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Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 20:00 BST, Anfield, Liverpool

Saturday night sees Arne Slot’s Liverpool and Fabian Hürzeler’s Brighton and Hove Albion go head to head in a FA Cup battle at the Anfield. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Liverpool to win

A FA Cup win on home turf for Arne Slot's Liverpool team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Liverpool win is the bet we'd suggest, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
63%
1.53
10%
1.57
6%
Draw
19%
4.50
7%
4.60
10%
Brighton
18%
5.50
31%
4.80
4%
Liverpool 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Draw 1-1
8%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Liverpool 2-0
8%
9.50
14%
8.50
6%
Liverpool 3-1
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
Liverpool 1-0
7%
11.009.00
6%
Liverpool 3-0
6%
12.00
20%
11.00
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Brighton 2-1
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Liverpool 3-2
4%
19.0015.00
Liverpool 4-1
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Liverpool 4-0
4%
21.00
19%
17.00
11%
Brighton 1-0
4%
21.00
24%
15.00
Draw 0-0
3%
19.0017.00
31%
Liverpool 4-2
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
Brighton 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
1.44
4%
1.44
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
2.75
5%
2.60
6%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.44
8%
1.48
1%
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.63
11%
2.75
2%
No 1st Goal
2%
19.0015.00
15%
BTTS - Yes
62%
1.57
3%
1.57
BTTS - No
38%
2.25
5%
2.30
BTTS - Home Win
35%
2.75
5%
2.75
5%
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.00
5%
5.00
9%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8.50
31%
7.00
8%
Home/draw
82%
1.14
7%
1.17
1%
Away/draw
37%
2.38
13%
2.38
11%
Home/away
81%
1.18
3%
1.20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.13
1%
1.13
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
2.10
5%
2.15
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
1.67
3%
1.65
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
3.50
7%
3.50
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1.29
3%
1.25
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
6.50
7%
6.50
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1.11
1%
1.10
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
19.0015.00
15%
Home DNB
76%
1.20
10%
1.25
3%
Away DNB
31%
4.33
33%
3.70
9%
Liverpool win to nil
28%
3.25
7%
-
Brighton win to nil
7%
13.00
30%
-
Liverpool / Liverpool
36%
2.25
13%
2.20
10%
Liverpool / Brighton
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
Liverpool / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
Draw / Liverpool
17%
4.75
5%
4.80
Draw / Brighton
7%
13.00
30%
10.00
5%
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50
7%
7.00
8%
Brighton / Liverpool
5%
17.00
11%
17.00
Brighton / Brighton
10%
9.50
36%
7.00
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Liverpool
20 games
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLiverpool1 - 2Man City
HLiverpool4 - 1Newcastle
HLiverpool6 - 0Qarabag
ALiverpool2 - 3Bournemouth
ALiverpool3 - 0Marseille
HLiverpool1 - 1Burnley
HLiverpool4 - 1Barnsley
ALiverpool0 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool2 - 2Fulham
HLiverpool0 - 0Leeds
HLiverpool2 - 1Wolves
ALiverpool2 - 1Spurs
HLiverpool2 - 0Brighton
ALiverpool1 - 0Inter
ALiverpool3 - 3Leeds
HLiverpool1 - 1Sunderland
ALiverpool2 - 0West Ham
HLiverpool1 - 4PSV
HLiverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
ALiverpool0 - 3Man City
Brighton
20 games
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton2 - 1Man Utd
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton0 - 0Sunderland
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton3 - 4A Villa
ABrighton2 - 0Nottm Forest
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
ABrighton0 - 0C Palace
HBrighton3 - 0Leeds
ABrighton0 - 2Arsenal
ABrighton2 - 4Man Utd
HBrighton2 - 1Newcastle
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Liverpool in their meeting with Brighton and Hove Albion, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 29 consecutive FA Cup games.

Goals have been an issue for Brighton and Hove Albion of late. It has been 5 FA Cup games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Liverpool.

Liverpool Brighton
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Liverpool will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.9
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
18%
better
LIV
BHA
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first11
8
Goals scored37
26
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for1.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
9%
better
LIV
BHA
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded26
26
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+9%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Liverpool v Brighton will show here when available.

Liverpool FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Brighton FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE