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Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 12:30 BST, The Memorial Stadium, Bristol

Bristol Rovers and their boss Darrell Clarke will be aiming to beat Ian Holloway and his Swindon Town side on Saturday lunch time, as the pair clash at The Memorial Stadium in the League Two. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Bristol R or Swindon are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Swindon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bristol R
28%
9/5
7%
2/1
3%
Draw
25%
13/5
9%
5/2
3%
Swindon
46%
5/4
2%
13/10
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Swindon 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
7/1
Swindon 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
7/1
Swindon 2-0
8%
11/19/1
Bristol R 1-0
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
6%
Bristol R 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Swindon 3-1
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
Bristol R 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Swindon 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Swindon 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Bristol R 3-1
3%
22/116/1
11%
Bristol R 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Swindon 4-1
2%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
19/2010/11
Home 1st Goal
45%
11/1011/10
2%
Away 1st Goal
51%
5/6
2%
17/20
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
8%
17/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
47%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
14%
4/1
9%
17/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
21%
7/2
4%
16/5
5%
Home/draw
54%
4/7
6%
3/5
Away/draw
72%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
9/4
8%
2/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/3
2%
7/20
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5/19/2
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/81/8
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
Home DNB
46%
11/10
5%
11/10
2%
Away DNB
64%
4/6
3%
13/20
2%
Bristol R win to nil
15%
9/2-
Swindon win to nil
25%
3/1-
Bristol R / Bristol R
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
4%
Bristol R / Swindon
4%
22/118/1
Bristol R / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Bristol R
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Swindon
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
4%
Swindon / Bristol R
3%
28/122/1
Swindon / Swindon
22%
11/4
4%
13/5
3%
Swindon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Bristol R have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Bristol R have conceded 32 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bristol R have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Swindon lay in 3rd place on 34 points in the League Two league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Swindon have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Swindon have played 9 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bristol R
Swindon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall1912251138 
Jan 10
l
 
2-1F
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
2
Notts C1910451134 
l
 
0-1A
May 2
d
 
2-2A
Jan 27
3
Swindon191045634 
Dec 13
Feb 28
-
-
4
Bromley19964833 
Dec 26
Mar 14
w
 
2-0F
Jan 24
5
MK Dons199551432 
l
 
0-4A
Jan 27
Mar 14
Dec 26
6
Cambridge19865430 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 14
w
 
3-2A
Apr 3
7
Salford19937-130 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 24
Jan 17
l
 
3-2A
8
Gillingham19784629 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 21
Jan 1
Mar 17
9
Chesterfield19784329 
Feb 7
l
 
3-1A
May 2
w
 
1-2F
10
Colchester19775728 
Jan 17
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 10
11
Barnet19775728 
Dec 29
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 17
12
Crewe19847328 
Mar 7
Dec 19
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
13
Grimsby19766727 
Feb 21
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
14
Fleetwood19766127 
Apr 3
l
 
2-1A
Mar 28
d
 
1-1F
15
Tranmere19685626 
l
 
1-4A
Apr 18
w
 
2-1F
Mar 21
16
Accrington19667124 
Mar 28
l
 
3-1A
Apr 18
l
 
4-0A
17
Oldham19586223 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 17
Feb 7
w
 
1-2F
18
Barrow19559-820 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 4
Jan 31
w
 
1-3F
19
Cheltenham196211-1720 
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Dec 29
20
Shrewsbury19469-1318 
Mar 17
Jan 1
w
 
2-1F
Feb 14
21
Crawley194510-1017 
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
Dec 20
Mar 7
22
Bristol R195212-2017 
-
-
Feb 28
Dec 13
23
Harrogate194411-1316 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 6
w
 
3-1A
Jan 4
24
Newport193412-1513 
Jan 31
w
 
2-3F
Jan 9
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
9
Bristol R have lost 9 consecutive league games
9
Bristol R have not won in 9 consecutive league games
3
Bristol R have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
Bristol R 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol R0 - 1Notts C
Bristol R0 - 1Gillingham
Bristol R1 - 4Tranmere
Bristol R0 - 4MK Dons
Bristol R2 - 1Salford
Bristol R2 - 1Barrow
Bristol R1 - 0Cambridge
Bristol R0 - 0Oldham
Bristol R0 - 1Harrogate
Bristol R0 - 2Reading
Bristol R0 - 1Stevenage
Bristol R1 - 2Exeter
Bristol R1 - 2Birmingham
Bristol R1 - 2Mansfield
Bristol R3 - 2Bolton
Bristol R1 - 0Huddersfield
Bristol R2 - 3Rotherham
Bristol R3 - 1Burton
Bristol R1 - 1Stockport
Bristol R3 - 1Peterborough
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABristol R0 - 4Barnet
HBristol R0 - 1Notts C
ABristol R0 - 1Cheltenham
ABristol R1 - 3Accrington
HBristol R0 - 1Gillingham
ABristol R0 - 4Crawley
HBristol R1 - 4Tranmere
HBristol R0 - 4MK Dons
ABristol R1 - 2Walsall
HBristol R2 - 1Salford
ABristol R1 - 1Colchester
HBristol R2 - 1Barrow
ABristol R3 - 2Newport
ABristol R1 - 0Grimsby
HBristol R1 - 0Cambridge
HBristol R0 - 0Oldham
ABristol R1 - 3Chesterfield
ABristol R1 - 2Fleetwood
HBristol R0 - 1Harrogate
ABristol R1 - 4Blackpool
Swindon 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chesterfield1 - 2Swindon
Fleetwood1 - 1Swindon
Accrington4 - 0Swindon
Newport0 - 1Swindon
Salford3 - 2Swindon
Barrow1 - 3Swindon
Crewe0 - 3Swindon
Oldham1 - 2Swindon
Walsall2 - 1Swindon
Gillingham1 - 1Swindon
Grimsby0 - 4Swindon
Fleetwood0 - 4Swindon
Morecambe1 - 0Swindon
Doncaster2 - 2Swindon
Walsall0 - 1Swindon
Harrogate1 - 0Swindon
Carlisle1 - 5Swindon
Newport1 - 2Swindon
Notts C2 - 0Swindon
Bromley1 - 1Swindon
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwindon0 - 1Cheltenham
ASwindon2 - 1Chesterfield
HSwindon2 - 2Grimsby
ASwindon1 - 1Fleetwood
HSwindon2 - 1Tranmere
HSwindon0 - 0Colchester
HSwindon2 - 2Notts C
ASwindon0 - 4Accrington
ASwindon1 - 0Newport
HSwindon2 - 0Bromley
ASwindon2 - 3Salford
HSwindon3 - 1Harrogate
ASwindon3 - 1Barrow
ASwindon3 - 0Crewe
HSwindon2 - 1Shrewsbury
HSwindon0 - 2Barnet
ASwindon2 - 1Oldham
HSwindon3 - 2Cambridge
ASwindon1 - 2Walsall
HSwindon0 - 0MK Dons
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bristol R since 2007
Bristol R
Swindon
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
BRI
4
D
2
SWI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bristol R
1 - 3Swindon
0 - 1Swindon
Bristol R1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bristol R3 - 1
Bristol R3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Swindon
Bristol R1 - 0
League games at Swindon since 2006
Swindon
Bristol R
Goals: Scored
10
10
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
BRI
2
D
2
SWI
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swindon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swindon1 - 0
1 - 2Bristol R
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swindon2 - 1
0 - 4Bristol R
Swindon2 - 1
Swindon1 - 0
Swindon2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Bristol Rovers of late. It has been 9 League Two matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday lunch time against Swindon Town.

Swindon Town's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday lunch time, not least because Bristol Rovers have conceded in each of their last 13 League Two games. A PG of 1.5 for I. Holloway's side suggests that run should continue.

Bristol R 22nd Swindon 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Bristol R will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Swindon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Bristol R have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+30
Swindon have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Bristol R
PG (predicted goals)
Swindon
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
BRI
SWI
38%
better
view stats
Games scored11
15
Failed to score8
4
Scored first6
10
Goals scored15
31
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
BRI
SWI
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first12
8
Goals conceded35
25
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against23%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+22%

Bristol R v Swindon League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Bristol R League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17425
J SparkesF CavegnA KilgourJ McEachran
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Sparkes DEF19
2
1
K Conteh MID181
1
-
F Cavegn FWD184
-
L Thomas FWD182
3
-
L Southwood GLK16
2
-
J McEachran MID161
5
-
E Harrison FWD1631
4
-
M Southam-Hales DEF151
4
-
A Kilgour DEF142
2
-
K Lopata DEF12
3
-
A Chang MID1212
2
-
C Mola DEF11
4
-
R Sotiriou FWD11
3
-
P Omochere FWD101
2
-
T Moore DEF9
-
B Bilongo DEF8
1
-
J Cotterill MID8
1
-
O. Dewsbury FWD8
1
-
J Senior DEF7
1
F Issaka FWD7
-
T Lockyer DEF6
1
-
S Forde FWD6
1
-
S Negru DEF5
-
R Howley MID5
1
-
B Young GLK3
-
Swindon League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191047
C RipleyA DrinanD OldakerF. Munroe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ripley GLK19
3
-
D Oldaker MID1914
1
-
F. Munroe DEF1824
6
1
P Glatzel MID1722
2
-
T Nichols MID171
6
-
G Kilkenny MID1711
4
-
J Snowdon MID1624
2
-
W Wright DEF1511
2
-
A Drinan FWD15101
2
-
T. Wilson-Brown DEF14
1
-
O Clarke MID1411
1
O Palmer FWD1441
1
-
B Bodin FWD142
1
-
J. McGregor DEF13
1
-
J. Knight-Lebel DEF121
3
-
P. Ehibhatioman FWD121
-
F. Mabete DEF11
2
-
D Butterworth MID10
2
-
J Ball MID71
-
R Tafazolli DEF61
1
-
H Smith FWD41
2
-
A Murphy MID3
1
-
B Kirkman DEF1
-
R Delaney DEF1
-