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Watford v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vicarage Road, Watford

the Vicarage Road faithful welcome Leeds United's supporters on Tuesday evening, as Tom Cleverley's Watford go head to head with Daniel Farke's charges in the Championship. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Watford's next match is v M'Boro at 15:00 on Saturday 15th February
Leeds United's next match is v Sunderland at 20:00 on Monday 17th February
The last English Championship meeting between Watford and Leeds was on Tuesday 11th February 2025
English Championship
February 11th 2025
Watford 0
4 Leeds
 
20' D. James
28' D. James
35' M. Solomon
62' J. Piroe
 
WAT
LEE
Shots On
2
7
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
7
7
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
12
6
 
WatfordLeeds
 
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia (Y. Larouci 59')
R. Andrews
J. Abankwah
M. Pollock (K. Keben 80')
M. Sissoko (T. Ince 59')
I. Louza
A. Dele-Bashiru (A. Nabizada 72')
G. Chakvetadze
E. Kayembe
M. Doumbia (R. Vata 59')
I. Meslier
J. Bogle
H. Firpo Adames
J. Rodon
(J. Rothwell 81') A. Tanaka
I. Gruev
B. Aaronson
(D. Gnonto 77') football iconfootball iconD. James
(P. Struijk 87') E. Ampadu
(M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo 81') football iconJ. Piroe
(L. Ramazani 77') football iconM. Solomon

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 77% chance of Watford and Leeds a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Championship game according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.53.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Watford
22%
17/2
58%
15/2
42%
Draw
27%
7/2
4%
19/5
11%
Leeds
51%
4/11
9%
4/11
11%
Leeds 1-0
14%
11/2
28%
5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
15/215/2
13%
Leeds 2-0
10%
5/1
29%
5/1
14%
Draw 0-0
10%
10/1
27%
9/1
Leeds 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
13/2
Watford 1-0
8%
20/1
11%
14/1
15%
Watford 2-1
5%
25/1
37%
18/1
27%
Leeds 3-0
5%
15/2
23%
7/1
16%
Leeds 3-1
4%
11/1
9%
9/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
40%
16/1
31%
Watford 2-0
4%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Leeds 3-2
2%
28/1
38%
20/1
24%
Leeds 4-0
2%
14/1
21%
11/1
20%
Leeds 4-1
2%
20/114/1
12%
Watford 3-1
2%
66/1
63%
40/1
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
4/5
15%
8/11
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
1/1
16%
1/1
Home 1st Goal
41%
7/2
38%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1/4
8%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
10/1
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10
26%
11/10
14%
BTTS - No
55%
4/6
20%
4/6
9%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
18/1
90%
12/1
37%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
20%
11/2
24%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
12/5
18%
11/5
Home/draw
49%
2/1
20%
2/1
20%
Away/draw
78%
1/14
4%
1/14
4%
Home/away
73%
2/11
2%
1/6
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/4
7%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
3/1
20%
27/10
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
2/1
20%
9/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/5
9%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/2
27%
4/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/7
7%
1/7
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
10/1
38%
17/2
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/20
3%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/20
2%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
10/1
27%
9/1
Home DNB
41%
6/1
56%
5/1
36%
Away DNB
70%
1/10
7%
1/10
7%
Watford win to nil
14%
14/1
15%
-
Leeds win to nil
32%
11/10
24%
-
Watford / Watford
6%
14/1
50%
11/1
33%
Watford / Leeds
4%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
Watford / Draw
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Draw / Watford
5%
16/1
42%
12/1
18%
Draw / Leeds
21%
11/4
13%
14/5
10%
Draw / Draw
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
13%
Leeds / Watford
2%
50/1
24%
40/1
21%
Leeds / Leeds
41%
21/20
11%
1/1
11%
Leeds / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 5. Watford have conceded 17 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Watford have played 15 games at home, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 1st place on 66 points in the Championship league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 9 and losing 3 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 19 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 15 away games, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Watford
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds Away3220934769 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
2
Sheff Utd3221652367 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 24
3
Burnley32171323064 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland32171142162 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Feb 17
d
 
2-2A
5
Blackburn3214612648 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
West Brom32111471147 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
7
Bristol C3211129445 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
8
Sheff Wed3212911-345 
May 3
w
 
2-6F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
9
M'Boro3112811844 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 15
w
 
3-1F
Apr 8
10
Coventry3212812244 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
11
Norwich32111011643 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Watford Home3212614-642 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
13
QPR32101111-641 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
14
Millwall31101011-140 
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
15
Preston319139-440 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
16
Oxford Utd3291112-1138 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
17
Swansea3210715-1037 
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
18
Portsmouth328915-1633 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
d
 
3-3F
Mar 9
19
Stoke3171113-1132 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
20
Cardiff3171014-1931 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-2F
21
Derby327817-929 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
22
Hull317816-1129 
Apr 8
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
23
Plymouth3161015-3028 
Mar 29
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
May 3
24
Luton317618-2127 
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Watford 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Leeds 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Leeds have not lost to Watford in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Watford since 1999
Watford
Leeds
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
WAT
2
D
3
LEE
5
League games at Leeds since 2000
Leeds
Watford
Goals: Scored
21
21
Games: Scored
10 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
1 / 11
WAT
3
D
3
LEE
5
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Watford look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Leeds United have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive Championship games, and it could be a long evening for T. Cleverley's men.

Watford 12th Leeds 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Watford scoring 1 goal or less
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Watford have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280468/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
0.9
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
WAT
LEE
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
WAT
LEE
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Watford v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32758
M PollockE KayembeG ChakvetadzeF Carvallo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Selvik GLK2
-
R Andrews DEF2632
3
-
J Abankwah DEF6
1
-
M Pollock DEF324
5
-
J Ngakia DEF151
5
-
I Louza  MID192
6
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID153
-
M Sissoko MID2911
4
-
E Kayembe MID3171
5
-
G Chakvetadze MID3125
5
-
M. Doumbia FWD8
1
-
Subs
J Bond GLK9
-
Y Larouci DEF302
1
-
F Carvallo DEF24
8
-
K Keben DEF2
-
J Morris DEF14
2
-
T Ince MID211
-
L. Ramirez-Espain MID
-
R Vata FWD2033
-
A. Nabizada FWD1
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321477
I MeslierJ PiroeJ FirpoJ Bogle 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK32
-
J Bogle  DEF3042
7
-
J Rodon DEF321
5
-
E Ampadu DEF20
5
-
J Firpo DEF1917
6
-
A Tanaka MID2922
5
-
I Gruev MID13
2
-
D James MID26106
4
-
B Aaronson MID3282
2
-
M Solomon MID2577
1
-
J Piroe FWD32146
1
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK
-
P Struijk DEF273
1
-
S Byram DEF2511
3
-
I Schmidt DEF7
-
J Rothwell MID292
2
-
A Cil MID13
-
L Ramazani FWD2142
2
-
M Joseph FWD3133
-
W Gnonto FWD3055
4
-