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Southampton v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Stoke City are away from home on Saturday afternoon, as manager Mark Robins takes his team to visit Southampton and at the St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Southampton's next match is v Swansea at 19:45 on Tuesday 8th September
Stoke City's next match is v Cardiff at 19:45 on Tuesday 8th September
The last English Championship meeting between Southampton and Stoke was on Saturday 22nd August 2026
English Championship
August 22nd 2026
Southampton 3
1 Stoke
 
C. Larin 8'26' E. William Galbraith
D. Mubama 89'
R. Manning 90'
 
SOU
STK
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
4
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
10
21
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/1
 
SouthamptonStoke
 
D. Peretz
R. Manningfootball icon
J. Stephens
J. Bree
N. Wood-Gordon
F. Downes
F. Azaz (R. Akachukwu 90')
L. Weschenfelder-Scienza (L. Dobbin 78')
C. Larinfootball icon (D. Mubama 78')
T. Fellows (S. Edozie 90')
K. Matsuki (C. Bragg 90')
V. Johansson
B. Johnson
football iconE. William Galbraith
J. Bae
S. Thomas
(R. Boženík 62') G. Hirst
B. Wilmot
(M. Talovierov 81') E. Bocat
B. Gibson
(T. Rigo 81') D. Soumaré
(S. Ingelsson 70') S. Gallagher

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Southampton to win

Studying the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding both sides ahead of this Championship clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Southampton to win in front of their own fans is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they'll have too much for Stoke, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Southampton winning is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
62%
3/5
5%
-
Draw
21%
3/1
3%
-
Stoke
17%
4/1
22%
-
Southampton 2-0
10%
15/2
11%
-
Southampton 1-0
10%
15/2
16%
-
Southampton 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
6%
-
Southampton 3-0
7%
11/1-
Southampton 3-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
24%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
-
Stoke 1-0
5%
16/1
12%
-
Stoke 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Southampton 4-0
4%
22/1
12%
-
Southampton 4-1
3%
22/1-
Southampton 3-2
3%
20/1
10%
-
Stoke 2-0
2%
28/1
12%
-
Southampton 4-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/6
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
6/5
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
41%
8/5
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/6
7%
-
BTTS - No
46%
11/10
9%
-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/5
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
8/1
20%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/6
4%
-
Away/draw
38%
13/10
7%
-
Home/away
79%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/5
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
7/2
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
13/8
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1/2
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/2
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
25%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
24%
-
Home DNB
77%
2/9
4%
-
Away DNB
32%
3/1
10%
-
Southampton win to nil
33%
2/1
12%
-
Stoke win to nil
8%
9/1-
Southampton / Southampton
35%
6/4
4%
-
Southampton / Stoke
2%
33/1-
Southampton / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Southampton
19%
7/2
5%
-
Draw / Stoke
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Stoke / Southampton
4%
20/1
11%
-
Stoke / Stoke
9%
15/2
13%
-
Stoke / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea5320611 
Sep 8
Apr 6
l
 
1-2F
Mar 6
2
M'Boro5311310 
Nov 27
Mar 13
Oct 13
Feb 17
3
QPR5311310 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Dec 5
Mar 16
4
Bristol C5311210 
Sep 12
Feb 13
Oct 24
Dec 29
5
West Brom5311210 
Jan 26
Nov 3
Dec 12
Jan 1
6
Charlton5311-110 
Mar 20
Dec 26
w
 
4-0F
Apr 10
7
Millwall530229 
w
 
5-1A
Apr 17
Nov 25
May 1
8
West Ham522148 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Mar 13
Nov 28
9
Wolves421137 
Mar 16
Dec 5
Apr 17
l
 
4-1F
10
Wrexham513126 
Feb 20
Sep 19
Dec 26
Mar 20
11
Birmingham413016 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
Nov 21
Feb 6
12
Norwich520306 
Feb 17
Oct 14
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
13
Stoke5203-16 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 3
-
-
14
Portsmouth5203-16 
Oct 11
Feb 28
Jan 30
Nov 7
15
Sheff Utd5131-16 
May 1
Nov 24
Sep 19
Feb 20
16
Blackburn5122-15 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Jan 26
Nov 3
17
Lincoln5122-25 
Apr 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 24
Dec 9
18
Watford5122-25 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1A
Feb 13
Sep 12
19
Southampton522154 
-
-
Mar 3
l
 
3-1A
20
Derby5113-54 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Jan 16
Oct 17
21
Bolton5113-54 
Oct 17
Jan 16
Feb 27
Oct 10
22
Cardiff5032-33 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Apr 6
Sep 8
23
Preston5104-53 
Jan 30
Nov 7
Oct 31
Jan 23
24
Burnley5023-62 
Dec 9
Apr 24
Apr 3
Dec 19
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Southampton2 - 2Ipswich
Southampton2 - 2Bristol C
Southampton3 - 0Blackburn
Southampton2 - 1Derby
Southampton2 - 0Oxford Utd
Southampton1 - 0Norwich
Southampton5 - 0QPR
Southampton1 - 1Charlton
Southampton1 - 0Watford
Southampton1 - 0Sheff Utd
Southampton1 - 2Hull
Southampton0 - 0Millwall
Southampton1 - 1Coventry
Southampton3 - 2West Brom
Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
Southampton3 - 0Leicester
Southampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
Southampton0 - 2Preston
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton1 - 2Watford
HSouthampton1 - 1M'Boro
ASouthampton0 - 0M'Boro
ASouthampton3 - 1Preston
HSouthampton2 - 2Ipswich
HSouthampton2 - 2Bristol C
ASouthampton2 - 1Swansea
HSouthampton3 - 0Blackburn
HSouthampton2 - 1Derby
ASouthampton5 - 1Wrexham
HSouthampton2 - 0Oxford Utd
HSouthampton1 - 0Norwich
ASouthampton2 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 1West Brom
ASouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
HSouthampton5 - 0QPR
HSouthampton1 - 1Charlton
ASouthampton4 - 3Leicester
HSouthampton1 - 0Watford
ASouthampton2 - 0Stoke
Stoke 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C2 - 0Stoke
Wrexham2 - 0Stoke
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Preston3 - 1Stoke
Swansea2 - 0Stoke
Coventry2 - 1Stoke
Charlton1 - 0Stoke
West Brom0 - 0Stoke
Birmingham1 - 1Stoke
Norwich0 - 2Stoke
Hull0 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 0Stoke
Ipswich1 - 0Stoke
Sheff Utd4 - 0Stoke
Leicester2 - 1Stoke
Oxford Utd0 - 3Stoke
Portsmouth0 - 1Stoke
Millwall2 - 0Stoke
Blackburn1 - 1Stoke
M'Boro0 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke1 - 2Swansea
AStoke0 - 2Bristol C
HStoke1 - 3Portsmouth
HStoke1 - 3Millwall
AStoke0 - 2Wrexham
HStoke1 - 1Blackburn
AStoke0 - 2Derby
HStoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
AStoke1 - 3Preston
HStoke3 - 1Watford
HStoke3 - 3Ipswich
AStoke0 - 2Swansea
AStoke1 - 2Coventry
HStoke2 - 1Oxford Utd
HStoke2 - 2Leicester
AStoke0 - 1Charlton
AStoke0 - 0West Brom
HStoke0 - 2Southampton
AStoke1 - 1Birmingham
HStoke1 - 2M'Boro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 2005
Southampton
Stoke
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
SOU
4
D
3
STK
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
1 - 2Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Southampton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton3 - 2
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton2 - 0
League games at Stoke since 2006
Stoke
Southampton
Goals: Scored
15
16
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
SOU
4
D
3
STK
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
0 - 2Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
Stoke2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Southampton
Stoke2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Stoke3 - 2
Stoke2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
Goal Statistics

Stoke City have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive Championship games. This run could continue, with Southampton's PG an impressive 2.0.

Goals have been an issue for Stoke City of late. It has been 7 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Southampton.

Southampton 19th Stoke 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Southampton will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Southampton have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-44
Stoke have scored 44% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
2
1
Attack rating
SOU
STK
21%
better
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
1
Goals scored1
1
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game11
6
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
17
Avg. XG for1.6
0.8
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
SOU
STK
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded2
2
Avg. goals conceded2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
3
Conversion rate against22%
33%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+9%

Southampton v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4422
D PeretzC LarinF AzazJ Bree
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Peretz GLK4
-
J Bree DEF4
2
-
N Wood DEF3
1
-
J Stephens DEF3
-
R Manning DEF411
2
-
F Downes MID41
2
-
K Matsuki MID4
-
T Fellows MID31
1
-
F Azaz MID412
-
L Scienza MID412
-
C Larin FWD44
1
-
Subs
G Long GLK
-
J Quarshie DEF
-
Welington  DEF
-
S Edozie MID2
-
C. Bragg MID41
-
R. Akachukwu MID1
-
L Dobbin FWD4
-
C Archer FWD
-
D Mubama FWD41
1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4212
V JohanssonE GalbraithS GallagherE Galbraith
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK4
-
B Johnson DEF3
-
B Wilmot DEF4
-
B Gibson DEF1
-
E Bocat DEF41
-
D. Soumaré MID4
-
E Galbraith MID42
2
-
S Gallagher MID411
2
-
J. Bae MID4
1
-
S Thomas MID3
1
-
G Hirst FWD3
-
Subs
J Griffiths GLK
-
L. Graham DEF2
1
-
M Taloverov DEF2
1
-
L. Giani DEF
-
B Pearson MID1
-
S Ingelsson MID2
1
1
T Rigo MID31
-
R Bozenik FWD4
-
M Manhoef FWD3
-