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Bolton Wanderers v Stevenage : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 14th Apr, 19:45 BST, Macron Stadium, Horwich

The League One is the focus for both Bolton Wanderers and Stevenage on Tuesday evening, as bosses Steven Schumacher and Alex Revell battle it out at the Macron Stadium. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Bolton and Stevenage will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 74%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bolton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bolton 53%	5/6	10/11
Draw 25%	11/4 14%	5/2
Stevenage 23%	29/10 3%	3/1
Bolton 1-0 12%	6/1	11/2
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1 8%	5/1 8%
Bolton 2-0 10%	15/2	7/1
Bolton 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1
Draw 0-0 7%	9/1 5%	15/2
Stevenage 1-0 7%	10/1	17/2
Stevenage 2-1 6%	12/1 13%	11/1
Bolton 3-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Bolton 3-1 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	12/1
Stevenage 2-0 3%	20/1	14/1
Bolton 3-2 3%	25/1	20/1
Bolton 4-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Bolton 4-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Stevenage 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	19/20 3%	1/1
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	17/20 3%	3/4
Home 1st Goal 54%	8/13	13/20
Away 1st Goal 42%	6/4	8/5
No 1st Goal 5%	9/1 5%	15/2
BTTS - Yes 50%	10/11 6%	17/20 3%
BTTS - No 50%	10/11 2%	17/20 1%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1	3/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1 5%	7/2 2%
BTTS - Away Win 10%	7/1 6%	13/2 7%
Home/draw 77%	1/4 4%	2/9 2%
Away/draw 47%	10/11 6%	17/20
Home/away 75%	1/4 4%	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	3/10	1/3
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	12/5	21/10
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	12/5 3%	12/5
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	3/10 1%	2/7
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	6/1	11/2
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/10	1/11
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/16	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	9/1 5%	15/2
Home DNB 70%	4/11	4/11
Away DNB 40%	2/1	9/5
Bolton win to nil 30%	9/4	-
Stevenage win to nil 12%	6/1	-
Bolton / Bolton 28%	15/8 4%	19/10 1%
Bolton / Stevenage 3%	33/1	28/1
Bolton / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Bolton 17%	15/4	19/5
Draw / Stevenage 9%	8/1 6%	7/1
Draw / Draw 16%	9/2	19/5
Stevenage / Bolton 4%	22/1	20/1 11%
Stevenage / Stevenage 12%	6/1	5/1
Stevenage / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win League One table

Bolton have played 42 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 37 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 13 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. Bolton have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 43 goals.

Home League Performance

Bolton have played 20 games at home winning 12, drawing 7 and losing 1 game. They have scored 36 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Stevenage are in 6th position in the League One on 67 points having played 41 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Stevenage have conceded 7 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bolton Stevenage
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lincoln	42	28	9	5	43	93	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Apr 18	l 1-0A
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	34	81	w 1-0F	l 2-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
3	Bradford	42	21	8	13	6	71	d 0-00-0	Apr 25	d 1-1A	w 0-1F
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	15	70	-	-	d 0-00-0	Apr 14
5	Stockport	40	19	10	11	9	67	d 2-2F	l 2-0A	w 2-1A	w 1-3F
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	5	67	Apr 14	d 0-00-0	-	-
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	8	63	w 2-0F	w 1-2F	d 1-1F	l 1-0A
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	9	62	Apr 18	w 1-2A	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	7	62	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	7	61	May 2	d 1-1F	w 2-0F	l 2-1F
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	12	60	w 3-2A	l 2-1F	w 1-0F	l 3-1A
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	-2	54	w 3-2F	d 1-1A	Apr 21	l 3-1A
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	7	53	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	d 1-1A	d 1-1F
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	-21	53	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	Apr 25
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	-10	52	w 4-1F	w 0-1F	May 2	d 0-00-0
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	2	51	w 2-1F	l 3-1A	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	-10	51	w 2-1F	l 3-0A	d 2-2A	w 0-1F
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	-14	51	d 2-2F	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	w 2-3A
19	L Orient	42	14	8	20	-9	50	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	l 1-2F	w 2-3A
20	AFC Wim	42	14	8	20	-14	50	w 3-0F	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	-8	47	w 2-1A	w 1-5F	w 2-1F	l 3-0A
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	-26	37	w 2-1F	d 2-2A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	-26	35	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	w 2-0F	l 3-1A
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	-24	34	w 4-0F	l 1-0A	w 2-1A	w 1-2A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Bolton have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games

Stevenage have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton	2 - 2	Stockport
Bolton	0 - 0	Doncaster
Bolton	3 - 2	Wycombe
Bolton	2 - 2	Blackpool
Bolton	3 - 2	Barnsley
Bolton	2 - 1	Burton
Bolton	2 - 1	L Orient
Bolton	0 - 0	Northampton
Bolton	0 - 1	Mansfield
Bolton	2 - 1	Rotherham
Bolton	2 - 1	Exeter
Bolton	0 - 0	Bradford
Bolton	4 - 0	Port Vale
Bolton	1 - 0	Cardiff
Bolton	2 - 1	Peterborough
Bolton	4 - 1	Wigan
Bolton	3 - 0	AFC Wim
Bolton	1 - 1	Lincoln
Bolton	1 - 1	Reading
Bolton	2 - 0	Plymouth

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bolton	0 - 2	Cardiff
H	Bolton	2 - 2	Stockport
A	Bolton	2 - 1	Plymouth
A	Bolton	0 - 1	Port Vale
H	Bolton	0 - 0	Doncaster
A	Bolton	2 - 2	Rotherham
H	Bolton	3 - 2	Wycombe
A	Bolton	5 - 1	Exeter
H	Bolton	2 - 2	Blackpool
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Reading
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Lincoln
H	Bolton	3 - 2	Barnsley
A	Bolton	1 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Bolton	2 - 1	Burton
H	Bolton	2 - 1	L Orient
A	Bolton	0 - 0	Stevenage
A	Bolton	1 - 0	Wigan
A	Bolton	1 - 3	Peterborough
H	Bolton	0 - 0	Northampton
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Doncaster

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bradford	0 - 1	Stevenage
Rotherham	0 - 0	Stevenage
Plymouth	1 - 0	Stevenage
Burton	0 - 1	Stevenage
Wycombe	3 - 1	Stevenage
Northampton	3 - 1	Stevenage
Barnsley	3 - 1	Stevenage
Exeter	3 - 0	Stevenage
Luton	2 - 1	Stevenage
Cardiff	2 - 1	Stevenage
AFC Wim	0 - 0	Stevenage
Stockport	1 - 3	Stevenage
Wigan	0 - 0	Stevenage
Peterborough	0 - 1	Stevenage
Reading	1 - 0	Stevenage
Lincoln	1 - 0	Stevenage
L Orient	2 - 3	Stevenage
Mansfield	1 - 1	Stevenage
Huddersfield	1 - 0	Stevenage
Port Vale	1 - 2	Stevenage

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Stevenage	1 - 0	Bradford
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Stevenage	0 - 0	Rotherham
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	Reading
A	Stevenage	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Stevenage	1 - 2	L Orient
A	Stevenage	1 - 0	Burton
H	Stevenage	2 - 1	Stockport
A	Stevenage	1 - 3	Wycombe
H	Stevenage	2 - 1	Port Vale
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	Huddersfield
A	Stevenage	1 - 3	Northampton
A	Stevenage	1 - 3	Barnsley
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	Peterborough
H	Stevenage	1 - 1	Mansfield
H	Stevenage	0 - 0	Bolton
A	Stevenage	0 - 3	Exeter
A	Stevenage	1 - 2	Luton
H	Stevenage	1 - 1	Plymouth

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bolton have not lost to Stevenage in 7 consecutive league meetings

Bolton

Stevenage

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

BOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bolton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bolton	3 - 2
Bolton	1 - 0

Stevenage

Bolton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

BOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stevenage
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 4	Bolton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Bolton

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Stevenage of late. It has been 8 League One games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Bolton Wanderers.

	Bolton 4th	Stevenage 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 81% probability that Bolton will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Stevenage scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Bolton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-21 Stevenage have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

better

BOL

STV

view stats

Games scored	32		30
Failed to score	10		11
Scored first	20		19
Goals scored	59		43
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	12		14
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+7%

BOL

STV

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	31		24
Clean sheets	11		17
Conceded first	18		17
Goals conceded	44		38
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	15%		14%
Avg. XG against	1		1.1
KickOff rating		+12%

Bolton v Stevenage League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Bolton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
40	11	8	9
G Johnston	M Burstow	A Cozier-Duberry	J Sheehan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Burstow FWD	41	11	3	3 -
G Johnston DEF	40	1		7 -
S Dalby FWD	39	10	4	2 -
M Conway DEF	38		2	2 -
J Sheehan MID	34	3	4	9 -
E Toal DEF	33	2	2	1 -
J Osei-Tutu DEF	33	1	1	6 -
X Simons MID	32	1		3 1
T Gale FWD	32	5	2	2 -
E Erhahon MID	30		3	4 -
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	30	6	8	1 -
K Dempsey MID	26	3	2	4 -
C Forino DEF	24	1		5 -
I Cissoko FWD	23	1		3 -
C Christie DEF	20		1	2 -
J McAtee FWD	20	2	1	2 1
M Forss FWD	18	2		1 -
J Bonham GLK	17			-
R Apter FWD	12		1	-
J Kenny FWD	10	3	3	2 -
R Rodrigues MID	8	1	1	1 -
R Taylor DEF	7			1 -
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	7	2	1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	26	8	10
M Burstow	A Cozier-Duberry	A Cozier-Duberry	A Cozier-Duberry

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Burstow FWD	11	25	3	4
S Dalby FWD	10	20	4	8
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	6	26	8	10
T Gale FWD	5	21	2	6
J Sheehan MID	3	12	4	4
K Dempsey MID	3	8	2	3
J Kenny FWD	3	9	3	4
E Toal DEF	2	6	2	1
J McAtee FWD	2	9	1	2
M Forss FWD	2	8
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	2	7	1	3
G Johnston DEF	1	5		2
J Osei-Tutu DEF	1	7	1	1
X Simons MID	1	6		1
C Forino DEF	1	7		2
I Cissoko FWD	1	5		1
R Rodrigues MID	1	1	1	3
M Conway DEF		7	2	8
E Erhahon MID			3	3
C Christie DEF		5	1	3
R Apter FWD		7	1	1
R Taylor DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2682	74	251
G Johnston	J Osei-Tutu	G Johnston

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Johnston DEF	2682	44	251
E Toal DEF	2004	35	176
M Conway DEF	1602	72	249
J Sheehan MID	1548	34	106
C Forino DEF	1192	35	189
X Simons MID	1082	39	91
E Erhahon MID	957	57	122
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	874	39	122
J Osei-Tutu DEF	799	74	213
J Bonham GLK	695	1	11
C Christie DEF	647	18	75
M Burstow FWD	545	22	109
S Dalby FWD	521	25	194
K Dempsey MID	489	34	88
T Gale FWD	399	13	64
I Cissoko FWD	257	11	71
J McAtee FWD	218	16	41
R Apter FWD	179	10	27
M Forss FWD	153	13	33
R Rodrigues MID	107	6	20
J Kenny FWD	81	5	27
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	81		7
R Taylor DEF	73	4	13

Stevenage League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
40	13	7	10
F Marschall	J Reid	H White	C Piergianni

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Marschall GLK	40			1 -
H White MID	39	4	7	8 -
J Reid FWD	39	13	3	5 -
D Kemp MID	38	5	3	5 -
C Piergianni DEF	37	3		10 -
C Goode DEF	36	1		10 -
J Houghton MID	34		1	6 -
J Roberts MID	34	2	1	5 -
D Phillips MID	33	1	1	9 -
L Freestone DEF	32	2		10 -
L James-Wildin DEF	32	1	2	1 -
B Lubala FWD	28		1	3 -
C Campbell FWD	27	4		1 -
L Thompson MID	26	1		3 -
P Patterson FWD	25	1	2	1 -
J Pattenden DEF	24			-
D Sweeney DEF	24	1		6 -
S Earley DEF	14			3 -
D Butler DEF	13		1	2 -
G Ahadme FWD	13	1		-
M Phillips FWD	12	1		-
H Cornick FWD	8	1		1 -
T Ashby-Hammond GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	36	7	12
J Reid	J Reid	H White	H White

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Reid FWD	13	36	3	5
D Kemp MID	5	12	3	5
H White MID	4	10	7	12
C Campbell FWD	4	8		2
C Piergianni DEF	3	14		6
J Roberts MID	2	10	1	4
L Freestone DEF	2	5
C Goode DEF	1	6		1
D Phillips MID	1	2	1	1
L James-Wildin DEF	1	3	2	2
L Thompson MID	1	3		1
P Patterson FWD	1	7	2	5
D Sweeney DEF	1	3		3
G Ahadme FWD	1	3
M Phillips FWD	1	9
H Cornick FWD	1	1
J Houghton MID			1	1
B Lubala FWD		11	1
J Pattenden DEF		3
S Earley DEF		1		1
D Butler DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1439	70	334
H White	L Freestone	C Piergianni

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H White MID	1439	50	145
F Marschall GLK	1334		32
C Piergianni DEF	1329	33	334
C Goode DEF	1042	38	283
L James-Wildin DEF	950	69	145
L Freestone DEF	903	70	239
D Phillips MID	654	54	123
J Houghton MID	568	56	121
D Kemp MID	541	28	93
D Sweeney DEF	521	20	115
J Roberts MID	484	41	173
J Reid FWD	411	9	130
J Pattenden DEF	341	22	74
L Thompson MID	332	31	94
D Butler DEF	292	16	52
S Earley DEF	273	37	78
C Campbell FWD	261	16	79
P Patterson FWD	223	15	37
B Lubala FWD	190	15	74
M Phillips FWD	164	7	44
G Ahadme FWD	117	3	53
H Cornick FWD	51	1	13
T Ashby-Hammond GLK	34