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Mushuc Runa v Independiente del Valle : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting, Ambato

Javier Sanguinetti pays counterpart Angel Paúl Vélez Ordoñez a visit on Sunday afternoon in the Liga Pro, as their Independiente del Valle and Mushuc Runa sides face each other at the Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a sound selection is shown below. Flip between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for every one.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Mushuc and I. Valle's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mushuc
23%
21/10-
Draw
23%
9/4-
I. Valle
53%
6/5-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
I. Valle 1-0
10%
8/1-
I. Valle 2-1
10%
17/2-
I. Valle 2-0
9%
11/1-
Mushuc 1-0
6%
10/1-
Mushuc 2-1
6%
10/1-
I. Valle 3-1
6%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1-
I. Valle 3-0
5%
20/1-
Mushuc 2-0
3%
16/1-
I. Valle 3-2
3%
25/1-
I. Valle 4-1
3%
40/1-
I. Valle 4-0
2%
40/1-
Mushuc 3-1
2%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
43%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/6-
BTTS - No
45%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
26%
10/3-
Home/draw
47%
8/13-
Away/draw
77%
4/11-
Home/away
77%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
40%
6/5-
Away DNB
70%
8/13-
Mushuc win to nil
11%
9/2-
I. Valle win to nil
28%
3/1-
Mushuc / Mushuc
17%
15/4-
Mushuc / I. Valle
4%
22/1-
Mushuc / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Mushuc
12%
6/1-
Draw / I. Valle
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
I. Valle / Mushuc
3%
25/1-
I. Valle / I. Valle
22%
11/4-
I. Valle / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
13
I. Valle have not lost in 13 consecutive away league games
3
I. Valle have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Mushuc 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mushuc2 - 0Manta
Mushuc1 - 0Aucas
Mushuc1 - 2Libertad
Mushuc0 - 1Tecnico
Mushuc1 - 1Catolica
Mushuc0 - 5Guayaquil
Mushuc2 - 3El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 5Orense
Mushuc4 - 3Macara
Mushuc1 - 0LDU Quito
Mushuc1 - 1Emelec
Mushuc1 - 2Cuniburo
Mushuc3 - 1Cuenca
Mushuc2 - 0Delfin
Mushuc2 - 2El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 1Macara
Mushuc1 - 1Cuenca
Mushuc1 - 1I. Valle
Mushuc3 - 0Orense
Mushuc0 - 0Cumbaya
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMushuc1 - 3Orense
HMushuc2 - 0Manta
AMushuc1 - 2Macara
HMushuc1 - 0Aucas
HMushuc1 - 2Libertad
AMushuc1 - 2LDU Quito
HMushuc0 - 1Tecnico
AMushuc0 - 1Emelec
AMushuc1 - 1Cuniburo
HMushuc1 - 1Catolica
AMushuc0 - 1Cuenca
HMushuc0 - 5Guayaquil
AMushuc1 - 3Delfin
HMushuc2 - 3El Nacional
AMushuc1 - 2I. Valle
HMushuc2 - 5Orense
AMushuc1 - 2Manta
HMushuc4 - 3Macara
AMushuc0 - 2Aucas
AMushuc1 - 2Libertad
I. Valle 1ST
20 league games
Away
13
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Emelec0 - 1I. Valle
Manta0 - 0I. Valle
Cuenca0 - 3I. Valle
Macara1 - 2I. Valle
Catolica0 - 3I. Valle
LDU Quito1 - 1I. Valle
Delfin1 - 1I. Valle
Cuniburo1 - 3I. Valle
Tecnico1 - 2I. Valle
Orense1 - 2I. Valle
El Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
Aucas1 - 2I. Valle
Guayaquil0 - 4I. Valle
Libertad2 - 0I. Valle
LDU Quito3 - 0I. Valle
Orense0 - 0I. Valle
LDU Quito2 - 1I. Valle
Cuenca0 - 2I. Valle
Mushuc1 - 1I. Valle
Libertad1 - 1I. Valle
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HI. Valle3 - 1Cuniburo
HI. Valle4 - 0Tecnico
AI. Valle1 - 0Emelec
HI. Valle2 - 1Orense
AI. Valle0 - 0Manta
HI. Valle1 - 0El Nacional
AI. Valle3 - 0Cuenca
HI. Valle2 - 1Aucas
AI. Valle2 - 1Macara
HI. Valle1 - 1Guayaquil
AI. Valle3 - 0Catolica
AI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
HI. Valle1 - 1Libertad
AI. Valle1 - 1Delfin
HI. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
AI. Valle3 - 1Cuniburo
AI. Valle2 - 1Tecnico
HI. Valle1 - 2Emelec
AI. Valle2 - 1Orense
HI. Valle2 - 0Manta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mushuc since 2019
Mushuc
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
3 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
3 / 6
2
D
1
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mushuc
Draw1 - 1Draw
Mushuc1 - 0
0 - 1I. Valle
0 - 2I. Valle
Mushuc3 - 2
0 - 2I. Valle
League games at I. Valle since 2019
I. Valle
Mushuc
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
2
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
I. Valle2 - 1
I. Valle2 - 1
I. Valle3 - 1
0 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle2 - 0
I. Valle2 - 1
2 - 3Mushuc
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle's defensive record is very strong, Javier Sanguinetti's men having conceded 1 or less in 16 consecutive Liga Pro games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Mushuc Runa makes sense in this context.

Mushuc 16th I. Valle 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Mushuc will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Mushuc’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
I. Valle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
Mushuc
PG (predicted goals)
I. Valle
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
36%
better
view stats
Games scored22
26
Failed to score6
2
Scored first10
20
Goals scored31
53
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
19
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first18
7
Goals conceded48
21
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against17%
10%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+42%

Mushuc v I. Valle Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Mushuc Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
244410
D QuinteroC PenillaÁngel GraciaB Bentaberry
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arce MID2622
3
-
C Penilla FWD2643
3
-
D Quintero DEF251
5
-
G Mina DEF241
3
-
B Bentaberry DEF22
8
2
K Peralta DEF2211
7
-
S Tapiero MID222
5
-
R Formento GLK202
2
-
N Davila MID20
4
1
C Orejuela FWD193
2
1
Ángel Gracia DEF1834
2
1
E. Caicedo López FWD1834
-
B Delgado FWD131
-
J Chala DEF9
4
-
J Santos FWD93
1
R Burbano FWD9
-
J Cabezas FWD91
-
A Pabón GLK8
-
J. Quiñones Mesías DEF8
1
1
J Vergés MID81
1
-
J Mina MID7
1
-
A Zambrano MID6
-
S Palma DEF1
-
I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231586
M CarabajalC SpinelliP AltamiranoM Carabajal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Altamirano MID2738
2
-
C Spinelli FWD25151
5
-
M Hoyos FWD2492
1
-
M Fernández DEF234
4
-
M Carabajal DEF231
6
-
G Villar GLK22
2
-
J Macías MID2222
1
-
J Méndez MID21
1
-
R Schunke DEF20
4
1
G Cortez DEF201
1
-
J Cazares MID2034
1
-
E Rodriguez FWD2024
2
-
J Sornoza MID1932
2
-
L Loor DEF164
1
-
A Rodríguez FWD1652
2
-
L Zárate DEF1431
2
1
R Ibarra FWD142
1
-
J Arroyo MID1213
1
-
C Zabala MID12
3
-
T Santamaría DEF111
3
-
D. Guagua Silva MID1021
1
-
R Briones  MID71
2
-
Óscar Quiñónez DEF6
-
Y. Vásquez Zambrano MID4
-
A Velasco DEF3
-
E Bores GLK1
1
-