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Derby County v Cardiff City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Saturday afternoon at the Pride Park Stadium, and it’s a Championship clash between Derby County and Cardiff City. Paul Warne and Erol Bulut will be doing all they can to ensure victory. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Derby County's next match is v Sheff Utd at 15:00 on Saturday 21st September
Cardiff City's next match is v Leeds at 15:00 on Saturday 21st September
The last English Championship meeting between Derby and Cardiff was on Saturday 14th September 2024
English Championship
September 14th 2024
Derby 1
0 Cardiff
 
K. Goudmijn 28'
 
DER
CAR
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
7
6
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
12
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
DerbyCardiff
 
J. Widell Zetterström
C. Elder (C. Forsyth 82')
C. Nelson
E. Cashin
R. Nyambe
E. Adams
K. Goudmijnfootball icon (N. Phillips 82')
D. Ozoh (B. Osborn 50')
K. Jackson
N. Mendez-Laing (A. Robertson 69')
J. Yates
J. Alnwick
D. Goutas
(W. Fish 46') P. Ng
C. Chambers
(O. Tanner 62') J. Bagan
R. Colwill
C. O'Dowda
(M. Harness 70') J. Ralls
E. Siopis
(C. Willock 62') A. El Ghazi
(C. Ashford 69') A. Kanga
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
41%
6/5
8%
5/4
2%
Draw
26%
12/59/4
7%
Cardiff
33%
11/5
11%
9/4
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Derby 1-0
11%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
Cardiff 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Derby 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
5%
13/2
12%
Cardiff 2-1
8%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Derby 2-0
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
Cardiff 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Derby 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
Derby 3-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Cardiff 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Derby 3-2
2%
28/122/1
10%
Cardiff 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Cardiff 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
6/5
10%
11/10
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
4/6
7%
4/6
5%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/8
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
5/6
2%
10/11
4%
BTTS - No
48%
5/6
4%
5/6
4%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/118/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
6%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6/1
17%
5/1
9%
Home/draw
67%
4/11
3%
1/3
5%
Away/draw
59%
4/6
9%
8/13
1%
Home/away
74%
3/101/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/5
5%
4/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
2/1
12%
19/10
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3/1
7%
27/10
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1
14%
13/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12
2%
1/14
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/80
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
5%
13/2
12%
Home DNB
60%
4/7
9%
4/7
5%
Away DNB
51%
5/4
13%
5/4
7%
Derby win to nil
23%
5/2
13%
-
Cardiff win to nil
18%
9/2
10%
-
Derby / Derby
22%
11/4
6%
5/2
3%
Derby / Cardiff
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Derby / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Derby
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Cardiff
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
17/5
8%
Cardiff / Derby
3%
25/120/1
Cardiff / Cardiff
16%
9/2
16%
4/1
9%
Cardiff / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Derby
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Cardiff
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Dec 26
Apr 21
 West Brom5410713 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Jan 21
Oct 1
 Sunderland5401812 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
 Blackburn5320611 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Apr 9
Dec 10
 Burnley5311810 
Mar 1
l
 
5-0A
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
 Watford5311410 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Feb 1
Sep 21
 Sheff Utd532059 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Feb 11
Oct 22
 Oxford Utd530239 
Apr 21
Dec 26
-
-
 Derby Home530229 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Dec 29
Dec 7
 Leeds522138 
Sep 21
Feb 1
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
 M'Boro522128 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 4
Nov 27
Apr 5
 Swansea521227 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
Oct 5
Feb 15
 QPR5131-16 
Nov 27
Apr 5
May 3
Nov 2
 Stoke5203-36 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Mar 11
Nov 6
 Coventry5122-15 
Jan 1
Nov 30
Sep 28
Feb 8
 Norwich5122-25 
Nov 2
May 3
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Plymouth5122-45 
Oct 19
Feb 22
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
 Bristol C5122-55 
Feb 15
Oct 6
Feb 22
Oct 19
 Millwall511304 
Oct 1
Jan 21
Apr 18
Dec 20
 Luton5113-44 
Mar 11
Nov 6
Dec 1
Jan 1
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Mar 29
Nov 23
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Preston5113-64 
Dec 11
Apr 8
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Hull5032-43 
Feb 8
Sep 28
Dec 13
Apr 12
 Portsmouth5032-53 
Oct 22
Feb 11
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
 Cardiff Away5014-101 
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Derby 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby3 - 0Bristol C
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Derby3 - 0L Orient
Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Derby1 - 0Bolton
Derby2 - 1Reading
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Derby1 - 0Stevenage
Derby1 - 1Shrewsbury
Derby2 - 1Cheltenham
Derby3 - 2Burton
Derby2 - 3Peterborough
Derby3 - 1Lincoln
Derby1 - 1Wycombe
Derby2 - 1Bristol R
Derby3 - 0Barnsley
Derby4 - 0Northampton
Derby2 - 0Exeter
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby3 - 0Bristol C
ADerby1 - 2Watford
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby2 - 4Blackburn
HDerby2 - 0Carlisle
ADerby1 - 0Cambridge
HDerby3 - 0L Orient
ADerby0 - 0Wycombe
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby1 - 0Blackpool
ADerby0 - 1Northampton
HDerby1 - 0Bolton
HDerby2 - 1Reading
ADerby3 - 0Bristol R
HDerby3 - 0Port Vale
HDerby1 - 2Charlton
ADerby1 - 2Barnsley
HDerby1 - 0Stevenage
ADerby3 - 0Exeter
HDerby1 - 1Shrewsbury
Cardiff 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea1 - 1Cardiff
Burnley5 - 0Cardiff
Rotherham5 - 2Cardiff
Millwall3 - 1Cardiff
Birmingham0 - 1Cardiff
Coventry1 - 2Cardiff
Swansea2 - 0Cardiff
Bristol C0 - 1Cardiff
Norwich4 - 1Cardiff
West Brom2 - 0Cardiff
Watford0 - 1Cardiff
Plymouth3 - 1Cardiff
QPR1 - 2Cardiff
Sheff Wed1 - 2Cardiff
Hull3 - 0Cardiff
Southampton2 - 0Cardiff
Preston1 - 2Cardiff
Stoke0 - 0Cardiff
Huddersfield0 - 4Cardiff
Blackburn1 - 0Cardiff
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCardiff0 - 2M'Boro
ACardiff1 - 1Swansea
ACardiff0 - 5Burnley
HCardiff0 - 2Sunderland
ACardiff2 - 5Rotherham
HCardiff1 - 4M'Boro
HCardiff2 - 1Southampton
ACardiff1 - 3Millwall
ACardiff1 - 0Birmingham
HCardiff1 - 3Hull
ACardiff2 - 1Coventry
HCardiff0 - 2Sunderland
ACardiff0 - 2Swansea
HCardiff2 - 1Ipswich
HCardiff1 - 0Huddersfield
ACardiff1 - 0Bristol C
HCardiff2 - 1Stoke
HCardiff0 - 0Blackburn
ACardiff1 - 4Norwich
ACardiff0 - 2West Brom
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Cardiff have beaten Derby in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
Cardiff have not lost to Derby in 6 consecutive league meetings
3
Cardiff have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Derby
League games at Derby since 2004
Derby
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
24
22
Games: Scored
13 / 16
14 / 16
Clean sheets
2 / 16
3 / 16
DER
5
D
6
CAR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
0 - 1Cardiff
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
3 - 4Cardiff
Derby2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Cardiff
1 - 2Cardiff
Derby2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
Derby2 - 1
0 - 1Cardiff
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Cardiff since 2003
Cardiff
Derby
Goals: Scored
32
15
Games: Scored
11 / 16
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
5 / 16
DER
3
D
4
CAR
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cardiff
Cardiff1 - 0
Cardiff4 - 0
Cardiff2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Derby
Cardiff2 - 1
0 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cardiff2 - 0
Cardiff4 - 1
Cardiff6 - 1
Cardiff4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Derby
Cardiff4 - 1
Goal Statistics
Derby 8th Cardiff 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Cardiff will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+24
Derby have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted
-5
Cardiff’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280138/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Cardiff
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
78%
better
DER
CAR
view stats
Games scored4
1
Failed to score0
3
Scored first3
0
Goals scored7
1
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.3
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal5
29
Conversion rate for22
3
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+78%
Defence rating
50%
better
DER
CAR
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first1
4
Goals conceded6
10
Avg. goals conceded1.5
2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
3
Conversion rate against14%
30%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+50%

Derby v Cardiff Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
C NelsonK GoudmijnN Mendez-LaingE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK3
-
R Nyambe DEF4
1
-
C Nelson DEF51
1
-
E Cashin DEF4
1
-
C Elder DEF51
1
-
K Goudmijn MID52
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
E Adams MID51
2
-
K Jackson FWD521
1
-
J Yates FWD31
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD52
2
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK2
-
C Forsyth DEF5
-
S Bradley DEF2
1
-
N Phillips DEF1
-
B Osborn MID3
-
M Harness MID1
-
J Ward MID2
-
D Brown MID1
-
J Collins FWD3
1
-
Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5011
P NgO TannerP Ng
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Alnwick GLK1
-
P Ng DEF5
1
-
C Chambers DEF5
-
D Goutas DEF4
-
J Bagan DEF2
1
-
M Siopis MID5
1
-
J Ralls MID3
1
-
A Ghazi MID3
-
R Colwill MID5
1
-
C O'Dowda MID5
-
W Kanga FWD5
-
Subs
E Horvath GLK4
-
W Fish DEF1
1
-
D Turnbull MID1
-
C Willock MID5
-
A Robertson MID3
-
A Rinomhota MID
-
C. Ashford MID1
-
O Tanner FWD51
-
M. Reindorf FWD
-