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Manchester City v Exeter City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City and their boss Josep Guardiola i Sala will be hoping for victory against Gary Caldwell and his Exeter City side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Etihad Stadium in the FA Cup. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and found the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Manchester City's next match is v Newcastle at 20:00 on Tuesday 13th January
Exeter City's next match is v Stevenage at 15:00 on Saturday 17th January
The last English FA Cup meeting between Man City and Exeter was on Saturday 10th January 2026
English FA Cup
January 10th 2026
Man City 10
1 Exeter
 
M. Alleyne 12'90' G. Birch
Rodri 24'
J. Doyle-Hayes (OG) 42'
J. Fitzwater (OG) 45'
R. Lewis 49'
A. Semenyo 54'
T. Reijnders 71'
N. O'Reilly 79'
R. McAidoo 86'
R. Lewis 90'
 
MCI
EXE
Shots On
10
2
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
7
3
Possession
72%
28%
Fouls
8
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
Man CityExeter
 
J. Trafford
N. Aké (S. Mfuni 46')
T. Reijndersfootball icon
M. Cherki
Rodrifootball icon (N. O'Reilly 46')
E. Haaland (D. Mukasa 46')
A. Khusanov
M. Alleynefootball icon (B. Silva 64')
R. Lewisfootball iconfootball icon
A. Semenyofootball icon (J. Doku 64')
R. McAidoofootball icon
J. Whitworth
E. Turns
football iconJ. Fitzwater
(E. Francis 82') E. Brierley
(C. Gomes 59') J. Aitchison
(J. Magennis 46') J. Wareham
(A. Higgins 59') R. Cole
L. Woodhouse
I. Niskanen
football iconJ. Doyle-Hayes
(G. Birch 82') L. Oakes

Best Tip: Man City to win

As the Man City players prepare themselves for this game, the bookies are predicting a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Etihad Stadium hasn't been a successful away day for Exeter in the past, and we expect more of the same come Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 93% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.09.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
93%
1/40
4%
1/50
3%
Draw
5%
20/1
10%
1/50
32%
Exeter
2%
33/1
67%
1/50
29%
Man City 3-0
13%
13/217/2
6%
Man City 4-0
12%
6/1
23%
7/1
Man City 5-0
10%
15/2
43%
11/2
13%
Man City 2-0
10%
17/2
14%
10/1
15%
Man City 6-0
6%
11/1
67%
19/10
22%
Man City 3-1
6%
12/1
29%
18/1
15%
Man City 4-1
6%
12/1
20%
18/1
8%
Man City 1-0
5%
18/1
17%
18/1
24%
Man City 5-1
4%
14/1
12%
16/1
Man City 2-1
4%
16/1
35%
18/1
13%
Man City 7-0
4%
20/1
77%
6/4
25%
Man City 6-1
3%
20/1
10%
14/1
13%
Draw 1-1
2%
33/1
17%
33/1
27%
Man City 8-0
2%
33/1
95%
7/10
35%
Man City 7-1
2%
33/1
17%
11/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
81%
1/7
4%
1/33
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
19%
9/2
17%
10/1
23%
Home 1st Goal
72%
1/7
6%
1/10
2%
Away 1st Goal
27%
9/2
31%
11/2
13%
No 1st Goal
1%
33/128/1
24%
BTTS - Yes
36%
5/4
25%
17/2
5%
BTTS - No
63%
4/7
21%
1/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
6/4
20%
1/50
4%
BTTS - Draw
4%
20/1
19%
1/50
24%
BTTS - Away Win
1%
40/1
66%
1/50
15%
Home/draw
98%
1/80
3%
1/50
Away/draw
6%
16/1
42%
1/50
25%
Home/away
95%
1/661/50
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/18
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
7%
12/1
24%
15/2
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
63%
2/5
11%
1/25
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4
23%
17/2
21%
Over 4.5 Goals
44%
5/6
10%
1/16
16%
Under 4.5 Goals
55%
5/6
10%
7/1
16%
Over 5.5 Goals
27%
7/4
20%
1/11
22%
Under 5.5 Goals
72%
2/5
9%
11/2
13%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/200
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
1%
33/1
50%
-
Home DNB
96%
1/150
3%
1/50
Away DNB
5%
25/1
63%
1/50
19%
Man City win to nil
61%
8/13
24%
-
Exeter win to nil
1%
50/1
71%
-
Man City / Man City
67%
2/9
13%
1/1000
8%
Man City / Exeter
1%
100/1
47%
150/1
17%
Man City / Draw
3%
33/1
17%
80/1
15%
Draw / Man City
16%
15/4
25%
1/50
13%
Draw / Exeter
2%
50/1
39%
1/50
11%
Draw / Draw
4%
20/1
19%
1/50
19%
Exeter / Man City
4%
20/1
44%
1/50
10%
Exeter / Exeter
2%
50/1
49%
1/50
15%
Exeter / Draw
2%
40/1
20%
1/50
15%
Win / draw / win form
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Exeter
20 games
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goal Statistics
Man City Exeter
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.9
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
5
15%
6+
29%
There is a 30% probability that Man City will score 6 or more goals in this match
0
63%
1
29%
2
3
4+
There is a 63% probability that Exeter will fail to score
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Exeter
3.9
0.5
Attack rating
33%
better
MCI
EXE
view stats
Games scored17
14
Failed to score3
6
Scored first14
10
Goals scored43
22
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
2%
better
MCI
EXE
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first5
10
Goals conceded18
17
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Man City v Exeter will show here when available.

Man City FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK
-
R Lewis DEF
-
A. Khusanov DEF
-
M. Alleyne DEF
-
N Aké  DEF
-
Rodri MID
-
R. McAidoo MID
-
T Reijnders MID
-
R Cherki MID
-
A Semenyo MID
-
E Haaland FWD
-
Subs
G Donnarumma GLK
-
S. Mfuni DEF
-
N González  MID
-
B Silva MID
-
M Nunes MID
-
N. O'Reilly MID
-
P Foden MID
-
D. Mukasa MID
-
J Doku FWD
-
Exeter FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2211
J WhitworthJ AitchisonJ Doyle-HayesE Brierley
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Whitworth GLK2
-
E Turns DEF1
-
J Fitzwater DEF1
-
L Woodhouse DEF
-
I Niskanen MID1
-
E Brierley MID2
1
-
J Doyle-Hayes MID11
-
L. Oakes MID1
-
R Cole FWD11
-
J Aitchison FWD12
1
-
J Wareham FWD12
-
Subs
J Bycroft GLK
-
J McMillan DEF2
-
E Francis MID
-
T. Dean MID
-
C Mendes FWD
-
A. Higgins FWD211
-
S Cox FWD
-
J Magennis FWD1
-