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Northampton Town v Rotherham United : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Oct, 14:00 BST, Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

Omar Lepri and Mattew Hamshaw clash in the League One on Saturday afternoon, as Northampton Town face Rotherham United at the Sixfields Stadium. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we're not predicting a thriller here. The statistics suggest Northampton and Rotherham both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Northampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Northampton
58%
2.10
5%
2.20
2%
Draw
27%
3.403.30
Rotherham
15%
3.40
6%
3.30
3%
Northampton 1-0
20%
6.506.50
Draw 0-0
14%
8.507.50
Northampton 2-0
14%
9.50
5%
8.50
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
6.506.00
Rotherham 1-0
8%
8.50
6%
8.00
7%
Northampton 2-1
8%
9.508.00
Northampton 3-0
6%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Northampton 3-1
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Rotherham 2-1
3%
12.0010.00
Northampton 4-0
2%
41.0029.00
15%
Rotherham 2-0
2%
17.00
13%
13.00
Draw 2-2
2%
17.0013.00
Northampton 4-1
1%
41.0029.00
Northampton 3-2
1%
34.0023.00
Northampton 5-0
1%
101.0061.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
2.202.15
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
1.651.65
2%
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.80
2%
1.80
3%
Away 1st Goal
32%
2.30
2%
2.30
No 1st Goal
11%
8.507.50
BTTS - Yes
32%
1.951.91
2%
BTTS - No
68%
1.801.80
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5.004.60
BTTS - Draw
13%
5.00
5%
4.50
BTTS - Away Win
4%
7.50
7%
6.50
Home/draw
85%
1.30
4%
1.33
Away/draw
42%
1.70
2%
1.67
3%
Home/away
73%
1.301.33
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
1.401.40
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
2.752.88
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
4.003.90
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1.221.22
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
9.007.50
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1.071.07
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
21.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.021.01
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1.071.07
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
8.507.50
Home DNB
77%
1.53
6%
1.53
3%
Away DNB
34%
2.38
8%
2.30
2%
Northampton win to nil
43%
3.40
3%
-
Rotherham win to nil
11%
5.50
10%
-
Northampton / Northampton
23%
3.50
7%
3.40
3%
Northampton / Rotherham
3%
34.0026.00
Northampton / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Northampton
16%
5.00
9%
5.00
5%
Draw / Rotherham
11%
7.50
7%
7.00
Draw / Draw
17%
4.754.50
2%
Rotherham / Northampton
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
Rotherham / Rotherham
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
5%
Rotherham / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win League One table

Northampton have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 9 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Northampton have played 5 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 5 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 1 goal at home.

Rotherham are in 22nd position in the League One on 8 points having played 10 matches so far this season. Rotherham have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 3 games.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Rotherham have conceded 15 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Northampton
Rotherham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Stevenage10811925 
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
Apr 3
l
 
1-0A
2
Bradford11731724 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 3
d
 
2-2F
Jan 10
3
Cardiff117221023 
Nov 22
Apr 25
Feb 7
l
 
3-0A
4
Lincoln11632721 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 17
Nov 8
Mar 21
5
AFC Wim11704421 
Dec 19
Mar 7
Jan 24
l
 
2-1F
6
Huddersfield11614419 
Dec 9
Dec 29
Dec 20
Mar 7
7
Stockport11542319 
Jan 1
Mar 17
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
8
Barnsley10523217 
Mar 28
Nov 15
Apr 11
Oct 25
9
Bolton11452517 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
Mar 14
Dec 26
10
Doncaster11524-117 
Apr 18
Oct 18
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
11
Luton11515116 
Oct 25
Apr 11
Mar 28
Nov 15
12
Mansfield11434215 
Nov 8
Mar 21
Jan 4
l
 
2-1F
13
Northampton10424-114 
-
-
Jan 27
Oct 11
14
Wigan11344-113 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
Feb 14
15
Plymouth11416-313 
May 2
Nov 29
Feb 28
Dec 13
16
Port Vale11335012 
Jan 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
17
Exeter11407-112 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
18
L Orient11326-611 
Feb 21
w
 
0-1F
Oct 18
Apr 18
19
Reading10244-410 
Jan 31
Oct 21
Apr 25
Nov 22
20
Burton10235-89 
Mar 14
Dec 26
-
Feb 17
21
Wycombe11236-29 
Jan 17
l
 
2-0A
Nov 29
May 2
22
Rotherham10226-68 
Oct 11
Jan 27
-
-
23
Blackpool11227-98 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
Dec 9
Dec 29
24
Peterborough11218-127 
Feb 28
Dec 13
Jan 1
Mar 17
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Northampton have won 3 consecutive home league games
5
Rotherham have lost 5 consecutive away league games
8
Rotherham have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
3
Northampton have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Northampton 13TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Northampton2 - 0Bolton
Northampton1 - 0Blackpool
Northampton2 - 0Exeter
Northampton0 - 1Lincoln
Northampton0 - 0Bradford
Northampton1 - 1Wigan
Northampton4 - 1Shrewsbury
Northampton0 - 0Reading
Northampton0 - 2Rotherham
Northampton0 - 2Blackpool
Northampton1 - 1Birmingham
Northampton1 - 1Stockport
Northampton1 - 2Barnsley
Northampton2 - 1Bristol R
Northampton0 - 2Wrexham
Northampton3 - 2Huddersfield
Northampton0 - 1Lincoln
Northampton0 - 0Stevenage
Northampton0 - 5Charlton
Northampton2 - 1Peterborough
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANorthampton0 - 0Port Vale
HNorthampton2 - 0Bolton
ANorthampton0 - 2Wycombe
HNorthampton1 - 0Blackpool
ANorthampton1 - 0L Orient
HNorthampton2 - 0Exeter
HNorthampton0 - 1Lincoln
ANorthampton0 - 2Stevenage
HNorthampton0 - 0Bradford
ANorthampton1 - 3Wigan
HNorthampton1 - 1Wigan
ANorthampton0 - 3Crawley
HNorthampton4 - 1Shrewsbury
ANorthampton1 - 2Charlton
HNorthampton0 - 0Reading
ANorthampton4 - 0Peterborough
HNorthampton0 - 2Rotherham
ANorthampton1 - 1Cambridge
HNorthampton0 - 2Blackpool
HNorthampton1 - 1Birmingham
Rotherham 22ND
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mansfield2 - 1Rotherham
AFC Wim2 - 1Rotherham
Doncaster1 - 0Rotherham
Cardiff3 - 0Rotherham
Stevenage1 - 0Rotherham
Stevenage1 - 1Rotherham
Wigan1 - 0Rotherham
Stockport3 - 1Rotherham
Bolton0 - 1Rotherham
Northampton0 - 2Rotherham
Wrexham1 - 0Rotherham
Bristol R2 - 3Rotherham
Reading2 - 1Rotherham
Blackpool0 - 0Rotherham
Birmingham2 - 1Rotherham
Burton4 - 2Rotherham
Huddersfield0 - 0Rotherham
Lincoln0 - 1Rotherham
Mansfield1 - 0Rotherham
Crawley1 - 0Rotherham
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRotherham2 - 2Bradford
ARotherham1 - 2Mansfield
HRotherham0 - 1Stockport
ARotherham1 - 2AFC Wim
HRotherham1 - 0Exeter
ARotherham0 - 1Doncaster
HRotherham2 - 2Wigan
ARotherham0 - 3Cardiff
ARotherham0 - 1Stevenage
HRotherham2 - 1Port Vale
HRotherham2 - 1Peterborough
ARotherham1 - 1Stevenage
ARotherham0 - 1Wigan
HRotherham3 - 3Mansfield
ARotherham1 - 3Stockport
ARotherham1 - 0Bolton
HRotherham2 - 1Blackpool
ARotherham2 - 0Northampton
HRotherham0 - 4Crawley
HRotherham2 - 3Wycombe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Rotherham have beaten Northampton in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
Rotherham have not lost to Northampton in 5 consecutive league meetings
4
Rotherham have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Northampton
League games at Northampton since 2007
Northampton
Rotherham
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
NHT
3
D
2
RTH
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Northampton
0 - 2Rotherham
0 - 3Rotherham
Northampton2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Northampton3 - 1
Northampton3 - 0
League games at Rotherham since 2006
Rotherham
Northampton
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
NHT
1
D
2
RTH
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rotherham
Rotherham3 - 0
Rotherham1 - 0
Rotherham3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Rotherham1 - 0
1 - 2Northampton
Goal Statistics
Northampton 13th Rotherham 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
4+
There is a 60% probability that Northampton will score no more than 1 goal
0
57%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 57% probability that Rotherham will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Northampton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-32
Rotherham have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Northampton
PG (predicted goals)
Rotherham
1.4
0.6
Attack rating
NHT
RTH
17%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score5
4
Scored first4
5
Goals scored7
9
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
13
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
44%
better
NHT
RTH
view stats
Games conceded4
9
Clean sheets6
1
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded8
15
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+44%

Northampton v Rotherham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Northampton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10222
T FornahC McGeehan D CampbellC McCarthy
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C McCarthy DEF10
2
-
T Fornah MID101
2
-
D Campbell MID102
-
C McGeehan  MID102
1
-
S Hoskins FWD102
1
-
E. Wheatley FWD101
1
-
L Burge GLK8
-
M Dyche DEF81
-
M. Forbes DEF81
-
T Taylor MID8
-
E List FWD8
1
-
N Guinness-Walker DEF72
1
-
J Burroughs DEF7
-
J Thorniley DEF7
2
-
J. Perkins MID7
1
-
J Wormleighton DEF4
1
-
T Eaves FWD4
-
J Vale FWD3
-
K Simon-Swyer FWD3
-
R Fitzsimons GLK2
-
J Willis DEF1
-
M Jacobs FWD1
-
Rotherham League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10224
C DawsonD HallR JamesZ Jules
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Dawson GLK10
1
-
R James DEF102
1
-
A Martha DEF9
1
-
D Hall DEF92
2
-
D. Gore MID9
2
-
J Powell MID9
1
-
J Hugill FWD92
2
-
Z Jules DEF8
3
1
M. Kaleta DEF81
-
J Rafferty DEF81
1
-
S McWilliams MID71
-
K Etete FWD7
1
-
J. Baptiste DEF6
2
-
D Yearwood MID6
-
L Kelly MID6
2
-
L. Agbaire DEF5
2
-
J Benson MID51
-
K Spence MID4
1
-
S Raggett DEF3
2
-
J Kayode FWD3
-
M. Sherif FWD32
-
J Holmes MID2
-
S Nombe FWD22
-
T Holmes DEF1
-