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Newport County v Colchester United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Mar, 15:00 BST, Rodney Parade, Newport

David Robert Hughes and Danny Cowley pit their wits in the League Two on Saturday afternoon, as Newport County face Colchester United at the Rodney Parade. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Newport 25%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Colchester 48%	-	-
Colchester 1-0 13%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Colchester 2-0 9%	-	-
Colchester 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
Newport 1-0 9%	-	-
Newport 2-1 6%	-	-
Colchester 3-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Colchester 3-1 4%	-	-
Newport 2-0 4%	-	-
Colchester 3-2 2%	-	-
Newport 3-1 2%	-	-
Colchester 4-0 2%	-	-
Colchester 4-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 42%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	-	-
BTTS - No 52%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 11%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	-	-
Home/draw 52%	-	-
Away/draw 75%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 44%	-	-
Away DNB 67%	-	-
Newport win to nil 15%	-	-
Colchester win to nil 29%	-	-

Win / draw / win League Two table

Newport have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 6 and won 6. Newport have conceded 60 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Newport have played 16 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 28 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Colchester lay in 10th place on 49 points in the League Two league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Colchester have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Colchester have played 16 away games, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Newport Colchester
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bromley	33	18	11	4	22	65	Mar 17	l 2-1A	l 0-2A	Mar 21
2	Cambridge	33	18	9	6	22	63	l 0-2A	l 2-0A	l 1-2F	d 1-1A
3	Notts C	33	18	7	8	20	61	d 1-1F	Apr 6	Apr 25	w 1-3A
4	Swindon	34	19	4	11	16	61	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	Apr 10	d 0-00-0
5	MK Dons	32	16	10	6	27	58	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	Mar 18
6	Crewe	34	15	8	11	10	53	w 2-0F	d 2-2A	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
7	Chesterfield	33	13	14	6	9	53	w 2-1F	l 4-1A	w 6-2F	-
8	Salford	31	16	4	11	3	52	l 0-1A	w 1-3F	Feb 28	l 4-3F
9	Walsall	31	14	8	9	7	50	l 2-4F	Mar 21	Mar 28	w 0-2F
10	Colchester	32	13	10	9	14	49	Mar 7	l 4-1A	-	-
11	Grimsby	32	13	10	9	8	49	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A	l 0-1A	w 1-2A
12	Barnet	33	12	11	10	5	47	d 0-00-0	Mar 14	w 4-1F	d 1-1F
13	Accrington	32	13	7	12	3	46	l 1-4A	w 0-1F	-	l 1-0A
14	Fleetwood	32	12	8	12	1	44	l 0-2A	Feb 28	w 2-1F	l 4-2F
15	Oldham	31	10	12	9	4	42	Apr 25	l 3-0A	Apr 3	d 1-1F
16	Gillingham	32	10	11	11	-1	41	l 1-3F	l 3-2F	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
17	Tranmere	33	9	8	16	-12	35	Mar 3	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Apr 6
18	Shrewsbury	33	9	8	16	-20	35	Mar 28	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	w 0-2F
19	Cheltenham	32	10	5	17	-21	35	l 0-2A	Apr 18	w 2-0F	May 2
20	Bristol R	33	9	3	21	-24	30	l 2-3A	l 3-0A	d 1-1A	w 0-1F
21	Crawley	34	6	10	18	-21	28	Apr 3	w 1-2F	Mar 13	d 1-1A
22	Barrow	32	7	6	19	-17	27	d 2-2F	May 2	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
23	Harrogate	34	6	8	20	-27	26	Apr 11	w 0-3F	w 3-1A	Apr 18
24	Newport	33	6	6	21	-28	24	-	-	w 4-1F	Mar 7

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newport	0 - 2	Cambridge
Newport	0 - 0	Grimsby
Newport	1 - 4	Accrington
Newport	2 - 1	Chesterfield
Newport	2 - 0	Crewe
Newport	0 - 0	Barnet
Newport	0 - 2	Fleetwood
Newport	2 - 2	Barrow
Newport	2 - 4	Walsall
Newport	0 - 2	Cheltenham
Newport	0 - 1	Swindon
Newport	1 - 3	Gillingham
Newport	2 - 3	Bristol R
Newport	1 - 2	MK Dons
Newport	0 - 1	Salford
Newport	1 - 1	Notts C
Newport	1 - 4	Tranmere
Newport	0 - 0	Walsall
Newport	0 - 2	Colchester
Newport	1 - 1	Bromley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Newport	0 - 2	Cambridge
A	Newport	3 - 1	Salford
A	Newport	0 - 1	MK Dons
A	Newport	0 - 2	Swindon
H	Newport	0 - 0	Grimsby
A	Newport	0 - 3	Bristol R
H	Newport	1 - 4	Accrington
H	Newport	2 - 1	Chesterfield
A	Newport	2 - 3	Gillingham
A	Newport	1 - 2	Bromley
H	Newport	2 - 0	Crewe
H	Newport	0 - 0	Barnet
A	Newport	1 - 4	Colchester
H	Newport	0 - 2	Fleetwood
A	Newport	2 - 2	Crewe
H	Newport	2 - 2	Barrow
A	Newport	0 - 3	Oldham
A	Newport	0 - 1	Shrewsbury
H	Newport	2 - 4	Walsall
A	Newport	3 - 0	Harrogate

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cambridge	1 - 1	Colchester
Barrow	1 - 0	Colchester
Crewe	1 - 0	Colchester
Bristol R	0 - 1	Colchester
Gillingham	1 - 1	Colchester
Crawley	1 - 1	Colchester
Salford	4 - 3	Colchester
Notts C	1 - 3	Colchester
Walsall	0 - 2	Colchester
Swindon	0 - 0	Colchester
Grimsby	1 - 2	Colchester
Fleetwood	4 - 2	Colchester
Accrington	1 - 0	Colchester
Barnet	1 - 1	Colchester
Shrewsbury	0 - 2	Colchester
Oldham	1 - 1	Colchester
Salford	4 - 1	Colchester
Doncaster	3 - 0	Colchester
Newport	0 - 2	Colchester
Gillingham	1 - 1	Colchester

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Colchester	4 - 1	Barnet
A	Colchester	1 - 1	Cambridge
A	Colchester	0 - 1	Barrow
H	Colchester	2 - 0	Shrewsbury
A	Colchester	0 - 1	Crewe
H	Colchester	0 - 1	Grimsby
H	Colchester	2 - 1	Fleetwood
A	Colchester	1 - 0	Bristol R
H	Colchester	1 - 0	MK Dons
A	Colchester	1 - 1	Gillingham
A	Colchester	1 - 1	Crawley
H	Colchester	4 - 1	Newport
A	Colchester	3 - 4	Salford
H	Colchester	0 - 0	Gillingham
H	Colchester	2 - 0	Cheltenham
A	Colchester	3 - 1	Notts C
A	Colchester	2 - 0	Walsall
H	Colchester	0 - 2	Bromley
A	Colchester	0 - 0	Swindon
H	Colchester	3 - 1	Harrogate

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Newport

Colchester

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

1 / 8

NEW

COU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newport
	0 - 2	Colchester
Newport	2 - 1
Newport	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Colchester
Newport	2 - 1
Newport	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Colchester
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Colchester

Newport

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 10

5 / 10

Clean sheets

5 / 10

4 / 10

NEW

COU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Colchester
Colchester	4 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Colchester	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Newport
Colchester	3 - 1
Colchester	3 - 0
Colchester	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Colchester United's defensive record is very strong, D. Cowley's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive League Two games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Newport County makes sense in this context.

	Newport 24th	Colchester 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Newport scoring 1 goal or less	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Colchester will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-29 Newport have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted	-3 Colchester’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.8 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season

NEW

COU

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		24
Failed to score	13		8
Scored first	12		15
Goals scored	32		48
Avg. goals scored	1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		5
Conversion rate for	13		19
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+26%

NEW

COU

25%

better

view stats

Games conceded	28		24
Clean sheets	5		8
Conceded first	19		15
Goals conceded	60		34
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	17%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.1
KickOff rating		+25%

Newport v Colchester League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Newport League Two squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	5	4	7
L. Jenkins	N Opoku	K. Whitmore	M Spellman

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L. Jenkins DEF	28		2	4 -
B Kamwa FWD	28		1	-
M Spellman FWD	27	3	1	6 1
M Baker DEF	25	1	1	4 -
C Antwi MID	24	3		1 -
B Lloyd MID	23	1	1	4 -
J Wright GLK	22			1 -
C Evans DEF	22			4 -
C Baker-Richardson FWD	22	4	1	3 1
J. Thomas DEF	21			-
T Davies DEF	21		1	1 -
N Opoku FWD	20	5	2	2 1
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF	19	1	1	7 -
G Garner FWD	19	2	1	2 -
C Brennan DEF	17			2 -
S Braybroke MID	17	2	1	3 -
K. Whitmore MID	16	3	4	5 -
M. Reindorf FWD	16		1	2 -
H. Ogunneye DEF	15	1		3 -
M Smith MID	13		2	4 -
J Clarke DEF	12			-
N Tzanev GLK	11			-
L Shephard DEF	9	1		-
A Odimayo DEF	5			-
J. Warner DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	13	4	7
N Opoku	N Opoku	K. Whitmore	B Kamwa

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Opoku FWD	5	13	2	1
C Baker-Richardson FWD	4	9	1
M Spellman FWD	3	11	1	1
C Antwi MID	3	8		1
K. Whitmore MID	3	5	4	1
G Garner FWD	2	8	1	2
S Braybroke MID	2	4	1	5
M Baker DEF	1	4	1	1
B Lloyd MID	1	4	1	1
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF	1	3	1	4
H. Ogunneye DEF	1	2		2
L Shephard DEF	1	1
L. Jenkins DEF		6	2	3
B Kamwa FWD		11	1	7
C Evans DEF		2		1
J. Thomas DEF				1
T Davies DEF		2	1
C Brennan DEF		2
M. Reindorf FWD		7	1	1
M Smith MID		3	2	1
J Clarke DEF		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1058	51	208
L. Jenkins	S Braybroke	L. Jenkins

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L. Jenkins DEF	1058	47	208
M Baker DEF	982	32	135
S Braybroke MID	816	51	103
J Wright GLK	805		14
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF	618	18	63
C Evans DEF	575	39	96
T Davies DEF	539	33	99
J. Thomas DEF	455	36	80
B Kamwa FWD	448	17	83
C Antwi MID	408	26	65
N Tzanev GLK	389		5
B Lloyd MID	373	31	59
H. Ogunneye DEF	361	25	68
C Brennan DEF	359	22	63
J Clarke DEF	305	6	52
K. Whitmore MID	264	15	60
M Spellman FWD	249	18	84
N Opoku FWD	248	9	55
M Smith MID	245	13	29
G Garner FWD	234	8	32
C Baker-Richardson FWD	210	6	97
M. Reindorf FWD	167	9	48
A Odimayo DEF	162	2	19
L Shephard DEF	144	9	31
J. Warner DEF	20

Colchester League Two squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	10	5	5
J Tucker	J Payne	S Tovide	A Read

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Tucker DEF	32	2	1	2 -
M Macey GLK	31			3 -
A Read MID	31	5	2	5 -
S Tovide FWD	30	3	5	5 -
R Hunt DEF	27		1	3 -
K Vincent-Young DEF	27			4 -
H. Araujo DEF	26		1	3 -
T Bishop MID	26		1	2 -
O Edwards FWD	26	1	1	1 1
J Payne MID	25	10	5	5 -
J. Williams FWD	22		1	1 -
M. Mbick FWD	20	7	2	2 -
H Anderson FWD	19	7	4	2 -
W Goodwin FWD	17	2		2 -
E Iandolo DEF	15	1		5 -
J Gordon FWD	13		1	-
T Flanagan DEF	10			1 -
D Gape MID	10			4 -
J. Powell DEF	9			-
A. Akande FWD	7		1	-
T Smith GLK	3			1 -
B. Perry MID	3			-
J Baldwin DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	17	5	9
J Payne	J Payne	S Tovide	S Tovide

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Payne MID	10	17	5	9
M. Mbick FWD	7	17	2	3
H Anderson FWD	7	11	4	2
A Read MID	5	13	2	8
S Tovide FWD	3	12	5	9
J Tucker DEF	2	7	1	1
W Goodwin FWD	2	6		1
O Edwards FWD	1	3	1	2
E Iandolo DEF	1	3		5
R Hunt DEF		3	1	3
K Vincent-Young DEF		2		1
H. Araujo DEF		2	1	1
T Bishop MID		7	1	4
J. Williams FWD		3	1	3
J Gordon FWD			1
J. Powell DEF		3		1
A. Akande FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1564	63	203
J Tucker	A Read	J Tucker

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Tucker DEF	1564	16	203
A Read MID	1367	63	173
H. Araujo DEF	1294	31	152
T Bishop MID	997	50	121
J Payne MID	908	34	106
R Hunt DEF	884	33	107
M Macey GLK	797		17
K Vincent-Young DEF	761	31	104
E Iandolo DEF	690	20	92
O Edwards FWD	418	25	59
T Flanagan DEF	388	4	44
H Anderson FWD	354	42	113
J. Powell DEF	300	17	47
S Tovide FWD	281	10	100
M. Mbick FWD	254	24	114
W Goodwin FWD	136	5	49
D Gape MID	110	12	25
J. Williams FWD	104	6	27
J Gordon FWD	79	8	25
B. Perry MID	76	8	22
T Smith GLK	55		1
A. Akande FWD	47	4	10
J Baldwin DEF	34		1