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Manchester City v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Nov, 15:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Daniel Farke leads his Leeds United side to the Etihad Stadium in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, with Josep Guardiola i Sala's Manchester City their challengers. All the odds are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Premier League match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Man City to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Man City. Their latest form statistics show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Leeds too. The odds point towards Josep Guardiola i Sala's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 77% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
77%
1.25-
Draw
15%
5.75
5%
-
Leeds
8%
11.00-
Man City 2-0
13%
7.00
7%
-
Man City 3-0
11%
8.50-
Man City 1-0
10%
8.50
6%
-
Man City 2-1
9%
9.50
5%
-
Man City 3-1
7%
12.00-
Draw 1-1
7%
12.00-
Man City 4-0
7%
13.00-
Man City 4-1
5%
19.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00-
Man City 5-0
3%
26.00-
Draw 2-2
3%
26.00
13%
-
Leeds 1-0
3%
29.00-
Man City 3-2
3%
29.00-
Leeds 2-1
2%
34.00-
Man City 5-1
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.57
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.38
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
63%
1.29
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
3.60-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
46%
2.00
3%
-
BTTS - No
54%
1.75
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2.88-
BTTS - Draw
11%
7.50
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
4%
19.00-
Home/draw
92%
1.05-
Away/draw
23%
3.75-
Home/away
85%
1.14-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.38-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.57-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.33
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.22
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.08-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00
12%
-
Home DNB
88%
1.07-
Away DNB
18%
9.00-
Man City win to nil
46%
2.00
5%
-
Leeds win to nil
4%
17.00
11%
-
Man City / Man City
48%
1.80-
Man City / Leeds
2%
51.00-
Man City / Draw
4%
21.00-
Draw / Man City
21%
4.00-
Draw / Leeds
4%
23.00-
Draw / Draw
10%
9.00-
Leeds / Man City
4%
21.00-
Leeds / Leeds
4%
21.00-
Leeds / Draw
4%
23.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Man City have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Leeds are in 16th position in the Premier League on 11 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Leeds have conceded 13 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal118211526 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
2
Man City117131522 
-
-
Feb 28
Nov 29
3
Chelsea116231020 
Jan 4
Apr 11
Dec 3
Feb 11
4
Sunderland11542419 
Dec 6
Jan 1
Mar 4
Dec 28
5
Spurs11533918 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
l
 
1-2A
May 9
6
A Villa11533318 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
Nov 23
Feb 21
7
Man Utd11533118 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
Jan 4
Apr 11
8
Liverpool11605118 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 7
Dec 6
Jan 1
9
Bournemouth11533-118 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
10
C Palace11452517 
Mar 21
Dec 14
Dec 20
Mar 14
11
Brighton11443216 
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
May 17
l
 
3-0A
12
Brentford11515016 
May 9
w
 
0-1F
Mar 21
Dec 14
13
Everton11434-115 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
14
Newcastle11335-312 
Feb 21
Nov 22
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
15
Fulham11326-411 
Feb 11
Dec 2
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
16
Leeds11326-1011 
Nov 29
Feb 28
-
-
17
Burnley11317-810 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
May 2
l
 
2-0A
18
West Ham11317-1010 
Dec 20
Mar 14
w
 
2-1F
May 24
19
Nottm Forest11236-109 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
20
Wolves11029-182 
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
5
Man City have won 5 consecutive home league games
3
Leeds have lost 3 consecutive away league games
5
Man City have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City3 - 0Liverpool
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Man City2 - 0Everton
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man City3 - 0Man Utd
Man City0 - 2Spurs
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Man City1 - 0Wolves
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Man City5 - 2C Palace
Man City2 - 0Leicester
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Man City3 - 1Chelsea
Man City4 - 1West Ham
Man City1 - 1Everton
Man City1 - 2Man Utd
Man City3 - 0Nottm Forest
Man City0 - 4Spurs
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City3 - 0Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 1A Villa
HMan City2 - 0Everton
AMan City1 - 0Brentford
HMan City5 - 1Burnley
AMan City1 - 1Arsenal
HMan City3 - 0Man Utd
AMan City1 - 2Brighton
HMan City0 - 2Spurs
AMan City4 - 0Wolves
AMan City2 - 0Fulham
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 0Southampton
HMan City1 - 0Wolves
HMan City2 - 1A Villa
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
Leeds 16TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Plymouth1 - 2Leeds
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
Luton1 - 1Leeds
QPR2 - 2Leeds
Portsmouth1 - 0Leeds
Sheff Utd1 - 3Leeds
Watford0 - 4Leeds
Coventry0 - 2Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Hull3 - 3Leeds
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Stoke0 - 2Leeds
Preston1 - 1Leeds
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds6 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds1 - 0M'Boro
ALeeds1 - 1Luton
HLeeds2 - 2Swansea
ALeeds2 - 2QPR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
Leeds
Goals: Scored
18
10
Games: Scored
7 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
3 / 10
MCI
4
D
4
LEE
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City2 - 1
Man City7 - 0
1 - 2Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City2 - 1
0 - 4Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City4 - 0
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
Man City
Goals: Scored
14
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
MCI
4
D
1
LEE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
1 - 3Man City
0 - 4Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds3 - 0
1 - 2Man City
0 - 1Man City
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds3 - 2
Leeds1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Man City 2nd Leeds 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
25%
There is a 72% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 50% probability that Leeds will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Man City have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
2.5
0.7
Attack rating
%
better
MCI
LEE
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MCI
LEE
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Man City v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
111433
E HaalandE HaalandJ DokuN González 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Dias DEF11
-
B Silva MID112
2
-
J Doku FWD1113
-
E Haaland FWD11141
-
N. O'Reilly DEF1012
2
-
N González  MID101
3
-
T Reijnders MID1012
2
-
M Nunes DEF911
1
-
P Foden FWD911
3
-
G Donnarumma GLK8
2
-
S Sávio FWD81
1
-
O Bobb FWD81
-
J Gvardiol DEF71
-
Rodri MID6
-
R Cherki FWD612
-
O Marmoush FWD61
-
J Stones DEF5
-
R Lewis DEF51
-
N Aké  DEF5
-
A. Khusanov DEF4
1
-
R Nouri DEF4
1
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
M Kovacic MID1
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11223
G Gudmundsson J RodonS LongstaffE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF11
1
-
J Rodon DEF112
-
J Bogle  DEF111
2
-
B Aaronson MID1111
1
-
S Longstaff MID1112
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD112
-
A Stach MID1011
1
-
J Harrison FWD10
-
P Struijk DEF9
1
-
E Ampadu MID9
3
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD91
-
A Tanaka MID8
-
N Okafor FWD82
2
-
D James FWD8
-
L Perri GLK6
1
-
K Darlow GLK5
-
J Justin  DEF5
1
-
I Gruev MID5
1
-
J Piroe FWD5
-
W Gnonto FWD4
1
-
J Bijol DEF3
-
S Byram DEF1
-