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Chelsea v Manchester City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 15:00 BST, Wembley Stadium, London

Josep Guardiola i Sala is aiming for a vital away win in the FA Cup on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Manchester City side to the Wembley Stadium to visit Chelsea and Liam Rosenior. All the odds are delivered straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on FA Cup match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Chelsea and Man City will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Liam Rosenior or Josep Guardiola i Sala has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
23%
10/317/5
Draw
23%
13/513/5
Man City
54%
4/54/5
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Man City 1-0
10%
7/113/2
Man City 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Man City 2-0
9%
8/115/2
Chelsea 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Chelsea 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Man City 3-1
6%
12/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Man City 3-0
5%
14/111/1
Chelsea 2-0
3%
22/118/1
Man City 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Man City 4-1
3%
28/118/1
Man City 4-0
2%
28/120/1
Chelsea 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/11/1
Home 1st Goal
43%
6/413/8
Away 1st Goal
54%
8/133/5
No 1st Goal
3%
11/117/2
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/48/11
BTTS - No
44%
1/121/20
BTTS - Home Win
12%
7/113/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/417/5
BTTS - Away Win
26%
13/512/5
Home/draw
46%
19/201/1
Away/draw
77%
1/51/5
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/427/10
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/19/5
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/112/5
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/81/7
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/19/1
Home DNB
39%
9/421/10
Away DNB
70%
1/33/10
Chelsea win to nil
11%
7/1-
Man City win to nil
28%
9/4-
Chelsea / Chelsea
11%
13/211/2
Chelsea / Man City
4%
20/116/1
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Chelsea
9%
17/28/1
Draw / Man City
17%
15/419/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Man City / Chelsea
3%
33/125/1
Man City / Man City
29%
7/417/10
Man City / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea
20 games
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea1 - 0Leeds
AChelsea0 - 3Brighton
HChelsea0 - 1Man Utd
HChelsea0 - 3Man City
HChelsea7 - 0Port Vale
AChelsea0 - 3Everton
HChelsea0 - 3PSG
HChelsea0 - 1Newcastle
AChelsea2 - 5PSG
AChelsea2 - 2Wrexham
AChelsea4 - 1A Villa
AChelsea1 - 2Arsenal
HChelsea1 - 1Burnley
AChelsea4 - 0Hull
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
AChelsea0 - 1Arsenal
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 2Napoli
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City2 - 1Southampton
AMan City1 - 0Burnley
HMan City2 - 1Arsenal
AMan City3 - 0Chelsea
HMan City4 - 0Liverpool
AMan City2 - 0Arsenal
HMan City1 - 2Real Madrid
AMan City1 - 1West Ham
AMan City0 - 3Real Madrid
AMan City3 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 2Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Leeds
HMan City2 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 0Salford
HMan City3 - 0Fulham
AMan City2 - 1Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Newcastle
AMan City2 - 2Spurs
HMan City2 - 0Galatasaray
HMan City2 - 0Wolves
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Chelsea since 2013
Chelsea
Man City
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
CHE
2
D
1
MCI
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea5 - 1
1 - 2Man City
Games at Man City since 2014
Man City
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
9
1
Games: Scored
4 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
1 / 5
CHE
1
MCI
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City1 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City2 - 0
0 - 1Chelsea
Man City2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Chelsea of late. It has been 5 FA Cup games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Manchester City.

Manchester City have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive FA Cup matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Chelsea on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea Man City
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
CHE
MCI
25%
better
view stats
Games scored13
19
Failed to score7
1
Scored first8
15
Goals scored36
40
Avg. goals scored1.8
2
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for2
2.1
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
CHE
MCI
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
11
Clean sheets3
9
Conceded first12
5
Goals conceded34
16
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
9
Conversion rate against23%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+46%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Chelsea v Man City will show here when available.

Chelsea FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Man City FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds
Chelsea v Man City
Sat 16th May, 15:00