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Chelsea v Manchester City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 15:00 BST, Wembley Stadium, London

the Wembley Stadium masses welcome Manchester City's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Liam Rosenior's Chelsea clash with Josep Guardiola i Sala's charges in the FA Cup. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare FA Cup clash.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Chelsea and Man City will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Liam Rosenior or Josep Guardiola i Sala has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 55% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
22%
7/216/5
Draw
23%
27/1027/10
Man City
55%
8/115/6
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Man City 1-0
10%
7/113/2
Man City 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Man City 2-0
9%
15/215/2
Man City 3-1
6%
12/111/1
Chelsea 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Chelsea 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Man City 3-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Man City 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Chelsea 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Man City 4-1
3%
25/120/1
Man City 4-0
3%
25/120/1
Chelsea 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/48/5
Away 1st Goal
55%
4/73/5
No 1st Goal
3%
11/19/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/48/11
BTTS - No
45%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
11%
7/16/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
26%
5/25/2
Home/draw
45%
21/2019/20
Away/draw
78%
2/112/9
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/91/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/127/10
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/415/8
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/54/11
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/72/15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/19/1
Home DNB
38%
12/52/1
Away DNB
71%
3/101/3
Chelsea win to nil
10%
8/1-
Man City win to nil
29%
9/4-
Chelsea / Chelsea
11%
13/211/2
Chelsea / Man City
4%
20/118/1
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Chelsea
9%
9/115/2
Draw / Man City
17%
15/419/5
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Man City / Chelsea
3%
33/125/1
Man City / Man City
30%
13/817/10
Man City / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea
20 games
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea1 - 1Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 3Nottm Forest
HChelsea1 - 0Leeds
AChelsea0 - 3Brighton
HChelsea0 - 1Man Utd
HChelsea0 - 3Man City
HChelsea7 - 0Port Vale
AChelsea0 - 3Everton
HChelsea0 - 3PSG
HChelsea0 - 1Newcastle
AChelsea2 - 5PSG
AChelsea2 - 2Wrexham
AChelsea4 - 1A Villa
AChelsea1 - 2Arsenal
HChelsea1 - 1Burnley
AChelsea4 - 0Hull
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
AChelsea0 - 1Arsenal
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City3 - 0Brentford
AMan City3 - 3Everton
HMan City2 - 1Southampton
AMan City1 - 0Burnley
HMan City2 - 1Arsenal
AMan City3 - 0Chelsea
HMan City4 - 0Liverpool
AMan City2 - 0Arsenal
HMan City1 - 2Real Madrid
AMan City1 - 1West Ham
AMan City0 - 3Real Madrid
AMan City3 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 2Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Leeds
HMan City2 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 0Salford
HMan City3 - 0Fulham
AMan City2 - 1Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Newcastle
AMan City2 - 2Spurs
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Chelsea since 2013
Chelsea
Man City
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
CHE
2
D
1
MCI
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea5 - 1
1 - 2Man City
Games at Man City since 2014
Man City
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
9
1
Games: Scored
4 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
1 / 5
CHE
1
MCI
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City1 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City2 - 0
0 - 1Chelsea
Man City2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Chelsea of late. It has been 7 FA Cup matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Manchester City.

Manchester City have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 13 consecutive FA Cup games. Their PG of 1.8 against Chelsea on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea Man City
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
CHE
MCI
31%
better
view stats
Games scored12
18
Failed to score7
1
Scored first6
14
Goals scored31
39
Avg. goals scored1.6
2
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for2
2.2
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
CHE
MCI
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
12
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first13
5
Goals conceded34
19
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
8
Conversion rate against25%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+41%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Chelsea v Man City will show here when available.

Chelsea FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Man City FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds
Chelsea v Man City
Sat 16th May, 15:00