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Bristol Rovers v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Oct, 15:00 BST, The Memorial Stadium, Bristol

Darrell Clarke welcomes Paul Warne to The Memorial Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as their Bristol Rovers and MK Dons sides clash in the League Two. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our expansive database and found the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Darrell Clarke and Paul Warne to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a flood of goals as Bristol R and MK Dons go head-to-head. The statistics belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.75 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of MK Dons coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bristol R 34%	2.38 17%	2.45
Draw 29%	3.30	3.40
MK Dons 38%	2.88 20%	2.75
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	6.00
MK Dons 1-0 12%	10.00 25%	8.50
Bristol R 1-0 11%	9.00 6%	8.00
Draw 0-0 10%	11.00 16%	9.00
MK Dons 2-1 8%	11.00 16%	9.00
Bristol R 2-1 7%	9.50 14%	8.50
MK Dons 2-0 7%	15.00 25%	12.00
Bristol R 2-0 6%	12.00 8%	11.00
Draw 2-2 4%	13.00 13%	11.00
MK Dons 3-1 3%	23.00 10%	17.00
MK Dons 3-0 3%	29.00 26%	21.00
Bristol R 3-1 3%	19.00 17%	15.00
Bristol R 3-0 2%	23.00 21%	19.00
MK Dons 3-2 2%	29.00	21.00
Bristol R 3-2 2%	26.00 24%	21.00
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	1.90 7%	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1.90 9%	1.85
Home 1st Goal 46%	1.83 13%	1.91
Away 1st Goal 48%	2.05 7%	2.05
No 1st Goal 7%	11.00 16%	9.00
BTTS - Yes 46%	1.67 7%	1.70
BTTS - No 54%	2.10 10%	2.05
BTTS - Home Win 13%	4.75 21%	4.40
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33 4%	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 15%	5.50 10%	5.00
Home/draw 62%	1.40 9%	1.44
Away/draw 66%	1.53 9%	1.53
Home/away 71%	1.33	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1.29 3%	1.29
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	3.50 8%	3.40
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	3.25 13%	3.10
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1.33 6%	1.33
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	6.50 19%	5.75
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.11 3%	1.11
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	13.00 24%	11.00
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.04 1%	1.03
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1.05 1%	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	11.00 16%	9.50
Home DNB 54%	1.73 14%	1.75
Away DNB 58%	2.00 16%	1.95
Bristol R win to nil 21%	4.33 4%	-
MK Dons win to nil 23%	5.50 38%	-
Bristol R / Bristol R 21%	4.00 16%	3.80
Bristol R / MK Dons 3%	29.00	23.00
Bristol R / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	12.00
Draw / Bristol R 14%	6.00 8%	5.75
Draw / MK Dons 13%	6.50 8%	6.00
Draw / Draw 16%	5.50 10%	4.80
MK Dons / Bristol R 3%	26.00 10%	21.00
MK Dons / MK Dons 18%	4.75 19%	4.20
MK Dons / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	12.00

Win / draw / win League Two table

Bristol R have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 3. Bristol R have conceded 6 goals, scored 6, scored in every game and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bristol R have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

MK Dons lay in 6th place on 18 points in the League Two league table having played 11 matches. MK Dons are unbeaten away after 5 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 14 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. MK Dons have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

MK Dons have played 5 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bristol R MK Dons
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Walsall	11	8	1	2	8	25	Jan 10	l 2-1F	l 0-1A	Feb 21
2	Swindon	11	8	0	3	9	24	Dec 13	Feb 28	Dec 26	Mar 14
3	Grimsby	11	6	3	2	10	21	Feb 21	w 0-1F	l 2-3A	Jan 31
4	Gillingham	11	6	3	2	7	21	Nov 8	Mar 21	w 3-2F	Jan 10
5	Salford	11	6	1	4	2	19	w 2-1A	Jan 24	Nov 15	Mar 28
6	MK Dons	11	5	3	3	7	18	Oct 11	Jan 27	-	-
7	Cambridge	11	5	3	3	4	18	w 1-0F	Feb 14	Dec 13	Feb 28
8	Chesterfield	11	5	3	3	1	18	Feb 7	l 3-1A	Jan 4	d 1-1F
9	Notts C	11	5	2	4	7	17	Nov 29	May 2	Dec 29	Dec 9
10	Barnet	11	5	2	4	2	17	Dec 29	Dec 9	Mar 21	Nov 8
11	Bristol R	11	5	2	4	0	17	-	-	Jan 27	Oct 11
12	Crewe	10	5	1	4	3	16	Mar 7	Dec 20	Oct 18	Apr 18
13	Bromley	11	3	6	2	2	15	Dec 26	Mar 14	Apr 11	Oct 25
14	Fleetwood	11	4	3	4	-1	15	Apr 3	l 2-1A	Nov 29	May 2
15	Harrogate	10	4	2	4	-1	14	l 0-1A	Apr 6	Mar 7	Dec 20
16	Oldham	11	3	5	3	1	14	d 0-00-0	Feb 17	d 0-00-0	Apr 6
17	Barrow	11	4	1	6	-3	13	w 2-1F	Jan 4	Apr 3	w 0-2F
18	Tranmere	10	2	5	3	1	11	Oct 18	Apr 18	Apr 25	Nov 22
19	Colchester	11	2	5	4	0	11	Jan 17	d 1-1F	Mar 17	Jan 1
20	Accrington	10	2	3	5	-6	9	Mar 28	Nov 15	l 1-2A	Jan 17
21	Crawley	11	2	2	7	-11	8	Apr 11	Oct 25	Feb 17	d 1-1A
22	Cheltenham	11	2	1	8	-18	7	Apr 25	Nov 22	w 5-0F	Feb 7
23	Shrewsbury	11	1	3	7	-13	6	Mar 17	Jan 1	Jan 24	w 1-2F
24	Newport	11	1	2	8	-11	5	Jan 31	w 2-3F	Feb 14	w 1-2A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Bristol R have won 3 consecutive home league games

MK Dons have not lost in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol R	2 - 1	Salford
Bristol R	2 - 1	Barrow
Bristol R	1 - 0	Cambridge
Bristol R	0 - 0	Oldham
Bristol R	0 - 1	Harrogate
Bristol R	0 - 2	Reading
Bristol R	0 - 1	Stevenage
Bristol R	1 - 2	Exeter
Bristol R	1 - 2	Birmingham
Bristol R	1 - 2	Mansfield
Bristol R	3 - 2	Bolton
Bristol R	1 - 0	Huddersfield
Bristol R	2 - 3	Rotherham
Bristol R	3 - 1	Burton
Bristol R	1 - 1	Stockport
Bristol R	3 - 1	Peterborough
Bristol R	3 - 1	Barnsley
Bristol R	2 - 3	L Orient
Bristol R	1 - 1	Wrexham
Bristol R	0 - 2	Blackpool

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bristol R	1 - 2	Walsall
H	Bristol R	2 - 1	Salford
A	Bristol R	1 - 1	Colchester
H	Bristol R	2 - 1	Barrow
A	Bristol R	3 - 2	Newport
A	Bristol R	1 - 0	Grimsby
H	Bristol R	1 - 0	Cambridge
H	Bristol R	0 - 0	Oldham
A	Bristol R	1 - 3	Chesterfield
A	Bristol R	1 - 2	Fleetwood
H	Bristol R	0 - 1	Harrogate
A	Bristol R	1 - 4	Blackpool
H	Bristol R	0 - 2	Reading
H	Bristol R	0 - 1	Stevenage
A	Bristol R	1 - 1	Wrexham
H	Bristol R	1 - 2	Exeter
A	Bristol R	0 - 1	Bolton
H	Bristol R	1 - 2	Birmingham
H	Bristol R	1 - 2	Mansfield
A	Bristol R	0 - 1	Crawley

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shrewsbury	1 - 2	MK Dons
Chesterfield	1 - 1	MK Dons
Newport	1 - 2	MK Dons
Crawley	1 - 1	MK Dons
Barrow	0 - 2	MK Dons
Swindon	0 - 0	MK Dons
Crewe	0 - 1	MK Dons
Gillingham	1 - 0	MK Dons
Notts C	3 - 0	MK Dons
Carlisle	2 - 2	MK Dons
Cheltenham	0 - 1	MK Dons
Port Vale	3 - 0	MK Dons
Accrington	2 - 0	MK Dons
Bradford	2 - 0	MK Dons
Tranmere	1 - 1	MK Dons
Barrow	2 - 1	MK Dons
Doncaster	2 - 1	MK Dons
Fleetwood	2 - 1	MK Dons
Walsall	4 - 2	MK Dons
Chesterfield	1 - 2	MK Dons

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	MK Dons	3 - 2	Gillingham
A	MK Dons	2 - 1	Shrewsbury
H	MK Dons	1 - 2	Accrington
A	MK Dons	1 - 1	Chesterfield
H	MK Dons	2 - 3	Grimsby
H	MK Dons	0 - 1	Walsall
A	MK Dons	2 - 1	Newport
A	MK Dons	1 - 1	Crawley
H	MK Dons	5 - 0	Cheltenham
A	MK Dons	2 - 0	Barrow
H	MK Dons	0 - 0	Oldham
A	MK Dons	0 - 0	Swindon
H	MK Dons	0 - 0	Grimsby
A	MK Dons	1 - 0	Crewe
H	MK Dons	0 - 0	Newport
A	MK Dons	0 - 1	Gillingham
H	MK Dons	0 - 3	Barrow
A	MK Dons	0 - 3	Notts C
H	MK Dons	2 - 4	Fleetwood
A	MK Dons	2 - 2	Carlisle

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bristol R

MK Dons

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

3 / 9

BRI

MKD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bristol R
	0 - 2	MK Dons
	0 - 2	MK Dons
Bristol R	1 - 0
Bristol R	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	MK Dons
Bristol R	1 - 0
	1 - 2	MK Dons
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

MK Dons

Bristol R

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

2 / 9

BRI

MKD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
	0 - 1	Bristol R
MK Dons	2 - 0
MK Dons	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Bristol R
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
MK Dons	2 - 0
MK Dons	2 - 1
MK Dons	2 - 1
MK Dons	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Bristol R 11th	MK Dons 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Bristol R will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Bristol R’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-26 MK Dons have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season

BRI

MKD

better

view stats

Games scored	8		8
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	5		4
Goals scored	12		16
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	6		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		19
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.2
KickOff rating		+8%

better

BRI

MKD

view stats

Games conceded	7		7
Clean sheets	3		3
Conceded first	4		5
Goals conceded	11		10
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1
KickOff rating		+1%

Bristol R v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Bristol R League Two squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	4	2	4
J Sparkes	F Cavegn	A Kilgour	J McEachran

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Sparkes DEF	11			2 -
A Kilgour DEF	11		2	1 -
J McEachran MID	11	1		4 -
K Conteh MID	11			-
E Harrison FWD	11	3	1	2 -
L Southwood GLK	10			1 -
L Thomas MID	10	2		3 -
F Cavegn FWD	10	4		-
M Southam-Hales DEF	9	1		3 -
P Omochere FWD	9	1		2 -
K Lopata DEF	8			2 -
T Moore DEF	7			-
R Sotiriou FWD	7			2 -
J Senior DEF	6			1
I Hutchinson MID	6	1		1 -
C Mola DEF	5			2 -
A Chang MID	5		2	1 -
R Howley MID	5			-
O. Dewsbury MID	5			-
B Bilongo DEF	3			1 -
J Cotterill MID	3			1 -
F Issaka FWD	3			-
B Young GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	5	2	5
F Cavegn	E Harrison	A Kilgour	J Sparkes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Cavegn FWD	4	5
E Harrison FWD	3	5	1	1
L Thomas MID	2	3		2
J McEachran MID	1	1		1
M Southam-Hales DEF	1	2
P Omochere FWD	1	5		2
I Hutchinson MID	1	2		1
J Sparkes DEF		1		5
A Kilgour DEF		4	2	1
K Lopata DEF		1
R Sotiriou FWD		2
A Chang MID			2	2
R Howley MID				1
B Bilongo DEF		1
J Cotterill MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
470	24	93
L Southwood	J McEachran	P Omochere

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Southwood GLK	470		3
A Kilgour DEF	422	18	85
J McEachran MID	379	24	40
J Sparkes DEF	292	23	65
K Conteh MID	285	18	48
K Lopata DEF	285	11	55
M Southam-Hales DEF	204	15	38
P Omochere FWD	166	2	93
L Thomas MID	158	19	37
A Chang MID	143	6	14
C Mola DEF	129	7	28
E Harrison FWD	104	5	70
J Senior DEF	94	7	13
T Moore DEF	80	8	24
R Howley MID	63	7	11
I Hutchinson MID	62	6	10
F Cavegn FWD	59	2	14
R Sotiriou FWD	52	2	9
B Young GLK	42
J Cotterill MID	29	2	4
B Bilongo DEF	28	1	7
O. Dewsbury MID	16		5
F Issaka FWD	2	1	2

MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	4	4	4
C MacGillivray	C Paterson	C Paterson	L Offord

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C MacGillivray GLK	11			-
W Collar MID	11	1	1	1 -
L Kelly MID	11		2	2 -
A Gilbey MID	11	3	1	3 -
C Paterson FWD	11	4	4	1 -
L Offord DEF	10	1	1	3 1
A Nemane MID	10	1		-
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD	10	2		1 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	10	2	1	2 -
J Leko FWD	10			2 -
M Ekpiteta DEF	9			-
J Sanders DEF	7	1		1 -
D Crowley MID	6			1 -
K Thompson-Sommers MID	6			-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	6	1		1 -
S Hogan FWD	6	1		-
G Jones DEF	5		1	1 -
J Tomlinson MID	4			-
L Maguire DEF	3			1 -
J Mellish DEF	3			1
N Thompson DEF	2			1 -
A Collins FWD	2			-
K Wilson DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	4	7
C Paterson	N Mendez-Laing	C Paterson	C Paterson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Paterson FWD	4	6	4	7
A Gilbey MID	3	6	1	3
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD	2	4		1
N Mendez-Laing FWD	2	8	1	1
W Collar MID	1	2	1	1
L Offord DEF	1	2	1	1
A Nemane MID	1	3		2
J Sanders DEF	1	2		1
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	1	1
S Hogan FWD	1	2
L Kelly MID		1	2	1
J Leko FWD		1
G Jones DEF		1	1	1
J Tomlinson MID		1
L Maguire DEF		1
J Mellish DEF		1
K Wilson DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
422	21	80
L Kelly	L Offord	L Offord

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Kelly MID	422	17	30
L Offord DEF	412	21	80
J Sanders DEF	363	11	70
C MacGillivray GLK	322		14
A Gilbey MID	306	15	70
M Ekpiteta DEF	304	6	49
N Mendez-Laing FWD	238	9	26
A Nemane MID	172	10	46
C Paterson FWD	167	9	75
W Collar MID	148	13	31
G Jones DEF	146	8	24
J Tomlinson MID	145	4	22
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD	136	10	56
D Crowley MID	129	7	14
J Mellish DEF	117	2	9
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	96	8	18
L Maguire DEF	62		30
K Thompson-Sommers MID	41	4	10
J Leko FWD	24	1	4
A Collins FWD	19	1	3
S Hogan FWD	15		9
N Thompson DEF	10	3	4
K Wilson DEF	7	1	1