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Arsenal v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 16:30 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

Mikel Arteta welcomes Pep Guardiola to the Emirates Stadium on Sunday afternoon, as their Arsenal and Manchester City sides go head to head in the English Premier League. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our extensive database and found the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Arsenal or Man City are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
47%
1/1
5%
-
Draw
24%
27/10
1%
-
Man City
29%
5/2
3%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
6%
-
Arsenal 2-1
9%
17/2-
Arsenal 1-0
9%
17/2
14%
-
Arsenal 2-0
8%
11/1-
Man City 2-1
7%
12/1-
Man City 1-0
7%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Arsenal 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Man City 2-0
4%
20/1
9%
-
Arsenal 3-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
Arsenal 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Man City 3-1
3%
28/1-
Man City 3-2
2%
33/1-
Arsenal 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
8/11
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/10
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/5
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6
6%
-
BTTS - No
43%
11/10
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/4
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1-
Home/draw
71%
2/7-
Away/draw
53%
4/5
2%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/3
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
22%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
13%
-
Home DNB
64%
1/2
4%
-
Away DNB
46%
6/4
5%
-
Arsenal win to nil
24%
11/4-
Man City win to nil
14%
11/2
7%
-
Arsenal / Arsenal
27%
9/4
5%
-
Arsenal / Man City
3%
28/1-
Arsenal / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Arsenal
16%
9/2-
Draw / Man City
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
-
Man City / Arsenal
4%
22/1
10%
-
Man City / Man City
14%
5/1-
Man City / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool330049 
Jan 7
l
 
1-0A
Nov 8
Feb 7
2
Chelsea321067 
Feb 28
Nov 29
Jan 3
Apr 11
3
Arsenal320156 
-
-
Apr 18
Sep 21
4
Spurs320146 
Nov 22
Feb 21
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
5
Sunderland320126 
Feb 7
Nov 8
Dec 6
Dec 30
6
Everton320126 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Oct 18
May 2
7
Bournemouth320106 
Apr 11
Jan 3
Nov 1
May 17
8
C Palace312035 
Oct 26
May 24
Mar 21
Dec 13
9
Man Utd311104 
Jan 24
w
 
0-1F
Sep 14
Jan 17
10
Nottm Forest3111-14 
Sep 13
Jan 17
Mar 4
Dec 27
11
Brighton3111-14 
Dec 27
Mar 4
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
12
Leeds3111-44 
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
Nov 29
Feb 28
13
Man City310213 
Sep 21
Apr 18
-
-
14
Burnley3102-23 
May 17
Nov 1
Sep 27
Apr 25
15
Brentford3102-23 
Dec 3
Feb 11
May 9
Oct 5
16
West Ham3102-43 
Oct 4
May 9
Dec 20
Mar 14
17
Newcastle3021-12 
Apr 25
Sep 28
Feb 21
Nov 22
18
Fulham3021-22 
May 2
Oct 18
Feb 11
Dec 3
19
A Villa3012-41 
Dec 30
Dec 6
May 24
Oct 26
20
Wolves3003-60 
Dec 13
Mar 21
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Arsenal 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
Arsenal2 - 2C Palace
Arsenal1 - 1Brentford
Arsenal2 - 1Fulham
Arsenal1 - 0Chelsea
Arsenal0 - 1West Ham
Arsenal5 - 1Man City
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1Spurs
Arsenal1 - 0Ipswich
Arsenal0 - 0Everton
Arsenal2 - 0Man Utd
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
Arsenal2 - 2Liverpool
Arsenal3 - 1Southampton
Arsenal4 - 2Leicester
Arsenal1 - 1Brighton
Arsenal2 - 0Wolves
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal0 - 1Liverpool
HArsenal5 - 0Leeds
AArsenal1 - 0Man Utd
AArsenal2 - 1Southampton
HArsenal1 - 0Newcastle
AArsenal2 - 2Liverpool
HArsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal2 - 2C Palace
AArsenal4 - 0Ipswich
HArsenal1 - 1Brentford
AArsenal1 - 1Everton
HArsenal2 - 1Fulham
HArsenal1 - 0Chelsea
AArsenal1 - 1Man Utd
AArsenal0 - 0Nottm Forest
HArsenal0 - 1West Ham
AArsenal2 - 0Leicester
HArsenal5 - 1Man City
AArsenal1 - 0Wolves
HArsenal2 - 2A Villa
Man City 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Wolves0 - 4Man City
Fulham0 - 2Man City
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Everton0 - 2Man City
Man Utd0 - 0Man City
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man City
Spurs0 - 1Man City
Arsenal5 - 1Man City
Ipswich0 - 6Man City
Brentford2 - 2Man City
Leicester0 - 2Man City
A Villa2 - 1Man City
C Palace2 - 2Man City
Liverpool2 - 0Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Bournemouth2 - 1Man City
Wolves1 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
West Ham1 - 3Man City
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City1 - 2Brighton
HMan City0 - 2Spurs
AMan City4 - 0Wolves
AMan City2 - 0Fulham
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 0Southampton
HMan City1 - 0Wolves
HMan City2 - 1A Villa
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City2 - 2Brighton
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Spurs
HMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City4 - 0Newcastle
AMan City1 - 5Arsenal
HMan City3 - 1Chelsea
AMan City6 - 0Ipswich
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arsenal since 1992
Arsenal
Man City
Goals: Scored
38
26
Games: Scored
19 / 27
16 / 27
Clean sheets
11 / 27
8 / 27
ARS
14
D
6
MCI
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal5 - 1
Arsenal1 - 0
1 - 3Man City
1 - 2Man City
0 - 1Man City
0 - 3Man City
0 - 2Man City
0 - 3Man City
Draw2 - 2Draw
Arsenal2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Man City
Arsenal1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal1 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal5 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal1 - 0
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
46
41
Games: Scored
20 / 28
20 / 28
Clean sheets
8 / 28
8 / 28
ARS
11
D
5
MCI
12
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man City4 - 1
Man City5 - 0
Man City1 - 0
Man City3 - 0
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Arsenal
Man City6 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City1 - 0
0 - 3Arsenal
Man City4 - 2
Man City3 - 0
1 - 3Arsenal
Man City1 - 0
1 - 3Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
1 - 5Arsenal
0 - 4Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Arsenal
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Manchester City have conceded in each of their last 7 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.7 for Mikel Arteta's side suggests that run should continue.

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive English Premier League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Manchester City makes sense in this context.

Arsenal 3rd Man City 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Man City will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
9%
better
ARS
MCI
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored6
5
Avg. goals scored2
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for25
17
Avg. XG for1.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
47%
better
ARS
MCI
view stats
Games conceded1
2
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded1
4
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded20
6
Conversion rate against5%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+47%

Arsenal v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3221
D RayaJ TimberR CalafioriD Raya
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK3
1
-
W Saliba DEF3
-
R Calafiori DEF312
1
-
J Timber DEF321
1
-
G Magalhães DEF3
-
M Zubimendi MID3
1
-
M Ødegaard MID3
-
D Rice MID31
-
V Gyökeres FWD32
1
-
N Madueke FWD3
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF2
1
-
C Mosquera DEF2
-
M. Dowman MID2
-
M Merino MID2
-
G Martinelli FWD2
-
B Saka FWD21
-
B White DEF1
-
E Eze MID1
-
E Nwaneri MID1
-
K Havertz FWD1
-
L Trossard FWD1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
J TraffordE HaalandR LewisR Nouri
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK3
-
J Stones DEF3
-
R Lewis DEF31
-
R Nouri DEF3
1
-
R Dias DEF3
-
T Reijnders MID311
1
-
B Silva MID3
-
J Doku FWD3
-
E Haaland FWD33
-
O Bobb FWD31
-
O Marmoush FWD31
-
A. Khusanov DEF2
1
-
N. O'Reilly MID2
1
-
N González  MID2
1
-
M Nunes MID2
-
R Cherki MID21
-
Rodri MID2
-
N Aké  DEF1
-
P Foden FWD1
-