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Charlton Athletic v Chelsea : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 20:00 BST, The Valley, London

Nathan Jones's Charlton Athletic side are on home soil in the FA Cup on Saturday night, as Enzo Maresca's Chelsea arrive at The Valley. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Chelsea to win

Nobody in the FA Cup wants to lose in front of their home fans, but the stats below suggest that will be Charlton's fate as they go head-to-head with Chelsea at The Valley on Saturday night. The bookies agree, making an away win the most likely outcome at odds of 1.40, and so does our predictive algorithm. We've calculated the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 69% probability, easily making it the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 70% chance of Chelsea coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Charlton
12%
7.00
6%
6.50
6%
Draw
17%
5.004.20
4%
Chelsea
70%
1.38
2%
1.44
Chelsea 2-0
10%
7.50
7%
6.00
Chelsea 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Chelsea 1-0
9%
8.50
6%
5.75
Chelsea 3-0
8%
9.508.50
Draw 1-1
8%
9.507.50
6%
Chelsea 3-1
8%
11.0012.00
Chelsea 4-0
5%
15.0015.00
Chelsea 4-1
5%
19.00
12%
19.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00
12%
9.50
8%
Charlton 2-1
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
Chelsea 3-2
3%
23.0023.00
11%
Charlton 1-0
3%
21.00
9%
13.00
11%
Chelsea 5-0
2%
29.00
12%
26.00
10%
Chelsea 5-1
2%
34.00
17%
29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1.57
6%
1.85
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
2.38
8%
1.85
1%
Home 1st Goal
39%
3.103.60
4%
Away 1st Goal
59%
1.361.36
No 1st Goal
2%
17.00
12%
9.50
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.80
6%
2.10
BTTS - No
46%
1.95
2%
1.65
BTTS - Home Win
7%
12.0012.00
8%
BTTS - Draw
14%
6.005.75
BTTS - Away Win
34%
2.88
9%
3.50
Home/draw
30%
3.00
8%
2.62
Away/draw
88%
1.10
2%
1.10
1%
Home/away
83%
1.171.20
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.17
4%
1.29
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.00
18%
3.40
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
2.38
11%
3.10
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
1.53
4%
1.33
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
4.00
8%
5.75
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1.22
2%
1.11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
8.00
13%
11.00
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.08
1%
1.03
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.04
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00
12%
9.50
8%
Home DNB
24%
6.00
8%
5.00
8%
Away DNB
82%
1.13
2%
1.13
1%
Charlton win to nil
5%
13.00-
Chelsea win to nil
37%
2.38
5%
-
Charlton / Charlton
6%
13.0011.00
Charlton / Chelsea
5%
19.0017.00
11%
Charlton / Draw
5%
19.0017.00
12%
Draw / Charlton
5%
17.0011.00
Draw / Chelsea
19%
4.333.40
Draw / Draw
10%
7.50
6%
5.50
Chelsea / Charlton
2%
41.0034.00
17%
Chelsea / Chelsea
43%
2.00
2%
2.40
2%
Chelsea / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Charlton
20 games
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACharlton2 - 2Blackburn
HCharlton1 - 1Coventry
ACharlton1 - 2Portsmouth
ACharlton0 - 1Norwich
HCharlton1 - 0Oxford Utd
ACharlton1 - 1Birmingham
HCharlton1 - 2M'Boro
ACharlton1 - 3Coventry
ACharlton0 - 3Stoke
HCharlton1 - 5Southampton
ACharlton0 - 1Wrexham
HCharlton1 - 0West Brom
HCharlton1 - 1Swansea
ACharlton1 - 1Hull
ACharlton3 - 0Ipswich
HCharlton2 - 1Sheff Wed
ACharlton0 - 2Preston
ACharlton1 - 1Derby
HCharlton3 - 0Blackburn
ACharlton1 - 0Sheff Utd
Chelsea
20 games
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
AChelsea3 - 1Cardiff
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea1 - 2Atalanta
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
HChelsea3 - 0Barcelona
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea2 - 2Qarabag
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
AChelsea4 - 3Wolves
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
HChelsea5 - 1Ajax
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for Chelsea in their meeting with Charlton Athletic, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 21 consecutive FA Cup outings.

Charlton Chelsea
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
2.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Charlton scoring 1 goal or less
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.6
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Charlton
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
0.9
2.4
Attack rating
CHA
CHE
32%
better
view stats
Games scored16
19
Failed to score4
1
Scored first10
14
Goals scored22
39
Avg. goals scored1.1
2
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1
2
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
CHA
CHE
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
13
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first10
5
Goals conceded27
24
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+11%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Charlton v Chelsea will show here when available.

Charlton FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Mannion GLK
-
K. Gough DEF
-
L Jones DEF
-
A Bell DEF
-
C Coventry MID
-
J Bree MID
-
G Docherty MID
-
S Carey MID
-
T Campbell MID
-
M Leaburn FWD
-
C Kelman FWD
-
Subs
A Maynard-Brewer GLK
-
M Gillesphey DEF
-
R Apter MID
-
I. Fullah MID
-
H Knibbs MID
-
L Berry MID
-
K Anderson MID
-
J Rankin-Costello MID
-
I Olaofe FWD
-
Chelsea FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Jörgensen GLK
-
J. Acheampong DEF
-
T Adarabioyo DEF
-
B Badiashile  DEF
-
J Hato DEF
-
M Caicedo MID
-
A Santos MID
-
J Bynoe-Gittens MID
-
F Buonanotte MID
-
A Garnacho MID
-
M Guiu FWD
-
Subs
R Sánchez GLK
-
T Chalobah DEF
-
W Fofana DEF
-
E Fernández MID
-
D Essugo MID
-
P Neto FWD
-
L Delap FWD
-
J Pedro  FWD
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD
-