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Universidad Católica (EC) v Independiente del Valle : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 21:30 BST, Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito

Diego Andrés Martínez Carrera welcomes Javier Rabanal Hernández to the Olimpico Atahualpa on Sunday night, as their Universidad Católica (EC) and Independiente del Valle charges go head to head in the Liga Pro. We have custom-designed statistics for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Catolica and I. Valle will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of I. Valle coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Catolica 35%	6/4 2%	-
Draw 25%	12/5	-
I. Valle 40%	31/20 2%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
I. Valle 1-0 9%	17/2	-
I. Valle 2-1 9%	9/1	-
Catolica 1-0 8%	8/1	-
Catolica 2-1 8%	9/1	-
I. Valle 2-0 6%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Catolica 2-0 6%	12/1	-
I. Valle 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Catolica 3-1 4%	20/1	-
I. Valle 3-0 3%	25/1	-
I. Valle 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Catolica 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Catolica 3-0 2%	25/1 13%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	9/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	9/10	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	20/21 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	20/21 3%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	4/6 3%	-
BTTS - No 44%	11/10 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	4/1	-
Home/draw 60%	1/2 4%	-
Away/draw 65%	1/2	-
Home/away 75%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	9/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1/3	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	-
Home DNB 53%	5/6 2%	-
Away DNB 57%	5/6 4%	-
Catolica win to nil 18%	7/2 4%	-
I. Valle win to nil 20%	7/2	-
Catolica / Catolica 19%	10/3 8%	-
Catolica / I. Valle 3%	25/1	-
Catolica / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Catolica 14%	5/1	-
Draw / I. Valle 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
I. Valle / Catolica 3%	25/1	-
I. Valle / I. Valle 19%	10/3	-
I. Valle / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Catolica have drawn 4 consecutive home league games

Catolica have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games

I. Valle have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Catolica	0 - 0	Orense
Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
Catolica	1 - 1	Guayaquil
Catolica	2 - 2	LDU Quito
Catolica	2 - 1	Cuenca
Catolica	1 - 1	Delfin
Catolica	2 - 0	Tecnico
Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
Catolica	6 - 2	Aucas
Catolica	3 - 0	Cuniburo
Catolica	0 - 3	I. Valle
Catolica	1 - 1	Emelec
Catolica	3 - 1	LDU Quito
Catolica	2 - 2	Guayaquil
Catolica	2 - 0	Orense
Catolica	1 - 0	Macara
Catolica	3 - 0	Manta
Catolica	1 - 1	Mushuc
Catolica	1 - 1	El Nacional
Catolica	2 - 4	LDU Quito

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Catolica	1 - 1	Guayaquil
H	Catolica	0 - 0	Orense
H	Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
A	Catolica	2 - 0	I. Valle
H	Catolica	1 - 1	Guayaquil
A	Catolica	1 - 2	Orense
A	Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
H	Catolica	2 - 2	LDU Quito
H	Catolica	2 - 1	Cuenca
A	Catolica	4 - 2	LDU Quito
H	Catolica	1 - 1	Delfin
A	Catolica	3 - 2	Guayaquil
H	Catolica	2 - 0	Tecnico
H	Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
A	Catolica	1 - 1	Orense
H	Catolica	6 - 2	Aucas
A	Catolica	4 - 1	Macara
H	Catolica	3 - 0	Cuniburo
A	Catolica	2 - 4	Manta
A	Catolica	1 - 1	Mushuc

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
LDU Quito	2 - 1	I. Valle
Libertad	1 - 3	I. Valle
Orense	1 - 2	I. Valle
Guayaquil	0 - 3	I. Valle
Mushuc	2 - 2	I. Valle
Emelec	0 - 1	I. Valle
Manta	0 - 0	I. Valle
Cuenca	0 - 3	I. Valle
Macara	1 - 2	I. Valle
Catolica	0 - 3	I. Valle
LDU Quito	1 - 1	I. Valle
Delfin	1 - 1	I. Valle
Cuniburo	1 - 3	I. Valle
Tecnico	1 - 2	I. Valle
Orense	1 - 2	I. Valle
El Nacional	1 - 3	I. Valle
Aucas	1 - 2	I. Valle
Guayaquil	0 - 4	I. Valle
Libertad	2 - 0	I. Valle
LDU Quito	3 - 0	I. Valle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	I. Valle	0 - 0	LDU Quito
H	I. Valle	1 - 1	Libertad
A	I. Valle	1 - 2	LDU Quito
H	I. Valle	0 - 0	Orense
H	I. Valle	0 - 2	Catolica
A	I. Valle	3 - 1	Libertad
A	I. Valle	2 - 1	Orense
A	I. Valle	3 - 0	Guayaquil
H	I. Valle	0 - 0	Delfin
A	I. Valle	2 - 2	Mushuc
H	I. Valle	3 - 1	Cuniburo
H	I. Valle	4 - 0	Tecnico
A	I. Valle	1 - 0	Emelec
H	I. Valle	2 - 1	Orense
A	I. Valle	0 - 0	Manta
H	I. Valle	1 - 0	El Nacional
A	I. Valle	3 - 0	Cuenca
H	I. Valle	2 - 1	Aucas
A	I. Valle	2 - 1	Macara
H	I. Valle	1 - 1	Guayaquil

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Catolica

I. Valle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

9 / 9

Clean sheets

0 / 9

2 / 9

CAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Catolica
	0 - 3	I. Valle
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	I. Valle
Catolica	3 - 1
	1 - 3	I. Valle
Catolica	3 - 1
	0 - 1	I. Valle
	1 - 2	I. Valle
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

I. Valle

Catolica

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

10 / 10

Clean sheets

0 / 10

2 / 10

CAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
	0 - 2	Catolica
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
I. Valle	5 - 2
	0 - 1	Catolica
	1 - 2	Catolica
	2 - 3	Catolica
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
I. Valle	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Catolica
I. Valle	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Independiente del Valle of late. It has been 5 Liga Pro games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday night against Universidad Católica (EC).

	Catolica 4th	I. Valle 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Catolica will score no more than 1 goal	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 Catolica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+25 I. Valle have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	1.9 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season

better

CAT

view stats

Games scored	35		32
Failed to score	3		6
Scored first	14		24
Goals scored	67		65
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.7
Avg. shots per game	11		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		16
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+3%

CAT

29%

better

view stats

Games conceded	29		25
Clean sheets	9		13
Conceded first	23		10
Goals conceded	47		30
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		10
Conversion rate against	13%		10%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+29%

Catolica v I. Valle Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Catolica Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	18	10	13
L Cangá	B Palacios	A Londono	L Cangá

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Palacios FWD	38	18	3	3 -
L Cangá DEF	35	3	1	12 1
G Anangonó DEF	33	1	3	11 2
D Romero DEF	33		5	4 -
E Clavijo MID	33	2	4	3 -
A Londono FWD	33	7	10	5 -
J Cacciabue MID	32			5 -
M Díaz MID	31	4	8	5 -
L. Moreno Zuñiga MID	31	1	1	4 -
A Rodríguez MID	29	1	3	4 1
C Medina DEF	26	1	1	1 -
J Fajardo FWD	26	10	1	6 -
R Romo GLK	23			2 -
J Chancellor DEF	22			6 -
E Mejía DEF	22	1	3	1 -
M Alonso FWD	20	7	1	2 -
E. Valencia Reasco DEF	18			3 -
R. Troya Macías MID	17			1 -
F Martínez MID	17		1	2 1
J Lara GLK	15			-
I. Sánchez Cortez FWD	10			-
M Herrera DEF	7			1 -
I Mosquera DEF	4			-
E. Valencia Tenorio GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
18	41	10	15
B Palacios	B Palacios	A Londono	M Díaz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Palacios FWD	18	41	3	6
J Fajardo FWD	10	18	1	2
A Londono FWD	7	22	10	11
M Alonso FWD	7	17	1	5
M Díaz MID	4	8	8	15
L Cangá DEF	3	6	1	3
E Clavijo MID	2	10	4	9
G Anangonó DEF	1	5	3	9
L. Moreno Zuñiga MID	1	7	1
A Rodríguez MID	1	4	3	8
C Medina DEF	1	2	1	1
E Mejía DEF	1	8	3	6
D Romero DEF		7	5	8
J Cacciabue MID		9		1
J Chancellor DEF		4
R. Troya Macías MID		1
F Martínez MID		1	1	1
I. Sánchez Cortez FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1739	49	152
L Cangá	L Cangá	G Anangonó

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Cangá DEF	1739	49	116
J Cacciabue MID	1686	43	63
L. Moreno Zuñiga MID	1244	33	76
G Anangonó DEF	1213	48	152
E Clavijo MID	1203	44	97
M Díaz MID	1166	16	81
C Medina DEF	1086	45	112
D Romero DEF	1032	30	74
J Chancellor DEF	874	23	73
E Mejía DEF	735	29	69
A Londono FWD	700	32	135
R Romo GLK	588	2	6
A Rodríguez MID	584	29	62
B Palacios FWD	500	14	87
M Alonso FWD	458	15	53
F Martínez MID	454	13	17
J Lara GLK	374		4
M Herrera DEF	337	8	19
E. Valencia Reasco DEF	317	21	53
R. Troya Macías MID	283	12	21
J Fajardo FWD	203	5	37
I. Sánchez Cortez FWD	61	5	15
I Mosquera DEF	57	5	6
E. Valencia Tenorio GLK	26

I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	20	9	8
G Villar	C Spinelli	P Altamirano	M Carabajal

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Altamirano MID	35	4	9	3 -
C Spinelli FWD	34	20	1	6 -
G Villar GLK	32			2 -
M Carabajal DEF	32		2	7 1
M Hoyos FWD	32	10	4	2 -
M Fernández DEF	30		4	8 -
J Macías MID	30	2	2	2 -
R Schunke DEF	29			6 1
J Méndez MID	29			5 -
G Cortez DEF	27		2	1 -
J Sornoza MID	25	4	2	3 -
E Rodriguez FWD	24	2	5	2 -
J Cazares MID	23	3	4	2 -
R Ibarra FWD	22	1	2	1 -
L Loor DEF	21		5	1 -
J Arroyo MID	21	3	3	2 -
A Rodríguez FWD	20	5	3	2 -
T Santamaría DEF	16		1	3 -
L Zárate DEF	15	3	1	3 1
D. Guagua Silva MID	13	2	1	2 -
C Zabala MID	13			3 -
R Briones MID	11	1	1	2 -
Óscar Quiñónez DEF	8			-
A Velasco DEF	8			4 1
Y. Vásquez Zambrano FWD	8			-
J. Lerma Soliz MID	7			-
E Bores GLK	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
20	39	9	8
C Spinelli	C Spinelli	P Altamirano	J Cazares

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Spinelli FWD	20	39	1	2
M Hoyos FWD	10	30	4	4
A Rodríguez FWD	5	14	3	2
P Altamirano MID	4	15	9	7
J Sornoza MID	4	10	2	4
J Cazares MID	3	7	4	8
J Arroyo MID	3	4	3	6
L Zárate DEF	3	6	1
J Macías MID	2	8	2	3
E Rodriguez FWD	2	18	5	5
D. Guagua Silva MID	2	3	1	2
R Ibarra FWD	1	5	2	4
R Briones MID	1	5	1	1
M Carabajal DEF		6	2	2
M Fernández DEF		2	4	6
R Schunke DEF		4		2
J Méndez MID		5
G Cortez DEF		1	2	3
L Loor DEF		4	5	4
T Santamaría DEF		1	1	1
C Zabala MID		2
Óscar Quiñónez DEF		2
A Velasco DEF		1
Y. Vásquez Zambrano FWD		3		2
J. Lerma Soliz MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1781	53	198
R Schunke	M Carabajal	M Carabajal

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Schunke DEF	1781	48	126
M Carabajal DEF	1702	53	198
J Méndez MID	1453	51	81
M Fernández DEF	1199	31	72
J Macías MID	1099	31	71
G Cortez DEF	889	41	86
P Altamirano MID	851	30	141
J Cazares MID	750	9	25
G Villar GLK	694	2	10
J Sornoza MID	672	13	38
L Zárate DEF	628	19	63
L Loor DEF	622	12	31
E Rodriguez FWD	548	16	57
T Santamaría DEF	489	22	43
C Zabala MID	439	11	30
R Ibarra FWD	358	16	52
A Velasco DEF	346	7	39
Óscar Quiñónez DEF	330	6	27
M Hoyos FWD	317	7	68
A Rodríguez FWD	277	14	41
C Spinelli FWD	268	13	75
D. Guagua Silva MID	211	11	26
J Arroyo MID	197	15	44
J. Lerma Soliz MID	163	4	30
R Briones MID	142	12	37
Y. Vásquez Zambrano FWD	46	4	21
E Bores GLK	9		1