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Newcastle United v Bournemouth : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Bournemouth are on the road on Saturday afternoon, as manager Andoni Iraola Sagarna takes his side to visit Newcastle United and Eddie Howe at the St. James' Park in the FA Cup. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Newcastle United's next match is v Man City at 20:00 on Tuesday 13th January
Bournemouth's next match is v Brighton at 20:00 on Monday 19th January
The last English FA Cup meeting between Newcastle and Bournemouth was on Saturday 10th January 2026
English FA Cup
January 10th 2026
Newcastle 10
9 Bournemouth
 
H. Barnes 50'62' A. Scott
A. Gordon 90'68' D. Brooks
H. Barnes 118'120' M. Tavernier
 
NEW
BOU
Shots On
7
13
Shots Off
13
6
Corners
7
5
Possession
63%
37%
Fouls
7
21
Yellow/red cards
1/0
5/0
 
NewcastleBournemouth
 
K. Trippier (L. Miley 69')
S. Botman
M. Thiaw
S. Tonali
Y. Wissa (A. Gordon 69')
H. Barnesfootball iconfootball icon
V. Livramento (L. Hall 59')
A. Ramsdale
J. Willock (J. Apolinário de Lira 70')
J. Ramsey (B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura 79')
N. Woltemade
Đ. Petrović
(A. Truffert 83') J. Soler Barreto
A. Smith
L. Cook
(R. Rees-Dottin 112') football iconA. Scott
(A. Jiménez Sánchez 71') football iconD. Brooks
B. Diakité
J. Hill
(M. Tavernier 71') A. Adli
(M. Senesi 91') E. Kroupi
(F. de Lima Barbosa 28') E. Ünal

Best Tip: Newcastle to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Newcastle. Their recent form stats show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Bournemouth too. The odds point towards Eddie Howe's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
61%
4/7
14%
16/1
2%
Draw
20%
15/4
4%
1/40
3%
Bournemouth
20%
15/4
18%
33/1
Newcastle 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
5/2
Draw 1-1
8%
9/1
7%
13/8
8%
Newcastle 2-0
8%
10/1
17%
16/5
10%
Newcastle 3-1
7%
10/1
12%
15/2
Newcastle 1-0
7%
12/1
6%
29/10
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
15%
16/5
Newcastle 3-0
6%
14/1
19%
13/2
Bournemouth 2-1
5%
14/1
9%
2/5
Newcastle 3-2
4%
16/118/1
Newcastle 4-1
4%
18/1
15%
22/1
Bournemouth 1-0
4%
20/1
9%
7/1
Newcastle 4-0
3%
20/1
17%
16/1
Draw 0-0
3%
25/1
15%
4/1
Newcastle 4-2
3%
25/170/1
Bournemouth 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
25/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
4/11
3%
4/9
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
11/5
5%
17/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2
7%
8/13
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/4
7%
23/10
No 1st Goal
2%
25/1
15%
4/1
BTTS - Yes
64%
4/911/10
BTTS - No
36%
13/84/6
BTTS - Home Win
35%
8/5
10%
18/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/2
20%
1/4
5%
Home/draw
80%
2/11
7%
5/1
Away/draw
39%
13/10
8%
1/1000
1%
Home/away
80%
2/11
2%
1/10
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/10
2%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
6/1
8%
29/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
5/6
4%
7/2
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
5/6
3%
2/11
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
2/1
18%
25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
4/11
4%
1/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
9/2
9%
100/1
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/7
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/100
1%
2/13
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
22/1
15%
4/1
Home DNB
74%
1/4
11%
16/1
1%
Away DNB
33%
11/4
20%
1/66
2%
Newcastle win to nil
26%
5/2
13%
-
Bournemouth win to nil
7%
10/1
18%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
34%
13/10
14%
5/1
3%
Newcastle / Bournemouth
3%
28/1
12%
50/1
Newcastle / Draw
6%
12/125/1
Draw / Newcastle
16%
4/1
9%
6/5
Draw / Bournemouth
8%
11/1
13%
11/2
Draw / Draw
12%
7/1
9%
27/10
Bournemouth / Newcastle
5%
16/1
9%
28/1
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
11%
7/1
20%
18/1
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
25/1
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle
20 games
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Bournemouth
20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive FA Cup matches. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Newcastle Bournemouth
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 67% probability that Newcastle will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Bournemouth will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.1
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Bournemouth
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
26%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games scored18
15
Failed to score2
5
Scored first15
9
Goals scored38
31
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
19%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded27
38
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
4
Conversion rate against16%
23%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Newcastle v Bournemouth will show here when available.

Newcastle FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ramsdale GLK
-
K Trippier DEF
-
M Thiaw DEF
-
S Botman DEF
-
T Livramento  DEF
-
J Willock MID
-
S Tonali MID
-
J Ramsey MID
-
Y Wissa FWD
-
N Woltemade FWD
-
H Barnes FWD
-
Subs
N Pope  GLK
-
L Hall DEF
-
A. Murphy DEF
-
Joelinton MID
-
B Guimarães MID
-
L Miley MID
-
S. Alabi MID
-
A Gordon FWD
-
S. Neave FWD
-
Bournemouth FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK
-
A Smith DEF
-
J Hill DEF
-
B Diakité DEF
-
J Soler DEF
-
A Scott MID
-
L Cook MID
-
D Brooks  MID
-
A Adli MID
-
E Kroupi MID
-
E Ünal  FWD
-
Subs
F Forster GLK
-
A Truffert DEF
-
M Senesi DEF
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF
-
V. Milosavljević DEF
-
M Tavernier MID
-
M. Dacosta Gonzalez MID
-
Evanilson  FWD
-
R. Rees-Dottin FWD
-