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Accrington Stanley v Newport County : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Oct, 15:00 BST, Wham Stadium, Accrington

John Doolan's Accrington Stanley side enjoy home advantage in the League Two on Saturday afternoon, as John Hughes's Newport County visit the Wham Stadium. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head history, will update as you click through each of the betting markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Accrington or Newport are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Accrington are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Accrington
48%
1.801.85
Draw
25%
3.70
3%
3.60
3%
Newport
27%
4.20
3%
4.00
Draw 1-1
12%
7.006.50
7%
Accrington 1-0
11%
7.00
8%
6.50
7%
Accrington 2-1
9%
8.508.00
Accrington 2-0
9%
8.50
6%
8.00
6%
Newport 1-0
8%
12.00
9%
10.00
Draw 0-0
7%
11.00
16%
9.00
10%
Newport 2-1
7%
13.00
13%
12.00
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
8%
Accrington 3-1
5%
15.0013.00
8%
Accrington 3-0
4%
15.0013.00
8%
Newport 2-0
4%
21.0017.00
Accrington 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
11%
Newport 3-1
2%
34.0026.00
13%
Accrington 4-1
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
10%
Newport 3-2
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.95
3%
1.91
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.85
3%
1.80
8%
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.621.65
2%
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.502.60
4%
No 1st Goal
5%
11.00
16%
8.50
11%
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.831.85
6%
BTTS - No
47%
1.831.85
8%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4.003.80
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.004.60
BTTS - Away Win
13%
8.00
6%
7.00
8%
Home/draw
73%
1.22
2%
1.22
2%
Away/draw
52%
1.951.91
Home/away
75%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.29
1%
1.30
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3.50
3%
3.25
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.40
3%
3.20
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.30
1%
1.30
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6.50
7%
6.00
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.11
1%
1.11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.00
12%
12.00
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
1.05
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.00
16%
9.00
10%
Home DNB
66%
1.36
2%
1.36
Away DNB
44%
3.00
8%
2.90
1%
Accrington win to nil
26%
3.00-
Newport win to nil
14%
7.00-
Accrington / Accrington
28%
2.882.88
3%
Accrington / Newport
3%
34.0029.00
12%
Accrington / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Accrington
17%
4.754.60
4%
Draw / Newport
9%
9.008.00
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.00
5%
Newport / Accrington
4%
23.0019.00
12%
Newport / Newport
12%
7.00
7%
6.50
8%
Newport / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win League Two table

Accrington have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 20th place in the League Two league table. Accrington are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams below them in the table and have conceded in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below in the table, having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 10 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Accrington have played 4 games at home winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 4 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 5 goals at home.

Newport are in 24th position in the League Two on 5 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Newport have conceded 21 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Accrington
Newport
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall11812825 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 24
Nov 8
Mar 21
2
Swindon11803924 
Oct 18
Apr 18
l
 
0-1A
Jan 10
3
Grimsby116321021 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
4
Gillingham11632721 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
l
 
1-3F
Jan 17
5
Salford11614219 
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 17
6
MK Dons11533718 
Jan 17
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
Feb 14
7
Cambridge11533418 
Mar 7
Dec 19
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
8
Chesterfield11533118 
Mar 21
Nov 8
Jan 24
l
 
4-1A
9
Notts C11524717 
Mar 17
Jan 1
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
10
Barnet11524217 
Jan 10
l
 
2-0A
Dec 26
Mar 14
11
Bristol R11524017 
Nov 15
Mar 28
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
12
Crewe10514316 
Apr 3
l
 
2-0A
Dec 29
Dec 9
13
Bromley11362215 
Dec 13
Feb 28
Mar 17
Jan 1
14
Fleetwood11434-115 
Apr 11
Oct 25
Dec 13
Feb 28
15
Harrogate10424-114 
Dec 29
Dec 9
Apr 11
Oct 25
16
Oldham11353114 
Nov 29
May 2
Apr 25
Nov 22
17
Barrow11416-313 
Dec 26
Mar 14
Nov 29
May 2
18
Tranmere10253111 
-
Feb 17
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
19
Colchester11254011 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 4
Mar 7
Dec 20
20
Accrington10235-69 
-
-
Jan 27
Oct 11
21
Crawley11227-118 
Apr 25
Nov 22
Apr 3
w
 
1-2F
22
Cheltenham11218-187 
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
Oct 18
Apr 18
23
Shrewsbury11137-136 
Feb 21
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 28
Nov 15
24
Newport11128-115 
Oct 11
Jan 27
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Accrington 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Newport 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
5
Lost
14
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Accrington since 2014
Accrington
Newport
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
ASY
2
D
3
NEW
2
League games at Newport since 2013
Newport
Accrington
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
ASY
2
D
1
NEW
4
Goal Statistics

Accrington Stanley's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Newport County have conceded in each of their last 12 League Two matches. A PG of 1.6 for J. Doolan's side suggests that run should continue.

Accrington 20th Newport 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Accrington will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Newport will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Accrington’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Newport’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Accrington
PG (predicted goals)
Newport
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
ASY
NEW
23%
better
view stats
Games scored6
8
Failed to score3
2
Scored first3
4
Goals scored7
10
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
6
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
36%
better
ASY
NEW
view stats
Games conceded7
10
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded11
20
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
19%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+36%

Accrington v Newport League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Accrington League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10325
D MatthewsT WaltonC BrownD Matthews
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Matthews DEF10
5
-
I Sinclair MID102
1
-
C Caton FWD102
-
C Brown FWD92
2
-
B. Ward DEF8
1
-
L Coyle MID81
-
J Bauress MID8
1
-
O. Wright GLK7
-
D Love DEF7
4
-
T Walton MID731
2
-
A. Henderson MID71
2
-
S Conneely MID7
1
-
J Woods FWD7
-
J. Smith DEF5
1
-
I. Heath FWD51
1
-
P Madden FWD5
-
K Mooney FWD5
-
F Rawson DEF4
1
-
M Kelly GLK3
-
C Grant MID3
1
-
A. Popoola FWD3
-
L. Pye DEF2
-
D Martin MID1
-
Newport League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11214
N TzanevK. WhitmoreL. JenkinsK. Whitmore
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Tzanev GLK11
-
L. Jenkins DEF111
3
-
M Baker DEF1111
2
-
C Antwi MID11
-
M. Reindorf FWD111
2
-
B Kamwa FWD111
-
H. Ogunneye DEF101
1
-
T Davies DEF10
1
-
C Evans DEF9
2
-
M Spellman FWD911
2
-
K. Whitmore MID821
4
-
C Baker-Richardson FWD81
1
-
B Lloyd MID61
-
M Smith MID61
2
-
G Garner FWD61
-
J Clarke DEF5
-
S Braybroke MID5
-
N Opoku FWD521
-
J. Thomas DEF4
-
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF3
1
-
L Shephard DEF21
-
C Brennan DEF2
-
M. Alexander-Walker FWD1
-