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Leeds United v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 14:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds United and their manager Daniel Farke will be aiming to beat Unai Emery Etxegoien and his Aston Villa side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Elland Road in the English Premier League. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for every one.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Leeds and A Villa go head-to-head, with little to choose between the players in terms of who could claim victory. The stats do not supply any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.70 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
39%
3.10
11%
3.00
Draw
30%
3.30
3%
3.25
A Villa
32%
2.30
6%
2.45
Leeds 1-0
14%
10.00
5%
8.50
Draw 1-1
13%
7.00
8%
6.00
Draw 0-0
12%
9.008.00
A Villa 1-0
12%
8.00
6%
7.50
Leeds 2-0
8%
17.00
13%
13.00
Leeds 2-1
8%
13.00
8%
10.00
A Villa 2-1
7%
10.00
9%
9.00
A Villa 2-0
6%
12.00
8%
11.00
Draw 2-2
4%
17.0013.00
Leeds 3-0
3%
34.0023.00
Leeds 3-1
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
A Villa 3-1
2%
21.00
9%
17.00
A Villa 3-0
2%
23.00
21%
19.00
Leeds 3-2
1%
41.0026.00
A Villa 3-2
1%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
2.102.05
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
1.731.70
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.10
2%
2.15
Away 1st Goal
44%
1.83
4%
1.91
No 1st Goal
9%
9.007.50
BTTS - Yes
42%
1.801.83
BTTS - No
58%
1.951.91
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6.50
8%
5.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
11%
5.00
9%
4.80
Home/draw
68%
1.57
3%
1.55
Away/draw
61%
1.36
3%
1.40
Home/away
70%
1.33
2%
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
1.361.35
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
3.203.00
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
3.753.60
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1.291.25
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
8.007.00
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1.081.08
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
17.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1.071.07
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
9.007.50
Home DNB
60%
2.10
5%
2.05
Away DNB
52%
1.67
3%
1.70
Leeds win to nil
25%
5.00
11%
-
A Villa win to nil
20%
3.75
6%
-
Leeds / Leeds
17%
5.00
5%
4.60
Leeds / A Villa
3%
29.0021.00
Leeds / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Leeds
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
Draw / A Villa
14%
6.005.50
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.40
A Villa / Leeds
3%
34.0023.00
A Villa / A Villa
21%
4.00
8%
3.80
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Leeds have conceded 13 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leeds have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

A Villa lay in 6th place on 18 points in the Premier League league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 9 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 5 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal118211526 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
Dec 6
Dec 30
2
Man City117131522 
Feb 28
Nov 29
w
 
1-0F
May 24
3
Chelsea116231020 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Mar 4
Dec 27
4
Sunderland11542419 
Mar 4
Dec 28
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
5
Spurs11533918 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
May 2
w
 
1-2A
6
A Villa11533318 
Nov 23
Feb 21
-
-
7
Man Utd11533118 
Jan 4
Apr 11
Dec 21
Mar 14
8
Liverpool11605118 
Dec 6
Jan 1
May 17
l
 
2-0A
9
Bournemouth11533-118 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
w
 
4-0F
Feb 7
10
C Palace11452517 
Dec 20
Mar 14
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
11
Brighton11443216 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
Feb 11
Dec 3
12
Brentford11515016 
Mar 21
Dec 14
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
13
Everton11434-115 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
14
Newcastle11335-312 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 24
15
Fulham11326-411 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
16
Leeds11326-1011 
-
-
Feb 21
Nov 23
17
Burnley11317-810 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 9
18
West Ham11317-1010 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
Mar 21
Dec 14
19
Nottm Forest11236-109 
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
Jan 3
Apr 11
20
Wolves11029-182 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Nov 30
Feb 28
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds2 - 1West Ham
Leeds1 - 2Spurs
Leeds2 - 2Bournemouth
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds1 - 0Everton
Leeds4 - 0Bristol C
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Leeds2 - 1Preston
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
Leeds7 - 0Cardiff
Leeds2 - 0Norwich
Leeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
Leeds1 - 1Blackburn
Leeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Leeds3 - 0Luton
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds6 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds1 - 0M'Boro
ALeeds1 - 1Luton
HLeeds2 - 2Swansea
ALeeds2 - 2QPR
A Villa 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs1 - 2A Villa
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
C Palace4 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Everton0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 2Man Utd
HA Villa2 - 0Spurs
AA Villa1 - 0Bournemouth
HA Villa1 - 0Fulham
AA Villa1 - 2Man City
HA Villa4 - 1Newcastle
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
HA Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A Villa have not lost to Leeds in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
A Villa have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Leeds
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
A Villa
Goals: Scored
17
14
Games: Scored
12 / 18
10 / 18
Clean sheets
8 / 18
6 / 18
LEE
5
D
9
AVL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
1 - 2A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Leeds
Goals: Scored
22
17
Games: Scored
14 / 18
9 / 18
Clean sheets
9 / 18
4 / 18
LEE
5
D
5
AVL
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 3Leeds
2 - 3Leeds
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 2Leeds
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Leeds 16th A Villa 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of A Villa scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Leeds have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
-32
A Villa have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.1
1
Attack rating
LEE
AVL
14%
better
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score5
5
Scored first3
4
Goals scored10
13
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for11
16
Avg. XG for1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
LEE
AVL
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded20
10
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
9
Conversion rate against23%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+37%

Leeds v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11223
J RodonJ RodonS LongstaffE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rodon DEF112
-
J Bogle  DEF111
2
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF11
1
-
S Longstaff MID1112
1
-
B Aaronson MID1111
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD112
-
A Stach MID1011
1
-
J Harrison FWD10
-
P Struijk DEF9
1
-
E Ampadu MID9
3
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD91
-
A Tanaka MID8
-
N Okafor FWD82
2
-
D James FWD8
-
L Perri GLK6
1
-
K Darlow GLK5
-
J Justin  DEF5
1
-
I Gruev MID5
1
-
J Piroe FWD5
-
W Gnonto FWD4
1
-
J Bijol DEF3
-
S Byram DEF1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11333
M CashD MalenL DigneM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cash DEF112
3
-
L Digne DEF113
2
-
M Rogers MID1112
2
-
J McGinn MID111
1
-
O Watkins FWD111
-
D Malen FWD113
-
E Konsa DEF10
1
E Guessand FWD10
-
E Martínez GLK9
1
-
E Buendía MID932
2
-
B Kamara MID92
3
-
P Torres DEF8
-
T Mings DEF7
-
I Maatsen DEF7
1
-
A Onana MID71
2
-
L Bogarde MID7
1
-
R Barkley MID51
-
Y Tielemans MID51
-
J Sancho FWD4
-
V Lindelöf DEF3
-
H Elliot MID3
-
M Bizot GLK2
1
-