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Burton Albion v Bolton Wanderers : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Oct, 15:00 BST, Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Saturday afternoon sees Gary Bowyer’s Burton Albion and Steven Schumacher’s Bolton Wanderers go up against one another in a League One clash at the Pirelli Stadium. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 79% chance of Burton and Bolton a maximum of 3 goals combined during this League One fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Bolton coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burton
25%
4.33
4%
4.50
6%
Draw
27%
3.90
3%
3.90
Bolton
48%
1.70
2%
1.73
4%
Bolton 1-0
13%
7.507.00
Draw 1-1
13%
7.50
7%
7.00
Draw 0-0
9%
12.00
9%
10.00
Bolton 2-0
9%
8.508.00
7%
Burton 1-0
9%
13.0011.00
Bolton 2-1
9%
8.507.50
Burton 2-1
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Bolton 3-0
4%
13.0012.00
9%
Burton 2-0
4%
23.0017.00
11%
Draw 2-2
4%
15.0013.00
Bolton 3-1
4%
13.0011.00
Bolton 3-2
2%
26.0019.00
Burton 3-1
2%
34.0026.00
Bolton 4-0
2%
26.00
10%
19.00
Bolton 4-1
1%
26.00
10%
21.00
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
1.80
3%
1.80
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
2.00
3%
1.95
Home 1st Goal
42%
2.602.70
2%
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.571.57
3%
No 1st Goal
6%
12.00
9%
10.00
BTTS - Yes
46%
1.801.80
BTTS - No
54%
1.951.95
BTTS - Home Win
10%
8.507.50
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.004.80
BTTS - Away Win
18%
3.60
4%
3.40
3%
Home/draw
52%
2.052.05
5%
Away/draw
75%
1.20
2%
1.20
2%
Home/away
73%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1.251.25
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
3.753.60
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
3.00
8%
2.90
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1.36
2%
1.36
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
6.005.25
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.131.13
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
13.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.041.04
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.04
1%
1.04
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13.00
18%
10.00
Home DNB
44%
3.403.25
7%
Away DNB
67%
1.301.30
4%
Burton win to nil
15%
8.00-
Bolton win to nil
29%
3.00-
Burton / Burton
11%
8.00
7%
6.50
7%
Burton / Bolton
4%
21.0017.00
Burton / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Burton
9%
9.509.00
5%
Draw / Bolton
17%
4.754.50
2%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
Bolton / Burton
3%
34.0029.00
Bolton / Bolton
31%
2.63
4%
2.60
4%
Bolton / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win League One table

Burton have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Burton have conceded 15 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burton have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Bolton lay in 9th place on 17 points in the League One league table having played 11 matches. Bolton are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Bolton have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Bolton have played 5 away games, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burton
Bolton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Stevenage10811925 
Mar 7
Dec 20
Mar 28
Nov 15
2
Bradford11731724 
Mar 21
Nov 8
Nov 22
Apr 25
3
Cardiff117221023 
Jan 31
w
 
0-1F
Oct 25
Apr 11
4
Lincoln11632721 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
5
AFC Wim11704421 
Apr 11
Oct 25
w
 
3-0F
Jan 31
6
Huddersfield11614419 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Oct 16
7
Stockport11542319 
Feb 14
l
 
2-1F
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
8
Barnsley10523217 
Apr 3
l
 
3-2F
Feb 7
d
 
1-1A
9
Bolton11452517 
Oct 11
Jan 27
-
-
10
Doncaster11524-117 
Jan 10
d
 
1-1A
Mar 17
Jan 1
11
Luton11515116 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
May 2
Nov 29
12
Mansfield11434215 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
Dec 29
Dec 9
13
Northampton10424-114 
Dec 26
Mar 14
Jan 4
l
 
2-0A
14
Wigan11344-113 
Dec 29
Dec 9
w
 
4-1F
Jan 17
15
Plymouth11416-313 
l
 
0-4A
Jan 4
w
 
2-0F
Apr 3
16
Port Vale11335012 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 7
Nov 8
Mar 21
17
Exeter11407-112 
Apr 25
Nov 22
Dec 13
Feb 28
18
L Orient11326-611 
Nov 29
May 2
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
19
Reading10244-410 
Mar 17
Jan 1
d
 
1-1F
Feb 17
20
Burton10235-89 
-
-
Jan 27
Oct 11
21
Wycombe11236-29 
Dec 13
Feb 28
Mar 7
Dec 20
22
Rotherham10226-68 
Feb 17
-
Dec 26
Mar 14
23
Blackpool11227-98 
Nov 15
Mar 28
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
24
Peterborough11218-127 
Oct 18
Apr 18
w
 
2-1F
Jan 10
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Burton have lost 3 consecutive home league games
8
Bolton have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
4
Burton have failed to score in 4 consecutive home league games
Burton 20TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burton0 - 4Plymouth
Burton0 - 1Lincoln
Burton0 - 3Luton
Burton0 - 0Port Vale
Burton2 - 1Mansfield
Burton1 - 1Wigan
Burton2 - 1Cambridge
Burton1 - 2Birmingham
Burton3 - 0Huddersfield
Burton2 - 1L Orient
Burton1 - 2Bolton
Burton1 - 1Mansfield
Burton1 - 1Blackpool
Burton3 - 2Reading
Burton4 - 2Rotherham
Burton0 - 1Northampton
Burton2 - 2Peterborough
Burton1 - 2Exeter
Burton0 - 1Wrexham
Burton0 - 1Charlton
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurton1 - 1Doncaster
ABurton1 - 0Cardiff
HBurton0 - 4Plymouth
ABurton0 - 0Huddersfield
HBurton0 - 1Lincoln
HBurton0 - 3Luton
ABurton1 - 2Stockport
HBurton0 - 0Port Vale
ABurton2 - 3Barnsley
HBurton2 - 1Mansfield
ABurton1 - 3Charlton
HBurton1 - 1Wigan
HBurton2 - 1Cambridge
HBurton1 - 2Birmingham
ABurton0 - 0Exeter
HBurton3 - 0Huddersfield
ABurton0 - 3Wrexham
HBurton2 - 1L Orient
ABurton1 - 2Stockport
ABurton2 - 0Shrewsbury
Bolton 9TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Northampton2 - 0Bolton
L Orient1 - 1Bolton
Blackpool1 - 1Bolton
Barnsley1 - 1Bolton
Stockport2 - 0Bolton
Peterborough1 - 1Bolton
Lincoln4 - 2Bolton
Barnsley4 - 1Bolton
Wigan0 - 1Bolton
Blackpool2 - 1Bolton
Bristol R3 - 2Bolton
Burton1 - 2Bolton
Wrexham0 - 0Bolton
Shrewsbury2 - 3Bolton
Reading1 - 0Bolton
Huddersfield0 - 1Bolton
Rotherham3 - 1Bolton
Exeter1 - 2Bolton
Mansfield2 - 1Bolton
Wycombe0 - 0Bolton
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBolton2 - 1Peterborough
ABolton0 - 2Northampton
HBolton4 - 1Wigan
ABolton1 - 1L Orient
HBolton3 - 0AFC Wim
ABolton1 - 1Blackpool
HBolton1 - 1Lincoln
HBolton1 - 1Reading
ABolton1 - 1Barnsley
HBolton2 - 0Plymouth
ABolton0 - 2Stockport
HBolton1 - 1Stevenage
ABolton1 - 1Peterborough
ABolton2 - 4Lincoln
HBolton0 - 2Wycombe
ABolton1 - 4Barnsley
HBolton0 - 1Rotherham
HBolton1 - 0Bristol R
ABolton1 - 0Wigan
ABolton1 - 2Blackpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bolton have beaten Burton in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
Bolton have not lost to Burton in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Burton since 2018
Burton
Bolton
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
BAL
2
D
3
BOL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
1 - 2Bolton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burton3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Burton2 - 0
League games at Bolton since 2017
Bolton
Burton
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
BAL
2
D
1
BOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bolton
Bolton2 - 1
Bolton1 - 0
Bolton2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
3 - 4Burton
0 - 1Burton
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Burton Albion of late. It has been 7 League One games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Bolton Wanderers.

Burton 20th Bolton 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Burton scoring 1 goal or less
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Bolton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Burton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-22
Bolton have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Burton
PG (predicted goals)
Bolton
1
1.4
Attack rating
BAL
BOL
40%
better
view stats
Games scored5
9
Failed to score5
2
Scored first4
5
Goals scored7
16
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal12
8
Conversion rate for8
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
10%
better
BAL
BOL
view stats
Games conceded7
9
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded15
11
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
22%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.8
KickOff rating
+10%

Burton v Bolton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Burton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10312
K LofthouseC WebsterK LofthouseK Lofthouse
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lofthouse DEF101
2
-
T Sibbick DEF10
-
C Webster MID1031
1
-
J Beesley FWD1011
1
-
U Godwin-Malife DEF91
2
-
J Armer DEF9
1
-
J McKiernan MID91
2
-
T Shade FWD91
-
F Tavares FWD911
-
S Revan DEF8
1
-
D Willis DEF7
-
K Chauke MID7
-
J Amissah GLK5
-
A Hartridge DEF5
1
-
G Evans MID5
2
-
J. Larsson FWD5
-
B Collins GLK4
-
F Delap DEF4
1
-
J Moon DEF4
1
-
J Sraha DEF3
-
N. Akoto DEF2
-
K. Dudek GLK1
-
J. Taroni DEF1
-
C Gilligan MID1
-
Bolton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11733
T Sharman-LoweM BurstowA Cozier-DuberryC Forino
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Sharman-Lowe GLK11
1
-
M Conway DEF111
1
-
X Simons MID11
1
-
M Burstow FWD117
2
-
A Cozier-Duberry FWD1123
-
T Gale FWD1111
1
-
G Johnston DEF10
2
-
E Erhahon  MID101
1
-
J Dacres-Cogley DEF91
1
-
A Morley MID9
1
-
J Sheehan MID92
2
-
I Cissoko FWD9
-
J Randall MID81
-
S Dalby FWD8
-
C Forino DEF7
3
-
E Toal DEF61
-
J McAtee FWD61
-
M Forss FWD52
-
J Osei-Tutu DEF4
-
R Taylor DEF2
-
C Christie DEF11
-