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Bournemouth v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 14:00 BST, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

The English Premier League is the focus for both Bournemouth and Newcastle United on Sunday afternoon, as managers Andoni Iraola and Eddie Howe battle it out at the Vitality Stadium. We've got bespoke statistics for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Bournemouth and Newcastle will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookies have it at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Newcastle coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bournemouth 37%	8/5 5%	-
Draw 26%	13/5	-
Newcastle 38%	31/20 7%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2	-
Newcastle 1-0 9%	9/1 17%	-
Bournemouth 1-0 9%	10/1 15%	-
Newcastle 2-1 8%	10/1 10%	-
Bournemouth 2-1 8%	10/1 8%	-
Draw 0-0 6%	11/1 20%	-
Newcastle 2-0 6%	14/1	-
Bournemouth 2-0 6%	14/1 12%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1 15%	-
Newcastle 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	-
Bournemouth 3-1 4%	22/1	-
Newcastle 3-0 3%	28/1 12%	-
Bournemouth 3-0 3%	28/1 15%	-
Newcastle 3-2 3%	28/1 12%	-
Bournemouth 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	4/5 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	1/1 9%	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	20/21 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	10/11 4%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	11/1 20%	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	4/6 6%	-
BTTS - No 44%	11/10 7%	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	15/4	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	15/4 19%	-
Home/draw 62%	1/2 2%	-
Away/draw 63%	1/2 7%	-
Home/away 74%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1/4 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	3/1 11%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	2/1 14%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	2/5 7%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	9/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/7 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	10/1 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 27%	-
Home DNB 54%	5/6 9%	-
Away DNB 56%	5/6 6%	-
Bournemouth win to nil 19%	4/1 9%	-
Newcastle win to nil 19%	7/2	-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth 20%	10/3 4%	-
Bournemouth / Newcastle 3%	25/1 13%	-
Bournemouth / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Bournemouth 13%	11/2 7%	-
Draw / Newcastle 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	5/1 8%	-
Newcastle / Bournemouth 3%	28/1 12%	-
Newcastle / Newcastle 20%	10/3 8%	-
Newcastle / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Premier League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bournemouth Newcastle
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	4	9	Jan 24	l 4-2A	l 2-3A	Jan 31
2	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	6	7	Dec 6	Dec 30	Dec 20	Mar 14
3	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	5	6	Jan 3	Apr 11	Sep 28	Apr 25
4	Spurs	3	2	0	1	4	6	Jan 7	w 0-1F	Dec 3	Feb 11
5	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	2	6	Feb 28	Nov 29	Mar 21	Dec 13
6	Everton	3	2	0	1	2	6	Dec 3	Feb 11	Feb 28	Nov 29
7	Bournemouth	3	2	0	1	0	6	-	-	Apr 18	Sep 21
8	C Palace	3	1	2	0	3	5	May 2	Oct 18	Jan 3	Apr 11
9	Man Utd	3	1	1	1	0	4	Mar 21	Dec 13	Mar 4	Dec 27
10	Nottm Forest	3	1	1	1	-1	4	Oct 26	May 24	Oct 5	May 9
11	Brighton	3	1	1	1	-1	4	Sep 13	Jan 17	May 2	Oct 18
12	Leeds	3	1	1	1	-4	4	Apr 25	Sep 27	Jan 7	d 0-00-0
13	Man City	3	1	0	2	1	3	May 17	Nov 1	Nov 22	Feb 21
14	Burnley	3	1	0	2	-2	3	Dec 20	Mar 14	Dec 6	Dec 30
15	Brentford	3	1	0	2	-2	3	Mar 4	Dec 27	Feb 7	Nov 8
16	West Ham	3	1	0	2	-4	3	Nov 22	Feb 21	May 17	Nov 1
17	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-1	2	Sep 21	Apr 18	-	-
18	Fulham	3	0	2	1	-2	2	Oct 3	May 9	Oct 25	May 24
19	A Villa	3	0	1	2	-4	1	Feb 7	Nov 8	Jan 24	d 0-00-0
20	Wolves	3	0	0	3	-6	0	w 1-0F	Jan 31	Sep 13	Jan 17

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Newcastle have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Newcastle have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth	1 - 0	Wolves
Bournemouth	2 - 0	Leicester
Bournemouth	0 - 1	A Villa
Bournemouth	1 - 1	Man Utd
Bournemouth	1 - 0	Fulham
Bournemouth	1 - 2	Ipswich
Bournemouth	1 - 2	Brentford
Bournemouth	0 - 1	Wolves
Bournemouth	0 - 2	Liverpool
Bournemouth	5 - 0	Nottm Forest
Bournemouth	1 - 0	Everton
Bournemouth	0 - 0	C Palace
Bournemouth	1 - 1	West Ham
Bournemouth	1 - 0	Spurs
Bournemouth	1 - 2	Brighton
Bournemouth	2 - 1	Man City
Bournemouth	2 - 0	Arsenal
Bournemouth	3 - 1	Southampton
Bournemouth	0 - 1	Chelsea
Bournemouth	1 - 1	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bournemouth	1 - 0	Spurs
H	Bournemouth	1 - 0	Wolves
A	Bournemouth	2 - 4	Liverpool
H	Bournemouth	2 - 0	Leicester
A	Bournemouth	1 - 3	Man City
H	Bournemouth	0 - 1	A Villa
A	Bournemouth	2 - 1	Arsenal
H	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Man Utd
A	Bournemouth	0 - 0	C Palace
H	Bournemouth	1 - 0	Fulham
A	Bournemouth	2 - 2	West Ham
H	Bournemouth	1 - 2	Ipswich
H	Bournemouth	1 - 2	Brentford
A	Bournemouth	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Bournemouth	1 - 2	Brighton
H	Bournemouth	0 - 1	Wolves
A	Bournemouth	3 - 1	Southampton
H	Bournemouth	0 - 2	Liverpool
H	Bournemouth	5 - 0	Nottm Forest
A	Bournemouth	4 - 1	Newcastle

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds	0 - 0	Newcastle
A Villa	0 - 0	Newcastle
Arsenal	1 - 0	Newcastle
Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle
A Villa	4 - 1	Newcastle
Leicester	0 - 3	Newcastle
West Ham	0 - 1	Newcastle
Liverpool	2 - 0	Newcastle
Man City	4 - 0	Newcastle
Southampton	1 - 3	Newcastle
Spurs	1 - 2	Newcastle
Man Utd	0 - 2	Newcastle
Ipswich	0 - 4	Newcastle
Brentford	4 - 2	Newcastle
C Palace	1 - 1	Newcastle
Nottm Forest	1 - 3	Newcastle
Chelsea	2 - 1	Newcastle
Everton	0 - 0	Newcastle
Fulham	3 - 1	Newcastle
Wolves	1 - 2	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Leeds
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Liverpool
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	A Villa
H	Newcastle	0 - 1	Everton
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea
A	Newcastle	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Newcastle	3 - 0	Ipswich
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	A Villa
H	Newcastle	5 - 0	C Palace
H	Newcastle	4 - 1	Man Utd
A	Newcastle	3 - 0	Leicester
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	West Ham
A	Newcastle	0 - 2	Liverpool
H	Newcastle	4 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Newcastle	0 - 4	Man City
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Fulham
A	Newcastle	3 - 1	Southampton
H	Newcastle	1 - 4	Bournemouth

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bournemouth have not lost to Newcastle in 6 consecutive league meetings

Bournemouth

Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

BOU

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bournemouth	2 - 0
Bournemouth	1 - 0
	1 - 4	Newcastle
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Newcastle

Newcastle

Bournemouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

1 / 7

BOU

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
	1 - 4	Bournemouth
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 1
Newcastle	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Bournemouth
	1 - 3	Bournemouth

Goal Statistics

	Bournemouth 7th	Newcastle 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Bournemouth will score no more than 1 goal	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-23 Bournemouth have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted	-14 Newcastle have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

57%

better

BOU

NEW

view stats

Games scored	3		1
Failed to score	0		2
Scored first	2		0
Goals scored	4		2
Avg. goals scored	1.3		0.7
Avg. shots per game	10		7
Avg. shots per goal	8		11
Conversion rate for	13		10
Avg. XG for	1.6		1
KickOff rating		+57%

BOU

NEW

better

view stats

Games conceded	1		1
Clean sheets	2		2
Conceded first	1		1
Goals conceded	4		3
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		5
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	16%		21%
Avg. XG against	1.1		0.5
KickOff rating		+3%

Bournemouth v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	2	1	2
Đorđe Petrović	A Semenyo	M Senesi	T Adams

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Đorđe Petrović GLK	3			1 -
B Diakité DEF	3			-
A Truffert DEF	3			-
M Senesi DEF	3		1	-
A Smith DEF	3			-
J Hill DEF	3			1 -
A Scott MID	3			1 -
M Tavernier MID	3	1		-
T Adams MID	3			2 -
E Kroupi FWD	3			-
D Brooks FWD	3		1	1 -
Evanilson FWD	3	1		1 -
A Semenyo FWD	3	2	1	1 -
J Kluivert MID	2			-
R Christie MID	2			-
A Adli FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	1	4
A Semenyo	A Semenyo	M Senesi	D Brooks

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Semenyo FWD	2	4	1	1
M Tavernier MID	1	3
Evanilson FWD	1	2		1
A Truffert DEF				1
M Senesi DEF			1
A Smith DEF				1
T Adams MID		2
D Brooks FWD		2	1	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
126	9	19
M Senesi	T Adams	A Scott

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Senesi DEF	126	6	11
B Diakité DEF	117	5	12
T Adams MID	116	9	16
A Truffert DEF	93	7	18
M Tavernier MID	87	6	16
Đorđe Petrović GLK	85		2
A Smith DEF	73	1	7
A Scott MID	73	5	19
A Semenyo FWD	71	4	19
D Brooks FWD	53	6	12
Evanilson FWD	45		9
R Christie MID	34	4	7
J Hill DEF	25		4
A Adli FWD	24	7	12
J Kluivert MID	13
E Kroupi FWD	3

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	1	1
N Pope	B Guimarães	T Livramento	N Pope

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Pope GLK	3			1 -
T Livramento DEF	3		1	-
D Burn DEF	3			1 -
K Trippier DEF	3			-
F Schär DEF	3			-
L Miley MID	3			-
B Guimarães MID	3	1		1 -
S Tonali MID	3			-
A Elanga FWD	3			-
W Osula FWD	3	1		-
H Barnes FWD	3			-
L Hall DEF	2			-
Joelinton MID	2			1 -
J Ramsey MID	2			-
A Gordon FWD	2			1
J Murphy FWD	2			-
M Thiaw DEF	1			-
S Botman DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	2
B Guimarães	A Gordon	T Livramento	H Barnes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Guimarães MID	1	1
W Osula FWD	1	1
T Livramento DEF			1	1
S Tonali MID				1
A Elanga FWD		1
H Barnes FWD				2
A Gordon FWD		3
J Murphy FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
159	9	17
F Schär	B Guimarães	D Burn

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Schär DEF	159	4	15
S Tonali MID	155	2	6
K Trippier DEF	136	1	5
B Guimarães MID	129	9	17
D Burn DEF	129	2	17
T Livramento DEF	120	2	11
N Pope GLK	57		2
H Barnes FWD	52	1	5
L Miley MID	48	1	2
A Elanga FWD	48	1	7
S Botman DEF	41	2	4
Joelinton MID	34	4	11
A Gordon FWD	33		12
J Ramsey MID	26	1	2
J Murphy FWD	24		3
L Hall DEF	23	1	1
W Osula FWD	16	1	4
M Thiaw DEF	6		1