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Newport County v Fleetwood Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 15:00 BST, Rodney Parade, Newport

Peter Wild pays counterpart David Robert Hughes a visit on Saturday afternoon in the League Two, as their Fleetwood Town and Newport County sides go head to head at the Rodney Parade. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Newport or Fleetwood are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Fleetwood coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newport
31%
9/5
2%
19/10
1%
Draw
25%
12/5
3%
5/2
6%
Fleetwood
44%
7/5
2%
11/8
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Fleetwood 1-0
10%
8/17/1
Fleetwood 2-1
9%
17/27/1
6%
Newport 1-0
8%
9/115/2
6%
Fleetwood 2-0
7%
11/19/1
9%
Newport 2-1
7%
10/117/2
6%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/117/2
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Newport 2-0
5%
14/112/1
Fleetwood 3-1
5%
18/114/1
Fleetwood 3-0
4%
22/116/1
11%
Newport 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Fleetwood 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Newport 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Newport 3-0
2%
28/120/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
17/205/6
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
19/2010/11
Home 1st Goal
45%
21/2011/10
2%
Away 1st Goal
51%
10/11
4%
10/11
No 1st Goal
4%
10/117/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/67/10
2%
BTTS - No
45%
11/1021/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
21%
15/4
6%
16/5
3%
Home/draw
56%
8/15
3%
4/7
3%
Away/draw
69%
2/52/5
Home/away
75%
3/10
2%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/42/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/42/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/37/20
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/81/8
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Home DNB
48%
1/111/10
5%
Away DNB
62%
8/114/6
3%
Newport win to nil
15%
9/2-
Fleetwood win to nil
23%
10/3-
Newport / Newport
18%
7/218/5
2%
Newport / Fleetwood
4%
25/118/1
10%
Newport / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Newport
12%
11/211/2
8%
Draw / Fleetwood
14%
5/117/4
9%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
4%
Fleetwood / Newport
3%
25/122/1
Fleetwood / Fleetwood
21%
3/1
7%
27/10
1%
Fleetwood / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Newport have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league. Newport are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Newport have conceded 35 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Newport have played 9 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Fleetwood lay in 14th place on 27 points in the League Two league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Fleetwood have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Fleetwood have played 9 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newport
Fleetwood
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall1912251138 
l
 
2-4F
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
2
Notts C1910451134 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
3
Swindon191045634 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 9
d
 
1-1A
Mar 28
4
Bromley19964833 
Mar 17
Jan 1
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
5
MK Dons199551432 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 14
May 2
l
 
2-1A
6
Cambridge19865430 
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
Jan 17
l
 
2-1F
7
Salford19937-130 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 17
d
 
1-1A
Dec 29
8
Gillingham19784629 
l
 
1-3F
Jan 17
Dec 20
Mar 7
9
Chesterfield19784329 
Jan 24
l
 
4-1A
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
10
Colchester19775728 
Mar 7
Dec 20
w
 
4-2A
Jan 24
11
Barnet19775728 
Dec 26
Mar 14
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
12
Crewe19847328 
Dec 29
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-4A
Feb 17
13
Grimsby19766727 
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
Jan 1
Mar 17
14
Fleetwood19766127 
Dec 13
Feb 28
-
-
15
Tranmere19685626 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
Dec 26
16
Accrington19667124 
Jan 27
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
17
Oldham19586223 
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
18
Barrow19559-820 
d
 
2-2F
May 2
Feb 21
w
 
0-1F
19
Cheltenham196211-1720 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
Jan 10
l
 
2-0A
20
Shrewsbury19469-1318 
Mar 28
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
21
Crawley194510-1017 
Apr 3
w
 
1-2F
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
22
Bristol R195212-2017 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
23
Harrogate194411-1316 
Apr 11
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2A
Jan 27
24
Newport193412-1513 
-
-
Feb 28
Dec 13
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
14
Newport have not won in 14 consecutive home league games
6
Fleetwood have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Newport 24TH
20 league games
Home
14
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newport2 - 2Barrow
Newport2 - 4Walsall
Newport0 - 2Cheltenham
Newport0 - 1Swindon
Newport1 - 3Gillingham
Newport2 - 3Bristol R
Newport1 - 2MK Dons
Newport0 - 1Salford
Newport1 - 1Notts C
Newport1 - 4Tranmere
Newport0 - 0Walsall
Newport0 - 2Colchester
Newport1 - 1Bromley
Newport0 - 2Notts C
Newport3 - 0Harrogate
Newport3 - 1Gillingham
Newport0 - 3Cheltenham
Newport0 - 0Bradford
Newport1 - 0Carlisle
Newport2 - 1Morecambe
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewport2 - 2Crewe
HNewport2 - 2Barrow
ANewport0 - 3Oldham
ANewport0 - 1Shrewsbury
HNewport2 - 4Walsall
ANewport3 - 0Harrogate
HNewport0 - 2Cheltenham
ANewport1 - 0Accrington
HNewport0 - 1Swindon
ANewport1 - 4Chesterfield
HNewport1 - 3Gillingham
ANewport1 - 1Tranmere
HNewport2 - 3Bristol R
ANewport0 - 2Cambridge
HNewport1 - 2MK Dons
HNewport0 - 1Salford
ANewport1 - 2Grimsby
ANewport2 - 1Crawley
HNewport1 - 1Notts C
HNewport1 - 4Tranmere
Fleetwood 14TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
MK Dons2 - 1Fleetwood
Crawley2 - 1Fleetwood
Chesterfield1 - 1Fleetwood
Cheltenham2 - 0Fleetwood
Cambridge2 - 1Fleetwood
Notts C1 - 0Fleetwood
Barrow0 - 1Fleetwood
Bromley2 - 2Fleetwood
Barnet0 - 2Fleetwood
Bradford1 - 0Fleetwood
Harrogate3 - 1Fleetwood
Chesterfield3 - 0Fleetwood
Accrington1 - 4Fleetwood
MK Dons2 - 4Fleetwood
Colchester3 - 0Fleetwood
Crewe1 - 4Fleetwood
Gillingham1 - 2Fleetwood
Grimsby2 - 1Fleetwood
Bromley1 - 0Fleetwood
Tranmere0 - 0Fleetwood
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFleetwood1 - 1Salford
AFleetwood1 - 2MK Dons
HFleetwood3 - 1Shrewsbury
HFleetwood1 - 1Swindon
AFleetwood1 - 2Crawley
HFleetwood2 - 1Accrington
AFleetwood1 - 1Chesterfield
HFleetwood3 - 2Harrogate
AFleetwood0 - 2Cheltenham
HFleetwood4 - 2Colchester
AFleetwood1 - 2Cambridge
HFleetwood1 - 1Walsall
AFleetwood0 - 1Notts C
AFleetwood1 - 0Barrow
HFleetwood1 - 1Oldham
HFleetwood1 - 4Crewe
AFleetwood2 - 2Bromley
HFleetwood2 - 1Bristol R
AFleetwood2 - 0Barnet
AFleetwood0 - 1Bradford
Goal Statistics

Fleetwood Town have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive League Two games. Their PG of 1.5 against Newport County on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Newport 24th Fleetwood 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Newport will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Fleetwood will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Newport have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Fleetwood’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Newport
PG (predicted goals)
Fleetwood
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
NEW
FLE
25%
better
view stats
Games scored13
17
Failed to score6
2
Scored first8
9
Goals scored20
28
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
NEW
FLE
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first11
10
Goals conceded35
27
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+11%

Newport v Fleetwood League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Newport League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19345
L. JenkinsC Baker-RichardsonK. WhitmoreK. Whitmore
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Jenkins DEF191
4
-
C Antwi MID182
1
-
B Kamwa FWD181
-
C Evans DEF16
2
-
M. Reindorf FWD161
2
-
C Baker-Richardson FWD1631
2
1
H. Ogunneye DEF151
3
-
K. Whitmore MID1434
5
-
M Spellman FWD1411
3
-
S Braybroke MID131
3
-
G Garner FWD1321
2
-
T Davies DEF12
1
-
M Baker DEF1211
2
-
B Lloyd MID121
1
-
N Tzanev GLK11
-
J. Thomas DEF9
-
J Wright GLK8
1
-
J Clarke DEF7
-
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF71
2
-
N Opoku FWD721
-
C Brennan DEF6
-
M Smith MID61
2
-
A Odimayo DEF5
-
L Shephard DEF21
-
J. Warner DEF1
-
Fleetwood League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19635
J LynchR GraydonC EvansH Neal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Lynch GLK19
1
-
M Helm MID1911
1
-
C Evans FWD1933
2
-
R Graydon FWD1963
2
-
H Neal MID182
5
-
W. Davies FWD175
3
-
J Bolton DEF162
2
1
E Bonds MID1623
3
-
Z Medley DEF15
1
1
M Virtue MID1523
1
-
J Norwood FWD1421
2
-
H Holgate DEF13
-
E. Ennis FWD131
-
T Mullarkey DEF12
1
-
L McCann FWD101
-
F. Potter DEF91
2
-
D Hume DEF81
-
K. Hughes DEF7
1
-
S Rooney DEF7
2
-
J Davies  MID631
-
G Morrison MID6
1
-
R Coughlan FWD5
-