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Southampton v Leicester City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

We’ve FA Cup action to enjoy on Saturday afternoon, as William Still and his Southampton side host Martí Cifuentes Corvillo’s Leicester City at the St. Mary's Stadium. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for , but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Southampton and Leicester will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
53%
1.801.85
Draw
23%
3.80
6%
3.80
6%
Leicester
24%
4.00
5%
3.80
10%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.007.00
8%
Southampton 2-1
10%
8.508.00
Southampton 1-0
9%
9.00
13%
8.00
7%
Southampton 2-0
8%
9.50
6%
9.50
12%
Leicester 2-1
6%
13.0011.00
8%
Southampton 3-1
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
8%
Leicester 1-0
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
Southampton 3-0
5%
15.0013.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
8%
12.00
26%
Southampton 3-2
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
19%
Leicester 2-0
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
11%
Southampton 4-1
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
Leicester 3-1
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
19%
Southampton 4-0
2%
29.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.67
7%
1.67
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.20
10%
2.10
10%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.621.62
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.38
1%
2.45
6%
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
8%
12.00
26%
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.62
7%
1.65
6%
BTTS - No
42%
2.20
10%
2.15
8%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.40
6%
3.40
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
5%
4.50
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7.00
7%
6.50
7%
Home/draw
76%
1.221.25
2%
Away/draw
47%
1.951.91
Home/away
77%
1.25
3%
1.25
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.20
4%
1.20
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.33
15%
4.00
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.63
12%
2.62
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.44
6%
1.44
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.00
17%
4.80
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.17
4%
1.17
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10.00
23%
9.00
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.06
2%
1.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.02
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
8%
12.00
26%
Home DNB
69%
1.36
2%
1.40
4%
Away DNB
40%
3.00
8%
2.80
7%
Southampton win to nil
26%
3.50
8%
-
Leicester win to nil
11%
8.00-
Southampton / Southampton
29%
2.882.75
2%
Southampton / Leicester
3%
29.00
15%
29.00
Southampton / Draw
6%
13.0013.00
Draw / Southampton
16%
5.005.00
Draw / Leicester
9%
9.008.50
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
6.00
14%
Leicester / Southampton
4%
21.0021.00
Leicester / Leicester
13%
7.005.75
12%
Leicester / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win form
Southampton
20 games
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Leicester
20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goal Statistics

Southampton have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive FA Cup outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Leicester City on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Goals have been a problem for Leicester City of late. It has been 5 FA Cup matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Southampton.

Southampton Leicester
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Leicester will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Leicester
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
4%
better
SOU
LEI
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score2
2
Scored first12
10
Goals scored34
28
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
22
Avg. XG for1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
32%
better
SOU
LEI
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets5
1
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded24
33
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+32%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Southampton v Leicester will show here when available.

Southampton FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Leicester FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE