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MK Dons v Swindon Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 26th Dec, 15:00 BST, Stadium mk, Milton Keynes

the Stadium mk faithful welcome Swindon Town's travelling contingent on Friday afternoon, as Paul Warne's MK Dons take on Ian Holloway's charges in the League Two. All stats, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head records, will change as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
MK Dons
41%
--
Draw
24%
--
Swindon
35%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
MK Dons 2-1
9%
--
MK Dons 1-0
8%
--
Swindon 2-1
8%
--
Swindon 1-0
7%
--
MK Dons 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Swindon 2-0
5%
--
MK Dons 3-1
5%
--
Swindon 3-1
4%
--
MK Dons 3-0
3%
--
MK Dons 3-2
3%
--
Swindon 3-2
3%
--
Swindon 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
65%
--
Away/draw
59%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
58%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
MK Dons win to nil
19%
--
Swindon win to nil
16%
--
Win / draw / win League Two table

MK Dons have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. MK Dons have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 3 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won zero. MK Dons have conceded 6 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

MK Dons have played 9 games at home, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Swindon lay in 3rd place on 34 points in the League Two league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Swindon have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Swindon have played 9 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
MK Dons
Swindon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall1912251138 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
2
Notts C1910451134 
Dec 29
l
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
Jan 27
3
Swindon191045634 
Dec 26
Mar 14
-
-
4
Bromley19964833 
Apr 11
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
Jan 24
5
MK Dons199551432 
-
-
Mar 14
Dec 26
6
Cambridge19865430 
Dec 13
Feb 28
w
 
3-2A
Apr 3
7
Salford19937-130 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 28
Jan 17
l
 
3-2A
8
Gillingham19784629 
w
 
3-2F
Jan 10
Jan 1
Mar 17
9
Chesterfield19784329 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1F
May 2
w
 
1-2F
10
Colchester19775728 
Mar 17
Jan 1
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 10
11
Barnet19775728 
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 17
12
Crewe19847328 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
13
Grimsby19766727 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
14
Fleetwood19766127 
w
 
2-1F
May 2
Mar 28
d
 
1-1F
15
Tranmere19685626 
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 21
16
Accrington19667124 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 17
Apr 18
l
 
4-0A
17
Oldham19586223 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
Feb 7
w
 
1-2F
18
Barrow19559-820 
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
Jan 31
w
 
1-3F
19
Cheltenham196211-1720 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 7
l
 
0-1A
Dec 29
20
Shrewsbury19469-1318 
Jan 24
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 14
21
Crawley194510-1017 
Feb 17
d
 
1-1A
Dec 20
Mar 7
22
Bristol R195212-2017 
Jan 27
w
 
0-4F
Feb 28
Dec 13
23
Harrogate194411-1316 
Mar 7
Dec 20
w
 
3-1A
Jan 4
24
Newport193412-1513 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2A
Jan 9
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
MK Dons 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Swindon 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
MK Dons have beaten Swindon in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
MK Dons have not lost to Swindon in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at MK Dons since 1993
MK Dons
Swindon
Goals: Scored
33
17
Games: Scored
14 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
1 / 15
MKD
10
D
2
SWI
3
League games at Swindon since 1994
Swindon
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
13
22
Games: Scored
10 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
5 / 15
MKD
7
D
5
SWI
3
Goal Statistics

MK Dons have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 13 consecutive League Two outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Swindon Town on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

MK Dons 5th Swindon 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that MK Dons will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Swindon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
MK Dons have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+30
Swindon have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
MK Dons
PG (predicted goals)
Swindon
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
20%
better
MKD
SWI
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score2
4
Scored first11
10
Goals scored37
31
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for23
18
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
9%
better
MKD
SWI
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded23
25
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+9%

MK Dons v Swindon League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19756
A GilbeyN Mendez-LaingC PatersonL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Collar MID1921
2
-
L Kelly MID193
2
-
A Gilbey MID1962
4
-
C MacGillivray GLK18
-
L Offord DEF1811
5
1
A Nemane MID1821
2
-
C Paterson FWD1855
3
-
M Ekpiteta DEF171
2
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1772
4
-
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD1541
1
-
J Sanders DEF132
3
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID131
1
-
J Leko FWD131
3
1
D Crowley MID121
1
-
J Mellish DEF111
1
1
J Tomlinson MID10
-
G Jones DEF81
1
-
L Maguire  DEF61
1
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID61
1
-
S Hogan FWD61
-
N Thompson DEF5
2
-
A Collins FWD5
-
C Trueman GLK2
-
K Wilson DEF1
-
Swindon League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191047
C RipleyA DrinanD OldakerF. Munroe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ripley GLK19
3
-
D Oldaker MID1914
1
-
F. Munroe DEF1824
6
1
P Glatzel MID1722
2
-
T Nichols MID171
6
-
G Kilkenny MID1711
4
-
J Snowdon MID1624
2
-
W Wright DEF1511
2
-
A Drinan FWD15101
2
-
T. Wilson-Brown DEF14
1
-
O Clarke MID1411
1
O Palmer FWD1441
1
-
B Bodin FWD142
1
-
J. McGregor DEF13
1
-
J. Knight-Lebel DEF121
3
-
P. Ehibhatioman FWD121
-
F. Mabete DEF11
2
-
D Butterworth MID10
2
-
J Ball MID71
-
R Tafazolli DEF61
1
-
H Smith FWD41
2
-
A Murphy MID3
1
-
B Kirkman DEF1
-
R Delaney DEF1
-