
Libertad0 - 2El Nacional
Orense0 - 1El Nacional
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Cumbaya1 - 0El Nacional
Aucas3 - 4El Nacional
Macara1 - 0El Nacional
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEl Nacional2 - 0Emelec
AEl Nacional1 - 1Macara
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
AEl Nacional2 - 2LDU Quito
HEl Nacional3 - 2Delfin
AEl Nacional0 - 1Guayaquil
HEl Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
AEl Nacional3 - 1Libertad
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
HEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
AEl Nacional3 - 4Manta
HEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
AEl Nacional1 - 1Catolica
HEl Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
HEl Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
AEl Nacional2 - 2Mushuc
HEl Nacional1 - 4Libertad
AEl Nacional0 - 2I. Valle
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional1 - 1Delfin
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
El Nacional have not lost to Mushuc in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Mushuc since 2019
Mushuc
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
D
2
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mushuc
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1El Nacional
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1El Nacional
League games at El Nacional since 2019
El Nacional
Mushuc
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
El Nacional1 - 0
El Nacional2 - 0
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Mushuc Runa's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because El Nacional have conceded in each of their last 10 Liga Pro outings. A PG of 1.8 for E. Almeida's side suggests that run should continue.

Mushuc 12th El Nacional 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Mushuc will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that El Nacional will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Mushuc have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+21
El Nacional have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293066/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mushuc
PG (predicted goals)
El Nacional
1.8
1.5
Attack rating
20%
better
view stats
Games scored9
6
Failed to score2
5
Scored first5
3
Goals scored15
13
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal10
9
Conversion rate for10
12
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded14
17
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+20%

Mushuc v El Nacional Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Mushuc Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11345
C PenillaC PenillaE. Caicedo LópezB Bentaberry
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arce MID1311
1
-
C Penilla FWD1331
1
-
M Alonso FWD1311
-
R Sinisterra FWD131
1
-
D Quintero DEF121
2
-
G Mina DEF121
3
-
E. Caicedo López FWD1234
-
R Formento GLK112
2
-
B Bentaberry DEF11
5
-
B Villagomez FWD1131
1
-
Ángel Gracia DEF1013
2
-
K Peralta DEF10
3
-
S Tapiero MID102
4
-
L Lopez DEF91
-
N Davila MID8
1
-
C Orejuela FWD82
1
1
J Parrales DEF6
2
-
A Zambrano MID6
-
B Delgado FWD6
-
J. Quiñones Mesías DEF5
1
1
R Cristobal MID4
-
B Angulo FWD41
1
-
A Pabón GLK3
-
S Palma DEF1
-
P Perlaza DEF1
-
El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12335
A RecaldeA RecaldeA RecaldeF Carabalí
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Recalde MID1333
1
-
E Mejía MID1332
-
D Cabezas GLK12
2
-
R Briones DEF121
1
-
J Cevallos MID122
-
F Carabalí DEF112
5
-
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix MID111
3
-
C Vélez MID11
2
-
D Pazmino MID1023
2
-
M Montaño MID10
-
J Cifuente FWD102
1
-
M Olmedo MID9
2
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID9
1
-
B Rivera DEF8
-
J Blanco DEF8
4
-
J Chalá FWD71
1
-
E Caicedo MID6
1
1
J. Mejía Moreira MID5
1
-
F Martínez MID5
-
V Branda FWD5
-
A Bedoya DEF4
2
-
F Mora MID41
-
B Jesús FWD3
-
L Chalá GLK2
-
J Colorado MID2
-
J. Maya Zambrano MID2
-
A Montenegro MID2
-