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Luton Town v AFC Wimbledon : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 1st Aug, 20:00 BST, Kenilworth Road, Luton

The League One is the focus for both Luton Town and AFC Wimbledon on Friday night, as bosses Matt Gray and Johnnie Jackson face one another at the Kenilworth Road. Analysing both teams' last 20 League One matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Luton to win

As the stadium fills and the Luton players ready themselves for this clash, the bookies are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Kenilworth Road has not been an easy place to go for AFC Wim in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Friday night. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Luton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luton
61%
4/78/13
Draw
21%
14/516/5
AFC Wim
18%
4/117/4
Luton 1-0
11%
13/26/1
Luton 2-0
10%
7/113/2
Draw 1-1
10%
13/26/1
Luton 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Luton 3-0
7%
11/19/1
Luton 3-1
7%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/110/1
AFC Wim 1-0
5%
14/111/1
AFC Wim 2-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Luton 4-0
3%
22/116/1
Luton 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Luton 3-2
3%
22/118/1
AFC Wim 2-0
2%
28/120/1
AFC Wim 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/118/11
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
43/401/1
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/51/2
Away 1st Goal
40%
21/1019/10
No 1st Goal
3%
11/19/1
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
47%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
28%
12/511/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/215/2
Home/draw
82%
1/72/13
Away/draw
39%
6/55/4
Home/away
79%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/91/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/111/4
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/49/5
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/52/5
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/71/7
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Home DNB
76%
2/92/9
Away DNB
33%
3/111/4
Luton win to nil
33%
7/4-
AFC Wim win to nil
9%
9/1-
Luton / Luton
33%
7/57/5
Luton / AFC Wim
3%
33/128/1
Luton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Luton
18%
7/210/3
Draw / AFC Wim
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/119/4
AFC Wim / Luton
4%
20/116/1
AFC Wim / AFC Wim
10%
8/113/2
AFC Wim / Draw
5%
16/112/1
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Win / draw / win League One table
Won
Draw
Lost
Luton
AFC Wim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
AFC Wim000000 
Aug 1
Apr 6
-
-
2
Barnsley000000 
Apr 25
Nov 22
Aug 23
Feb 14
3
Blackpool000000 
Jan 31
Sep 6
Jan 10
Oct 4
4
Bolton000000 
Nov 29
May 2
Jan 31
Sep 6
5
Bradford000000 
Feb 7
Aug 16
Feb 21
Aug 30
6
Burton000000 
Feb 21
Aug 30
Oct 25
Apr 11
7
Cardiff000000 
Aug 23
Feb 14
Aug 19
Feb 17
8
Doncaster000000 
Sep 27
Jan 4
Jan 17
Sep 20
9
Exeter000000 
Mar 17
Jan 1
Dec 29
Dec 9
10
Huddersfield000000 
Oct 11
Jan 27
May 2
Nov 29
11
L Orient000000 
Dec 29
Dec 9
Mar 17
Jan 1
12
Lincoln000000 
Jan 17
Sep 20
Aug 9
Apr 3
13
Luton000000 
-
-
Apr 6
Aug 1
14
Mansfield000000 
Oct 18
Apr 18
Dec 13
Feb 28
15
Northampton000000 
Apr 11
Oct 25
Mar 7
Dec 20
16
Peterborough000000 
Apr 3
Aug 9
Mar 21
Nov 8
17
Plymouth000000 
Sep 13
Jan 24
Apr 18
Oct 18
18
Port Vale000000 
Dec 13
Feb 28
Oct 11
Jan 27
19
Reading000000 
Mar 7
Dec 20
Feb 7
Aug 16
20
Rotherham000000 
Nov 15
Mar 28
Sep 13
Jan 24
21
Stevenage000000 
Jan 10
Oct 4
Dec 26
Mar 14
22
Stockport000000 
Mar 21
Nov 8
Nov 15
Mar 28
23
Wigan000000 
Aug 19
Feb 17
Nov 22
Apr 25
24
Wycombe000000 
Dec 26
Mar 14
Sep 27
Jan 4
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
AFC Wim have won 4 consecutive league games
4
AFC Wim have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games
Luton
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton1 - 0Coventry
Luton3 - 1Bristol C
Luton0 - 1Blackburn
Luton1 - 1Leeds
Luton0 - 0M'Boro
Luton1 - 0Portsmouth
Luton1 - 1Plymouth
Luton0 - 1Sheff Utd
Luton0 - 1Millwall
Luton0 - 0Preston
Luton0 - 1Norwich
Luton2 - 1Derby
Luton2 - 1Stoke
Luton1 - 1Swansea
Luton1 - 0Hull
Luton1 - 0Cardiff
Luton1 - 1West Brom
Luton1 - 2Sunderland
Luton3 - 0Watford
Luton2 - 2Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALuton3 - 5West Brom
HLuton1 - 0Coventry
HLuton3 - 1Bristol C
ALuton1 - 0Derby
HLuton0 - 1Blackburn
ALuton1 - 1Stoke
HLuton1 - 1Leeds
ALuton1 - 0Hull
HLuton0 - 0M'Boro
ALuton2 - 1Cardiff
ALuton0 - 4Burnley
HLuton1 - 0Portsmouth
ALuton0 - 2Watford
HLuton1 - 1Plymouth
HLuton0 - 1Sheff Utd
ALuton0 - 2Sunderland
ALuton1 - 1Sheff Wed
HLuton0 - 1Millwall
ALuton2 - 3Oxford Utd
HLuton0 - 0Preston
AFC Wim
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Notts C0 - 1AFC Wim
Grimsby0 - 1AFC Wim
Gillingham1 - 0AFC Wim
Doncaster1 - 1AFC Wim
Swindon2 - 1AFC Wim
Walsall1 - 1AFC Wim
Carlisle1 - 2AFC Wim
Morecambe1 - 0AFC Wim
Colchester1 - 1AFC Wim
Fleetwood0 - 0AFC Wim
Accrington0 - 0AFC Wim
Crewe1 - 1AFC Wim
MK Dons0 - 0AFC Wim
Newport1 - 2AFC Wim
Chesterfield1 - 0AFC Wim
Harrogate0 - 3AFC Wim
Tranmere0 - 2AFC Wim
Barrow1 - 3AFC Wim
Port Vale3 - 2AFC Wim
Notts C1 - 0AFC Wim
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAFC Wim1 - 0Walsall
HAFC Wim1 - 0Notts C
AAFC Wim1 - 0Notts C
AAFC Wim1 - 0Grimsby
HAFC Wim0 - 2Port Vale
AAFC Wim0 - 1Gillingham
HAFC Wim0 - 0Chesterfield
AAFC Wim1 - 1Doncaster
HAFC Wim1 - 0Harrogate
AAFC Wim1 - 2Swindon
AAFC Wim1 - 1Walsall
HAFC Wim2 - 2Barrow
AAFC Wim2 - 1Carlisle
HAFC Wim1 - 2Cheltenham
HAFC Wim2 - 0Notts C
AAFC Wim0 - 1Morecambe
HAFC Wim0 - 1Bromley
AAFC Wim1 - 1Colchester
AAFC Wim0 - 0Fleetwood
HAFC Wim1 - 0Salford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Luton since 2014
Luton
AFC Wim
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
LUT
1
D
1
AFW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Draw2 - 2Draw
Luton2 - 0
0 - 1AFC Wim
League games at AFC Wim since 2015
AFC Wim
Luton
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
LUT
1
AFW
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AFC Wim
0 - 2Luton
AFC Wim4 - 1
AFC Wim3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for AFC Wimbledon of late. It has been 11 League One games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday night against Luton Town.

Luton AFC Wim
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Luton will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of AFC Wim scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Luton have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
AFC Wim’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/306107/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Luton
PG (predicted goals)
AFC Wim
2
1
Attack rating
0%
better
LUT
AFW
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
LUT
AFW
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Luton v AFC Wim League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Shea  GLK
-
N Lonwijk DEF
-
T Holmes DEF
-
K Naismith DEF
-
J Johnson DEF
-
M McGuinness DEF
-
R Walters DEF
-
T Mengi DEF
-
C Makosso DEF
-
M Andersen DEF
-
T Lockyer DEF
-
M Nakamba MID
-
T Chong MID
-
J. Richards MID
-
G Saville MID
-
Z Nelson MID
-
S Baptiste MID
-
L Walsh  MID
-
A Doughty MID
-
L Dabo MID
-
J Clark MID
-
N Wells FWD
-
J Bowler FWD
-
I Jones FWD
-
L Nordas FWD
-
M Alli FWD
-
J Brown FWD
-
E Adebayo FWD
-
AFC Wim League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Bishop GLK
-
O Goodman GLK
-
J Furlong DEF
-
R Johnson DEF
-
R Harbottle DEF
-
I Ogundere DEF
-
J Lewis DEF
-
A Smith MID
-
S Hutchinson MID
-
M Hippolyte MID
-
J Reeves MID
-
C Maycock MID
-
O. Foyo MID
-
H. Sidwell MID
-
J Pigott FWD
-
O Bugiel FWD
-
A Sasu FWD
-
M Browne FWD
-
J Kelly FWD
-
M Stevens FWD
-
English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds
Luton v AFC Wim
Fri 1st Aug, 20:00