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Rotherham United v Luton Town : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham

Tuesday evening at the AESSEAL New York Stadium, and it’s a League One showdown between Rotherham United and Luton Town. Matthew Hamshaw and Jack Wilshere going all-out to claim the win. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.

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Rotherham United's next match is v Wycombe at 15:00 on Saturday 2nd May
Luton Town's next match is v Bolton at 15:00 on Saturday 2nd May
The last English League One meeting between Rotherham and Luton was on Tuesday 21st April 2026
English League One
April 21st 2026
Rotherham 0
2 Luton
 
8' K. Palmer
44' K. Palmer
 
RTH
LUT
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
5
6
Corners
2
6
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
13
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
RotherhamLuton
 
T. Cann
J. Rafferty
Z. Jules
J. Baptiste
S. Nombe
A. Martha (D. Hall 62')
E. Adegboyega
J. Clarke (J. Holmes 62')
D. Gore
C. Lee (D. Yearwood 46')
H. Gray
J. Keeley
K. Naismith
N. Lonwijk
(G. Kadua 61') D. van den Berg
(G. Saville 74') L. Walsh
H. Odofin
(J. Richards 61') S. Morris
(S. Hakami Sandal 86') E. Lawrence
J. Johnson
football iconfootball iconK. Palmer
(A. Al-Hamadi 73') N. Wells

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Rotherham and Luton combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 76% chance of it being right on the money. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Luton coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rotherham
25%
5/1750/1
Draw
26%
16/590/1
Luton
50%
1/21/300
Luton 1-0
12%
15/29/2
Draw 1-1
12%
7/17/1
Luton 2-0
9%
7/11/10
Luton 2-1
9%
15/214/1
Draw 0-0
8%
14/111/1
Rotherham 1-0
8%
18/112/1
Rotherham 2-1
6%
18/120/1
Luton 3-0
5%
10/18/1
Luton 3-1
5%
11/160/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1100/1
Rotherham 2-0
4%
33/122/1
Luton 3-2
2%
20/1100/1
Rotherham 3-1
2%
40/155/1
Luton 4-0
2%
18/170/1
Luton 4-1
2%
20/1250/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
8/135/1
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
5/41/9
Home 1st Goal
42%
15/821/10
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/92/5
No 1st Goal
5%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
49%
3/412/1
BTTS - No
51%
1/11/50
BTTS - Home Win
11%
10/1125/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/170/1
BTTS - Away Win
21%
2/112/1
Home/draw
50%
6/470/1
Away/draw
75%
1/81/1000
Home/away
74%
2/91/200
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/111/8
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
7/29/2
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
6/440/1
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/21/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/2100/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
2/111/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/161/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/331/40
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
14/111/1
Home DNB
43%
4/17/2
Away DNB
68%
1/61/6
Rotherham win to nil
14%
12/1-
Luton win to nil
29%
13/8-
Rotherham / Rotherham
9%
9/11/50
Rotherham / Luton
4%
18/11/50
Rotherham / Draw
5%
16/11/50
Draw / Rotherham
6%
12/133/1
Draw / Luton
19%
10/3100/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1150/1
Luton / Rotherham
2%
40/140/1
Luton / Luton
37%
5/41/100
Luton / Draw
6%
14/116/1
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Win / draw / win League One table

Rotherham have played 43 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

39 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 10 and won 7. Rotherham have conceded 61 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 18 matches and kept 10 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rotherham have played 21 games at home, winning 6, drawing 8 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 29 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Luton lay in 8th place on 65 points in the League One league table having played 43 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 8 and losing 7 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Luton have conceded 32 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Luton have played 21 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 10 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rotherham
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lincoln453010546100 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1A
2
Cardiff45271084191 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
3
Bolton45191881975 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 2
4
Stockport452111131174 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
5
Bradford45211113674 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
6
Stevenage45201213272 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
7
Luton452011141171 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
8
Plymouth45217171170 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
9
Huddersfield45171315664 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Reading45161514563 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-2A
11
Mansfield451517131162 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
12
Wycombe451612171060 
d
 
1-1A
May 2
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
13
Barnsley45151416-359 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
5-0A
14
Blackpool4516920-1257 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
15
Doncaster4516920-2157 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Wigan45141417-856 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
17
Peterborough4515822-253 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
18
Burton45131418-1053 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
19
AFC Wim4515822-1753 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
20
L Orient4514922-1251 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
21
Exeter45121320-849 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
1-0A
22
Port Vale45101223-2342 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
23
Rotherham45101124-2941 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
24
Northampton459828-3435 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Rotherham 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rotherham1 - 3Barnsley
Rotherham0 - 0Stevenage
Rotherham2 - 2Bolton
Rotherham0 - 0Mansfield
Rotherham1 - 0Plymouth
Rotherham1 - 2Doncaster
Rotherham0 - 3Cardiff
Rotherham2 - 1Northampton
Rotherham1 - 1AFC Wim
Rotherham0 - 2Peterborough
Rotherham1 - 3Huddersfield
Rotherham0 - 3Blackpool
Rotherham1 - 1Wycombe
Rotherham3 - 0Lincoln
Rotherham2 - 2Burton
Rotherham1 - 0L Orient
Rotherham2 - 2Bradford
Rotherham0 - 1Stockport
Rotherham1 - 0Exeter
Rotherham2 - 2Wigan
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARotherham2 - 0L Orient
ARotherham0 - 3Wigan
HRotherham1 - 3Barnsley
ARotherham0 - 1Port Vale
HRotherham0 - 0Stevenage
ARotherham0 - 3Lincoln
ARotherham0 - 5Peterborough
HRotherham2 - 2Bolton
ARotherham0 - 1Huddersfield
HRotherham0 - 0Mansfield
HRotherham1 - 0Plymouth
ARotherham0 - 1Bradford
HRotherham1 - 2Doncaster
ARotherham0 - 1Burton
HRotherham0 - 3Cardiff
ARotherham4 - 0Exeter
HRotherham2 - 1Northampton
HRotherham1 - 1AFC Wim
ARotherham2 - 3Stockport
HRotherham0 - 2Peterborough
Luton 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mansfield2 - 2Luton
AFC Wim0 - 3Luton
Wycombe1 - 2Luton
Doncaster1 - 1Luton
Port Vale1 - 1Luton
Wigan1 - 0Luton
Cardiff3 - 1Luton
Huddersfield1 - 0Luton
Plymouth1 - 0Luton
Exeter1 - 0Luton
Reading3 - 2Luton
L Orient1 - 1Luton
Barnsley5 - 0Luton
Stockport0 - 3Luton
Northampton0 - 1Luton
Stevenage2 - 0Luton
Blackpool2 - 2Luton
Lincoln3 - 1Luton
Burton0 - 3Luton
Bradford2 - 1Luton
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALuton2 - 2Mansfield
HLuton2 - 1Northampton
ALuton3 - 0AFC Wim
HLuton2 - 1Peterborough
HLuton1 - 1Stockport
HLuton3 - 2Exeter
ALuton2 - 1Wycombe
ALuton1 - 1Doncaster
HLuton2 - 3Reading
ALuton1 - 1Port Vale
HLuton1 - 1Burton
ALuton0 - 1Wigan
ALuton1 - 3Cardiff
HLuton2 - 1Bradford
HLuton1 - 0Blackpool
ALuton0 - 1Huddersfield
ALuton0 - 1Plymouth
HLuton2 - 2Lincoln
HLuton2 - 1Stevenage
ALuton0 - 1Exeter
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Luton have not lost to Rotherham in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Rotherham since 2008
Rotherham
Luton
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
RTH
1
LUT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rotherham
0 - 2Luton
0 - 1Luton
Rotherham1 - 0
League games at Luton since 2009
Luton
Rotherham
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
RTH
1
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 4Rotherham
Goal Statistics

Luton Town have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive League One matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Rotherham United on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Rotherham 23rd Luton 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Rotherham scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Luton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Rotherham have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-4
Luton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Rotherham
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1
1.5
Attack rating
RTH
LUT
32%
better
view stats
Games scored24
34
Failed to score19
9
Scored first15
21
Goals scored38
61
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
RTH
LUT
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded33
31
Clean sheets10
12
Conceded first25
21
Goals conceded65
53
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Rotherham v Luton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Rotherham League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3712310
J RaffertyS NombeD. GoreJ. Baptiste
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Cann GLK14
1
-
J Rafferty DEF4131
7
-
E Adegboyega DEF111
1
-
Z Jules DEF341
8
1
J. Baptiste DEF3611
9
1
D. Gore MID333
8
1
C. Lee MID4
1
-
A Martha MID4012
7
-
J. Clarke MID51
1
-
H. Gray MID193
4
-
S Nombe FWD30122
3
-
Subs
B. Childs GLK
-
H. Duncan DEF1
-
D Hall DEF2731
3
-
D Yearwood MID281
3
-
J Hugill FWD2721
4
-
J Holmes FWD11
-
G. Biancheri FWD11
-
Luton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
44979
J KeeleyG. KaduaL Walsh N Lonwijk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Keeley GLK
-
N Lonwijk DEF372
9
-
H Odoffin DEF161
1
-
K Naismith DEF3733
6
-
J Johnson DEF181
1
-
D Berg MID14
1
-
L Walsh  MID3217
5
-
S Morris MID3042
-
K Palmer MID1981
5
-
E. Lawrence MID1615
1
-
N Wells FWD3853
1
-
Subs
J Shea  GLK1
-
S. Hakami Sandal MID3
-
G Saville MID3825
8
-
J. Richards MID2652
2
-
A Al-Hamadi FWD1211
1
-
D Cole FWD12
-
G. Kadua FWD
-