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Stoke City v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Feb, 15:00 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Swansea City pay Championship counterparts Stoke City a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Luke Williams guides his side into an away clash with Mark Warburton & co. at the bet365 Stadium. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this match will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats are in line with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Stoke and Swansea haven't typically been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in the Championship individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stoke are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
43%
2.45
7%
2.45
7%
Draw
27%
3.403.30
3%
Swansea
30%
2.88
4%
2.90
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.506.00
Stoke 1-0
12%
8.00
7%
7.00
Swansea 1-0
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
Draw 0-0
9%
9.508.00
Stoke 2-1
9%
9.508.50
Stoke 2-0
8%
12.00
9%
10.00
5%
Swansea 2-1
7%
11.009.50
Swansea 2-0
5%
13.00
13%
12.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
8%
Stoke 3-1
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
Stoke 3-0
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
12%
Swansea 3-1
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
Stoke 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Swansea 3-0
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
Swansea 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
2.102.00
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
1.731.73
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.80
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.20
2%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9.50-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.80
2%
1.80
2%
BTTS - No
51%
1.91
4%
1.91
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5.004.80
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.33
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6.005.50
Home/draw
70%
1.40
3%
1.40
3%
Away/draw
57%
1.53
3%
1.53
4%
Home/away
73%
1.301.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1.331.33
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
3.403.10
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
3.753.40
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1.291.29
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7.006.50
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.101.09
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10.00
5%
8.00
6%
Home DNB
62%
1.73
4%
1.70
3%
Away DNB
49%
2.00
5%
2.00
5%
Stoke win to nil
25%
4.00
7%
-
Swansea win to nil
17%
4.50
10%
-
Stoke / Stoke
20%
4.00
7%
3.80
6%
Stoke / Swansea
3%
29.0023.00
Stoke / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Stoke
15%
5.505.50
5%
Draw / Swansea
13%
6.506.00
8%
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.50
6%
Swansea / Stoke
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
Swansea / Swansea
17%
4.75
5%
4.50
2%
Swansea / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Stoke have conceded 30 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Swansea lay in 17th place on 37 points in the Championship league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Swansea have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Swansea have played 16 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3220934769 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 21
l
 
3-4F
Mar 29
2
Sheff Utd3221652367 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley32171323064 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland32171142162 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3F
Apr 12
5
Blackburn3214612648 
Mar 12
w
 
0-2F
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
6
West Brom32111471147 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
Bristol C3211129445 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
8
Sheff Wed3212911-345 
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
9
M'Boro3112811844 
Feb 25
l
 
2-0A
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
10
Coventry3212812244 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
11
Norwich32111011643 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
12
Watford3212614-642 
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
13
QPR32101111-641 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
14
Millwall31101011-140 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
15
Preston319139-440 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
-
16
Oxford Utd3291112-1138 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
1-2F
17
Swansea Away3210715-1037 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
18
Portsmouth328915-1633 
w
 
6-1F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
19
Stoke Home3171113-1132 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
20
Cardiff3171014-1931 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
21
Derby327817-929 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
Apr 5
w
 
1-2F
22
Hull317816-1129 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
23
Plymouth3161015-3028 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Apr 9
w
 
1-2F
24
Luton317618-2127 
Apr 8
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Stoke have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Stoke 19TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Swansea 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stoke since 2012
Stoke
Swansea
Goals: Scored
23
10
Games: Scored
13 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
0 / 13
STK
8
D
4
SWA
1
League games at Swansea since 2011
Swansea
Stoke
Goals: Scored
24
16
Games: Scored
12 / 14
8 / 14
Clean sheets
6 / 14
2 / 14
STK
5
D
2
SWA
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Swansea City of late. It has been 8 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Stoke City.

Stoke 19th Swansea 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Swansea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280484/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
STK
SWA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
STK
SWA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Stoke v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31459
V JohanssonA MoranJ. BaeJ Tchamadeu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK31
3
-
J. Bae MID305
3
-
L. Koumas FWD3032
5
-
A Moran MID2841
7
-
J Tchamadeu DEF271
9
-
W Burger MID27
8
-
B Wilmot DEF262
6
-
B Gibson DEF223
6
-
E Bocat DEF211
1
-
T Seko MID20
1
-
M Manhoef FWD2033
1
-
M Rose DEF18
3
-
L Gooch FWD141
4
-
E Stevens DEF132
3
-
J Thompson MID12
4
-
E Tezgel FWD12
1
-
A Vidigal FWD10
-
A Phillips DEF9
2
-
S Gallagher FWD911
2
-
S. Sidibe MID81
-
L Baker MID61
1
-
N Lowe FWD51
2
-
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF31
-
M Lawal DEF3
-
R Mmaee FWD3
-
J. Dixon DEF2
-
A Al-Hamadi FWD21
-
B Pearson MID1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32966
L VigourouxL CullenRonaldB Cabango
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK32
-
Ronald FWD3216
3
-
J Tymon DEF3113
5
-
J Key DEF312
3
-
B Cabango DEF3111
6
-
H Darling DEF2923
3
1
Z Vipotnik FWD294
1
-
L Cullen FWD2991
6
-
M Peart-Harris MID2723
6
-
G Franco MID2621
4
-
F Bianchini FWD263
2
-
J Eom  FWD231
1
-
K Naughton DEF18
1
-
J Fulton MID181
3
-
J Allen MID161
1
-
O Cooper MID1511
-
C Christie DEF8
1
-
H Delcroix  DEF4
1
-
S. Parker DEF4
-
L O'Brien MID2
-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF1
-
B Lloyd MID1
-
J Ginnelly FWD1
-