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Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 15:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton and Hove Albion side are on home soil in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as Eddie Howe's Newcastle United visit the Amex Stadium. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Premier League match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 mins. Both Brighton and Newcastle's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Brighton 39%	27/20	-
Draw 25%	27/10	-
Newcastle 36%	31/20	-
Draw 1-1 12%	7/1	-
Brighton 1-0 9%	9/1	-
Newcastle 1-0 9%	10/1	-
Brighton 2-1 9%	9/1	-
Newcastle 2-1 8%	10/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	12/1	-
Brighton 2-0 6%	12/1	-
Newcastle 2-0 6%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Brighton 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Newcastle 3-1 4%	22/1	-
Brighton 3-0 3%	25/1	-
Brighton 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Newcastle 3-0 3%	28/1	-
Newcastle 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	10/11	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	1/1	-
No 1st Goal 4%	12/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 44%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	7/2	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	15/4	-
Home/draw 64%	1/2	-
Away/draw 61%	4/7	-
Home/away 75%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	2/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	12/1	-
Home DNB 57%	4/5	-
Away DNB 54%	10/11	-
Brighton win to nil 20%	10/3	-
Newcastle win to nil 18%	4/1	-
Brighton / Brighton 22%	3/1	-
Brighton / Newcastle 3%	28/1	-
Brighton / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Brighton 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Newcastle 13%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	5/1	-
Newcastle / Brighton 3%	25/1	-
Newcastle / Newcastle 19%	7/2	-
Newcastle / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Premier League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Brighton Newcastle
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	7	5	1	1	11	16	Mar 4	Dec 27	l 1-2F	Apr 25
2	Liverpool	7	5	0	2	4	15	Mar 21	Dec 13	l 2-3A	Jan 31
3	Spurs	7	4	2	1	8	14	d 2-2F	Apr 18	Dec 3	Feb 11
4	Bournemouth	7	4	2	1	3	14	Jan 17	l 2-1A	Apr 18	d 0-00-0
5	C Palace	6	3	3	0	5	12	Feb 7	Nov 9	Jan 3	Apr 11
6	Chelsea	7	3	2	2	4	11	Apr 25	w 1-3A	Dec 20	Mar 14
7	Sunderland	7	3	2	2	1	11	Dec 20	Mar 14	Mar 21	Dec 13
8	Man City	6	3	1	2	8	10	w 2-1A	Jan 7	Nov 22	Feb 21
9	Man Utd	7	3	1	3	-2	10	May 24	Oct 25	Mar 4	Dec 27
10	Everton	6	2	2	2	1	8	Jan 31	l 2-0A	Feb 28	Nov 29
11	Brighton	6	2	2	2	0	8	-	-	May 2	Oct 18
12	Fulham	7	2	2	3	-3	8	d 1-1F	Jan 24	Oct 25	May 24
13	Leeds	7	2	2	3	-4	8	Nov 1	May 17	Jan 7	d 0-00-0
14	Brentford	6	2	1	3	-2	7	Nov 22	Feb 21	Feb 7	Nov 9
15	Newcastle	6	1	3	2	-1	6	Oct 18	May 2	-	-
16	A Villa	6	1	3	2	-2	6	Dec 3	Feb 11	Jan 24	d 0-00-0
17	Nottm Forest	6	1	2	3	-5	5	Feb 28	Nov 30	Oct 5	May 9
18	Burnley	6	1	1	4	-7	4	Jan 3	Apr 11	Dec 6	Dec 30
19	West Ham	7	1	1	5	-10	4	Dec 6	Dec 30	May 17	Nov 2
20	Wolves	6	0	1	5	-9	1	May 9	Oct 5	w 1-0F	Jan 17

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Newcastle have drawn 3 consecutive away league games

Brighton have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games

Newcastle have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Newcastle have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games

Newcastle have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton	2 - 2	Spurs
Brighton	2 - 1	Man City
Brighton	1 - 1	Fulham
Brighton	3 - 2	Liverpool
Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle
Brighton	3 - 2	West Ham
Brighton	2 - 2	Leicester
Brighton	0 - 3	A Villa
Brighton	2 - 1	Fulham
Brighton	2 - 1	Bournemouth
Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea
Brighton	0 - 1	Everton
Brighton	1 - 1	Arsenal
Brighton	0 - 0	Brentford
Brighton	1 - 3	C Palace
Brighton	1 - 1	Southampton
Brighton	2 - 1	Man City
Brighton	2 - 2	Wolves
Brighton	3 - 2	Spurs
Brighton	2 - 2	Nottm Forest

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Brighton	3 - 1	Chelsea
H	Brighton	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Brighton	1 - 2	Bournemouth
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Man City
A	Brighton	0 - 2	Everton
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Fulham
A	Brighton	4 - 1	Spurs
H	Brighton	3 - 2	Liverpool
A	Brighton	2 - 0	Wolves
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle
H	Brighton	3 - 2	West Ham
A	Brighton	2 - 4	Brentford
H	Brighton	2 - 2	Leicester
A	Brighton	1 - 2	C Palace
H	Brighton	0 - 3	A Villa
A	Brighton	2 - 2	Man City
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Fulham
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Brighton	4 - 0	Southampton
H	Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth	0 - 0	Newcastle
Leeds	0 - 0	Newcastle
A Villa	0 - 0	Newcastle
Arsenal	1 - 0	Newcastle
Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle
A Villa	4 - 1	Newcastle
Leicester	0 - 3	Newcastle
West Ham	0 - 1	Newcastle
Liverpool	2 - 0	Newcastle
Man City	4 - 0	Newcastle
Southampton	1 - 3	Newcastle
Spurs	1 - 2	Newcastle
Man Utd	0 - 2	Newcastle
Ipswich	0 - 4	Newcastle
Brentford	4 - 2	Newcastle
C Palace	1 - 1	Newcastle
Nottm Forest	1 - 3	Newcastle
Chelsea	2 - 1	Newcastle
Everton	0 - 0	Newcastle
Fulham	3 - 1	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Arsenal
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Bournemouth
H	Newcastle	1 - 0	Wolves
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Leeds
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Liverpool
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	A Villa
H	Newcastle	0 - 1	Everton
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea
A	Newcastle	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Newcastle	3 - 0	Ipswich
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	A Villa
H	Newcastle	5 - 0	C Palace
H	Newcastle	4 - 1	Man Utd
A	Newcastle	3 - 0	Leicester
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	West Ham
A	Newcastle	0 - 2	Liverpool
H	Newcastle	4 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Newcastle	0 - 4	Man City

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Brighton

Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

2 / 9

BHA

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Brighton	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Brighton	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Brighton	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Newcastle

Newcastle

Brighton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

5 / 9

BHA

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
	0 - 1	Brighton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	4 - 1
Newcastle	2 - 1
	0 - 3	Brighton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Brighton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Brighton 10th	Newcastle 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 58% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-19 Newcastle have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

better

BHA

NEW

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BHA

NEW

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Brighton v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	2	2
B Verbruggen	D Welbeck	Y Minteh	J Hecke

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Verbruggen GLK	6			-
J Hecke DEF	6			2 -
L Dunk DEF	6			2 -
B Gruda MID	6	1	1	-
C Quomah MID	6			1 -
Y Ayari MID	6	1		-
K Mitoma FWD	6	1	1	1 -
Y Minteh FWD	6	1	2	-
D Welbeck FWD	6	2		1 -
M Cuyper DEF	5	1		1 -
F Kadioglu DEF	5			2 -
D Amarilla MID	5			2 -
G Rutter FWD	5		1	1 -
J Veltman DEF	4			2 -
M Wieffer MID	4		1	2 -
J Milner MID	4	1		1 -
J Hinshelwood MID	3			-
D Coppola DEF	2			-
S Tzimas FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	2	3
D Welbeck	Y Ayari	Y Minteh	Y Minteh

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Welbeck FWD	2	3
B Gruda MID	1	2	1	1
Y Ayari MID	1	4
K Mitoma FWD	1	3	1	1
Y Minteh FWD	1	3	2	3
M Cuyper DEF	1	1
J Milner MID	1	1
J Hecke DEF		1
D Amarilla MID		1		1
G Rutter FWD		2	1	2
M Wieffer MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
368	15	40
L Dunk	J Veltman	Y Minteh

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Dunk DEF	368	6	20
J Hecke DEF	354	7	27
B Verbruggen GLK	202		2
Y Ayari MID	182	12	23
K Mitoma FWD	126	3	16
M Cuyper DEF	123	6	14
Y Minteh FWD	117	10	40
C Quomah MID	106	4	18
M Wieffer MID	92	15	23
F Kadioglu DEF	86	8	16
J Veltman DEF	84	15	27
D Amarilla MID	64	11	20
G Rutter FWD	59	4	17
D Welbeck FWD	55	3	6
J Milner MID	55	3	6
J Hinshelwood MID	54	3	6
B Gruda MID	38	3	12
D Coppola DEF	3		2
S Tzimas FWD	3	1	1

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	1	2
N Pope	N Woltemade	T Livramento	D Burn

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Pope GLK	6			1 -
T Livramento DEF	6		1	-
D Burn DEF	6			2 -
S Tonali MID	6		1	-
A Elanga FWD	6			-
W Osula FWD	6	1		-
H Barnes FWD	6			-
K Trippier DEF	5			-
B Guimarães MID	5	1		2 -
J Murphy FWD	5		1	-
S Botman DEF	4			-
F Schär DEF	4			-
Joelinton MID	4			2 -
L Miley MID	4			-
M Thiaw DEF	3			1 -
L Hall DEF	3			-
N Woltemade FWD	3	2		-
A Gordon FWD	3			1
J Lascelles DEF	2			-
J Ramsey MID	2			-
J Willock MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	1	2
N Woltemade	J Murphy	T Livramento	S Tonali

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Woltemade FWD	2	2
W Osula FWD	1	1
B Guimarães MID	1	1
T Livramento DEF		1	1	1
S Tonali MID		2	1	2
A Elanga FWD		1
H Barnes FWD				2
J Murphy FWD		4	1
Joelinton MID				1
M Thiaw DEF		1
A Gordon FWD		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
288	10	39
S Tonali	B Guimarães	D Burn

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Tonali MID	288	8	21
D Burn DEF	246	8	39
F Schär DEF	223	4	23
T Livramento DEF	219	6	23
K Trippier DEF	215	2	10
B Guimarães MID	202	10	29
S Botman DEF	138	2	14
N Pope GLK	135	1	7
L Miley MID	98	3	5
Joelinton MID	96	5	16
H Barnes FWD	79	2	7
J Murphy FWD	76		9
A Elanga FWD	65	1	10
M Thiaw DEF	60	3	10
L Hall DEF	58	6	12
A Gordon FWD	48	3	18
N Woltemade FWD	38	3	12
J Ramsey MID	26	1	2
W Osula FWD	20	1	8
J Willock MID	20	4	7
J Lascelles DEF	6		1