FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
	-	-
	-	-

Burnley v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley and Leeds United clash at the Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon, with both Scott Parker and Daniel Farke seeking a win in the English Premier League. We have custom-designed statistics for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Burnley and Leeds have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 31%	3.10	-
Draw 27%	3.40	-
Leeds 42%	2.15	-
Draw 1-1 13%	7.00	-
Leeds 1-0 11%	8.00	-
Burnley 1-0 9%	10.00	-
Leeds 2-1 9%	10.00	-
Draw 0-0 8%	9.50	-
Leeds 2-0 8%	11.00	-
Burnley 2-1 7%	13.00	-
Burnley 2-0 5%	17.00	-
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00	-
Leeds 3-1 4%	21.00	-
Leeds 3-0 3%	23.00	-
Burnley 3-1 3%	29.00	-
Leeds 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Burnley 3-0 2%	41.00	-
Burnley 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	2.10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	1.73	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	2.20	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	1.80	-
No 1st Goal 5%	9.50	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	1.91	-
BTTS - No 49%	1.91	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6.50	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.75	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	4.75	-
Home/draw 58%	1.67	-
Away/draw 69%	1.36	-
Home/away 73%	1.30	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1.36	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	3.20	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	4.00	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1.25	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	8.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1.08	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	17.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.03	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.06	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9.50	-
Home DNB 50%	2.25	-
Away DNB 61%	1.57	-
Burnley win to nil 17%	5.50	-
Leeds win to nil 24%	3.50	-
Burnley / Burnley 16%	5.50	-
Burnley / Leeds 3%	29.00	-
Burnley / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Burnley 11%	7.50	-
Draw / Leeds 16%	5.50	-
Draw / Draw 17%	5.00	-
Leeds / Burnley 3%	34.00	-
Leeds / Leeds 23%	3.75	-
Leeds / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win Premier League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Leeds
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	7	5	1	1	11	16	Nov 1	May 17	Jan 31	l 5-0A
2	Liverpool	7	5	0	2	4	15	l 0-1A	Jan 17	Dec 6	Dec 30
3	Spurs	7	4	2	1	8	14	Jan 24	l 3-0A	l 1-2A	May 9
4	Bournemouth	7	4	2	1	3	14	Mar 14	Dec 20	d 2-2A	Apr 25
5	C Palace	6	3	3	0	5	12	Dec 3	Feb 11	Dec 20	Mar 14
6	Chelsea	7	3	2	2	4	11	Nov 22	Feb 21	Dec 3	Feb 11
7	Sunderland	7	3	2	2	1	11	w 2-0F	Jan 31	Mar 4	Dec 27
8	Man City	6	3	1	2	8	10	Apr 25	l 5-1A	Feb 28	Nov 29
9	Man Utd	7	3	1	3	-2	10	Jan 7	l 3-2A	Jan 3	Apr 11
10	Everton	6	2	2	2	1	8	Dec 27	Mar 4	w 1-0F	Jan 24
11	Brighton	6	2	2	2	0	8	Apr 11	Jan 3	May 17	Nov 1
12	Fulham	7	2	2	3	-3	8	Dec 13	Mar 21	Jan 17	l 1-0A
13	Leeds	7	2	2	3	-4	8	Oct 18	May 2	-	-
14	Brentford	6	2	1	3	-2	7	Feb 28	Nov 29	Mar 21	Dec 13
15	Newcastle	6	1	3	2	-1	6	Dec 30	Dec 6	d 0-00-0	Jan 7
16	A Villa	6	1	3	2	-2	6	May 9	Oct 5	Nov 23	Feb 21
17	Nottm Forest	6	1	2	3	-5	5	d 1-1A	Apr 18	Feb 7	Nov 9
18	Burnley	6	1	1	4	-7	4	-	-	May 2	Oct 18
19	West Ham	7	1	1	5	-10	4	Feb 7	Nov 8	Oct 24	May 24
20	Wolves	6	0	1	5	-9	1	May 24	Oct 26	Apr 18	w 1-3A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Burnley	0 - 1	Liverpool
Burnley	2 - 0	Sunderland
Burnley	3 - 1	Millwall
Burnley	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
Burnley	1 - 1	West Brom
Burnley	4 - 0	Luton
Burnley	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
Burnley	2 - 0	Hull
Burnley	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
Burnley	0 - 0	Leeds
Burnley	0 - 0	Sunderland
Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burnley	1 - 5	Man City
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
H	Burnley	0 - 1	Liverpool
A	Burnley	2 - 3	Man Utd
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Sunderland
A	Burnley	0 - 3	Spurs
H	Burnley	3 - 1	Millwall
A	Burnley	5 - 0	QPR
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Coventry
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Swansea
H	Burnley	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Burnley	4 - 0	Luton
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Cardiff
H	Burnley	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Preston

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolves	1 - 3	Leeds
Fulham	1 - 0	Leeds
Arsenal	5 - 0	Leeds
Plymouth	1 - 2	Leeds
Oxford Utd	0 - 1	Leeds
M'Boro	0 - 1	Leeds
Luton	1 - 1	Leeds
QPR	2 - 2	Leeds
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Leeds
Sheff Utd	1 - 3	Leeds
Watford	0 - 4	Leeds
Coventry	0 - 2	Leeds
Burnley	0 - 0	Leeds
Hull	3 - 3	Leeds
Derby	0 - 1	Leeds
Stoke	0 - 2	Leeds
Preston	1 - 1	Leeds
Blackburn	1 - 0	Leeds
Swansea	3 - 4	Leeds
Millwall	1 - 0	Leeds

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Leeds	2 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Leeds	3 - 1	Wolves
A	Leeds	0 - 1	Fulham
H	Leeds	0 - 0	Newcastle
A	Leeds	0 - 5	Arsenal
H	Leeds	1 - 0	Everton
A	Leeds	2 - 1	Plymouth
H	Leeds	4 - 0	Bristol C
H	Leeds	6 - 0	Stoke
A	Leeds	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
H	Leeds	2 - 1	Preston
A	Leeds	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Leeds	1 - 1	Luton
H	Leeds	2 - 2	Swansea
A	Leeds	2 - 2	QPR
H	Leeds	2 - 0	Millwall
A	Leeds	0 - 1	Portsmouth
H	Leeds	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Leeds	3 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Leeds	2 - 1	Sunderland

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley

Leeds

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

3 / 10

BRN

LEE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 4	Leeds
Burnley	2 - 1
Burnley	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Leeds
	2 - 3	Leeds
Burnley	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Leeds
	0 - 1	Leeds

Leeds

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 11

6 / 11

Clean sheets

5 / 11

1 / 11

BRN

LEE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
	0 - 1	Burnley
Leeds	3 - 1
Leeds	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Burnley
Leeds	1 - 0
Leeds	2 - 1
Leeds	1 - 0
Leeds	1 - 0
Leeds	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Burnley

Goal Statistics

	Burnley 18th	Leeds 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+8 Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+10 Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	0.4 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

better

BRN

LEE

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BRN

LEE

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Burnley v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	4	1	2
M Dúbravka	J Anthony	Q Hartman	K Walker

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Dúbravka GLK	6			-
K Walker DEF	6			2 -
Q Hartman DEF	6		1	1 -
H Ekdal DEF	6			-
M Estève DEF	6			-
H Mejbri MID	6			-
J Cullen MID	6	1	1	-
J Laurent MID	6			1 -
L Tchaouna FWD	6			1 -
J Anthony FWD	6	4	1	2 -
L Foster FWD	6	1	1	1 -
L Ugochukwu MID	5			1 1
J Larsen FWD	4		1	-
J Worrall DEF	3			-
O Sonne DEF	3			-
Florentino MID	3			1 -
Z Flemming FWD	3			-
A Broja FWD	2			-
B Humphreys DEF	1			-
M Edwards FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	1	1
J Anthony	J Anthony	Q Hartman	H Mejbri

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Anthony FWD	4	7	1	1
J Cullen MID	1	1	1	1
L Foster FWD	1	1	1	1
Q Hartman DEF		2	1
H Ekdal DEF		1
M Estève DEF		1
H Mejbri MID				1
J Laurent MID		2
L Tchaouna FWD		1
J Larsen FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
261	14	32
J Cullen	Q Hartman	L Foster

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Cullen MID	261	7	18
K Walker DEF	218	8	25
M Dúbravka GLK	190		3
M Estève DEF	183	7	26
H Ekdal DEF	162	8	25
J Anthony FWD	138	8	28
Q Hartman DEF	137	14	19
J Laurent MID	97	2	8
L Foster FWD	91	5	32
L Ugochukwu MID	75	9	18
Florentino MID	70	13	16
L Tchaouna FWD	57	5	17
H Mejbri MID	54	6	20
J Larsen FWD	47	1	4
O Sonne DEF	25	1	4
Z Flemming FWD	4	1	2
A Broja FWD	4		1
J Worrall DEF	2	1	4
B Humphreys DEF	2

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	1	1	2
G Gudmundsson	J Rodon	J Bogle	J Bogle

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Gudmundsson DEF	6			1 -
J Rodon DEF	6	1		-
J Bogle DEF	6		1	2 -
P Struijk DEF	6			-
S Longstaff MID	6	1	1	-
A Stach MID	6	1	1	1 -
B Aaronson MID	6			1 -
L Nmecha FWD	6	1		-
J Harrison FWD	5			-
E Ampadu DEF	4			1 -
A Tanaka MID	4			-
I Gruev MID	4			-
D James FWD	4			-
W Gnonto FWD	4			1 -
N Okafor FWD	4	1		1 -
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	4	1		-
L Perri GLK	3			-
K Darlow GLK	3			-
J Justin DEF	2			-
J Piroe FWD	2			-
S Byram DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	6	1	3
J Rodon	D Calvert-Lewin	J Bogle	B Aaronson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Rodon DEF	1	2
S Longstaff MID	1	2	1	1
A Stach MID	1	2	1	2
L Nmecha FWD	1	1
N Okafor FWD	1	1		1
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	1	6
G Gudmundsson DEF				1
J Bogle DEF		1	1
P Struijk DEF		1
B Aaronson MID		2		3
J Harrison FWD		1
J Piroe FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
346	19	32
P Struijk	S Longstaff	A Stach

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Struijk DEF	346	4	17
J Rodon DEF	264	5	31
A Stach MID	224	12	32
G Gudmundsson DEF	221	12	28
E Ampadu DEF	213	10	20
J Bogle DEF	155	16	30
S Longstaff MID	146	19	31
K Darlow GLK	115		6
L Perri GLK	99		2
I Gruev MID	98	5	6
B Aaronson MID	80	12	28
A Tanaka MID	72	1	3
W Gnonto FWD	67	9	10
N Okafor FWD	53	5	18
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	47	2	20
D James FWD	38	1	7
L Nmecha FWD	35		8
J Harrison FWD	35	3	9
J Piroe FWD	28		1
J Justin DEF	1
S Byram DEF	1