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Watford v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vicarage Road, Watford

Valérien Ismaël and Daniel Farke clash in the Championship on Friday night, as Watford face Leeds United at the Vicarage Road. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all using the tabs below.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Watford's next match is v Sunderland at 15:00 on Saturday 27th April
The last English Championship meeting between Watford and Leeds was on Friday 29th March 2024
English Championship
March 29th 2024
Watford 2
2 Leeds
 
V. Bayo 31'37' C. Summerville
E. Dennis 44'85' M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo
 
WAT
LEE
Shots On
5
8
Shots Off
2
1
Corners
8
5
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
15
5
 
WatfordLeeds
 
D. Bachmann
F. Sierralta Carvallo
R. Porteous
J. Lewis
R. Andrews
M. Pollock
E. Kayembe
A. Dele-Bashiru
Y. Asprilla Martínez (T. Ince 80')
V. Bayofootball icon (M. Rajovic 90')
E. Dennisfootball icon (I. Koné 58')
I. Meslier
(J. Anthony 84') S. Byram
J. Rodon
(H. Firpo Adames 64') L. Cooper
(M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo 84') G. Kamara
A. Gray
E. Ampadu
P. Bamford
football iconC. Summerville
D. James
(J. Piroe 74') G. Rutter
Best Tip: Leeds to win

This one could be one way traffic and, unfortunately for the home side, that way is Leeds's. We predict Friday's visitors to Vicarage Road will have too much for their hosts, and there's plenty of evidence to support that view in the sides' recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from GB's top bookmakers too. They've made an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely result, and are willing to give a best price of 1.60.

There are more encouraging signs coming from the bookies, with odds on a Leeds United win getting shorter and a Watford win drifting. Simply, this means that the betting community is becoming more confident that Leeds United will get the victory as we get closer to the start of the game.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 60% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Watford
17%
11/2
44%
5/1
25%
11/2
50%
5/1
9%
Draw
22%
15/4
27%
18/5
18%
7/2
20%
7/2
20%
Leeds
60%
9/20
16%
1/2
3%
1/2
17%
12/25
7%
Leeds 1-0
12%
15/213/2
7%
7/17/1
7%
Leeds 2-0
11%
7/1
11%
13/27/1
11%
13/2
12%
Draw 1-1
11%
15/2
13%
7/1
7%
8/1
20%
7/1
14%
Leeds 2-1
10%
15/213/27/17/1
7%
Leeds 3-0
7%
10/1
27%
17/2
5%
10/1
27%
19/2
16%
Draw 0-0
7%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
14/1
15%
13/1
12%
Leeds 3-1
6%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
10/1
15%
10/1
8%
Watford 1-0
6%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
18/1
27%
15/1
7%
Watford 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
16/1
31%
15/1
7%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
15%
12/114/1
15%
14/1
15%
Leeds 4-0
3%
20/1
19%
14/1
12%
18/1
34%
17/1
22%
Leeds 4-1
3%
20/1
19%
14/1
12%
18/1
27%
18/1
17%
Leeds 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
16/120/120/1
5%
Watford 2-0
3%
33/1
48%
22/1
10%
33/1
48%
29/1
3%
Watford 3-1
1%
40/1
21%
28/140/1
21%
40/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
3/5
6%
-4/7
9%
4/6
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
13/10
10%
-5/4
13%
6/5
5%
Home 1st Goal
39%
11/5
16%
-2/1
14%
-
Away 1st Goal
57%
4/11
9%
-2/5
9%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
15%
-12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
8/11
4%
8/11
1%
8/11
4%
10/13
6%
BTTS - No
51%
1/1
5%
1/1
3%
Evs
5%
49/50
7%
BTTS - Home Win
8%
17/2
19%
15/217/2
27%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
16%
17/49/2
20%
9/2
17%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
2/1
12%
15/8
10%
15/8
13%
-
Home/draw
40%
13/8
28%
6/4
9%
8/5
30%
13/8
15%
Away/draw
83%
1/9
6%
2/15
3%
1/8
7%
1/9
2%
Home/away
78%
2/11
6%
1/5
2%
1/5
4%
1/5
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/5
2%
-1/5
2%
1/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
7/2
4%
-10/3
8%
7/2
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
6/4
9%
-6/4
9%
7/4
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
8/15
6%
-1/2
7%
4/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/2
10%
-10/3
13%
4/1
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/5
3%
-1/5
5%
1/6
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
7/1
20%
-7/1
20%
19/2
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/12
2%
-1/16
2%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/33
1%
--1/50
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
14/1
15%
--14/1
20%
Home DNB
33%
10/3
27%
10/3
14%
7/2
38%
19/5
17%
Away DNB
76%
1/5
8%
2/11
3%
1/6
12%
1/6
4%
Watford win to nil
9%
10/1
22%
-11/1
41%
-
Leeds win to nil
35%
7/4
15%
-8/5
16%
-
Watford / Watford
9%
17/2
27%
15/2
6%
9/1
33%
17/2
6%
Watford / Leeds
4%
18/1
10%
16/1
11%
18/1
10%
19/1
5%
Watford / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/116/1
13%
15/1
7%
Draw / Watford
7%
11/1
26%
10/112/1
18%
12/1
18%
Draw / Leeds
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
5%
10/3
6%
18/5
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
8%
6/1
17%
6/1
21%
Leeds / Watford
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
15%
50/1
24%
45/1
12%
Leeds / Leeds
37%
13/10
16%
6/5
8%
6/5
16%
6/5
14%
Leeds / Draw
5%
14/1
15%
14/114/1
15%
15/1
14%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 38 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Watford have conceded 37 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Watford have played 19 games at home, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 26 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 2nd place on 82 points in the Championship league table having played 38 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 36 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 19 away games, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Watford
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Leeds
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Leicester44304104794 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
 Leeds Away4527993990 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 Ipswich43261163289 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
 Southampton44259102484 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
 West Brom442012122372 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2A
 Norwich44219141672 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
 Hull44191213969 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3F
 Coventry431712141363 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
May 4
 M'Boro4418917463 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
3-4A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-5A
 Preston4418917-563 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Cardiff4419520-1162 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1F
 Bristol C44161117459 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 27
l
 
2-0A
 Sunderland4416820156 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Swansea44151118-556 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-4F
-
-
 Watford Home44121715153 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
 QPR45141120-1253 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Millwall44141119-1253 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Stoke44131120-1650 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
 Blackburn44131021-1649 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
 Plymouth44121220-1148 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Sheff Wed4413823-2947 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Birmingham44121022-1646 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 Huddersfield4491718-2744 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Rotherham4441228-5324 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Watford 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
see results
HOME FORM
Watford1 - 2Coventry
Watford1 - 1Swansea
Watford1 - 2Huddersfield
Watford1 - 2Leicester
Watford0 - 1Cardiff
Watford1 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 4Bristol C
Watford1 - 2Ipswich
Watford1 - 1Southampton
Watford3 - 2Norwich
Watford5 - 0Rotherham
Watford2 - 2Millwall
Watford1 - 0Sheff Wed
Watford2 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 2West Brom
Watford2 - 0Birmingham
Watford0 - 1Blackburn
Watford0 - 0Plymouth
Watford4 - 0QPR
Watford2 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
see results
OVERALL FORM
AWatford1 - 0Birmingham
HWatford1 - 2Coventry
HWatford1 - 1Swansea
AWatford0 - 1Millwall
HWatford1 - 2Huddersfield
AWatford1 - 0Rotherham
AWatford2 - 4Norwich
HWatford1 - 2Leicester
HWatford0 - 1Cardiff
AWatford0 - 0Sheff Wed
AWatford1 - 1Bristol C
AWatford2 - 1QPR
AWatford3 - 3Plymouth
HWatford1 - 1Stoke
HWatford1 - 4Bristol C
AWatford2 - 1Blackburn
AWatford5 - 1Preston
HWatford1 - 2Ipswich
HWatford1 - 1Southampton
AWatford2 - 1Hull
Leeds 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
see results
AWAY FORM
Sheff Wed0 - 2Leeds
Huddersfield1 - 1Leeds
Plymouth0 - 2Leeds
Swansea0 - 4Leeds
Bristol C0 - 1Leeds
Cardiff0 - 3Leeds
West Brom1 - 0Leeds
Preston2 - 1Leeds
Sunderland1 - 0Leeds
Blackburn0 - 2Leeds
Rotherham1 - 1Leeds
Leicester0 - 1Leeds
Stoke1 - 0Leeds
Norwich2 - 3Leeds
Southampton3 - 1Leeds
Hull0 - 0Leeds
Millwall0 - 3Leeds
Ipswich3 - 4Leeds
Birmingham1 - 0Leeds
West Ham3 - 1Leeds
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
see results
OVERALL FORM
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
HLeeds1 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 1Huddersfield
HLeeds3 - 1Leicester
ALeeds2 - 0Plymouth
ALeeds4 - 0Swansea
HLeeds3 - 0Rotherham
ALeeds1 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds1 - 0Norwich
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds3 - 0Cardiff
HLeeds3 - 0Birmingham
ALeeds0 - 1West Brom
ALeeds1 - 2Preston
HLeeds4 - 0Ipswich
HLeeds1 - 1Coventry
ALeeds0 - 1Sunderland
ALeeds2 - 0Blackburn
HLeeds3 - 2M'Boro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Leeds have beaten Watford in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Leeds have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Watford
League games at Watford since 1999
Watford
Leeds
Goals: Scored
11
12
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
WAT
2
D
2
LEE
5
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
0 - 3Leeds
Watford4 - 1
Watford3 - 0
1 - 2Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
All league games since 1999
Watford
Leeds
Goals: Scored
31
31
Games: Scored
14 / 19
16 / 19
Clean sheets
3 / 19
5 / 19
WAT
5
D
5
LEE
9
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Leeds3 - 0
0 - 3Leeds
Leeds1 - 0
2 - 3Watford
Watford4 - 1
Watford3 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2Leeds
1 - 6Watford
0 - 2Watford
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Leeds
Leeds2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leeds3 - 1
1 - 2Leeds
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Watford look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Leeds United haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Championship games, and it could be a long night for Valérien Ismaël's men.

Leeds United have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 13 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Watford on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Watford 15th Leeds 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Watford scoring 1 goal or less
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Watford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260000/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
0.9
1.8
Attack rating
WAT
LEE
16%
better
view stats
Games scored31
36
Failed to score13
9
Scored first20
22
Goals scored59
80
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
WAT
LEE
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded31
26
Clean sheets13
19
Conceded first18
20
Goals conceded58
41
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate14%
15%
KickOff rating
+13%

Watford v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3110613
R PorteousM RajovicY AsprillaR Porteous
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bachmann GLK24
4
-
R Andrews DEF3722
6
1
R Porteous DEF3533
13
-
F Carvallo DEF231
3
-
M Pollock DEF17
2
-
J Lewis DEF342
3
-
Y Asprilla MID4166
7
-
E Kayembe MID3252
6
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID3522
2
-
V Bayo MID3663
2
1
E Dennis FWD154
1
-
Subs
B Hamer GLK19
3
-
J Morris DEF11
2
-
T Ince MID2722
1
-
J Livermore MID2931
9
-
I Koné MID3942
3
-
G Chakvetadze MID3414
7
-
M Rajovic FWD3810
1
-
M Martins FWD3652
3
-
J Grieves FWD
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4317169
E AmpaduC SummervilleG RutterE Ampadu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK41
4
1
A Gray DEF4112
2
-
J Rodon DEF40
6
-
L Cooper DEF151
-
S Byram DEF3021
2
-
G Kamara MID343
3
-
E Ampadu MID431
9
-
D James MID39137
4
-
G Rutter MID42616
6
-
C Summerville MID40178
7
-
P Bamford FWD3271
1
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK2
-
J Firpo DEF235
5
-
C Cresswell DEF5
-
C. Crew MID
-
J Shackleton MID101
2
-
J Gelhardt FWD8
1
-
M Joseph FWD181
-
J Piroe FWD39123
1
-
J Anthony FWD281
-