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Exeter City v Luton Town : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 1st Jan, 15:00 BST, St James Park, Exeter

Exeter City and Luton Town go head to head at the St James Park on Thursday afternoon, with both Gary Caldwell and Jack Wilshere hoping for success in the League One. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Exeter
46%
--
Draw
25%
--
Luton
29%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Exeter 1-0
10%
--
Exeter 2-1
9%
--
Exeter 2-0
8%
--
Luton 1-0
7%
--
Luton 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Exeter 3-1
5%
--
Luton 2-0
4%
--
Exeter 3-0
4%
--
Exeter 3-2
3%
--
Luton 3-1
3%
--
Luton 3-2
2%
--
Exeter 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Exeter win to nil
24%
--
Luton win to nil
14%
--
Win / draw / win League One table

Exeter have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Exeter have conceded 17 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Exeter have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Luton lay in 7th place on 29 points in the League One league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Luton have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Luton have played 11 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Exeter
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Cardiff1913241641 
Mar 14
Dec 26
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
2
Bradford1910721037 
May 2
l
 
1-0A
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
3
Lincoln201055735 
Jan 10
w
 
0-1F
Jan 17
l
 
3-1A
4
Bolton199731034 
Feb 28
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 2
5
Stevenage181044934 
Jan 17
l
 
2-1A
Jan 10
l
 
2-0A
6
Stockport19955232 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
7
Luton21858-229 
Jan 1
Mar 17
-
-
8
Barnsley17845628 
Dec 20
Mar 7
Apr 25
l
 
5-0A
9
Huddersfield20848228 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 4
w
 
2-1F
Jan 27
10
AFC Wim19838-327 
w
 
1-0F
Dec 29
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
11
Wigan19685126 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
w
 
1-0F
Feb 17
12
Wycombe20677525 
Feb 17
w
 
0-1F
Dec 26
Mar 14
13
L Orient20749-125 
Mar 28
l
 
2-1F
Dec 29
d
 
1-1A
14
Reading20677-225 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 27
Mar 7
l
 
3-2A
15
Northampton19739-224 
Feb 14
l
 
2-0A
Apr 11
w
 
0-1F
16
Rotherham20668-424 
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 28
17
Mansfield19658-123 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 7
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
18
Burton19658-823 
-
Apr 25
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
19
Peterborough197111-422 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 21
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
20
Doncaster206410-1022 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 4
21
Plymouth207112-1122 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
l
 
2-3A
Jan 24
22
Exeter196211-220 
-
-
Mar 17
Jan 1
23
Blackpool205510-820 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 3
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
24
Port Vale193610-1015 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
d
 
2-2F
Feb 28
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Exeter 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
Luton 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Luton have not lost to Exeter in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Exeter since 2008
Exeter
Luton
Goals: Scored
4
9
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
D
2
LUT
3
League games at Luton since 2009
Luton
Exeter
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
EXE
2
D
1
LUT
2
Goal Statistics

Exeter City's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday afternoon, not least because Luton Town have conceded in each of their last 5 League One games. A PG of 1.6 for G. Caldwell's side suggests that run should continue.

Exeter 22nd Luton 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Exeter will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Exeter’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
Luton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Exeter
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
EXE
LUT
14%
better
view stats
Games scored12
15
Failed to score7
5
Scored first8
9
Goals scored18
24
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
1%
better
EXE
LUT
view stats
Games conceded14
12
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first11
10
Goals conceded20
25
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
20%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%

Exeter v Luton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Exeter League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19545
J WhitworthJ WarehamI NiskanenJ Fitzwater
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Whitworth GLK19
1
-
J McMillan DEF191
2
-
E Brierley MID191
2
-
I Niskanen MID194
3
-
J Wareham FWD1951
4
-
J Fitzwater DEF1811
5
-
J Aitchison MID171
1
-
E Turns DEF16
1
-
J Magennis FWD164
1
-
P Sweeney DEF13
4
-
R Cole MID1322
2
-
J Doyle-Hayes MID121
4
-
S Cox FWD111
1
-
A. Higgins FWD111
-
D Andrew DEF10
1
-
K McDonald MID91
-
E Francis MID8
-
J Yfeko DEF7
1
-
L Woodhouse DEF6
-
S Swinkels DEF5
2
-
T. Dean MID5
1
-
R Rydel DEF41
-
L. Oakes MID3
-
C Mendes FWD1
-
Luton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21446
J KeeleyG. KaduaL Walsh G Saville
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Keeley GLK21
3
-
K Naismith DEF211
2
-
G Saville MID2013
6
-
C Bramall DEF1921
1
-
M Andersen DEF172
3
-
G. Kadua FWD174
1
-
L Dabo MID1611
1
-
J Yates FWD162
1
-
N Wells FWD1611
1
-
M Alli FWD1612
3
-
Z Nelson MID1511
1
-
J Clark MID154
1
-
N Lonwijk DEF141
4
-
L Walsh  MID144
2
-
T Mengi DEF13
1
-
L Nordas FWD1111
-
C Makosso DEF10
1
-
S Morris FWD10
-
J. Richards MID821
-
J Brown FWD6
1
-
H Odoffin MID5
-
J Gbode FWD5
1
-
S Baptiste MID4
-
I Jones FWD411
-
R Walters DEF2
-
M Nakamba MID1
-
A Al-Hamadi FWD1
-
English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds
Northampton v AFC Wim
Fri 19th Dec, 19:45
Wigan v Blackpool
Sat 20th Dec, 12:30
Stevenage v Burton
Sat 20th Dec, 12:30
Mansfield v Stockport
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Lincoln v Cardiff
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
L Orient v Bradford
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Rotherham v Huddersfield
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Port Vale v Peterborough
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Exeter v Barnsley
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Doncaster v Plymouth
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Wycombe v Bolton
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Stockport v Lincoln
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
AFC Wim v Stevenage
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Barnsley v Mansfield
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Bradford v Wigan
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Cardiff v Exeter
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Plymouth v Reading
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Peterborough v L Orient
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Luton v Wycombe
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Burton v Northampton
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Blackpool v Doncaster
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Huddersfield v Port Vale
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Bolton v Rotherham
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Blackpool v Rotherham
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Bolton v Mansfield
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Burton v Wigan
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Plymouth v Wycombe
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Stockport v Doncaster
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Barnsley v Lincoln
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
AFC Wim v Exeter
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Bradford v Port Vale
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Cardiff v Stevenage
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Huddersfield v Northampton
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Luton v L Orient
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Peterborough v Reading
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Reading v Burton
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Mansfield v Bradford
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Lincoln v Huddersfield
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
L Orient v AFC Wim
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Doncaster v Bolton
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Wigan v Barnsley
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Port Vale v Blackpool
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Northampton v Stockport
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Wycombe v Cardiff
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Stevenage v Plymouth
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Exeter v Luton
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Rotherham v Peterborough
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00