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Millwall v Plymouth Argyle : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Den, London

Neil Harris welcomes Neil Dewsnip to The Den on Saturday afternoon, as their Millwall and Plymouth Argyle charges go head to head in the Championship. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Millwall's next match is v Swansea at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
Plymouth Argyle's next match is v Hull at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
The last English Championship meeting between Millwall and Plymouth was on Saturday 27th April 2024
English Championship
April 27th 2024
Millwall 1
0 Plymouth
 
J. Cooper 83'
 
MIL
PLY
Shots On
6
1
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
9
9
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
9
8
 
MillwallPlymouth
 
M. Šarkić
D. McNamara
J. Tanganga
J. Cooperfootball icon
Z. Flemming (B. Mitchell 85')
G. Saville
C. De Norre (G. Honeyman 85')
R. Leonard
T. Bradshaw (K. Nisbet 68')
R. Longman (S. Hutchinson 90')
D. Watmore (R. Esse 68')
M. Cooper
B. Mumba
(M. Sorinola 87') B. Zibusiso Galloway
L. Gibson
D. Scarr
A. Randell
(A. Devine 87') J. Edwards
M. Whittaker
(C. Wright 87') M. Bundu
(R. Hardie 70') B. Waine
(J. Pleguezuelo Selva 81') Ashley Famiwuya
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Millwall and Plymouth have seldom been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in the Championship individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Millwall are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Millwall
40%
1/1
3%
21/20
11%
--
Draw
28%
12/5
3%
12/5
8%
--
Plymouth
32%
14/5
1%
13/5
10%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
8%
--
Millwall 1-0
12%
6/111/2--
Plymouth 1-0
10%
9/18/1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
17/27/1
11%
--
Millwall 2-1
8%
8/17/1
7%
--
Millwall 2-0
8%
8/18/1
13%
--
Plymouth 2-1
7%
12/110/1
8%
--
Plymouth 2-0
6%
18/114/1
12%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
8%
--
Millwall 3-1
3%
16/112/1
8%
--
Millwall 3-0
3%
16/114/1
15%
--
Plymouth 3-1
3%
33/120/1
9%
--
Plymouth 3-0
2%
40/128/1
15%
--
Millwall 3-2
2%
28/120/1
11%
--
Plymouth 3-2
2%
40/125/1
10%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
1/1---
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/5---
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/13---
Away 1st Goal
45%
8/5---
No 1st Goal
6%
17/2---
BTTS - Yes
48%
5/64/5
2%
--
BTTS - No
52%
5/610/11--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
10/33/1
7%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
4%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/211/2
7%
--
Home/draw
68%
1/42/7
6%
--
Away/draw
60%
4/58/11
9%
--
Home/away
72%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/3---
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
12/5---
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
11/4
7%
---
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/7
1%
---
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
6/1---
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/10---
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1---
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33---
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16---
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
5%
---
Home DNB
60%
4/910/21
9%
--
Away DNB
51%
13/86/4
14%
--
Millwall win to nil
24%
12/5---
Plymouth win to nil
19%
11/2---
Millwall / Millwall
23%
9/4
2%
11/5
11%
--
Millwall / Plymouth
3%
33/125/1--
Millwall / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
--
Draw / Millwall
15%
4/119/5
4%
--
Draw / Plymouth
11%
7/113/2
6%
--
Draw / Draw
16%
4/118/5
8%
--
Plymouth / Millwall
4%
22/118/1--
Plymouth / Plymouth
15%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
--
Plymouth / Draw
6%
14/112/1--
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 44 matches so far this season and lay in 17th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 58 goals to 43 goals.

Home League Performance

Millwall have played 22 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 9 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 29 goals at home.

Plymouth are in 20th position in the Championship on 48 points having played 44 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

36 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 10 and won 8. Plymouth have conceded 59 goals, scored 43, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

Millwall
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Plymouth
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
 Leicester45314105097 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1A
 Ipswich45271263393 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
 Leeds4527993990 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Southampton45259112384 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Norwich452110141673 
w
 
6-2F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 West Brom452012132072 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Hull45191313970 
May 4
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-1F
 M'Boro4519917766 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1F
 Coventry451713151264 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Preston4518918-863 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Bristol C45171117662 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Cardiff4519521-1462 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-3A
May 4
 Swansea45151218-557 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
 Watford45131715256 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Sunderland4516821056 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
-
-
 Millwall Home45151119-1156 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
 QPR45141120-1253 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Stoke45141120-1553 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
 Blackburn45131121-1650 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-4F
 Sheff Wed4514823-2650 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Plymouth Away45121221-1248 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Birmingham45121122-1647 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Huddersfield4591818-2745 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Rotherham4541229-5524 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
see results
HOME FORM
Millwall3 - 1Cardiff
Millwall1 - 0Leicester
Millwall1 - 1West Brom
Millwall1 - 0Birmingham
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Millwall0 - 2Sheff Wed
Millwall0 - 4Ipswich
Millwall1 - 1Preston
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Millwall1 - 0Norwich
Millwall2 - 0QPR
Millwall1 - 1Huddersfield
Millwall1 - 1Sunderland
Millwall0 - 3Coventry
Millwall0 - 1Southampton
Millwall1 - 2Blackburn
Millwall2 - 2Hull
Millwall0 - 3Swansea
Millwall3 - 0Rotherham
Millwall0 - 3Leeds
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
see results
OVERALL FORM
AMillwall1 - 0Sunderland
HMillwall3 - 1Cardiff
HMillwall1 - 0Leicester
AMillwall0 - 1Huddersfield
AMillwall1 - 2Rotherham
HMillwall1 - 1West Brom
AMillwall0 - 2Leeds
HMillwall1 - 0Birmingham
AMillwall1 - 1Blackburn
HMillwall1 - 0Watford
AMillwall2 - 1Southampton
HMillwall0 - 2Sheff Wed
HMillwall0 - 4Ipswich
AMillwall1 - 2Coventry
AMillwall0 - 1Hull
HMillwall1 - 1Preston
AMillwall0 - 2QPR
HMillwall1 - 3M'Boro
AMillwall1 - 0Bristol C
HMillwall1 - 0Norwich
Plymouth 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
see results
AWAY FORM
Stoke3 - 0Plymouth
Rotherham0 - 1Plymouth
Norwich2 - 1Plymouth
Blackburn1 - 1Plymouth
Sheff Wed1 - 0Plymouth
M'Boro0 - 2Plymouth
Sunderland3 - 1Plymouth
Swansea0 - 1Plymouth
Huddersfield1 - 1Plymouth
Southampton2 - 1Plymouth
Cardiff2 - 2Plymouth
QPR0 - 0Plymouth
Leicester4 - 0Plymouth
Coventry1 - 0Plymouth
Leeds2 - 1Plymouth
Ipswich3 - 2Plymouth
West Brom0 - 0Plymouth
Hull1 - 1Plymouth
Bristol C4 - 1Plymouth
Preston2 - 1Plymouth
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
see results
OVERALL FORM
APlymouth0 - 3Stoke
HPlymouth1 - 0Leicester
HPlymouth1 - 1QPR
APlymouth1 - 0Rotherham
HPlymouth0 - 1Bristol C
APlymouth1 - 2Norwich
HPlymouth0 - 1Preston
APlymouth1 - 1Blackburn
APlymouth0 - 1Sheff Wed
HPlymouth0 - 2Ipswich
APlymouth2 - 0M'Boro
HPlymouth0 - 3West Brom
HPlymouth0 - 2Leeds
HPlymouth2 - 2Coventry
APlymouth1 - 3Sunderland
APlymouth1 - 0Swansea
HPlymouth3 - 1Cardiff
APlymouth1 - 1Huddersfield
HPlymouth3 - 3Watford
APlymouth1 - 2Southampton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Millwall have not lost to Plymouth in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Millwall since 2005
Millwall
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
MIL
1
D
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Draw1 - 1Draw
Millwall3 - 0
All league games since 2004
Millwall
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
6
1
Games: Scored
3 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
2 / 5
MIL
2
D
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
0 - 2Millwall
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Plymouth Argyle of late. It has been 10 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Millwall.

Millwall 16th Plymouth 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Plymouth will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Millwall have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Plymouth have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260066/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Plymouth
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
MIL
PLY
3%
better
view stats
Games scored31
31
Failed to score14
14
Scored first26
17
Goals scored44
58
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate13%
14%
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
17%
better
MIL
PLY
view stats
Games conceded30
35
Clean sheets15
10
Conceded first17
25
Goals conceded55
70
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate14%
15%
KickOff rating
+17%

Millwall v Plymouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
417512
J CooperZ FlemmingZ FlemmingG Saville
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Sarkic GLK29
2
-
R Leonard DEF32
9
-
J Tanganga DEF152
3
-
J Cooper DEF411
9
-
D McNamara DEF30
7
-
D Watmore MID3131
3
-
G Saville MID3724
11
1
C Norre MID291
3
-
R Longman MID3232
5
-
T Bradshaw FWD3143
1
-
Z Flemming FWD4375
6
-
Subs
B Bialkowski GLK14
1
-
B Norton-Cuffy DEF3824
4
-
W Harding DEF243
4
-
S Hutchinson DEF111
2
-
B Mitchell MID322
4
-
R Esse MID232
1
-
G Honeyman MID282
9
-
M Obafemi FWD132
1
-
K Nisbet FWD265
1
-
Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4219810
M WhittakerM WhittakerM WhittakerA Randell
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cooper GLK16
2
-
B Galloway DEF23
2
-
A Famiwuya DEF
-
D Scarr DEF251
5
1
J Edwards MID322
4
-
L Gibson MID38
6
-
A Randell MID4232
10
-
B Mumba MID4033
10
-
M Whittaker MID43198
5
-
M Bundu MID2431
-
B Waine FWD2921
1
-
Subs
C Hazard GLK27
3
-
M Sorinola DEF1111
2
-
J Pleguezuelo DEF30
3
-
A Forshaw MID112
3
-
C Roberts MID
-
C Wright MID18
1
-
A Devine MID122
2
-
F Issaka FWD5
-
R Hardie FWD37124
3
-