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AFC Wimbledon v Exeter City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 29th Dec, 19:45 BST, Cherry Red Records Stadium, Wimbledon

We’ve League One action to enjoy on Monday evening, as Johnnie Jackson and his AFC Wimbledon side host Gary Caldwell’s Exeter City at the Cherry Red Records Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
AFC Wim 49%	-	-
Draw 31%	-	-
Exeter 20%	-	-
AFC Wim 1-0 19%	-	-
Draw 0-0 16%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
AFC Wim 2-0 11%	-	-
Exeter 1-0 10%	-	-
AFC Wim 2-1 7%	-	-
AFC Wim 3-0 4%	-	-
Exeter 2-1 4%	-	-
Exeter 2-0 3%	-	-
AFC Wim 3-1 3%	-	-
Draw 2-2 2%	-	-
AFC Wim 4-0 1%	-	-
AFC Wim 3-2 1%	-	-
Exeter 3-1 1%	-	-
AFC Wim 4-1 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 28%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 72%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 36%	-	-
No 1st Goal 11%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 33%	-	-
BTTS - No 67%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	-	-
Home/draw 80%	-	-
Away/draw 51%	-	-
Home/away 69%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 55%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 45%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 84%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 16%	-	-
Home DNB 70%	-	-
Away DNB 42%	-	-
AFC Wim win to nil 36%	-	-
Exeter win to nil 15%	-	-

Win / draw / win League One table

AFC Wim have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. AFC Wim have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

AFC Wim have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Exeter are in 22nd position in the League One on 20 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Exeter have conceded 17 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	AFC Wim Exeter
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Cardiff	19	13	2	4	16	41	l 0-1A	Feb 17	Mar 14	Dec 26
2	Bradford	19	10	7	2	10	37	Feb 21	l 3-2F	May 2	l 1-0A
3	Lincoln	20	10	5	5	7	35	w 2-0F	Apr 3	Jan 10	w 0-1F
4	Bolton	19	9	7	3	10	34	Jan 31	l 3-0A	Feb 28	l 2-1F
5	Stevenage	18	10	4	4	9	34	Dec 26	Mar 14	Jan 17	l 2-1A
6	Stockport	19	9	5	5	2	32	-	Mar 28	Apr 18	l 1-0A
7	Luton	21	8	5	8	-2	29	Apr 6	l 1-0A	Jan 1	Mar 17
8	Barnsley	17	8	4	5	6	28	w 2-0F	Feb 14	Dec 20	Mar 7
9	Huddersfield	20	8	4	8	2	28	May 2	d 3-3F	l 0-1A	Jan 4
10	AFC Wim	19	8	3	8	-3	27	-	-	w 1-0F	Dec 29
11	Wigan	19	6	8	5	1	26	l 1-2F	Apr 25	d 1-1A	Mar 21
12	Wycombe	20	6	7	7	5	25	w 2-1F	Jan 4	Feb 17	w 0-1F
13	L Orient	20	7	4	9	-1	25	Mar 17	Jan 1	Mar 28	l 2-1F
14	Reading	20	6	7	7	-2	25	Feb 7	w 1-2F	d 1-1A	Jan 27
15	Northampton	19	7	3	9	-2	24	Mar 7	Dec 19	Feb 14	l 2-0A
16	Rotherham	20	6	6	8	-4	24	w 2-1A	Jan 24	Jan 31	l 1-0A
17	Mansfield	19	6	5	8	-1	23	d 0-00-0	Feb 28	l 1-2A	Feb 7
18	Burton	19	6	5	8	-8	23	l 0-1A	Apr 11	-	Apr 25
19	Peterborough	19	7	1	11	-4	22	Mar 21	l 5-0A	w 3-0F	Feb 21
20	Doncaster	20	6	4	10	-10	22	Jan 17	w 1-2A	Apr 6	l 1-0A
21	Plymouth	20	7	1	12	-11	22	Apr 18	w 1-2A	w 2-0F	Apr 11
22	Exeter	19	6	2	11	-2	20	Dec 29	l 1-0A	-	-
23	Blackpool	20	5	5	10	-8	20	Jan 10	w 0-2F	w 4-1F	Apr 3
24	Port Vale	19	3	6	10	-10	15	d 1-1F	Jan 27	l 0-2A	Jan 24

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFC Wim	0 - 0	Mansfield
AFC Wim	1 - 2	Wigan
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Burton
AFC Wim	1 - 1	Port Vale
AFC Wim	2 - 1	Wycombe
AFC Wim	2 - 1	Rotherham
AFC Wim	2 - 0	Barnsley
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Cardiff
AFC Wim	2 - 0	Lincoln
AFC Wim	1 - 0	Walsall
AFC Wim	1 - 0	Notts C
AFC Wim	0 - 2	Port Vale
AFC Wim	0 - 0	Chesterfield
AFC Wim	1 - 0	Harrogate
AFC Wim	2 - 2	Barrow
AFC Wim	1 - 2	Cheltenham
AFC Wim	2 - 0	Notts C
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Bromley
AFC Wim	1 - 0	Salford
AFC Wim	3 - 0	Crewe

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	AFC Wim	0 - 0	Mansfield
A	AFC Wim	0 - 1	Exeter
A	AFC Wim	3 - 3	Huddersfield
H	AFC Wim	1 - 2	Wigan
A	AFC Wim	0 - 5	Peterborough
H	AFC Wim	0 - 1	Burton
A	AFC Wim	2 - 1	Plymouth
H	AFC Wim	1 - 1	Port Vale
A	AFC Wim	2 - 0	Blackpool
H	AFC Wim	2 - 1	Wycombe
A	AFC Wim	2 - 1	Doncaster
H	AFC Wim	2 - 1	Rotherham
A	AFC Wim	0 - 3	Bolton
A	AFC Wim	2 - 3	Bradford
H	AFC Wim	2 - 0	Barnsley
H	AFC Wim	0 - 1	Cardiff
A	AFC Wim	2 - 1	Reading
H	AFC Wim	2 - 0	Lincoln
A	AFC Wim	0 - 1	Luton
H	AFC Wim	1 - 0	Walsall

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton	2 - 1	Exeter
Bradford	1 - 0	Exeter
L Orient	2 - 1	Exeter
Stockport	1 - 0	Exeter
Lincoln	0 - 1	Exeter
Stevenage	2 - 1	Exeter
Rotherham	1 - 0	Exeter
Northampton	2 - 0	Exeter
Wycombe	0 - 1	Exeter
Doncaster	1 - 0	Exeter
Mansfield	3 - 0	Exeter
Crawley	3 - 1	Exeter
Bristol R	1 - 2	Exeter
Barnsley	1 - 2	Exeter
Lincoln	0 - 0	Exeter
Rotherham	1 - 1	Exeter
Reading	0 - 0	Exeter
Charlton	3 - 0	Exeter
Cambridge	0 - 1	Exeter
Stevenage	4 - 1	Exeter

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Exeter	1 - 2	Bolton
H	Exeter	1 - 0	AFC Wim
A	Exeter	0 - 1	Bradford
A	Exeter	1 - 2	L Orient
H	Exeter	1 - 1	Wigan
H	Exeter	2 - 0	Plymouth
A	Exeter	0 - 1	Stockport
H	Exeter	1 - 1	Reading
A	Exeter	1 - 0	Lincoln
H	Exeter	0 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Exeter	1 - 2	Stevenage
H	Exeter	0 - 2	Port Vale
A	Exeter	0 - 1	Rotherham
H	Exeter	3 - 0	Peterborough
A	Exeter	0 - 2	Northampton
A	Exeter	1 - 0	Wycombe
H	Exeter	1 - 2	Mansfield
H	Exeter	4 - 1	Blackpool
A	Exeter	0 - 1	Doncaster
A	Exeter	0 - 3	Mansfield

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

AFC Wim have beaten Exeter in 3 consecutive home league meetings

AFC Wim

Exeter

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

AFW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT AFC Wim
AFC Wim	2 - 1
AFC Wim	4 - 1
AFC Wim	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Exeter

AFC Wim

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

1 / 5

AFW

EXE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Exeter
Exeter	1 - 0
	0 - 2	AFC Wim
Exeter	3 - 2
Exeter	2 - 0
Exeter	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Exeter City fans, as should a 5 League One matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	AFC Wim 10th	Exeter 22nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 22% 3 4+ There is a 67% probability that AFC Wim will score no more than 1 goal	0 52% 1 34% 2 11% 3 4+ There is a 52% probability that Exeter will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 AFC Wim have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-38 Exeter have scored 38% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

10%

better

AFW

EXE

view stats

Games scored	12		12
Failed to score	7		7
Scored first	9		8
Goals scored	23		18
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	7		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	18		14
Avg. XG for	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+10%

AFW

EXE

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		14
Clean sheets	4		5
Conceded first	9		11
Goals conceded	26		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	18%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.3
KickOff rating		+11%

AFC Wim v Exeter League One lLine ups will show here when available.

AFC Wim League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	3	4
N Bishop	M Stevens	J Reeves	I Ogundere

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Bishop GLK	19			-
N Asiimwe DEF	19	1	2	1 -
S Seddon DEF	19	1	2	3 -
I Ogundere DEF	19			4 -
A Smith MID	19	1	1	1 -
J Reeves MID	19	1	3	4 -
M Hippolyte MID	17	1	3	1 -
O Bugiel FWD	17	2	2	1 -
R Johnson DEF	16	2		4 -
D Orsi FWD	16	3		-
M Browne FWD	15	4		2 1
J Lewis DEF	13		1	2 1
C Maycock MID	13			-
A Hackford FWD	13	2		-
R Harbottle DEF	12			2 -
A Sasu FWD	11			-
M Stevens FWD	10	5	2	1 -
P Bauer DEF	8			1 -
S Hutchinson MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	3	5
M Stevens	O Bugiel	J Reeves	S Seddon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Stevens FWD	5	9	2
M Browne FWD	4	5		1
D Orsi FWD	3	3		2
O Bugiel FWD	2	10	2
R Johnson DEF	2	3
A Hackford FWD	2	4
N Asiimwe DEF	1	5	2	2
S Seddon DEF	1	4	2	5
A Smith MID	1	3	1	1
J Reeves MID	1	2	3	4
M Hippolyte MID	1	4	3	4
I Ogundere DEF				1
J Lewis DEF		2	1	1
C Maycock MID				2
R Harbottle DEF		1		1
A Sasu FWD		2
P Bauer DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
884	40	116
J Reeves	N Asiimwe	O Bugiel

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Reeves MID	884	23	38
A Smith MID	671	32	90
I Ogundere DEF	648	28	76
R Johnson DEF	626	30	109
N Bishop GLK	608		13
S Seddon DEF	541	30	86
J Lewis DEF	483	18	71
N Asiimwe DEF	435	40	91
M Hippolyte MID	334	22	73
M Browne FWD	231	7	60
O Bugiel FWD	228	20	116
P Bauer DEF	144	9	44
R Harbottle DEF	118	9	35
M Stevens FWD	110	4	55
D Orsi FWD	105	11	26
C Maycock MID	87	5	8
A Sasu FWD	59	6	17
A Hackford FWD	55	6	19
S Hutchinson MID	13	1	1

Exeter League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	4	5
J Whitworth	J Wareham	I Niskanen	J Fitzwater

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Whitworth GLK	19			1 -
J McMillan DEF	19	1		2 -
I Niskanen MID	19		4	3 -
E Brierley MID	19		1	2 -
J Wareham FWD	19	5	1	4 -
J Fitzwater DEF	18	1	1	5 -
J Aitchison MID	17	1		1 -
E Turns DEF	16			1 -
J Magennis FWD	16	4		1 -
P Sweeney DEF	13			4 -
R Cole MID	13	2	2	2 -
J Doyle-Hayes MID	12		1	4 -
A. Higgins FWD	11	1		-
S Cox FWD	11	1		1 -
D Andrew DEF	10			1 -
K McDonald MID	9	1		-
E Francis MID	8			-
J Yfeko DEF	7			1 -
L Woodhouse DEF	6			-
S Swinkels DEF	5			2 -
T. Dean MID	5			1 -
R Rydel DEF	4		1	-
L. Oakes MID	3			-
C Mendes FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	4	5
J Wareham	J Wareham	I Niskanen	E Brierley

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Wareham FWD	5	10	1	2
J Magennis FWD	4	8
R Cole MID	2	7	2	3
J McMillan DEF	1	4		3
J Fitzwater DEF	1	1	1	1
J Aitchison MID	1	4
A. Higgins FWD	1	5		2
S Cox FWD	1	3
K McDonald MID	1	1
I Niskanen MID		5	4	4
E Brierley MID		1	1	5
E Turns DEF		2
P Sweeney DEF				1
J Doyle-Hayes MID		1	1	1
D Andrew DEF		3		1
E Francis MID		2
S Swinkels DEF		1
R Rydel DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
953	37	99
J Fitzwater	J McMillan	J Wareham

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Fitzwater DEF	953	21	95
E Brierley MID	903	23	41
J Whitworth GLK	836	1	7
E Turns DEF	687	22	92
J McMillan DEF	639	37	53
P Sweeney DEF	572	12	49
J Doyle-Hayes MID	542	12	42
I Niskanen MID	427	34	70
D Andrew DEF	386	14	54
R Cole MID	294	12	34
J Aitchison MID	285	18	59
J Wareham FWD	252	17	99
S Swinkels DEF	202	4	22
J Yfeko DEF	184	4	13
J Magennis FWD	178	1	63
E Francis MID	128	2	13
A. Higgins FWD	111	11	36
K McDonald MID	89	6	12
L Woodhouse DEF	76	1	6
S Cox FWD	66	3	23
R Rydel DEF	55	6	11
L. Oakes MID	31	1	2
T. Dean MID	19	2	6
C Mendes FWD	4	1	3