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Aston Villa v Newcastle United : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 17:45 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Newcastle United, led by manager Eddie Howe, visit Unai Emery Etxegoien and his Aston Villa side at the Villa Park on Saturday evening in the FA Cup. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping both teams to score, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of strong, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers Unai Emery Etxegoien or Eddie Howe mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
46%
2.15
2%
2.20
Draw
23%
3.603.70
3%
Newcastle
31%
3.20
7%
3.00
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
A Villa 2-1
9%
9.008.00
A Villa 1-0
8%
10.00
9%
8.50
6%
Newcastle 2-1
7%
12.00
9%
9.50
A Villa 2-0
7%
12.00
8%
11.00
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0011.00
10%
Newcastle 1-0
6%
13.0010.00
9%
A Villa 3-1
5%
15.0013.00
Draw 0-0
4%
15.0013.00
8%
Newcastle 2-0
4%
19.00
12%
13.00
13%
A Villa 3-0
4%
21.0015.00
12%
A Villa 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Newcastle 3-1
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
Newcastle 3-2
3%
26.0021.00
11%
A Villa 4-1
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.67
3%
1.65
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.20
4%
2.15
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.73
4%
1.80
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.10
2%
2.15
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0012.00
BTTS - Yes
62%
1.531.57
1%
BTTS - No
38%
2.382.30
3%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.753.70
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5.50
10%
4.80
Home/draw
69%
1.361.36
Away/draw
54%
1.671.65
Home/away
77%
1.291.25
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.181.20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4.504.20
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.502.60
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.501.44
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.504.50
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.181.17
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
10.008.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.061.06
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.0013.00
8%
Home DNB
62%
1.57
3%
1.60
Away DNB
47%
2.25
2%
2.20
A Villa win to nil
21%
4.33-
Newcastle win to nil
13%
6.50-
A Villa / A Villa
24%
3.40
3%
3.25
2%
A Villa / Newcastle
3%
26.0021.00
A Villa / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Draw / A Villa
14%
6.005.75
5%
Draw / Newcastle
11%
7.507.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.75
5%
Newcastle / A Villa
4%
21.0019.00
12%
Newcastle / Newcastle
17%
5.00
5%
4.50
2%
Newcastle / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Win / draw / win form
A Villa
20 games
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Newcastle
20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive FA Cup outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Newcastle United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Aston Villa's defensive record is to be admired, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive FA Cup outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Newcastle United makes sense in this context.

A Villa Newcastle
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
19%
better
AVL
NEW
view stats
Games scored17
14
Failed to score3
5
Scored first10
10
Goals scored37
29
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
17%
better
AVL
NEW
view stats
Games conceded15
16
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded22
31
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between A Villa v Newcastle will show here when available.

A Villa FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Newcastle FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE