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Manchester United v Brighton and Hove Albion : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Jan, 16:30 BST, Old Trafford, Manchester

Sunday afternoon at the Old Trafford, and it’s a FA Cup clash between Manchester United and Brighton and Hove Albion. Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim and Fabian Hürzeler will be doing all they can to claim victory. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Sunday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Man Utd and Brighton to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean a losing bet but, with stats below suggesting both teams have goals in them, we think it looks like a great bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man Utd
53%
1.85
11%
1.83
Draw
22%
4.10
4%
4.00
6%
Brighton
26%
3.70
21%
3.80
6%
Draw 1-1
10%
8.007.50
Man Utd 2-1
9%
8.50
6%
7.50
Man Utd 1-0
7%
11.00
21%
9.50
5%
Man Utd 2-0
7%
11.00
23%
9.50
Brighton 2-1
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
12.00
18%
11.00
5%
Man Utd 3-1
6%
13.0011.00
9%
Brighton 1-0
5%
17.00
12%
12.00
8%
Man Utd 3-0
5%
17.00
21%
13.00
Man Utd 3-2
4%
19.00
11%
15.00
Draw 0-0
4%
19.00
11%
13.00
Brighton 2-0
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
Man Utd 4-1
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
11%
Brighton 3-1
3%
26.00
26%
19.00
11%
Brighton 3-2
3%
26.00
26%
21.00
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.53
5%
1.50
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2.50
10%
2.40
2%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.62
6%
1.62
2%
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.25
13%
2.40
2%
No 1st Goal
2%
19.00
11%
13.00
BTTS - Yes
64%
1.50
13%
1.53
3%
BTTS - No
36%
2.50
16%
2.38
5%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.103.00
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
10%
4.50
5%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.00
40%
5.50
4%
Home/draw
74%
1.29
8%
1.25
2%
Away/draw
47%
1.91
14%
1.95
3%
Home/away
78%
1.221.22
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.14
3%
1.15
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5.50
9%
4.80
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
2.20
13%
2.25
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
1.62
8%
1.57
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3.75
15%
3.80
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1.25
4%
1.22
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
8.00
29%
7.00
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.08
3%
1.08
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
19.00
11%
13.00
Home DNB
68%
1.40
11%
1.40
1%
Away DNB
41%
2.75
30%
2.80
2%
Man Utd win to nil
23%
3.75
19%
-
Brighton win to nil
10%
9.00
13%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
30%
2.75
15%
2.62
Man Utd / Brighton
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
Man Utd / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Man Utd
15%
5.50
9%
5.25
Draw / Brighton
9%
9.00
12%
8.50
Draw / Draw
12%
6.506.50
4%
Brighton / Man Utd
4%
19.0017.00
Brighton / Brighton
13%
6.50
27%
5.50
5%
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Win / draw / win form
Man Utd
20 games
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Brighton
20 games
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Manchester United's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 5 consecutive FA Cup matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Man Utd Brighton
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Man Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
2
1.3
Attack rating
15%
better
MNU
BHA
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score2
4
Scored first13
7
Goals scored37
34
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.7
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for2
1.5
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
MNU
BHA
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
14
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first7
11
Goals conceded32
26
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against20%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Man Utd v Brighton will show here when available.

Man Utd FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Brighton FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE